Reposted by Andreas BegerJussi Jalonen @jojalonen.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Voi käydä niin, että Yhdysvallat irtautuu Israelista. Esivaalit voivat olla siitä jo ensi airut, ja jos ja kun presidentti vaihtuu, suhteet Israeliin eivät ehkä ole enää niin myötämieliset. Siinä kohtaa voikin sitten kysyä, millaisia ratkaisuja Suomi tekee yhden ja toisen liittolaisensa välillä! 1244
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 29/09/2026FWIW, I’m half German, part Serb, went through the German education system, later went to Iraq as a US soldier in a war I thought and think was wrong. I understand that for both soldiers and civilians in Russia, their own view and our view of them can be complex. 120
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Last month there was an arson attack on a defense company here in Tallinn that produces unmanned ground vehicles. Estonia’s equivalent of the FBI has now attributed the attack on Russia’s security services. news.err.ee/1610151220/e...news.err.eeEstonia: Russia responsible for arson attack on defense contractor MilremBased on ISS intelligence, there are grounds to state with full confidence that the arson attack on the Milrem building in Tallinn on August 15 was an act of sabotage commissioned by Russian special s... 011
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Thanks for the gift link. Incredibly disturbing. Also not sure whether this kind of article should be written right now. Do we need to humanize people who support a nasty war of aggression / colonial war in which their country routinely brutalizes civilians? 120
Reposted by Andreas BegerCosmicRami 🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ @rami.spaceaustralia.com · 28/09/2026Just saw this news now (looks like it is a few days old) arXiv has received private funding -- $17.2M to be distributed across the next 3-5 years to help it establish and transition to an independent not-for-profit. This is good news for the preprint server and open access resources! 🔭🧪blog.arxiv.orgarXiv receives Multiyear Philanthropic Commitments to Support Its Launch as an Independent NonprofitarXiv is pleased to announce that three leading philanthropic organizations have provided multimillion-dollar support for arXiv. These new multiyear… 16412
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Ok, that was maybe a bit unfair. Anyways, great 🧵 bsky.app/profile/chri... 000
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 28/09/2026And the simple ingredients are: “conduct highly complex and extensively prepared combined arms operations, including EW deconfliction” 100
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 28/09/2026😂 this is like the distilled essence of a certain kind of milblogger (Context: a Russian milblogger discussing Ukraine’s recent surprising combat successes said he knew all along what the ingredients for success are, people are stupid for not having listened to him.) 100
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Dissolution of the USSR caused your birth, the timeline is clear 🥸 120
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 17/09/2026How old were you when the Soviet Union fell? (Just curious, no ulterior BS motive.) 130
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Is this driven by supplier political reliability or capabilities that are more suited for Ukraine? 010
Reposted by Andreas BegerDarth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 14/09/2026When Iran starts firing jet powered drones they got from us into Isreal, Donald will act as if no one could have predicted it. He'll probably blame Ukraine for forcing Russia to develop them by not surrendering. 18723152
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Instance x of tech person “hey why don’t we have a computer draw objective districts and solve gerrymandering!” missing the point that “objective” is ill defined and it’s a political issue 🫠 001
Reposted by Andreas BegerKevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Some people have asked what I mean when I talk about the need for anti-corruption reforms. Here are some ideas. 321110290
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 08/09/2026I’ve run small chat LLMs locally and I use other small LLMs locally for work, and they are dramatically slower, like orders of magnitude, and less capable as GP chatbots. Maybe with a beefy GPU you can run something that works for specific things, but that’s quite different from GP frontier models. 000
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 08/09/2026I don’t think you can run models of a size sufficient enough to replicate the hosted Claude/ChatGPT/etc. level locally. And even then, it requires an expensive GPU to work at sufficient speed. 200
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 08/09/2026People were willing to move from subsistence farming to squalid industrial conditions, can’t have been quaint 050
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 08/09/2026@bretdevereaux.bsky.social has a bunch of blog posts on this, but the crux is that subsistence farmers (women) spend an insane amount of time just on textile production, like 4-8 or more hours per day, every day, eg acoup.blog/2025/09/26/c...acoup.blogCollections: Life, Work, Death and the Peasant, Part IVd: Spinning PlatesThis is the fourth thread of the fourth part of our series (I, II, IIIa, IIIb, IVa, IVb, IVc, IVd,IVe, V) looking at the lives of pre-modern peasant farmers, who make up a majority of all of the hu… 0117
Reposted by Andreas BegerPiatto Delgatto @piattodelgatto.bsky.social · 01/09/2026I hadn't seen this. OpenAI basically inadvertently did the premise of Neuromancer. 052
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 28/08/2026And can anyone tell with confidence that one factor is the primary cause and others are minor causes, or correlational? 000
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 28/08/2026I don’t think that’s factually correct. E.g. where has inequality or globalization (outsourcing, trade etc.) meaningfully decreased? But in any case, I think there is empirical support for some of the things I listed (and also including mobile internet adoption), eg www.cambridge.org/core/journal...cambridge.orgThe Populist Backlash Against Globalization: A Meta-Analysis of the Causal Evidence | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge CoreThe Populist Backlash Against Globalization: A Meta-Analysis of the Causal Evidence - Volume 54 Issue 3 110
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 28/08/2026Yes, but isn’t it also overdetermined? You’ve got multiple other plausible factors at a similar time frame: the 2007 financial crisis, increase in inequality, globalization, increases in immigration/mobility. Which ones are causal vs correlational? 100
Reposted by Andreas BegerSteve Saideman @smsaideman.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Why can/will Trump engage in a trade war that hurts so many Americans, so many firms, farmers, and sectors? The transmission belt of policy is broken saideman.blogspot.com/2026/08/the-... He simply does not care, and the GOP refuses to make him care. 0113
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 24/08/20262/3rds might support negotiating a peace, but also majorities oppose giving Russia the rest of Donbas, recognizing Russia’s annexations, or doing so without security guarantees. Supporting peace =/= supporting capitulation to Russia’s demands 170
Reposted by Andreas Begerjamelle @jamellebouie.net · 24/08/2026tl;dw: the job of the dem majority over the next two years, should it materialize, is to make life hell for the white house, not find points of cooperationyoutube.comWhat Democrats can learn from Mitch McConnellYouTube video by Takes™ by Jamelle Bouie 15260211280
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 24/08/2026What is your boundary for “stayed a while” vs “visited”? 110
Reposted by Andreas Beger"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 21/08/2026I wrote a(nother) thing! This time it is about how no amount of military technical excellence can salvage a situation where political leadership has, in their abject strategic incompetence, demanded the military accomplish an impossible mission. Gift link: foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/21/i...foreignpolicy.comThe U.S. Is Learning the Wrong Lessons in IranTactical excellence can never salvage strategic incompetence. 19623133
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 19/08/2026Yes, this is why as soon as millions of Eastern Europeans had the chance to vote in fair elections, they voted the commmunists out of power. (And haven’t voted them back into office since…) 111
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 19/08/2026The term is used in two different ways and let’s not confuse them: communism/socialism à la USSR did kill millions and hold back countries; “socialism” à la “we want universal healthcare, get rid of private for profit prisons etc.” is a different and more sensible thing. 160
Reposted by Andreas BegerThe Onion @theonion.com · 19/08/2026Trump Unveils New 250-Foot Gilded Catering Container For Presidential Travel theonion.com/trump-unveils-new-250-… 14991150
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Every communist country has been authoritarian. Sometimes with concentration camps sometimes without, but all have been authoritarian. 080
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 14/08/2026I think you meant righteous_join() for the pious. All know that sinister_join() is a tool of the warp. 000
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 14/08/2026Infiltrate Lufthansa Change all United codeshare flights from Europe to US so that passengers have title “Herr/Frau Doktor” United doesn’t have German-style title mania, appends “PHD” to everyone’s last names on the tickets instead (FIRST LASTPHD) Names don’t match passports/visas anymore Chaos 000
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 12/08/2026“Although Spee had an easy victory, destroying two enemy armoured cruisers for just three men injured, the engagement also cost him almost half his supply of ammunition, which was irreplaceable.” Wow, this is like the Futurama killbot kill limit strategy. 120
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 10/08/2026Inspiring read on the implementation of the Voting Rights Act > By the end of that week, they had added 381 African Americans to the rolls, more than the total registered in Dallas County the previous sixty-five years combined. campaign-trails.ghost.io/work-in-prog...campaign-trails.ghost.ioWork in Progress: Implementing the VRAWork in Progress is a recurring feature on CAMPAIGN TRAILS, in which I share some of the more interesting materials I’ve uncovered in my book-in-progress on the work of John Doar and the Civil Rights ... 000
Reposted by Andreas BegerLauren French @laurennfrench.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Energy not the same as before? Need that pick me up? Introducing Endless War from Mike Rogers. 5455126
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 03/08/2026Probably a bit more historical than you mean, but medieval peasants spent about as much time spinning and weaving as subsistence farming acoup.blog/2025/09/26/c...acoup.blogCollections: Life, Work, Death and the Peasant, Part IVd: Spinning PlatesThis is the fourth thread of the fourth part of our series (I, II, IIIa, IIIb, IVa, IVb, IVc, IVd,IVe, V) looking at the lives of pre-modern peasant farmers, who make up a majority of all of the hu… 060
Reposted by Andreas BegerJustin Baragona @justinbaragona.bsky.social · 22/07/2026Imagine the round-the-clock outrage -- not just from Fox, but the rest of mainsteam media -- if Biden or Obama placed propagandist words into the mouths of dead soldiers just before their dignified transfer of remains. 1232730698
Reposted by Andreas BegerAdam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 18/07/2026I cross-referenced my database of candidates against credible voter fraud cases. GOP politicians are implicated at 50x–38,000x the general public's rate. Yet even if every American voted with the integrity of a GOP candidate, it still wouldn't come close to justifying making voting one iota harder. 10702340
Reposted by Andreas BegerAdam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Voter fraud: an individual moves one vote; vanishingly rare Election fraud: a politician rigging votes at scale; literally why Trump is a convicted felon The relative risk to our elections is like taking a Tylenol vs mainlining fentanyl. But, of course, it’s the Tylenol they’re after. 620043
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Probably just easier to think of options that largely leave the structure intact but add or tweak things, than to consider options that change the structure itself. Same with all the weird ideas related to primaries (vs…just get rid of them). 010
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 16/07/2026I wish people would stop coming up with crackpot solutions for US political problems. Just look at what works in other democracies. We have the evidence. Look to comparativists, not lawyers. 040
Reposted by Andreas BegerGilliam @reddeerranch.bsky.social · 13/07/2026Vaccines are so effective they created an entire generation of people who think the diseases they prevented weren’t a big deal. 191941482
Andreas Beger @andybeger.bsky.social · 12/07/2026I grew up there. Only one of my parents is German. I get it. 100