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Adrian Rothers

@arothers.bsky.social
286 followers 665 following 61 posts

Post-doc: agricultural social science, political psychology, social conflict www.umwelt.uni-hannover.de/de/insti…

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854
Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
1 Am taunus ☝️
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
nice track!
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Glückwunsch zur Ruhestandspsychologie Professur in Marlübberg 👏(?)
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
So sieht Opferbereitschaft für den Traumjob aus!
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
danach bitte social psychology of agriculture an der goethe uni frankfurt (W3), danke
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Marlene Altenmüller @marlephie.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
🚨JOB ALERT🚨 3 YEAR POSTDOC in #SciComm research at @zpid.bsky.social! @kaisassenberg.bsky.social and me are searching for a postdoc with background in psychology or communication science. Own research ideas are welcome! Focus should be on societies' preparation for future pandemics. Please share!
leibniz-psychology.onlyfy.jobs
Application Process
Apply now
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 01/06/2026
Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
high sentimental value 👌
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Sacha Epskamp @sachaepskamp.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
I spent the past semester building interactive teaching apps with AI-assisted coding. I used my personal website to share them with my students, but that makes them hard to find for other educators. So I built Galvoro — galvoro.app
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Thanks for sharing!
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
psychology, agricultural economics, and behavioral public policy. Now we're looking for a PhD researcher to join the project. Job postings: www.uni-hannover.de/de/jobs/8519/ (DE) www.uni-hannover.de/en/jobs/8519/ (EN) Contact me here or via email for any questions!
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Good news and a PhD position: Together with Ann-Kathrin Koessler, I was awarded funding by the German Research Foundation for our project “New Perspectives on Farmer Identities and Agri-Environmental Measures”. It sits at the intersection of...
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Cihan Tugal @cihantugal.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
of institutions. I argued in the piece below that what really distinguished Fidesz was its counter-market policies of mass-oriented provision. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... Fidesz also engaged in mass organization beyond occasional outbursts which is the bread and butter of far-rightists 2/
tandfonline.com
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GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 13/02/2026
#LoveData26 #FDMPower #thematiccollections #researchtopic Are you looking for data for your research topic? Our database is also organized by subject area so that you can get a quick overview of the data we have available.
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Politische Vierteljahresschrift @pvs-journal.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
Looking for speeches from all German state parliaments? @cgnguyen.bsky.social , Eric Beltermann, Sabine Kropp & Antonios Souris have you covered. Introducing the StateParl Corpus. Now open access with PVS: doi.org/10.1007/s11615-025-00643-5
doi.org
Decoding German Politics with StateParl—A Text Corpus of Plenary Protocols in the 16 German Länder Parliaments - Politische Vierteljahresschrift
The availability of large amounts of machine-readable text data has enabled political scientists to explore a variety of novel and innovative research questions. In this context, parliamentary documen...
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Hm, I also didn't get this one, only his and Copilot's new Fünfjahresplan for a robust, theory-based, replicable psychological science...
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
✊️
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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
🧵 PhD position (75%) in Political Behavior / Political Communication / CSS 📍 LMU Munich | ⏳ 3 years | 🗓 start March–May 2026 We’re hiring for DemocraGPT, a @bidt.bsky.social-funded project developing an AI-based training for difficult conversations in times of growing polarization
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Ryan Katz-Rosene, PhD @ryankatzrosene.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Humanity emitted more Greenhouse Gases in 2025 than any year ever
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Ruben C. Arslan @ruben.the100.ci · 18/12/2025
Finally, @bjoernhommel.bsky.social's and my paper introducing the SurveyBot3000 is officially out in AMPPS. It's a fine-tuned language model that guesstimates correlations between survey items from text alone. Not perfectly, but useful for search, for example. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Fig. 3. Scatter plots of the synthetic and empirical estimates, validation study (Stage 2). Showing N = 30,135 item-pair correlations, N = 257 scale reliabilities, and N = 1,568 scale-pair correlations for (top) the pretrained SBERT model and (bottom) the fine-tuned SurveyBot3000 model. SBERT = all-mpnet-base-v2 model.Fig. 4. Prediction error of the synthetic estimates, validation study (Stage 2). Our prediction model allowed the error term to vary freely according to the predictor, the synthetic estimate. The thin-plate splines show that some synthetic estimates were predictably more accurate.
Fig. 5. Accuracy by domain. Accuracy differed across domains. SurveyBot3000 accuracy (colored) was always higher than SBERT accuracy (gray). Results were largely consistent whether accuracy of items was tested (left, circle) within domains or (right, cross) across domains.Fig. 1. Multistep training procedure for the SurveyBot3000, which produces synthetic estimates of interitem correlations. (a) Pretraining base model (SBERT). (b) Fine-tuning SurveyBot3000. (c) Validation. SBERT = all-mpnet-base-v2 model.
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Sandra Schulz @schusand.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Vielen Dank für die vielen wertschätzenden Rückmeldungen zu unserem #Dlf -Interview mit Carsten #Linnemann . Gibt unserem Team und mir in stürmischen Zeiten wichtigen Rückhalt für unsere Arbeit. 🙏
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 09/12/2025
Big new blogpost! My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more. --> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful. www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...
screenshot of my post
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Anna Reuter @anna-reuter.de · 06/11/2025
#AcademicSky #EconSky #ichbinhanna
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Frank Eckerle @fmsmallfield.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
New pub! 📝 Solidarity with refugees depends on refugee‘s origin and gender. Partly explained through a similarity->threat link. We discuss this as a psychological expression of neocolonial geopolitics. spssi.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... @tijana-et-al.bsky.social @arothers.bsky.social
spssi.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
SPSSI Journals
This paper investigates social psychological mechanisms underlying selective solidarity with refugees in two experimental studies conducted in Germany. We hypothesized, in line with the geopolitics o...
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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 16/07/2025
New interesting data brief paper about IAB-BAMF-SOEP Refugee Survey academic.oup.com/esr/advance-...
academic.oup.com
Exploring integration and migration dynamics: the research potentials of a large-scale longitudinal household study of refugees in Germany
Abstract. Forced migration has intensified in the 21st century, driven by conflicts, persecution, and political instability in regions such as the Middle E
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Paula Villa Braslavsky @paulita.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
Wissenschaftsministerin ein massiver fail. Ideologisch, dumm, und in der Sache so falsch wie im Amt unprofessionell. Anstatt sachlich nüchtern die Professorin vor Diffamierungen & gegen 1 Kampagne zu schützen, wirft sie diese erneut dem geifernden Polit-Mob zum Fraß hin. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
zeit.de
Wahl der Verfassungsrichter: Brosius-Gersdorf berichtet von Drohungen nach gescheiterter Wahl
Aufgrund von Drohungen hat Frauke Brosius-Gersdorf ihre Mitarbeiter gebeten, nicht am Lehrstuhl zu arbeiten. Einen Verzicht auf ihre Kandidatur schließt sie nicht aus.
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Dax Werner @daxwerner.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
Ich gebe euch hiermit offiziell hitzefrei. Ein Retweet reicht und ihr seid rechtlich auf der "sicheren Seite".
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Akrotelm 🌾 @akrotelm.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
Kurz: Die #Grundwasserneubildung💧 kackt vielerorts ab. 👉 Leider halt wieder sone Nachricht, die kaum Aufmerksamkeit bekommen wird, da es ja in den letzten 2 Wochen *etwas* geregnet 🌧 hat. Und warum auch, geht ja grundsätzlich nur um unsere wichtigste Lebensgrundlage. 🤷‍♂️ #Dürre #Entwässerung
sueddeutsche.de
Grundwasser in Deutschland: Kritische Lage in 201 von 401 Landkreisen - die Gründe
Neben der Dürre tragen Landwirtschaft und Braunkohleabbau zur Knappheit bei. Daten zur Grundwassernutzung sind oft unzureichend.
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Wilhelm Hofmann @wilhelmhofmann.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
📣 Excited to share our new preprint: "Measuring Perceived Structural Constraints on Choice: The Structural Awareness Scale" (SAS) osf.io/preprints/os... We developed SAS to capture how people perceive 🧱 structural barriers on their choices in areas such as sustainability or healthy eating.
osf.io
OSF
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Gleichfalls!
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Attended my first agriculture-focused conference in Leipzig, great place, great talks and such a lovely crowd 🥰
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Advances.in @advances.in · 05/03/2025
Recognizing the financial pressures many academics experience in these trying times, we have waived the Article Processing Charge for this special issue. Kindly repost.
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Auke-Florian 🪹 @aukeflorian.nl · 09/04/2025
NEW PAPER, JUST OUT! 👀 Insects from the '70s and '80s were already collecting microplastic, decades before the term microplastic even existed. 🤯 A thread on the surprising history of this pollutant and the incredible insect larvae that helped us uncover it. 🐛 Let's dive in! 🧵👇 1/x
Lead author Auke-Florian Hiemstra holds the oldest known caddisfly casing containing microplastic, dating to 1971. Photo: Liselotte Rambonnet.A caddisfly casing with pieces of blue microplastic, dating 1986. Photo: Auke-Florian Hiemstra
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Amöneburg ist eine besondere perle!
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Da wurden mir einige nicht anerkannt! Niederweimar Niederwalgern Cyriaxweimar... nur um einige der bedeutendsten zu nennen
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Chapeau! Bin jetzt bei 250 aber viel mehr wird es nicht...
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Amrei Bahr @amreibahr.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Ergebnisse der KoaV-AG „Bildung, Forschung & Innovation“: Was ist drin für #IchBinHanna? Was unklar? Was fehlt? 1 🧵. Tl,dr: 1. Eindruck erfreulich, aber 🐘 im Raum – konkrete Ausgestaltung der Postdoc-Phase zur Schaffung langfristiger Perspektiven – wird nicht ausreichend adressiert. (1/13)
fragdenstaat.de
Koalitionsverhandlungen CDU/CSU/SPD AG 8 - Bildung, Forschung und Innovation
Schwarzer Text: Einigkeit Blauer Text: nicht geeint, Union-Forderung Roter Text: nicht geeint, SPD-Forderung [Zu den Ergebnissen der anderen Arbeitsgruppen geht es hier.](https://fragdenstaat.de/ar...
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
I don't really get what this research is for. Of course you can't use LLMs in place of humans for social science research. osf.io/preprints/so...
osf.io
OSF
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Aleksandra Lazić, PhD @alelazic.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
Dear colleagues, I invite you to sign a letter of support for Serbian students and professors and to share it within your academic community. Thank you for standing with us! (600+ signatures at the moment) forms.office.com/pages/respon...
forms.office.com
Microsoft Forms
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Gilda Sahebi @gildasahebi.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Ich habe in letzter Zeit Gespräche mit Mitarbeitenden der Agentur für Arbeit geführt. Sie schienen alle genervt vom Begriff der „Totalverweigerer“, weil es die praktisch nicht gibt. Entweder hat niemand dieser Politiker:innen je mit Mitarbeitenden der Ämter gesprochen. Oder sie sagen die Unwahrheit.
Markus Söder, Friedrich Merz, Lars Klingbeil und Saskia Esken bei der heutigen Pressekonferenz.
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Alice Roberts @profaliceroberts.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
It seems PubMed has disappeared. This is the digital equivalent of burning a library.
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Frank Eckerle @fmsmallfield.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
✏️ New Paper: Prejudice towards (Black/Muslim) refugees predicts fear of crime more strongly than vice versa. Recent debates about increasing deportation are therefore likely to increase fear of crime, not lower it. bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
<em>British Journal of Social Psychology</em> | Wiley Online Library
Research suggests that social fear of crime and prejudice towards minority groups may be linked. We investigated (Ntotal = 7712) whether prejudice towards a social group that is stereotyped as more c...
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
That "polarization" from the right is more dangerous seems obvious given current world events. In order study such asymmetries in multiparty systems, we need an understanding of the dividing lines in them. #polpsy #socialpsyc #GermanPoliticSky #polisci
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
depending on where people stand - for instance, more polarized ppl from the left, mainstream and center camps reject dictatorial rule more strongly (than their less polarized counterparts), whereas ➕polarization ~ ➕pro-dictatorship attitudes among right, rightwing pop, and extreme ppl!
Shows a heatmap of correlations between affective polarization and four democratic attitudes (democratic satisfaction, turnout, institutional trust, attitude toward dictatorial rule). These four correlations are shown for the whole sample and for respondents of the six political camps identified before. Correlations differ starkly between those camps, with similar patterns for left, mainstream and center respondents and for right, rightwing populist, and extreme respondents.
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
...people are polarized along one of three divides: left vs. right, mainstream vs. rightwing, and center vs. extreme. On each divide, somewhat different issues predict membership in the opposing camps. Importantly, affective polarization has diverging correlations with democratic attitudes...
Shows correlation networks between party ratings for each of the three divides
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
In multiparty political systems, such as Germany, it's often hard to tell who is actually polarized against whom. I suggest a set of methods (correlational class analysis followed by latent profile analysis) and use it to answer this question using @gles.bsky.social data. In Oct 2023 Germany...
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Adrian Rothers @arothers.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
📖 New open access paper 📖 "The poles in polarization: Social categorization and affective polarization in multiparty systems", now published in Electoral Studies. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #polpsy #socialpsyc #GermanPoliticSky #polisci
sciencedirect.com
The poles in polarization: Social categorization and affective polarization in multiparty systems
A challenge in adapting the concept of affective polarization to multiparty systems has been to determine who is polarized against whom. I propose a s…
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Joe Bak-Coleman @jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Mercator projection strikes again.
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