Sign in

Aaron Gullickson

@aarongullickson.bsky.social
974 followers 882 following 212 posts

Sociologist/Demographer; studies racial classification and identification; lazy Bayesian, R enthusiast, git evangelist, poisson stan.

PostsRepliesMedia
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
🚨 New article alert! My article about trends in interracial marriage in the United States is now published in Socius. (1/6) tinyurl.com/ycxrdnas
tinyurl.com
Trends and Heterogeneity in Interracial Marriage in the United States, 1960 to 2023 - Aaron Gullickson, 2026
Although scholars recognize that interracial marriage in the United States has grown exponentially since the 1960s, our understanding of this trend for specific...
185
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Dan Garisto @dangaristo.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Finally, this has gone a bit under the radar, so I want to highlight it: The social, behavioral and economic sciences directorate (SBE) has simply ceased to deliver grants to many of its subareas. Any topic not specifically OK'd by the Trump administration is receiving zero new awards.
All of the NSF’s directorates are awarding fewer new grants, but the hardest hit is the social, behavioural and economic sciences (SBE) directorate, which the White House proposed eliminating in its 2027 budget request to Congress. SBE has so far awarded 84 new grants this year, about 11% of its average, mainly in areas of artificial intelligence, cognitive neuroscience and decision-making. Much of its portfolio, such as sociology, archaeology, political science, economics and geography, has received zero new awards. “I don’t think they’ve realized yet that there’s no awards,” one NSF staff member says of researchers in those fields. “That’s going to be clear soon.”
6422226
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
New paper alert! Vital stats only capture individual births, not people’s reproductive career. For that, demographers use surveys that collect full fertility histories. But these fertility histories are less helpful if people don’t fully report all their births or report info inaccurately. 1/
13516
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
If you use #Typst and want to create beautiful slide shows, using a simple interface, check out my new Mosaic package! The website hosts tons of tutorials and examples. Please let me if you try, find bugs, or have feature requests. I'm very eager to improve Mosaic!
2616
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Alan Rozenshtein @alanrozenshtein.com · 08/08/2026
www.nytimes.com/2026/08/08/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | A Lot of the Attacks on Higher Ed Are Unfair. Not This One. (Gift Article)
By protecting a star from plagiarism charges, a storied college undermined its values.
162
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Hadas Weiss @hadas.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
type of guy you meet in grad school
131057
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Guy Abel @guyabel.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
🚨Out today in @nature.com our new paper uses deep learning to map four decades of global human migration. By building the first comprehensive, four-decade dataset of annual flows (1990-2023), we reveal that global migration has nearly tripled since 2000. 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
14518
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 12/06/2026
I recently had to make a static photo gallery with #QuartoPub and used PhotoSwipe (which is neat!) so I decided to plugin-ize it to make it easier to use elsewhere, so behold, quarto-static-photo-gallery! andrewheiss.github.io/quarto-stati...
Example masonry layout of imagesMasonry layout controlled by shortcode optionsGrid layout where all the images are squaresZoomed in image of Al-Aqsa in Jerusalem, with metadata (including EXIF data!) in the caption below
4385
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Chelsea Parlett @chelseaparlett.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
90% of my stats advice in a nutshell: - don’t do it - use a simpler model - stratify - it’s about 10%
914317
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Journal of Stratification Economics @jsecon.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
JSE's Inaugural Issue- Call for Papers 📢jse.scholasticahq.com
jse.scholasticahq.com
Journal of Stratification Economics
JSE is dedicated to advancing the understanding of group-based inequality with an emphasis on the fields of economics and sociology.
085
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 09/06/2026
Ugh. Not good reporting about unrefereed preprints. Sabrina Tavernese at NYT says two studies were "published," one of which was "published in the National Bureau of Economic Research" (not a journal) the other is on SSRN (not identified).
nytimes.com
Why Are Birthrates Down? Two New Studies Point to Phones.
48513
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Dan Rodriguez-Garcia @danrodriguezgarcia.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
New publication alert! 💥 "Intermarriage and multiethnicity among Spanish Roma: Transgressing problematised interethnic divisions" www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edi... #Roma #Gitanos #Spain #Ethnicidentity #Culturalminorities #Diversity #Intermarriage #Mixing #SocialResearch
taylorfrancis.com
Intermarriage and multiethnicity among Spanish Roma | 7 | Transgressin
Research on intermarriage and multiethnicity has mostly focused on foreign-born immigrants or non-nationals. Much less attention has been given to national
031
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
My uni is expecting me to read 117 names in 6-8 minutes for commencement. Reasonable? Doable? Ethical? Why am I even here?
130
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Jenny Bryan @jennybryan.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
I have to update one of the most inflammatory things I said back on the bird site, but for the LLM era: 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥 If your agent prefaces every tool call with `cd /the/current/workspace &&`, I will come set your data center on fire 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥
2610012
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Michael S. Pollard @sociologian.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
I'm happy to share a new article: "“Population, Power, and Security: Demographic Pressures Shaping U.S.-China Strategic Competition.” 1/3 www.yalejournal.org/publications...
yalejournal.org
Population, Power, and Security: Demographic Pressures Shaping U.S.-China Strategic Competition — Yale Journal of International Affairs
By Tahina Montoya, Kelly Atkinson, Kelly Piazza, Michael Pollard Introduction U.S.-China relations reflect an enduring strategic rivalry, with both sides viewing the other as a principal challe...
192
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 12/05/2026
This proposes a peer review credit system. I like it. But review credits must not only be generated by journals. To break the journal monopoly on peer review, other venues - such as journal-agnostic review, and post-publication review - should also draw from the pool. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
2146
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Achievement unlocked.
051
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Newish publication alert! Jen Bratter and I look at who multiracial individuals marry. Multiracial individuals defy simple understandings of endogamy and exogamy. For example, if a person identified as White and Black marries a White person, is that endogamy or exogamy? (1/6)
220
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
New collider bias example just dropped
INSTITUTE FOR PERFORMANCE NEUROLOGY: Among elite young chess players, the kids with lower IQs were the stronger players. Chess is considered one of the most "intellectual" games in the world. But IQ didn't predict who was good at it. Swipe to see the research.
812918
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Crystal Lewis @cghlewis.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
I'm on year 3 of saying I'll make this content into an open access book. 🫠 #rstats #datamanagement cghlewis.github.io/ncme-data-cl...
cghlewis.github.io
Data Cleaning for Data Sharing Using R
1597
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Katherine Jonas PhD LP @kgjonas.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
The only good radar plot is a deleted radar plot. 🧪 #dataviz
Man sits at a table, drinking from a mug. A sign in front of the table says "change my mind: there is no good use for a radar plot"
12509
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 22/04/2026
Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026
Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model...
11366131
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Ian Carrillo @iansociologo.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
The conservative justices on the Supreme Court arguing that you can separate race and partisanship got me thinking about these maps. starkeycomics.com/2021/06/11/h...
How a coastline 100 million years ago influences modern election results in Alabama.
11535223
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Nate Breznau @breznaunate.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Excited for my talk today at Cornell University on reproducibility in the soc & behavior sciences, results from SCORE w/ a focus on sociology. In case you can't make it, I made a pre-recorded video youtu.be/kMwOwZaYYtE @briannosek.bsky.social @weedenkim.bsky.social #openscience #reproducibility
youtu.be
Investigating reproducibility of social & behavior sciences + implications 4 sociology. Cornell Talk
YouTube video by Nate Breznau
0268
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
I am so excited to be teaching this one day workshop on git and GitHub. Integrating git version control has been incredibly transformative for my own research workflow and I love sharing what I have learned with others. Come join us!
010
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
In “Blurring the Marriage Market? Contemporary Patterns of Multiracial Marriage,” @aarongullickson.bsky.social & J. Bratter find that “shared Black ancestry is the most predictive of union formation” and shared Indigenous ancestry the least. @uoregon.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
032
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Carlos Scheidegger @cscheid.net · 06/04/2026
And another Quarto announcement; I've alluded to it before, but we're making it "official". We've started work on Quarto 2. The blog post has an overview: quarto.org/docs/blog/po... We'll share more in future blog posts, but here's what you can expect from the Quarto 2 dev effort: (1/)
quarto.org
What’s next: Quarto 2 – Quarto
We’ve started working on quarto-dev/q2, a full rewrite of Quarto in Rust.
1019254
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 28/03/2026
Me in the Chronicle on the sociology crisis in Florida (from 2024, still true!):
chronicle.com
Opinion | How Sociology Can Save Itself
The recent political attacks in Florida represent a threat to the discipline — but also an opportunity.
463
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Statistical Horizons @stathorizons.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Data analysts: want to improve your research/coding workflow & simplify research collaboration using git? Join "Using Version Control for Data Analysis through GitHub" w/ @aarongullickson.bsky.social April 22. Topics include: basic #git workflow, collaborating w/ others, & dealing w/ complications.
statisticalhorizons.com
Version Control with GitHub | Online Training | Statistical Horizons
Live online course on version control with GitHub. Learn Git, GitHub Desktop, branching, pull requests & collaboration workflows for data analysis.
011
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Crystal Lewis @cghlewis.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
One example of how to structure and organize files when publicly sharing data in a repository. 👇 osf.io/59gte/overview
0163
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Riley Acton @riacton.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
"Tenure-track faculty have not received salary increases in real dollars for the past decade." 😬 And then we wonder why we get headlines like this... www.chronicle.com/article/when...
Graphic with headline text “When Faculty Stop Showing Up” by David DeMatthews. Below, an illustration shows a blank white silhouette of a person standing between tall library bookshelves, symbolizing faculty absence or disengagement. Caption reads: “Faculty disengagement is reshaping campus life, one closed door at a time.”
1124
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
"Even when results are ultimately reproducible, they require substantial effort: instead of being ‘push-button’ reproducible, analyses often require sifting through authors’ code, reorganizing files, deciphering opaque datasets and fixing coding errors."
012
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 07/03/2026
I ran a simple model with new public data then used 1 prompt to make ChatGPT guess what the model would produce. With 10 seconds of "thinking," it was very close. The implications of this are catastrophic. The American Sociological Association should do something about this but it doesn't care to /1
69134
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Omar Khan @omaromalleykhan.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
I know statistics are poorly understood and are misused. But facts matter Between the 1991, 2001, 2011 and 2021 Census *every* ethnic group in the UK has become *less* geographically segregated and *all* groups, majority and minorities, are more likely to interact with people not like them
351888647
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Ian Carrillo @iansociologo.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
The Oklahoma City Declaration, a defense of a pluralistic society. Signed by over 40 Republican, Democratic, and Independent mayors. Led by OKC Mayor David Holt, a Republican in a red state. www.usmayors.org/2025/09/26/a...
usmayors.org
At Site of Oklahoma City Bombing, Bipartisan Mayors Sign Declaration Against Political Violence
“Oklahoma City Declaration” is signed by dozens of mayors at site of deadliest domestic terror attack in U.S. history, reaffirms commitment to American values of pluralism, compromise, truth and civil...
3179
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
Feeling mixed up on this unusual day. Normally, I am all in for #RCTID, but also My Oh My, My City, My Life. Go Mariners!
000
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 04/10/2025
"Among articles stating that data was available upon request, only 17% shared data upon request." (Or: you keep saying these words. I do not think they mean what you think they mean)
35823
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
Don't worry about PDX guys, we got this.
031
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
The right is better at cancel culture than the left, which should not be surprising. Its an authoritarian tool that is much more their natural environment, which is another way to say I remember the 1980s.
000
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Michael A. Stackpole 🇺🇦 @michaelastackpole.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
This reminds me of an incident during the Great Satanic Panic. Indulge me in a thread, if you will. 🧵 The phone rang. Landline back in those days, early 90s. The caller identifies herself as a reporter with a local TV station. Someone found a goat's head in a dumpster, therefore SATANISTS...
14715
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
I used to roll my eyes at the idea of cultural appropriation, but then Kash Patel said "I will see you in Valhalla, brother" and now I understand
010
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
All the academics on here getting riled up at a milquetoast Ezra Klein op-ed is reminding me of the good old days when we used to all get collectively upset at a David Brooks piece. Bring those times back.
010
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Ezra Klein @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Charlie Kirk Was Practicing Politics the Right Way www.nytimes.com/2025/09/11/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Charlie Kirk Was Practicing Politics the Right Way
348221046
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Patrick Wyman @patrickwyman.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
There's no hatred like hating your neighbor, and while some people might not want to hear it, an America in which neighbors feel it's ok to do violence to one another based on enmity is in fact worse than what we're living in right now. It's worse, full stop.
1230121
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 @gtconway.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
1350206496666
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Tatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
What students think working with data looks like. #EconSky
3428
Reposted by Aaron Gullickson
Arnout van de Rijt @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
As some of you guessed, the two models are statistically indistinguishable. The answer is Model 1, but there was no way to tell from the data. I was very surprised when I first saw this. Here we show that this confounding of heterogeneity and reinforcement is general: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Reinforcement generates systematic differences without heterogeneity | PNAS
Inequality in outcomes may emerge through a reinforcement process in which stochastic variation in values is determined by prior values but may als...
01111
Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
I have heard this claim a couple of places now and it is idiotic. Do you really think Iran was somehow unaware of the value of nuclear deterrence until this attack? Somehow, Iran missed a fact that has been known since the beginning of the Cold War? They were just enriching uranium for kicks?
000