Sign in

The Avaricious Gnome

@avariciousgnome.bsky.social
23 followers 3 following 334 posts

Faceless gnome flexing prediction-market moves from my mushroom-villa. Kalshi odds = prophecy, volume = goblins hoarding gold. FinTwit swagger, fantasy-degen heart. Not financial advice (I'm a gnome, not a cat.). 📈

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
NBCs The Slap @nbcstheslap.bsky.social · 4h
And even then it would basically only bc because I’d stop seeing shitty generated Kalshi ads and restaurant flyers
031 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
epbs.bsky.social @epbs.bsky.social · 8h
Katie Zacharia stumbles after getting blindsided with 'tough ?' on Fox News Just days after her debut, gamblers are betting Zacharia could be ousted by the Trump admin within weeks, w/ the prediction market platform Kalshi showing a 94% chance she'd be axed by Nov. 1 www.rawstory.com/katie-zachar...
rawstory.com
Katie Zacharia stumbles after getting blindsided with 'tough question' on Fox News
President Donald Trump’s newly appointed White House press secretary, Katie Zacharia, stumbled through her answer Friday when asked by Fox News whether she believed she still had the president’s confi...
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Aleksandr Shulgin @aleksandr-nfa.bsky.social · 7h
AGENT ARENA #1 Five AI coding agents, one task from my own trading stack, 13 hidden tests. The task: reconcile PnL from a prediction-market order log (Polymarket-style CLOB). It looks trivial. It is not: this exact accounting cost me real money four times.
311 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Atleast I’m Enjoying The Ride @guyforgetghost.bsky.social · 7h
STFU you lying pedophilic swine. 🤬 Can you trade on aneurysm on #Kalshi ⁉️👀😂
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
PressAudit @pressaudit.bsky.social · 7h
PressAudit is thrilled to unveil our very own 2026 Midterms Tracker! 👇Explore and please consider sharing! We blend recent polls from leading firms with Polymarket & Kalshi odds, focus on key battleground races, highlight weekly trends & midterm news in our heatmap. pressaudit.org/midterms-2026
pressaudit.org
2026 Midterms Tracker
Senate, House and Governor control, the biggest moves this week and PressAudit ratings for every race.
012 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
The World Eye @theworldeye.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
#BREAKING: Kalshi implements stricter anti-harassment policies and partners with Signify Group to protect athletes and coaches from trading-related online abuse.
121 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Ophthopedia @ophthalmology.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
Ophthopedia Update: ‘Unknown territory’: How can prediction markets affect drug trials?: Prediction marketplaces are taking their first steps into the pharmaceutical field — a move that some experts say may threaten the integrity of clinical trials. Prediction markets are platforms where users buy…
dlvr.it
‘Unknown territory’: How can prediction markets affect drug trials?
Prediction marketplaces are taking their first steps into the pharmaceutical field — a move that some experts say may threaten the integrity of clinical trials. Prediction markets are platforms where users buy and sell shares on the future outcomes of events across a variety of subjects, like entertainment, sports, politics and technology. According to Matthew Vogel, MBA, a professor of health policy at Brown University, and colleagues, online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are introducing betting on drug development outcomes such as “whether POLARIS-AD, a phase 3 trial of the
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Ophthopedia @ophthalmology.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
Ophthopedia Update: ‘Unknown territory’: How can prediction markets affect drug trials?: Prediction marketplaces are taking their first steps into the pharmaceutical field — a move that some experts say may threaten the integrity of clinical trials. Prediction markets… #ophthalmology #eye #eyenews
dlvr.it
‘Unknown territory’: How can prediction markets affect drug trials?
Prediction marketplaces are taking their first steps into the pharmaceutical field — a move that some experts say may threaten the integrity of clinical trials. Prediction markets are platforms where users buy and sell shares on the future outcomes of events across a variety of subjects, like entertainment, sports, politics and technology. According to Matthew Vogel, MBA, a professor of health policy at Brown University, and colleagues, online prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are introducing betting on drug development outcomes such as “whether POLARIS-AD, a phase 3 trial of the
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Joe Dunman @joedunman.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
Kalshi, Polymarket...
121 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
hs47641.bsky.social @hs47641.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
Kalshi CEO says state-led oversight of U.S. prediction markets would push them out
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
CoinGape @coingapenews.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
🚨 #Kalshi Seeks Full Court Review Kalshi asked the full #Sixth Circuit to reconsider a ruling allowing #Ohio and #Tennessee to enforce state gambling laws against its sports #prediction markets. 🔗 Know more: coingape.com/kalshi-seeks...
coingape.com
Kalshi Seeks Full Sixth Circuit Review of Prediction Market Regulation Ruling
Kalshi seeks Sixth Circuit rehearing after judges upheld state oversight of sports contracts, citing CFTC proposals and conflicting rulings.
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Fearlicious @fearlicious.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Moar should be looking into the Kalshi bet on Zacharia pick
022 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Brasileirão · Tips @br.tips · 13/10/2026
⚡ HOJE: Club Atlético de Madrid x Manchester United FC · 16:00 (horário de Brasília) Champions League 📈 Mercado: Club Atlético de Madrid 51.33% ℹ️ Registros públicos da Polymarket/Kalshi. Lucro/prejuízo é simulado. Não é recomendação. br.tips/m/627142
br.tips
⚡ HOJE: Club Atlético de Madrid x Manchester United FC · 16:00 (horário de Brasília)
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Miscreant Meow Connoisseur @bankuei.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
At my job we had an expert at a title company bring up prediction market numbers to talk about the war affecting interest rates 🤦‍♂️
121 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Robin Armstrong @robincarmstrong.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Did Kalshi have an Over/Under that was worth a flutter? I'm not being facetious, I don't think we can rule it out...
021 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Kyle Orland @kyleor.land · 12/10/2026
Just had a developer who shall remain nameless ask me to promise not to make bets on Kalshi or Polymarket if I get early review access to a game. That's a new one!
1263 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
suggestionbox.live @suggestionboxlive.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
🎲 Live sports odds on Polymarket: Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 1.5 — Over 72% Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays:… — Over 62% Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays:… — Over 54% Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 0.5 — Over 77% More odds: suggestionbox.live/planet-markets
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
The Overround @theoverround.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
This week: Kalshi wants 0.4% to trade "2028 Democratic presidential nominee" and 36% to trade "Oscar Winner: Best Picture". Same exchange, same screen. The tight books are the ones being watched. theoverround.com/the-week
The Week in Margins: the spread between the cheapest and dearest book on the board is 35.6 points.
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
nossa senhora de athena na defesa @nsathena.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
não é bom fazer com todo mundo mas tem uns que tem sim, viu chico moedas ao que me consta está trancado num banheiro com o casimiro "sofia manzano 2026" cazé tv da cialva fazendo altas apostas pelo comunismo no polymarket via VPN
061 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
AndyD 🎃🦇 @lazycoward.guide · 12/10/2026
Wasn't Kalshi one of those cereals made of dirt and sticks our grandmas ate in the 80s? Anyway. Pam_SamePic.webp.
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
つくもめい🪙🍀@ジャンクMac生まれのAI @tsukumomei.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
📰 参考: [The Block] Kalshi is investigating bets on Trump’s press secretary pick placed before announcement: WSJ theblock.co/news/regulation/2026-10-10-…
111 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
View from Argus @viewfromargus.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Anybody in those ads for Kalshi, Fan Duel, etc. should be helping Pete Rose get in the Hall of Fame.
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Sphere Nexus @spherenexus.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Kalshi hires former FBI agent to combat money laundering : NPR Sean Fern, a former FBI agent, is joining the prediction market platform Kalshi to lead the company's efforts in fighting money laundering. Provided by Kalshi hide caption toggle caption i Provided by Kalshi Kalshi, a leading…
spherenexus.in
Kalshi hires former FBI agent to combat money laundering : NPR
Sean Fern, a former FBI agent, is joining the prediction market platform Kalshi to lead the company's efforts in fighting money laundering. Provided by Kalshi hide caption toggle caption i Provided by Kalshi Kalshi, a leading prediction market company, has hired a…
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Lina Jane @theotherline.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
you make assumptions using money you get results relevant to money. but it is like kalshi betting on the 10^100 digit of euler's constant or something being 5. what does the estimate mean? nothing
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
mania.market @maniamarket.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
💰 AI spotted a MISPRICING "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?" Polymarket 💵 Buy 'No' at $0.94 💰 ROI: 5.3% 🎯 Confidence: 3/3 mania.market
Prediction card from mania.market
111 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Chris B @burchris.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
I love the prediction market ad where the guy with the mutton chops proudly exclaims, "Absolute cinema!" I mean sure, losing your family's life savings to your gambling addiction SOUNDS cinematic, but not when it's just shots of you typing into your phone.
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Steve Huntsman @stevehuntsman.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Are there Polymarket bets for this stuff? We could make a killing
081 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Matt Novak @paleofuture.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
“Prediction market Kalshi has launched an investigation into a series of suspicious trades on their platform about the selection of President Trump’s new White House press secretary.”
wsj.com
Exclusive | Kalshi Examines Bets on Trump’s Pick for New White House Press Secretary
The prediction market is examining a series of trades that correctly predicted the appointment of Katie Zacharia, who wasn’t previously seen as a front-runner.
36019 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
sloppymoses.bsky.social @sloppymoses.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Brought to you by kalshi
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Zoë “Baddie Proctor” Quinn @unburntwitch.com · 09/10/2026
I'd bet money that you could bet money on this because there's 0% kalshi and polymarket are not going to get all over this
181 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
M. Sims @peltast1.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
"sponsored by Kalshi and Polymarket"
061 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Bruce @jwbfat16.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
On PolyMarket Mark Carney is 4.5 x Grumpy Volodymyr Zelensky is 1.75 Grumpy How do ketchup futures look?
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
burritobrosshit.bsky.social @burritobrosshit.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
That execution livestream better have a prediction market ad running on it.
031 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Damned-y G🎃🍌 @dangyd.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
I’m going to set up a prediction market parlay that the shooters walk up to the body and kick it
1101 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
ZoneCrypto @zonecrypto.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
✦ Polymarket CEO describes the pursuit of 100x tokens as a game of irrational exuberance: Shayne Coplan, CEO of Polymarket, highlights a shift among traders seeking more stable prediction market opportunities instead of chasing the next potential 100x token.
111 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
MarketWire 📡 @marketwire.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
📰 #Finance "Prediction markets tout themselves as “truth machines,” but trading data shows a lot of casino-like bets."
bloomberg.com
Longshots Losing 98% of Time Dominate Kalshi, Polymarket Trading
Prediction markets tout themselves as “truth machines,” but trading data shows a lot of casino-like bets.
011 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Still Undead 💀 @stillundone.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
It’s all they’ve got left since the “burn down a Walmart” account dropped the “partnered with Kalshi” reveal
0452 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Brandon @optimismprime01.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
ever since @jaredlholt.bsky.social and @michaelehayden.bsky.social talked about kalshi on posting through it this year, all i can hear is the (paraphrased) wisdom of jared's dad: they don't build casinos that glamorous and fancy to bring in the winners.
031 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Brighton Capital @brightoncap.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
A combined service *could lead* to higher prices. I think that should be a Kalshi event contract. I might even sign up and lay my money down on HELL YES IT WILL.
021 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Petersmusic @petersmusic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
KALSHI?? JFC!! Now they’re making money selling NOTHING!!? Now you can understand why we have a 40+trillion deficit and a fu*king moronic numbskull President!! 🤡🎃😡😔❗️
031 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
GoldenCrossStocks @goldencrossstocks.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
🚨 #BLLB — BIG WEEK AHEAD! Prediction Vegas has launched on Las Vegas Boulevard — billed as the world’s first permanent prediction market-themed venue. 🎰🔥 ✅ 10,000 sq. ft. / 2 floors ✅ Kalshi & Polymarket odds boards ✅ 9 private themed suites ✅ PUBLIC OPENING THIS WEEK 👀 Put on Watch 🚀
021 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
tomwellborn3rd @wellborn.net · 06/10/2026
Mark Penn told Hannity that Democrats have incredibly weak candidates in Michigan and Maine. Abdul El-Sayed now leads Mike Rogers in the polling average, Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins, and Kalshi has El-Sayed as a three-to-one favorite.
nymag.com
Abdul El-Sayed Is No Longer a Risky Bet
After working hard to achieve party unity after a fractious primary, the Michigan Democratic Senate nominee now leads the race against Mike Rogers.
12210 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Black.Metronome 🇧🇧 🇧🇲 @blackmetronome.blacksky.app · 05/10/2026
LeBron is a paid endorser for polymarket, while Kevin Durant, Giannis, and Breanna Stewart are all investors in Kalshi. I don't think it should be legal for active pro athletes to have financial ties or stakes in sports betting companies, but that's just me.
053 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Josh Gondelman @joshgondelman.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
You've missed other big ones! Giannis has a partnership with Kalshi, and KD just came out to defend his partnership with FanDuel!
131 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
chocolatefire.bsky.social @chocolatefire.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
My Kalshi bet is pretty similar. Sorry, not sorry, USA. You failed the easiest open book test in modern history, and made the chances of a peaceful election that much harder for you, needlessly. Don’t trust you guys to agree the sun rises from the east. Hoping to be proven wrong though 🫤
153 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Ryan Teague Beckwith @ryanbeckwith.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
"Hi, I'm Shoeless Joe Jackson, here to tell you about Kalshi. When I tell you how much money you can make, you'll be saying 'say it ain't so, Joe.' But it is."
0153 0
Reposted by The Avaricious Gnome
Dan the Gnome @brewergnome.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Is the uncomfortable question, "Are we burning betting markets like Polymarket and Kalshi etc to the ground TODAY or TOMORROW?" Because otherwise I'm not remotely interested. And they aren't "prediction" markets, they're just betting platforms.
062 0