iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Robert "The Bobby Yaga" McNees @mcnees.bsky.social · 22/01/2025

A thread on Felix Klein, Emmy Noether, and credit where credit is due. Felix Klein gave a lecture at the Mathematical Society of Göttingen #OTD in 1918. The title was “On Hilbert’s first note on the foundations of physics." 🧪 ⚛️ 👩‍🔬

Black and white photo of Felix Klein. He wears a dark jacket, white shirt with a high collar, and a thin black bow tie. Klein has a neat, short beard and his hair is parted on the far right. He is looking just to the right of and slightly above the photographer, with a serious and thoughtful expression on his face.

Black and white photo of Emmy Noether. She wears a white blouse with fine vertical stripes and puffy shoulders, and a light gray skirt fastened at the waist with a dark belt. There is a puffy black bow at her collar. Noether's dark hair is pulled back, and she is looking just down and to the right of the photographer. She is standing behind an ornate chair; only the back of the chair is visible in the photo.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 22/01/2025

I am heartily sick of getting invitations to important meetings with strategic implications with only two or three weeks warning. It’s like people think we are sitting with empty diaries desperate to prioritise their meeting! NERC, UKSA I’m looking at you!

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Stephan Lewandowsky @lewan.uk · 04/01/2025

Pre-emptive obedience everywhere ... I am curious to know if even Hitler or Putin had a ride this easy? (Serious question, and I don't know the answer). What happened to en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Home_of... ?

en.wikipedia.org

Home of the Brave - Wikipedia

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Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 04/01/2025

This is a very important issue. The success rate of proposals is so low that people spend all their time, writing proposals and not doing actual science. Another way science is broken.

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Ken Rice @kenrice.bsky.social · 02/01/2025

I really don't think this is a great narrative to promote. It's not as if climate scientists haven't been very vocal about the risks associated with climate change/global warming and just because it *might* be faster than some kind of best estimate doesn't imply "confused".

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Jonathan @renewableenergy.bsky.social · 01/01/2025

Ooohhhh, climate change is real when a golf course is involved but not when 8 billion lives are. Got it.

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Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · 01/01/2025

Climate scientists be like..

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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 20/08/2024

I see that a lot of people still need to look at this infographic about the difference between carbon removal (CDR) and carbon capture (CCS). carbon180.org/blog/the-dif...

Infographic from Carbon180 about the difference between carbon capture and carbon removal titled "Carbon removal is not carbon capture", with the subtitle: "Though the confusion isn't farfetched. Both climate solutions clean up carbon pollution - but differ significantly in methods and impacts."

On the left is a "Carbon Removal" graphic of carbon being sucked from the atmosphere, with a flag "negative emissions" and the words "'Sucks' existing CO2 from the air using land-, ocean-, and tech-based pathways, rather than preventing emissions at the source
Can target legacy emissions and address climate impacts on frontline communities"

On the right is a graphic for "carbon capture," which depicts a sponge on a smokestack of a factory. It has a flag that says "net-zero emissions" and the words "'Scrubs' CO, from a point source - a localized source of emissions, such as a power plant or industrial facility. Lowers or zeroes out the footprints of traditional, carbon-intensive industries"

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Kevin Pluck @kevpluck.bsky.social · 31/12/2024

72% of polio cases are asymptomatic. 24% get a sore throat or fever. 1-5% headache and neck stiffness (meningitis). 0.1–0.5% paralysis. Can you imagine the internet with a polio epidemic where >99.5% of people are totally fine?

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John Cook @johnfocook.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

The psychological challenge of climate change - our brains are hard-wired to respond to immediate threats, not a slow-motion disaster happening at a global scale (and that's not even considering the tsunami of misinformation hitting us every day).

Cartoon #1: What we're built for... A bear jumps out of a bush, a man cries "oh no, a bear!" Cartoon #2: What we face now... A graph jumps out of a bush, a bored man says "oh, a graph."

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Keith Edwards @keithedwards.bsky.social · 25/12/2024

This one wins

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Andy Reisinger @andyreisinger.bsky.social · 24/12/2024

Come work at He Pou A Rangi, New Zealand's Climate Change Commission, as General Manager, Evidence and Advice. This leadership role will steer the Commission's multi-year work programme providing independent advice and monitoring of climate action. centralagenciesjobs.cass.govt.nz/jobdetails/a...

Screenshot of the He Pou A Rangi Climate Change Commission's vacancies web page. "Work with us. Be part of a game-changing organisation."

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Climate Dad @climatedad.bsky.social · 14/12/2024

“Farmers are driven to poor practice by the pressure to increase short-term yields.” Add soil salinity to the long list of reasons why our food system is teetering on collapse. Building this system around shareholder profit, rather than feeding people, may well be humanity’s greatest mistake.

theguardian.com

Global food production at increased risk from excess salt in soil, UN report warns

Scientists say climate crisis and poor agricultural practices to blame with serious implications for crop yields

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ESM2025 @esm2025.bsky.social · 11/12/2024

Anyone interested in #climatepolicy out there? Take 2 min to watch/read below how we're building the next generation of #EarthSystemModels and Integrated Assessment Models tailored to inform mitigation strategies in support of achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement.👇https://bit.ly/ESM2025video

youtube.com

ESM2025 EU research project

This is the presentation video of ESM2025 EU research project on Earth system model development.ESM2025 is a European research project on Earth System modell...

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 11/12/2024

Kudos to Australia for having an Earth System Science plan … which is in part about prediction, which is good, since they seem to have launched it next year

Screenshot of the launch sep page which states: The Australian Academy of Science and the National Committee for Earth System Science launched the Decadal Plan for Australian Earth System Science on Monday 25 November 2025.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

Another set of bogus university rankings came out today (I think). They have sustainability ratings. Great, I think. Then I look at them, and I go, “What? Huh?” Then I look up the weightings. Their definition of sustainable is not mine!

Indicator,Weight
EE1 - Academic Reputation in Earth & Environment,10%
EE2 - Alumni Impact for Environmental Sustainability - Public and Third Sector,4%
EE3 - Climate Science and/or Sustainability Courses,3%
ER1 - Research Impact on SDGs for Sustainable Research,9%
ER2 - Sustainable Research National Statistics,1%
ER3 - Research Center with an Environmental Sustainability Focus,2%
ER4 - Policy Citations (Environmental),1%
ES1 - Alumni Impact for Innovation,5%
ES2 - Member of an officially recognised sustainable group,1%
ES3 - Climate change commitment (staff perception),2%
ES4 - Publicly available strategy or policy on sustainable procurement and investment,1%
ES5 - Student Society focused on Environmental Sustainability,1%
ES6 - Net Zero Commitment,1%
ES7 - Emissions Efficiency,1%
ES8 - Renewables Generated Onsite,1%
ES9 - Progress Towards Target,1%
ES10 - Policy on Climate Strategy,1%
EO1 - Employer Reputation,3%
EO2 - Research Impact on SDGs for Employment and Opportunities,4%
EO4 - Employment and Opportunities National Statistics,1%
EO5 - Partnerships with Industry,2%
EO6 - Skills Satisfaction ,1%
EQ1 - Research Impact on SDG's for Equality,4%
EQ2 - Student Gender Ratio,1%
EQ3 - Faculty Gender Ratio,1%
EQ4 - Women in Leadership Ratio,1%
"EQ5 - Equality, Diversity and Inclusion policy",1%
EQ6 - Academic Equality (Staff View),2%
EQ7 - Disability Support,1%
EQ8 - Equality National Statistics,1%
HW1 - Research Impact of SDGs for Health and Wellbeing ,3%
HW2 - Health Provision on Campus,1%
HW3 - Health and Wellbeing National Statistics,1%
IE1 - Research Impact on SDGs for Education,3%
IE2 - Academic Reputation for Impact of Education,1%
IE3 - Alumni Impact for Education,1%
IE4 - Academic Freedom Index,1%
IE5 - Impact of Education National Statistics,1%
KE1 - Knowledge Exchange: Progress / Dissemination,6%
KE2 - Outreach and Community Engagement,1%
KE3 - Staff perception,2%
KE4 - Policy Citations (Social),1%
GG1 - Ethics Cultu…

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Peter Jacobs @pjacobs.bsky.social · 07/12/2024

"it's an older meme, sir, but it checks out..."

A four panel meme about the PR around artificial intelligence. In the top left panel, a man looks at a crack in a wall. The crack is labeled "statistics". In the next (top right) panel, the man is shown hanging a picture frame around the crack. In the next (bottom left) panel, the man is shown standing next to the 'framed' crack, which is now labeled "Machine Learning". In the final (bottom right) panel, the man stands next to the framed crack but now a huge audience has gathered. The crack is now labeled "Artificial intelligence".

This is a modified version of a comic from https://www.instagram.com/sandserifcomics/

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Ambarish Karmalkar @ambarish.bsky.social · 07/12/2024

A shameless plug for my study with a similar recommendation. Considering the full ensemble spread is important for sub-selecting models for dynamical downscaling. Climate sensitivity-based selection doesn't necessarily work well (CMIP5-based, so pre hot-model). journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

journals.ametsoc.org

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Brian J. Karem @briankarem.bsky.social · 07/12/2024

Okay. Someone has a sense of humor and has definitely heard him speak

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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 07/12/2024

Don’t forget Valencia, Spain. Don’t forget those who insisted that actions needed to avoid the #ClimateCrisis were “too expensive.” Don’t forget all the record-breaking, historic or “100 year” events we’ve seen lately. They’re not the “new normal. It’s going to keep getting exponentially worse.

A Valencia street filled with crumpled and piled cars left behind after the record-breaking flooding.

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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

We call it Earth only because we're land dwellers. This image shows how massive the Pacific Ocean is, covering 1/3 of the Earth's surface. This cloudless image of the Earth centered on the Pacific was produced by NOAA satellites, which took photos over eleven ten-day periods and merged them.

A cloudless satellite image of the Earth, centred on the Pacific Ocean. Only ocean is visible over the entire disk except for a glimpse of Australia bottom left and a hint of North America top right with the Arctic ice cap visible at the top.

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Prof. Sonia I Seneviratne @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

The regional climate sensitivity of ESMs (dXreg/dTglob) is found to be mostly independent from the ESMs' global climate sensitivity (dTglob/dCO2). Hence "hot models" can be used to derive regional climate changes as function of global warming See also: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Regional Climate Sensitivity of Climate Extremes in CMIP6 Versus CMIP5 Multimodel Ensembles

Changes in climate extremes as a function of global warming are quasilinear and determine a “regional climate sensitivity” in CMIP5 and CMIP6 The regional climate sensitivity of climate extremes is...

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Prof Richard Betts @richardabetts.bsky.social · 07/12/2024

Don’t miss out climate models from regional impacts studies just because they have high climate sensitivity! We (Swaminathan et al) find EffCS is not a good constraint on regional impacts So, you could miss out important and realistic information agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

Global map highlighting several key climate regions, surrounded by graphs for those regions showing frequency distributions of flood, drought and fire indicators for 2 groups of climate models: effective climate sensitivity above and below 4.5C. The distributions overlap either substantially or entirely in all graphs.

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Andy Brunning @andy.compoundchem.com · 07/12/2024

Bit gusty out there (reminder that this wind map is a great visualisation tool during storms: earth.nullschool.net#current/wind...)

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Beth @thisbethlife.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

Our great great grandmothers would have walked over broken glass to save their babies from diphtheria, typhoid, polio, measles. People who thumb their noses at it centuries later are willfully ignorant and a danger to society.

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Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 29/11/2024

The Air Quality stripes can now also be shared directly to BlueSky. Well done @jimmcquaid.bsky.social & @kirstypringle.bsky.social. #climate airqualitystripes.info/stripes/

Graphic visualisation to show changes in air quality in London over time.

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Paul Griffiths @handle.invalid · 03/12/2024

Ten minutes late arriving at the @ncas-uk.bsky.social meeting on AI/ML and horrified to have missed the first half of @atmbnl.bsky.social’s think piece on future directions. Great day of talks followed.

Professor Bryan Lawrence of Reading University and the UK National Centre for Atmospheric Science addresses the NCAS meeting on AI and ML. On the screen is a slide on seamless prediction with a well-balanced prevarication of a conclusion.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

This should really be unacceptable in 2024.

Data availability
The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Code availability
Apart from the Python packages referenced in the Acknowledgements, the underlying code for this study is not publicly available but may be made available to qualified researchers on reasonable request from the corresponding author.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

Ok, that’s the second time in an hour that I’ve found three copies of the same paper in my zotero library. Maybe this “grab it and read it later” policy isn’t working? Possibly because I never find the time to read anything “later”?

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Stephan Lewandowsky @lewan.uk · 01/12/2024

*this*

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Prof. Andy Turner @agturnermonsoon.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

I have a new fully funded PhD available, open to international students on "Monsoons at the kilometre scale". @ncas-uk.bsky.social University of Reading with CASE support from the Met Office and working with Dr Richard W Jones www.findaphd.com/phds/project... #monsoon #highres

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Ruth Mottram @ruthmottram.eurosky.social · 01/12/2024

It is past time that all PhD students were treated as employees, not students. Yes it's expensive, and it will probably mean fewer studentships, but it's not right to deny people employment rights like sick pay, parental leave and pension contributions at the very beginning of their careers

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Kevin Pluck @kevpluck.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

If your country has a lot of hydro power then any installation of intermittent renewables automatically gets grid storage. Every hour on a panel, every rotation of a wind turbine means less water through a dam which is saved for later when the wind doesn't blow or the sun doesn't shine.

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Elon Green @elongreen.bsky.social · 30/11/2024

if it's been done, apologies, but I'd love a thread of great footnotes.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Spent today at the CEDA birthday shindig. Is it wrong to say that if felt a bit like watching a child graduate!?

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PhENtastic.bsky.social @phenominal.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

'Bate Silver wrong here by a factor of 27, just in the climate/ energy sector. theconversation.com/big-oils-tra...

Screenshot of Nate silver being wrong about conservatives getting less $$ than liberals

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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

Please do read the comments under my article on assisted dying. People on both sides of the debate, who've gone through terrible grief talking about their conclusions. Really moving and even inspiring. iandunt.substack.com/p/trying-to-...

iandunt.substack.com

Trying to make a damn bit of sense of the assisted dying debate

Everything you need to know about a profound change in the law

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Michael Thomas @michael-thomas.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Some good news this week: Indonesia said it will retire all its coal plants over the next 15 years. The country is one of the biggest coal consumers in the world. theprogressplaybook.com/2024/11/21/i...

theprogressplaybook.com

Indonesia vows to retire all coal plants within 15 years

The country will also retire all other fossil fuel plants and add more than 75GW of renewable energy capacity over the same time frame.

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Kevin Pluck @kevpluck.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

The neat thing about a country with so much hydro is that any renewables added automatically come with grid storage. Every hour of sun on a panel and every rotation of a turbine means less water through a dam.

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Marc Daalder @marcdaalder.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

You love to see it. Hydro storage in NZ is near its nominal maximum. Average renewable percentage for the last week is 96 percent. Right now, we're generating more power from solar than from gas.

A screenshot of Transpower's live dashboard showing 98 percent renewables as of 19:00 on November 20, 2024.

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Patrick W. Reed @patrickwreed.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

someone on Threads was complaining that they got the question "how many ghosts appeared in A Christmas Carol?" at a pub quiz, & answered 4 but were marked as incorrect, with the correct answer given as 3. It's actually more complicated than it sounds, with a few possible answers (none of them 3). 🧵

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Stephan Hoyer @handle.invalid · 20/11/2024

Curious how the latest AI weather models compare? Keeping WeatherBench2 up to date has been a bit trickier than we thought, but @raspstephan.bsky.social has put together a spreadsheet with quick estimates: docs.google.com/spreadsheets... Here's my version of the main plot.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 17/11/2024

(from mastodon, where it is attributed to David Sipress, date unknown)

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

Dear American friends, please pay attention. I don’t doubt you, but I doubt your neighbours and many others! snyder.substack.com/p/decapitation-…

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Bill McKibben @billmckibben.bsky.social · 11/11/2024

It's amazing that we've had the two hottest years in the last 125,000 and it's barely registered in our collective consciousness. A few thoughts on the role journalism is playing (or not) www.cjr.org/analysis/bil...

cjr.org

Hiding in Plain Sight

The climate story this election missed.

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