iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Isaac (proud small hat wearer) Gantwerk Mayer @isaacgantwerkmayer.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

If you want to know why Jews are suspicious of you when you're just trying to be a well-meaning antizionist gentile, consider that these two things were written by the same man, Guangtian Ha, a (currently suspended) religion professor at Haverford

a passage from an article by guangtian ha that reads:

We make this call amidst growing concern about antisemitism on our campus. Questions have arisen in the context of a number of specific situations, including external influences from Lower Merion, from donors, and from some alumni who are hell-bent on defining the " ways to be Jewish. This, of course, flies in the face of thousands of years of Jewish tradition which is fundamentally based on interrogation, questioning, and truth-seeking. We take these attacks on our anti-Zionist Jewish community members seriously and we understand the real damage the state of Israel causes for the entire Jewish world when it claims to be acting on behalf of all Jews while engaging in horrific atrocities that - truth be told- mirror some of the worst stereotypes of Jews that have been a part of European racism for centuries. We will be clear: antisemitism should be unacceptable at Haverford, but the energy and consideration which some in our administration have granted these bad faith actors suggests otherwise.

a passage from a court document about guangtian ha that reads:

In or about January 2026, through in or about February 2026, defendant GUANGTIAN HA, using X account "America IstLM" posted a series of threatening and harassing messages directed at Victim 1, including the following:
a. "Jew, get the fuck out of my country"
b. "Jew pig, get the fuck out of Lower Merion"
c. "If jews are so special then they should also be placed in special camps and receive special treatments"
d. "LM jews are going to have it big time, jew. Remember this. You scums have had it too easy. Goyim are taking America back, blood-guzzling demons."

2638793

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Socius: Sociological Research for a Dynamic World @sociusjournal.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Interracial Marriage Trends Over Time @aarongullickson.bsky.social's new #Socius article conducts a systematic examination of #interracialmarriage trends using ACS data from 1960-2023, noting how pre-existing norms are challenged, transformed, and reinterpreted. Read: doi.org/10.1177/2378...

011

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

On the other hand, the trend for marriages involving Asian and American Indian partners has flatlined since the 1990s. I also include additional analyses of large multiracial groups, panethnic subgroups, cohabitation, and same sex marriage. (5/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

The frequency of interracial marriage rose exponentially over the time period for many racial combinations. This exponential increase is most notable for marriages involving black partners, which started with the lowest likelihood. (4/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I analyze "pairwise" frequency between these major racial groups (e.g Black/White and Black/Asian), allowing me to examine both majority-minority and dual-minority pairings. Log-linear models allow me to adjust for local racial composition. (3/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Surprisingly, our understanding of these trends is quite piecemeal and incomplete. This article aims to correct that by measuring trends across all major racial groups from 1960 to 2023. The overall story is one of heterogeneity. (2/6)

110

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Dan Garisto @dangaristo.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

Finally, this has gone a bit under the radar, so I want to highlight it: The social, behavioral and economic sciences directorate (SBE) has simply ceased to deliver grants to many of its subareas. Any topic not specifically OK'd by the Trump administration is receiving zero new awards.

All of the NSF’s directorates are awarding fewer new grants, but the hardest hit is the social, behavioural and economic sciences (SBE) directorate, which the White House proposed eliminating in its 2027 budget request to Congress. SBE has so far awarded 84 new grants this year, about 11% of its average, mainly in areas of artificial intelligence, cognitive neuroscience and decision-making. Much of its portfolio, such as sociology, archaeology, political science, economics and geography, has received zero new awards. “I don’t think they’ve realized yet that there’s no awards,” one NSF staff member says of researchers in those fields. “That’s going to be clear soon.”

6423226

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

New paper alert! Vital stats only capture individual births, not people’s reproductive career. For that, demographers use surveys that collect full fertility histories. But these fertility histories are less helpful if people don’t fully report all their births or report info inaccurately. 1/

13516

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

If you use #Typst and want to create beautiful slide shows, using a simple interface, check out my new Mosaic package! The website hosts tons of tutorials and examples. Please let me if you try, find bugs, or have feature requests. I'm very eager to improve Mosaic!

2616

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Can't find a CV online, but according to wikipedia, his degree is in education as well.

170

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Hadas Weiss @hadas.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

type of guy you meet in grad school

131057

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Guy Abel @guyabel.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

🚨Out today in @nature.com our new paper uses deep learning to map four decades of global human migration. By building the first comprehensive, four-decade dataset of annual flows (1990-2023), we reveal that global migration has nearly tripled since 2000. 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

14518

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 12/06/2026

I recently had to make a static photo gallery with #QuartoPub and used PhotoSwipe (which is neat!) so I decided to plugin-ize it to make it easier to use elsewhere, so behold, quarto-static-photo-gallery! andrewheiss.github.io/quarto-stati...

Masonry layout controlled by shortcode options

Grid layout where all the images are squares

Zoomed in image of Al-Aqsa in Jerusalem, with metadata (including EXIF data!) in the caption below

4385

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Chelsea Parlett @chelseaparlett.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

90% of my stats advice in a nutshell: - don’t do it - use a simpler model - stratify - it’s about 10%

914317

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

It takes one second to just say "alligator"!

010

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

But is the **second** demographic transition, Phil!

010

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 09/06/2026

Ugh. Not good reporting about unrefereed preprints. Sabrina Tavernese at NYT says two studies were "published," one of which was "published in the National Bureau of Economic Research" (not a journal) the other is on SSRN (not identified).

nytimes.com

Why Are Birthrates Down? Two New Studies Point to Phones.

48513

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

My uni is expecting me to read 117 names in 6-8 minutes for commencement. Reasonable? Doable? Ethical? Why am I even here?

130

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

Hard disagree. Nothing annoys me more about causal modeling than the myopic claim that research should enable "decision making." I think there are vast realms of academic inquiry that are not about decision making. And most academics should never ever be in charge of decision making!

130

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 31/05/2026

While I don't care for the actual proposal, what was proposed is not even close to the much more provocative claim at the top. Desk rejecting was under scrutiny as a source of implicit bias in many fields. The proposal is responding (wrongly, imo) to that issue.

000

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Jenny Bryan @jennybryan.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

I have to update one of the most inflammatory things I said back on the bird site, but for the LLM era: 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥 If your agent prefaces every tool call with `cd /the/current/workspace &&`, I will come set your data center on fire 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥

2610112

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 12/05/2026

This proposes a peer review credit system. I like it. But review credits must not only be generated by journals. To break the journal monopoly on peer review, other venues - such as journal-agnostic review, and post-publication review - should also draw from the pool. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

2146

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

Overall, our results indicate that while multiracial identity complicates racial boundaries, it does not defy them. Race still strongly shapes the partner selection of multiracial individuals. (6/6)

010

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

We find no evidence that multiracial individuals prefer other multiracial individuals without specific overlap in their racial identification. Neither do we find evidence that multiracial individuals are more likely to marry without regard to race. (5/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

We also find that the patterns of partial endogamy correspond to historic regimes of classification such as the one-drop rule. For example, White-Black individuals are more likely to have Black partners than White partners. (4/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

However, although multiracial individuals might prefer to find a partner that matches exactly, the small size of multiracial populations means that such matches are less common in actual practice than those involving partial endogamy. (3/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

We distinguish cases of "exact endogamy" (eg. White-Black/White-Black) from "partial endogamy" (eg. White-Black/White or White-Black/Black). We find high levels of exact endogamy and evidence of substantial partial endogamy. (2/6)

110

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

Newish publication alert! Jen Bratter and I look at who multiracial individuals marry. Multiracial individuals defy simple understandings of endogamy and exogamy. For example, if a person identified as White and Black marries a White person, is that endogamy or exogamy? (1/6)

220

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

New collider bias example just dropped

INSTITUTE FOR PERFORMANCE NEUROLOGY: Among elite young chess players, the kids with lower IQs were the stronger players. Chess is considered one of the most "intellectual" games in the world. But IQ didn't predict who was good at it. Swipe to see the research.

812918

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

I actually really enjoy strolling through the posters at PAA. With you on roundtables though.

100

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Crystal Lewis @cghlewis.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

I'm on year 3 of saying I'll make this content into an open access book. 🫠 #rstats #datamanagement cghlewis.github.io/ncme-data-cl...

cghlewis.github.io

Data Cleaning for Data Sharing Using R

1597

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Katherine Jonas PhD LP @kgjonas.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

The only good radar plot is a deleted radar plot. 🧪 #dataviz

Man sits at a table, drinking from a mug. A sign in front of the table says "change my mind: there is no good use for a radar plot"

12509

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

Related to this, I wonder if you have seen this article that just came out in Demography which argues that Ryder basically waved his hand as the APC "problem" doi.org/10.1215/0070...

doi.org

Ryder's Lost Legacy? A Research Note on Cohort Analysis in Social Research | Demography | Duke University Press

110

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Ian Carrillo @iansociologo.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

The conservative justices on the Supreme Court arguing that you can separate race and partisanship got me thinking about these maps. starkeycomics.com/2021/06/11/h...

How a coastline 100 million years ago influences modern election results in Alabama.

11534222

Reposted by Aaron Gullickson

Nate Breznau @breznaunate.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

Excited for my talk today at Cornell University on reproducibility in the soc & behavior sciences, results from SCORE w/ a focus on sociology. In case you can't make it, I made a pre-recorded video youtu.be/kMwOwZaYYtE @briannosek.bsky.social @weedenkim.bsky.social #openscience #reproducibility

youtu.be

Investigating reproducibility of social & behavior sciences + implications 4 sociology. Cornell Talk

YouTube video by Nate Breznau

0268

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

In my experience, Demography has been pretty reasonable, not fast, but not outlandish slow. My experience at DR was a quick review and fast publication - I can't remember if they sent back out R&Rs.

030

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Except wasn't the entire thing based on an ecological fallacy of blue state, red state? As Andrew Gelman showed, its Connecticut that needs to be explained not Kansas.

100

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

I am so excited to be teaching this one day workshop on git and GitHub. Integrating git version control has been incredibly transformative for my own research workflow and I love sharing what I have learned with others. Come join us!

010

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

Fair, but I am more honestly concerned with the reproducibility issues which is an area that ASA ought to be able to address given its portfolio of journals.

120

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

This will go great with my comic-sans slide theme!

010

Aaron Gullickson @aarongullickson.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

An odd and unfortunate coalition between the activist wing of the organization and professional bureaucrats interested only in organizational $$ that feeds itself in a loop. The $$ funds all of the overextended bloat of the organization. Prof-oriented people leave, and so activist wing dominates.

030