Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 27/09/2026this website isn't full of nazis, but it will still need to be studied as a cautionary tale by future generations 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 22/09/2026claude, please explain to the nice texans what it means if Tarrant County is D+11 this year 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 19/09/2026guy who would never vote for a Muslim, but thinks Abdul El-Sayed is Italian 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 13/09/2026if there were a way to bet against Bo French winning *checks notes* Texas railroad commissioner (there currently isn't) I'd really have to check the odds. He may have out-Paxton'd this race with one tweet; this is likely a five figure swing against him specifically 100
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 28/08/2026I have some news re: what this guy and a bunch of other like him are currently doing about making the single most dangerous nation on earth stop murdering people 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 26/08/2026the only issue with this much of a gap between elected officials and primary voters in the past ten years is *checks notes* how much GOP primary voters love them some donald trump 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 01/08/2026putting down a marker on this: -in the near term anti-semitism from both the far left and the groypers is going to reach a peak not seen since pre-WW2 -that will then dwindle with whatever new normal happens with I/P -but the other racisms parallel to that (anti-Muslim, anti-Hindu) won't 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 25/07/2026it's gonna cost insane amounts of money and time to win those two back to back, but MI Dems are at least left/activist curious (Bernie 2016) while VA is the most politically hyper aware electorate in the country. very promising for every lib, horrible for people like Newsom 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026with this calendar, the first four states winnow it down and then MI/VA, which will need nine figures to campaign in, pick the nominee. people are gonna bitch about the small fry but having R+2 and D+4 2024 midmarkets seal the deal is p much the best the Dems can do IMO 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026those are certainly words written by a man paid a lot of money to write them in a major American newspaper 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026Will Stancil, who posts a lot of cringe and also chased ICE around MN for months: "taking a sure 50k instead of a coinflip for 500k is a bad idea even if you're not rich" avg Bluesky reply guy: 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 22/07/2026wonder if anybody involved with boomer news will cover this and have a brain doctor on? nah obviously not 020
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 29/06/2026I think Platner wins by well over 2 points in a blue wave that breaks against old incumbents in particular I also think (many of) the Dems still have -no fucking idea- that their coalition doesn't include the (white) working class anymore. Like, at all 120
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 25/06/2026"is there any circumstance under which you'd vote far right?" "I mean, you'd have to come up with a real life trolley problem" 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 17/06/2026This one is not an 'I come from the future' moment, but Burnham, who's uniting a bunch of anti-Starmers in addition to his own voters, does not lose it in 1 in 7 universes 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 10/06/2026if you mix this with a dash of white guy confidence you will be unstoppable no matter what you do 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 06/06/2026matt stoller represents a future vote for Hawley for president and six fell for it again awards 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 14/05/2026FYI I come from the future and Spencer Pratt did not become the next mayor of Los Angeles, California in 2026 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 10/05/2026"the DNC" is apparently cenk and briebrie now I think 2320
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 30/04/2026hindsight is 20/20, but the 2018 chart is an abomination while this one is the best class the Dems have put up in aeons 110
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 14/04/2026typical CA post on my twitter TL, one of dozens: was voting for one of the worst people in the race now wants to vote for the other one who won't break 10% but *really* wants to vote for some other ones that won't break 5% California won't get two republicans but almost deserves to atp 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 13/04/2026My priors going into 2025 was that Dems would sweep everything in the midterms in a massive backlash, but the rage would overpower common sense and similar to the original Tea Party we'd get a lot of grifters into office along the way actually doing > expectation on that front (but lol Platner) 120
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 13/04/2026as a non-Christian, I feel like everybody who believes in an antichrist should probably pick a side on this one 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/03/2026he's going to win GA Sen by a bigger margin than anyone thinks having fundraised the best of everyone in the lineup, he's on the AIPAC shit list while Jewish, and he's the guy who came up with "Epstein class" as a tag if he runs he has *enormous* equity 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 23/03/2026congratulations to any OSINT websites previously not busy enough for some reason 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 24/02/2026it was at this exact moment I started buying "scotus retirement this year" shares 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 05/02/2026this is a cool R internal poll made by Cornyn supporters to try to derail Paxton, so it's not that useful for raw numbers the usefulness is that you get a sense of what "best vs worst possible candidate" looks like in a midterm, and yes, it's probably in that +10 point range vs its opposite 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 26/01/2026and now for a palate cleanser / honestly the most inspiring piece of journalism I've seen in a while from the racism site 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 06/01/2026if I were a betting man I would bet that this is probably one underdiscussed answer to why a lot of things are fucked right now that will be a middle school science lab experiment (like what happens when you put some meat into soda, but plastics and a fake brain) in a couple of centuries 010
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 03/01/2026can't wait to see how "possession of machineguns" works as a criminal count against a foreign head of state 031
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 31/12/2025not mine, but seems reasonable. pretty sure at least one bingo will be had 130
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 12/12/2025this is a pretty epic trump-proofing before JPow departs, ngl 000
Adanthar @adanthar.bsky.social · 05/12/2025look, I think prediction markets are awesome when we're betting on things where the outcome is important for society to know in advance this though? this can fuck off 120
