Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 4hin this essay referencing two different national capitals in the War of 1812, I 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 02/10/2026probably shift most of these one category to the left. I could see being too confident on Jackson though I somewhat doubt it. still think that if the polls are too D anywhere it will be OH/IA 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026reluctantly have to hand it to them for genuinely discriminating against Jews based solely on religion. the haters said they couldn't do it and we were wrong. honestly bad call from the haters 001
Reposted by Adanthar Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Oh, she might be going for Senate insteadaxios.comAOC test-runs a Senate bid in upstate New YorkShe says her goal is to "transform the state." 3150554
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 27/09/2026this website isn't full of nazis, but it will still need to be studied as a cautionary tale by future generations 000
Reposted by Adanthar Corey Atad @coreyatad.com · 22/09/2026“If you are staring at an example of social disorder or social inefficiency, and the left refuses to explain either why it has happened or how they will fix it, then the right gets to point at someone in the immediate area and say, ‘That’s who did it.’” crazy how much Mamdani speaks my language 5951601224
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026in a D+11 election on R+10 turf, candidate quality matters a lot in both directions, which is why the GOP nominating so many fantastic candidates and human beings like Paxton, Vivek, Darline, Marshall, Collins, etc. really helps them defending them all in a crisis 011
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026for the record, what it means is the marist poll plus a couple 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 22/09/2026claude, please explain to the nice texans what it means if Tarrant County is D+11 this year 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Alaska-Gov Safe D is a pretty hot take but I think likely D is extremely defensible; the difference is solely that Rs can swamp the state with money, one or two of the three of them could drop out, etc. If nothing changes the Dem will certainly win. Which makes Peltota 'likely' as well iyam 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 19/09/2026guy who would never vote for a Muslim, but thinks Abdul El-Sayed is Italian 010
Reposted by Adanthar Vandy, C.A. @cavandy.bsky.social · 19/09/2026there is no earthly way he has accepted the problem is of his own making not in a million years 3255
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 17/09/2026if Carney pulls off half of what he's trying, the Canadian passport will be the strongest one on earth for the entire next generation 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 15/09/2026ITT, a pro se is suing a company for...someone else (not the company) doing something. pro click 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 13/09/2026if there were a way to bet against Bo French winning *checks notes* Texas railroad commissioner (there currently isn't) I'd really have to check the odds. He may have out-Paxton'd this race with one tweet; this is likely a five figure swing against him specifically 100
Reposted by Adanthar Micah @rincewind.run · 13/09/2026you don’t have to have the conversation on their terms and in fact you shouldn’t have the conversation on their terms more democrats should follow this playbook instead of existing in a constant defensive crouch 314803994
Reposted by Adanthar G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 11/09/2026Getting kinda nuts tbh. I don’t think anyone is used to the type of tail outcomes you get when the national environment is +9, 10, 11 in either direction 1623913
Reposted by Adanthar William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 09/09/2026politics is not monocausal etc etc, but we def get a bit too clever by half trying to explain why people vote for right wing parties, especially in europe imo. 'they're against immigration so they vote for the most anti-immigrant party' explains a whole lot. 1872273
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 09/09/2026guy who is a massive biden truther who thinks joe would have won but hunter treasonably stabbed joe in the back by telling him to drop out too soon 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 28/08/2026I have some news re: what this guy and a bunch of other like him are currently doing about making the single most dangerous nation on earth stop murdering people 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 26/08/2026the only issue with this much of a gap between elected officials and primary voters in the past ten years is *checks notes* how much GOP primary voters love them some donald trump 000
Reposted by Adanthar eggnog slut @deus01.bsky.social · 23/08/2026What did everyone think tariffs meant when they voted for it 242509
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 22/08/2026Ossoff, Cooper: Solid D AES, Jackson: 80% D, whatever you want to call that Peltota: Lean D Talarico: Tossup --- 51 here Murkowski: Tossup lol Fetterman: Lean R lol Brown: Lean R Turek: Likely R 000
Reposted by Adanthar Brandon Friedman @brandonfriedman.bsky.social · 17/08/2026The reason the White House is so sensitive about Trump and his relationship with Natalie Harp is because, well . . . because it's a bit awkward 2173592956
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 19/08/2026I know less than nothing about the Florida Dem race because it’s a pointless waste of time and money even in a D+11 year, which is exactly why it’s good that a DSAer wins that primary; they can all go focus on it and then we get a test case for exactly how well that stuff works in an R+20 state 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 18/08/2026The reason Ossoff is such a heavyweight if he runs is less that he's really good, although he seems to be; it's that there are only 3-4 white guys with any rizz or hope in the field (none of Kelly/Pritzker/Shapiro have any) and there's a *giant* audience for a non-Newsom one of those. 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 13/08/2026never mind that she openly, blatantly lied to his face during each and every response, she was nice about it 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 12/08/2026the actual lesson to take from MI/WI is that old Woke 1 takes are electoral poison, but a candidate with enough rizz (AES) or in a complete safe space (Chevalier) can overcome them to win while a lousy one in a swing state (Hong) will get owned ffs just shut up about the crazy shit 130
Reposted by Adanthar Peter @notalawyer.bsky.social · 12/08/2026there’s an important lesson in Abdul El-Sayed’s win and Francesca Hong’s loss, and that is that in politics it’s good to be cool and bad to be weird. 682727176
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 12/08/2026zero mentions of the "holy shit what the fuck" part of this issue on Bluesky in the past 48 hours. this really is a dead void, and I like it that way 010
Reposted by Adanthar William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 17/06/2026one of the oldest running dialogues in history is "war is a massively complicated political, bureaucratic, and logistical endeavor" vs. "fuck you pussy, war is when you're a fucking badass, oh shit I lost" 334534988
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 06/08/2026there are a bunch of DSA recruits who are going to make Dem lives hell by being cringe idiots (Hong), grifter weirdoes (formerly Bush), or future Tulsis in training (Chevalier). AES? Has the juice and is a rising star as soon as he wins. DSA is a mixed bag, not a fifth column. 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 01/08/2026putting down a marker on this: -in the near term anti-semitism from both the far left and the groypers is going to reach a peak not seen since pre-WW2 -that will then dwindle with whatever new normal happens with I/P -but the other racisms parallel to that (anti-Muslim, anti-Hindu) won't 010
Reposted by Adanthar TED 🇺🇸 @epicureandealmaker.bsky.social · 01/08/2026Dear @mayor.nyc.gov – There are three ways you can screw up and lose popular support: 1) create a bad policy 2) implement policy poorly 3) administer policy poorly Your administration seems to have done two of these with the pied-a-terre tax, and you need to fix it fast. Let me explain: 1/n 162
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 25/07/2026it's gonna cost insane amounts of money and time to win those two back to back, but MI Dems are at least left/activist curious (Bernie 2016) while VA is the most politically hyper aware electorate in the country. very promising for every lib, horrible for people like Newsom 000
Reposted by Adanthar Matthew Downhour @matthewdownhour.bsky.social · 25/07/2026This, to me, is abundance thinking 1150369
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026with this calendar, the first four states winnow it down and then MI/VA, which will need nine figures to campaign in, pick the nominee. people are gonna bitch about the small fry but having R+2 and D+4 2024 midmarkets seal the deal is p much the best the Dems can do IMO 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026those are certainly words written by a man paid a lot of money to write them in a major American newspaper 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026Will Stancil, who posts a lot of cringe and also chased ICE around MN for months: "taking a sure 50k instead of a coinflip for 500k is a bad idea even if you're not rich" avg Bluesky reply guy: 010
Reposted by Adanthar insomniac @phillyinsomniac.bsky.social · 22/07/2026I've said before: we should bring back dialogues, so instead of carefully and defensively writing around any argument you could think of, you can just write a part where the argument gets made by someone named Uggo Dumbfuck and refute it directly. 743636
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 22/07/2026wonder if anybody involved with boomer news will cover this and have a brain doctor on? nah obviously not 020
Reposted by Adanthar Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 04/04/2025again, the Hanania thing is extremely funny and extremely telling because he's -a racist who thinks MAGA belongs at the bottom of the racial pyramid- that is a truly previously untapped grift that is going to *explode* in the next two years as MAGA decides kids yearn for the clothing sweatshops 001