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ahbf.bsky.social

@ahbf.bsky.social
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Reposted by @ahbf.bsky.social
Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
"Trumpworld and MAGA like to feign confidence that their propaganda can smear Democrats criticizing ICE as pro-criminal and anti–law enforcement. But Trumpworld is failing to sleepwalk Americans into supporting their paramilitary wing’s violence and lawlessness." newrepublic.com/article/2018...
newrepublic.com
Trump ICE Raids Take Horrific Turn in Chicago, Handing Dems an Opening
There’s one simple pledge Democrats can make to voters about ICE that’s easy to understand and will have broad support.
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
If you teach second-degree price discrimination, this video is for you! youtu.be/h66p3gW82bM?...
youtu.be
The Lowest Cost Airline You Can Imagine | The Carol Burnett Show Clip
YouTube video by The Carol Burnett Show Official
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Jonas Nahm @jonasnahm.com · 02/09/2025
1/18 Is China's economy collapsing or dominating? Meg Rithmire's new piece in Current History argues it's doing both simultaneously—and that's the problem.
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
Manufacturing share of GDP also increased in the former (trade was industrialising) but declined in the latter (trade was deindustrialising). Empirical support for Matsuyama (1992) which strangely appears not to be cited...
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
An underrated reason for the persistence of cousin marriages: high fertility maintains a large supply of cousins. Could (help) explain why Pakistan’s first-cousin marriage rate is 50%!!! versus India and Bangladesh <10%.
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Robin Brooks @robin-j-brooks.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
Lessons from 3 years of Russia sanctions: (i) financial sanctions don't work on current account surplus countries; (ii) you need to hit exports, which the G7 cap does; (iii) enforcement of the G7 cap was terrible, which is mainly about poor EU governance... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/lessons-fr...
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Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Must See TV: PIIE’s Adam S. Posen on why Trump's tariffs won't achieve stated goals www.piie.com/newsroom/sho...
piie.com
Adam S. Posen on why Trump's tariffs won't achieve stated goals
Adam S. Posen said on CNN International with Jim Sciutto that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will show up as a loss of real income for businesses and consumers. He also explained how the global econ...
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Markets must become competitive. The market is a process. This is the core (pun very much intended) idea underlying the shortcut of supply and demand. www.economicforces.xyz/p/markets-mu...
economicforces.xyz
Markets must become competitive
Only through a process do markets become competitive
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
There are several recent papers which could fall under the heading ‘Economic History of the Scientific Revolution’ but this network analysis tracing how scientific ideas diffused amongst scholars in the period 1084-1793 is a real milestone, an ‘epidemiological’ model of how ideas spread like disease
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
This means that the concentration of undocumented immigrants (and legal immigrants likely to get deported anyway) magnifies the overall economic cost. Deport half a percent of the work force? Not good. Deport 50% of agricultural workers, which is the same number? Very, very bad 3/
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Adam Posen @adamposen.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Bottom line interview on the new economic geography with Monocle Radio program The Globalist. Our part runs from 12:00 to 19:00 minute marks. monocle.com/radio/shows/...
monocle.com
What’s next for peace in Ukraine and the new global economic order? - Monocle
Following talks in Washington, will world leaders be able to end the war in Ukraine? Plus: who profits in a...
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Adam Posen @adamposen.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
My article The New Economic Geography is out today in @foreignaffairs.com Please read! (Ungated link, suitable for sharing) shared.outlook.inky.com/link?domain=...
shared.outlook.inky.com
The New Economic Geography
Who profits in a post-American world?
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Rudi Bachmann @bachmannrudi.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
I love this article by @briancalbrecht.bsky.social in the Wall Street Journal (and not just because I am graciously mentioned by name). He provides a simple but powerful defense of Economics, of the supply and demand framework.
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David Perez-Reyna @davidperezreyna.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
Very nice blog entry by @BrianCAlbrecht Why do economists have "tariff derangement syndrome"? It's not politics—tariffs violate every principle of good taxation we've learned over the past century. 1/8
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Alexandra de Gendre @adegendre.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
@briancalbrecht.bsky.social strikes again with a brilliant newsletter on why tariffs are a terrible idea. Put in very simple terms. Read it! 👉🏽 www.economicforces.xyz/p/6-reasons-...
economicforces.xyz
6 reasons why tariffs are a terrible way to raise revenue
Some principles of taxation
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 08/08/2025
WATCH: @adamposen.bsky.social explained on CNN how Trump's tariffs—which are a tax—will show up as hits to real income for businesses & consumers, why tariffs won't "reindustrialize" the US, don't address foreign trade barriers, & more. www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7Gp...
youtube.com
Adam S. Posen on why Trump’s tariffs won’t achieve stated goals
YouTube video by Peterson Institute for International Economics
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Adam Posen @adamposen.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
New short video Adam S. Posen on why Trump's tariffs won't achieve stated goals @cnn.com @piie.com www.piie.com/newsroom/sho...
piie.com
Adam S. Posen on why Trump's tariffs won't achieve stated goals
Adam S. Posen said on CNN International with Jim Sciutto that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will show up as a loss of real income for businesses and consumers. He also explained how the global econ...
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Why do economists hate tariffs more than other taxes? Today's newsletter is 6 reasons why tariffs are a terrible way to raise revenue tl;dr they violate all the main results of how to raise revenue efficiently www.economicforces.xyz/p/6-reasons-...
economicforces.xyz
6 reasons why tariffs are a terrible way to raise revenue
Some principles of taxation
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Jason Furman @jasonfurman.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Belatedly sharing my FT piece, "Trump’s tariffs leave us in the second worst of all worlds" My argument: criticizing countries for making deals reflects the same misguided mercantilist logic that led Trump to his tariffs. And the US is still one of the bigger losers. on.ft.com/3IXyHFP
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
I happen to know that for import shares and tariff rates in this range the numbers would be similar, while explaining the calculation to lay readers, even very smart ones, would be impossible. Whereas I hope at least some people understood at least the intuition of what I actually did 4/
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Bobby Kogan @bbkogan.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
Here’s a graph from the Economist showing GDP data from official government sources versus private estimates. Free countries, like the US, don’t manipulate econ data. Less free countries do. Trump is seeking to break that for short-term PR. (Yes I know GDP is BEA and not BLS.)
free countries have gdp data line up well. partly free countries are only mediocre. not free countries are bad.
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
“Everyone exists in a quantum kayfabe superposition of mark and smart. People are good at seeing what’s in their selfish interest and doing it; and they’re very good at finding ways to justify why doing the thing they just did was actually a laudable moral act.” open.substack.com/pub/neoreali...
open.substack.com
The Epstein Story Wouldn't Have Gotten This Far Unless MAGA Was Ready to Cut Trump Loose
Dissecting the structure of most conspiracy theories seems to indicate that MAGA is willing to consider a post-Trump future. Is this another mirage, or does MAGA think it doesn't need him anymore?
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Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
In my latest blog post, I discuss the intuition behind the "bad control" problem, which unfortunately still appears to be quite common in econ papers. #EconSky deryugina.com/the-intuitio...
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Julia Davis @juliadavisnews.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Meanwhile in Russia: Andrey Fyodorov, former Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia, shocked the hosts by urging them not to lie about the number of Patriot systems allegedly destroyed by the Russian military in Ukraine. www.youtube.com/watch?v=DWwq...
youtube.com
Andrey Fyodorov urges the hosts to stop lying
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor
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Christopher Webb @cwebbonline.com · 28/06/2025
Spot on. This is the clearest explanation I’ve seen. It ‘s relatable, and humanizes the issue in a way everyone can understand.
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
Why Nations Fail may be a bad book but its economic history is not remotely as bad as chapters 9-14 of The WEIRDest People in the World. It makes other bad economic history whether by economists, historians, or other social scientists look good!
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Christopher Webb @cwebbonline.com · 24/06/2025
Brownshirt ICE rolled up to my local Home Depot today and got the F-off treatment. Shoutout to this woman because this is exactly how it’s done. No badge, face covered = F*ck all the way off. 📌 It’s on us citizens to stand up for our vulnerable brothers and sisters.
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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Study by Cook et al with 1M rideshare drivers finds a 7% gender earnings gap, which is fully explained by driver tastes and learning: •returns to experience •a pay premium for faster driving •preferences for where to drive buff.ly/5NbKXJ5 HT coauthor @johnlist.bsky.social
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Luis Garicano @lugaricano.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Today in SiliconContinent, Klaus Masuch and I explain carefully the redistribution of risks that are an inevitable consequence of modern monetary policy (QE etc.) and the huge transfers of wealth that have in fact taken place as a result. www.siliconcontinent.com/p/the-hidden...
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Alexandra de Gendre @adegendre.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Another excellent newsletter by @briancalbrecht.bsky.social on whether tariffs are likely to increase innovation, with lots of top references from empirical research (from @rjuhasz.bsky.social , David Autor, Nick Bloom, @johnvanreenen.bsky.social & others) 🔗 www.economicforces.xyz/p/will-tarif...
economicforces.xyz
Will tariffs spur innovation?
Research suggests not.
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John A. List @johnlist.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
My response: one must always take care because differences in preferences, beliefs, or constraints can cause gender pay gaps. Our recent paper shows this quite clearly ideas.repec.org/p/feb/natura...
ideas.repec.org
The Gender Earnings Gap in the Gig Economy: Evidence from ov
The growth of the "gig" economy generates worker flexibility that, some have speculated, will favor women. We explore one facet of the gig economy by examining labor supply choices and earni
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John A. List @johnlist.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
The deep value of field experiments lies in uncovering the reasons behind a phenomenon—not just observing what happens, but understanding why it happens. This is the reason for titling our book “The Why Axis.” www.amazon.com/Why-Axis-Und...
amazon.com
The Why Axis: Hidden Motives and the Undiscovered Economics of Everyday Life
The Why Axis: Hidden Motives and the Undiscovered Economics of Everyday Life [Gneezy, Uri, List, John, Levitt, Steven D.] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. The Why Axis: Hidden Motives and the Undiscovered Economics of Everyday Life
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Adam Posen @adamposen.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
New podcast on What Trump gets wrong about the global economy In discussion with @daniel.kurtz-phelan on the @Foreign.Affairs interview Starts with the latest China-US trade non-deal, through how Trumponomics might work out, to long term trends and AI. Whew. www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/wha...
foreignaffairs.com
What Trump Gets Wrong About the Global Economy
A Conversation With Adam Posen
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
X is still useful sometimes. Yesterday I learnt a 2003 Arrighi paper anticipated Rodrik's 'unconditional convergence in manufacturing' (w/o overall income convergence) to which Amsden replied (besides calling Arrighi a dependencista hack) by anticipating my own hobbyhorse (tertiary sector problems)
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
I do think the new Piketty paper is mostly nonsensical but as usual I pedantically disapprove of criticisms of the paper which are not my own, so I am also defending the paper against accusations that it’s old wine in a new bottle merely rehashing Samir Amin or Raul Prebisch 😂
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
In Piketty's paper, all politics, all power relations, take place between countries, but there is no politics, no power, no institutions within countries. Thus with a straight face they assume 100% of the extra revenue from higher commodity prices during 225 years is reinvested!
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
Final note on Piketty: Latin Americans have noted the non-citation of Latin American authors even though Piketty’s co-author is an Argentine; whilst Indians, who are usually so keen to find prominent mentions of India, have missed that Piketty draws heavily from the Indian colonial drain literature…
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
It should be noted, however, that Joe Francis has argued Williamson *understated* his own case.
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Piketty ignores the work of Jeffrey Williamson: the periphery's terms of trade *improved* in the 19th century -- something which would have been relevant to discuss in his paper (unlike Furtado or Amin or Wallerstein). Below from Williamson 2008
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Does Piketty not know that the periphery did experience a long-term terms of trade boom in the 19th century and that this drove the so-called deindustrialisation of the periphery and the empowerment of agrarian comprador elites?
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Ivan Werning @ivanwerning.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
🚨New paper with Veronica Guerrieri and Guido Lorenzoni Was the recent inflation surge due to a lack of coordination? Can lack of coordination lead to too much inflation? Yes, we show. Especially in response to global supply shocks. link to paper: economics.mit.edu/sites/defaul... 1/n🧵
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
The Nievas-Piketty unequal exchange paper is certainly better than Hickel's, but their counterfactual assertion of convergence between countries in 1800-2025 is based on these entirely political-economy-free assumptions
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Julia Davis @juliadavisnews.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Meanwhile in Russia: while the Kremlin's most prominent propagandists are always rooting for civil war in America, they are deeply disturbed by the Trump-Musk feud and want it to end ASAP. www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOSH...
youtube.com
Pundits worry the Trump-Musk feud might harm Russia
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor
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Kay Jebelli @kayjebelli.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
This turns the single market on its head, it's exactly what people like @lugaricano.bsky.social‬ have been talking about, when they say that the modern EC is failing at its raison d'être, where the economy is concerned. Enforcing a single market. www.siliconcontinent.com/p/the-myth-...
siliconcontinent.com
The myth of the single market
Why Europe’s internal barriers are higher than Trump's tariffs
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
"Leo Strauss, speaking in 1941 [on 'German Nihilism'], dismisses National Socialism as the 'lowest, most provincial, most unenlightened and most dishonorable form' of German nihilism. But 'its very vulgarity accounts for its great, if appalling, successes.'” www.persuasion.community/p/a-chilling...
persuasion.community
A Chilling Prediction by Leo Strauss
Today’s post-liberals hate liberalism but lack a coherent alternative.
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Julia Davis @juliadavisnews.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
Meanwhile in Russia: Vladimir Solovyov, head of RT Margarita Simonyan and their fellow propagandists did their best to cope with Ukraine's daring operation and used Tucker Carlson's clip to boost their morale, but their nerves still got the best of them. www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzYm...
youtube.com
Vladimir Solovyov and Margarita Simonyan react to Ukraine's daring operation
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor
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Luis Garicano @lugaricano.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
As long term rates increase, the problems that created the doom loop in Europe are unsolved. Why? Italy's politicians like to have a captive buyer of debt. And German politicians like to control €2.5 trillion through local Sparkassen. My post today: www.siliconcontinent.com/p/the-return...
siliconcontinent.com
The Return of the Doom Loop?
Higher yields expose Europe's unfinished banking union
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Take a charming stroll through Oslo with @jaynordlinger.bsky.social. open.substack.com/pub/jaynordl...
open.substack.com
Oslo Journal, Part I
Sights, sounds, and other things in Norway’s capital
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
Our task: To stop Trump from making the United States of America his ultimate bankruptcy, his ultimate failure.
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