Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 02/09/2026PIIE is (finally) on Instagram! Follow us petersoninstitute for videos, explainers, & more. 253
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 01/09/2026Urgent Must-Read from PIIE's Jed Kolko, ringing alarm bells over Trump administration's political meddling at the Census Bureau. www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comPolitical meddling at the Census Bureau damages the entire US statistical systemThis summer marks the worst period for US statistical integrity since President Donald Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics last August. Two different and seemingly uncoordinated eve... 012
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 24/08/2026Powerful piece from the amazing Sari Horwitz: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...theatlantic.comThe Gun Lobby’s Most Cynical Move YetNew data show how pro-gun groups target their political spending after fatal school shootings. 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 24/08/2026Latest must-read from PIIE's Cullen S. Hendrix: Weapons of brass destruction? Trump's tariffs target musical instruments as a national security threat www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comWeapons of brass destruction? Trump's tariffs target musical instruments as a national security threatAs school districts, parents, and students nationwide prepare for fall, music educators are wrangling with a sour note. On August 6, 2026, the US Commerce Department issued a request for comment this ... 012
Reposted by Nell HendersonMichael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 27/07/2026Warsh's decision to provide no interest rate guidance and scant insight into how he reacts to data has left economists in a place where they doubt a rate hike will happen Wednesday but they can't rule it out. I guess we'll see how durable it is to make policy this way. 1142
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 27/07/2026Latest must-read from PIIE's Michael Clemens! A new US rule to restrict student visas will hurt the US economy www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comA new US rule to restrict student visas will hurt the US economyThe Trump administration issued a final rule in July that gives it discretion to cut short the course of study of most international students at US universities. It will likely use this new power to b... 023
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 02/07/2026Latest important research from PIIE's Michael Clemens: Firms allowed to hire immigrant manual laborers expand to hire more Americans www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comFirms allowed to hire immigrant manual laborers expand to hire more AmericansThe US government has recently enacted the largest shift in immigration policy since 1924. As officials restrict unauthorized immigration, they face a stark choice: create offsetting lawful channels f... 032
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 01/07/2026America's been arguing over trade for more than 250 years www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comAmerica's been arguing over trade for more than 250 yearsAs the United States marks the 250th anniversary of declaring its independence from Britain, Americans continue a tradition begun even longer ago: debating trade and tariffs. In recent years, disagree... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 30/06/2026China's manufacturing export strength is curbing poorer countries' opportunities to industrialize www.piie.com/research/pii...piie.comChina's manufacturing export strength is curbing poorer countries' opportunities to industrializeChina's manufacturing trade surplus and export strength, particularly in low-skill-intensive sectors such as apparel, footwear, and leather is producing a "China Squeeze"—limiting the traditional path... 010
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 23/06/2026PIIE's Michael Clemens explains how the US government is driving away international students at a long-term economic cost www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comThe US is driving away international students at a long-term economic costFor generations, students from around the world have fueled universities in the United States, their top destination by far. Those students don't just sustain a $43 billion export industry in higher e... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 23/06/2026Latest must-read from PIIE's Michael Clemens --Class dismissed: The effect of international student exclusion on the US STEM workforce and economic growth (Spoiler alert: the effect is bad) www.piie.com/publications...piie.comClass dismissed: The effect of international student exclusion on the US STEM workforce and economic growthRestrictive US government policies since 2025 have reduced international student enrollment in US universities and made it harder for foreign graduates to work in the United States. This shift, if sus... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Latest Must Read from PIIE's Adnan Mazarei and Maurice Obstfeld: Taking geopolitically motivated US swap lines too far would harm the dollar and Fed independence www.piie.com/publications...piie.comTaking geopolitically motivated US swap lines too far would harm the dollar and Fed independenceOver the past century, the United States has provided dollar liquidity abroad through both the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve, but the appropriate mode of liquidity injection depends on the econo... 002
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 08/06/2026New from PIIE: Higher energy prices due to the Middle East war would slow economic growth globally, particularly in emerging markets www.piie.com/research/pii...piie.comHigher energy prices due to the Middle East war would slow economic growth globally, particularly in emerging marketsThis year's Middle East war has driven up energy prices, disrupting economic activity around the world. If these effects persist for a year, they will slow global growth, hurting emerging economies mo... 021
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 08/06/2026Important new findings from PIIE's Mary Lovely and Christine Wan: Details of US so-called reciprocal trade deals reveal they are built to constrain China's economically www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comUS reciprocal trade deals built to push America's trade partners away from ChinaWhen the Trump administration imposed so-called "reciprocal," country-specific tariff rates in April 2025, it made clear that the measures were intended not only to protect US industry but also as neg... 022
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 08/06/2026Latest must-read from PIIE's McKibbin, Noland! Global economic implications of the 2026 Middle East war: slower growth and higher inflation hitting emerging markets harder than advanced economies www.piie.com/publications...piie.comGlobal economic implications of the 2026 Middle East war 041
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 30/05/2026Congrats Chad Bown (PIIE) and Soumaya Keyenes (FT) on the great book review from Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman! paulkrugman.substack.com/p/how-to-win...paulkrugman.substack.comHow to Win a Trade WarTariffs and export controls and China shocks, oh my 010
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 18/05/2026The latest from Bown and Keynes: Trump and Xi Would Need Personality Transplants to Get This Deal Done www.nytimes.com/2026/05/17/o...nytimes.comOpinion | Trump and Xi Would Need Personality Transplants to Get This Deal Done 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 15/05/2026Must See TV! www.linkedin.com/posts/chad-b...linkedin.comTrump-Xi Summit: IS THE U.S. PRESIDENT EQUIPPED TO WIN THIS TRADE WAR? Thanks to Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz for the invitation to join Bloomberg News and for asking the key question. My answer... ...Trump-Xi Summit: IS THE U.S. PRESIDENT EQUIPPED TO WIN THIS TRADE WAR? Thanks to Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz for the invitation to join Bloomberg News and for asking the key question. My answer... 010
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 14/05/2026Latest must-read from PIIE's Jason Furman on Fed Chair Jay Powell: He Was Good at Steering the Fed, but He Was a Genius at Ignoring Trump’s Threats www.nytimes.com/2026/05/14/o...nytimes.comOpinion | He Was Good at Steering the Fed, but He Was a Genius at Ignoring Trump’s Threats 022
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 14/05/2026Boston Fed Prez Collins flags rate-hike scenario as inflation risks rise, per Timiraos www.wsj.com/economy/cent...wsj.comBoston Fed’s Collins Flags Rate-Hike Scenario as Inflation Risks Tilt HigherIn an interview, the Fed official said she is watching how households’ inflation expectations have drifted higher. 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 12/05/2026Hot off the presses, by PIIE's Maurice Obstfeld et al, "Steering Structural Change" mitpress.mit.edu/978026205191...mitpress.mit.eduSteering Structural ChangeSteering Structural Change explores looming transformations that both advanced and developing economies face as rising geopolitical tensions, accelerating cl... 001
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 12/05/2026PIIE'S Alan Wm. Wolff explains : Why do Trump's tariffs have such staying power? www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comWhy do Trump's tariffs have such staying power?Get used to President Donald Trump's comprehensive tariffs. Though the president's across-the-board tariffs imposed under his emergency powers were invalidated by the Supreme Court in February, the ne... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Nerd-Alert! News about former PIIE fellow Mark Carney: 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 13/04/2026More from PIIE's Maurice Obstfeld. See Chapt. 4, "Global Imbalances Redux" in CEPR's latest Paris Report 4: cepr.org/publications...piie.comDon't blame America's current account deficit on the dollarThe Trump administration and China's leaders generally differ on economic policy, but on one proposition some prominent members of their economic teams seem to agree: The dollar's status as the world'... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 13/04/2026Latest Must Read from PIIE's Maurice Obstfeld: Don't blame America's current account deficit on the dollar www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comDon't blame America's current account deficit on the dollarThe Trump administration and China's leaders generally differ on economic policy, but on one proposition some prominent members of their economic teams seem to agree: The dollar's status as the world'... 000
Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 03/04/20262025 was *a year* Our 2025 Annual Report is now live! Check out highlights from one of our busiest years ever:piie.comAnnual Report 2025Learn about PIIE's accomplishments in 2025 and information on funding. 043
Reposted by Nell HendersonChad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 02/04/2026The very awesome @aimewilliams.bsky.social joins the podcast this week to explain what has happened since Trump’s sweeping April 2, 2025 TARIFF announcement, including SURPRISES buried in the weeds of US import and export data, as well what comes next after that momentous SUPREME COURT decision. 065
Reposted by Nell HendersonTrade Talks Podcast @trade--talks.bsky.social · 01/04/2026Has it only been one year??? (Also, hi. Trade Talks is back)tradetalkspodcast.com208. It's been one year since Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffsAime Williams joins to help explain what has happened since President Trump’s sweeping April 2, 2025 tariff announcement. 23311
Reposted by Nell HendersonAnand Menon @anandmenon.bsky.social · 26/03/2026Buy one. If only out of pity. And check out @soumayakeynes.ft.com and her trade songs sometime too...... 121
Reposted by Nell HendersonChad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 30/12/2025🤓 BUCKET LIST 🤓 'HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR' (my forthcoming book with the amazing @soumayakeynes.ft.com) is part of a New Year's Day sale thingie! Barnes & Noble Premium & Rewards Members get 25% off pre-orders Dec 30-Jan 1 only #BNPreorder Instructions Here: www.barnesandnoble.com/w/how-to-win... 4195
Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 26/03/2026NOW: @kclausing.bsky.social is speaking at @whitehouse.senate.gov's Environment and Public Works Committee spotlight forum on the many ways climate change is contributing to the affordability crisis. Read her prepared remarks: www.piie.com/commentary/t... Watch here: www.youtube.com/live/oegvS1R... 031
Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 20/03/2026Petrochemical firm owners concentrate among corporations, geographically in China, the US, & Saudi Arabia—but ownership ≠ control. Chinese & other Asian investors exert significant control, while US investors have limited control from passive investments. Saudi Arabia fully controls its investments.piie.comWho controls the global petrochemical industry, and how might that change?Petrochemicals—used in everything from fertilizers, solar panels, clothing, and cosmetics to electric vehicles, electronics, and medicines—are integral to food security, manufacturing, and clean energ... 026
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Latest must-read from PIIE's Chad P. Bown: Negotiating a win-win end to the lose-lose US-China trade war over technology and critical minerals www.piie.com/publications...piie.comNegotiating a win-win end to the lose-lose US-China trade war over technology and critical mineralsThe United States and China put parts of the global economy at risk in 2025 through their trade war over critical minerals and technology. A series of escalatory tariffs and export restrictions led to... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 10/03/2026Latest from PIIE's Arvind Subramanian and co-authors: www.piie.com/publications...piie.comIndia's 20 years of GDP misestimation: New evidenceNew evidence suggests that India misestimated its annual economic growth rate during the past two decades. It appears that the Indian economy did not grow at a stable rate over the past two decades, a... 032
Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 10/03/2026Watch a discussion on this & more with @hamiltonproject.org & @budgetlab.bsky.social today at 1 PM ET here:piie.comAI + work: Understanding AI's impact on the labor marketMuch has been said about what artificial intelligence (AI) could mean for the labor market. An early wave of research gives us evidence and data to consider. 021
Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 10/03/2026NEW: Jed Kolko finds the evidence on how AI is affecting the labor market today is inconclusive, & claims about harmful impacts on particular groups of workers are premature.piie.comResearch on AI and the labor market is still in the first inningSince the widespread introduction of large language models (LLMs), there has been a wave of research and a deluge of predictions about what artificial intelligence (AI) will mean for the labor market,... 132
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 03/03/2026Trump's go-it-alone-approach on China trade hasn't worked says PIIE's Chad P. Brown, bringing the receipts. China has essentially stopped buying US exports www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comChina no longer buys US exports: Drawing the right lessons for the next Trump-Xi dealChina essentially stopped buying US exports in April 2025. President Donald Trump had started his second term by launching a new trade war that he headlined with steep new tariffs on China. When China... 153
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 23/02/2026Must see TV! www.piie.com/newsroom/sho...piie.comAdam S. Posen on IEEPA ruling, tariff revenue, refunds for importers, and moreAdam S. Posen (PIIE) joins CNN International to discuss the Supreme Court’s ruling on presidential authority to impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), other lega... 111
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 20/02/2026Breaking News Analysis from PIIE expert Alan Wm. Wolff: The Supreme Court's welcome ruling on Trump's tariffs www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comThe Supreme Court's welcome ruling on Trump's tariffsThe US Supreme Court has ruled against President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs imposed by claiming emergency powers under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). These included the ... 002
Reposted by Nell HendersonPeterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 06/02/2026AGENDA UPDATE: At 12:30 PM ET, @adamposen.bsky.social will present new inflation forecasts from his recent collaborative work with Peter Orszag: "The Risk of Higher US Inflation in 2026." Stream it live below.piie.comThe worst inflation outbreak in 40 years: Conference on distilling lessons from the COVID eraDuring the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation in the United States and many other countries surged to its highest level in more than 40 years, inflicting enormous pain on households and bu... 012
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 04/02/2026www.economist.com/finance-and-...economist.comAn audacious new book about a “precocious” countryThere is no such thing as “the” Indian growth model 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 29/01/2026Latest from PIIE's Karen Dynan and David Wilcox! The COVID era inflation surge: Causes, consequences, and policy lessons www.piie.com/publications...piie.comThe COVID era inflation surge: Causes, consequences, and policy lessonsThe COVID era inflation surge was shaped by an unusual confluence of shocks and policy responses. It nonetheless raises enduring questions about the interaction of demand, supply, expectations, and po... 001
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 28/01/2026www.facebook.com/share/r/19xr...facebook.comRedirecting... 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 27/01/2026Latest from PIIE's Mazarei and Auclair: The America First investment pledges: How are they structured and are they realistic? (Spoiler Alert: May be less than meets the eye) www.piie.com/publications...piie.comThe America First investment pledges: How are they structured and are they realistic?In pursuit of President Donald J. Trump’s “America First” agenda, the administration has engaged in high-level bilateral negotiations with allies and partners to encourage them to invest in US industr... 023
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Supreme Court Appears Poised to Reject Trump’s Attempt to Immediately Fire a Fed Governor www.nytimes.com/2026/01/21/u...nytimes.comSupreme Court Appears Poised to Reject Trump’s Attempt to Immediately Fire a Fed Governor 000
Reposted by Nell HendersonThe Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 21/01/2026Breaking news: The Post demanded in a court filing that federal law enforcement officials return electronic devices the government seized from a staff reporter’s home, writing that the search “ignores federal statutory safeguards for journalists.”washingtonpost.comWashington Post demands government return materials seized from reporterThe Post demanded in a court filing Wednesday that federal law enforcement officials return electronic devices the government seized from a staff reporter’s home. 711136
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Recommended reading:Important words of wisdom from Carney globalnews.ca/news/1162087...globalnews.caRead the full transcript of Carney’s speech to World Economic Forum - National | Globalnews.caPrime Minister Mark Carney gave a forceful speech in Davos, Switzerland, on the 'new world order' and how middle powers like Canada can benefit by working together. 000
Nell Henderson @nellhenderson.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Latest must-read from Orzag and Posen: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...piie.comThe risk of higher US inflation in 2026The consensus view among forecasters is that inflation will continue its gradual descent toward the Federal Reserve's 2 percent target through 2026. Similarly, market pricing suggests investors believ... 000