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Peterson Institute for International Economics

@piie.com
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The Peterson Institute for International Economics is a nonpartisan, independent research institution devoted to studying international economic policy. Explore our research: piie.com

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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 6h
Watch the launch event live now: www.piie.com/events/2026/...
piie.com
Geneva Report launch: Changing Structure and Challenges of the International Financial System
The global financial system is undergoing significant structural change, raising new questions about global imbalances, the future role of the dollar, and the stability of international financial mark...
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Asia Society New York @newyork.asiasociety.org · 28/09/2026
Wednesday at 9 AM, @rhg.com’s Daniel Rosen and @piie.com's Nicholas Lardy discuss and debate the future of China’s consumption. With Lizzi C. Lee. asiasociety.org/policy-insti...
asiasociety.org
Does China Really Need to Consume More? A Debate with Nicholas Lardy and Daniel Rosen
Join us for a debate on the future of China’s economic growth and whether greater household consumption is essential to sustainable rebalancing.
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 28/09/2026
We have once again updated our Trade War Timeline:
piie.com
Trump's trade war timeline 2.0: An up-to-date guide
President Donald Trump started his second term in office with momentous plans to change US trade policy to achieve various economic and nontrade related aims. This timeline tracks the development of t...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 28/09/2026
Alan Wolff was the Nixon administration’s lead international trade lawyer & drafted what eventually became Section 301 of the 1974 Trade Act. “I have a long history with it. And it’s being misused.” Read the interview with Section 301's author:
cnn.com
Author of America’s tariff statute: Trump’s tariffs are illegal | CNN Business
Ambassador Alan Wolff says President Donald Trump’s novel implementation of America’s tariff law is illegal and runs counter to how Congress intended the presidential power to be used.
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 28/09/2026
Mexico's Sheinbaum has been in power for 2 years. The economy has preserved macroeconomic stability while growing very little, the labor share of income has continued to improve, & there has been an intentional weakening of key institutions, Alejandro Werner writes.
piie.com
After two years, where is Mexico heading under President Sheinbaum?
President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico is about to complete the first two years of her six-year term. She has just sent her third budget to Congress, and midterm elections are a year away. The picture ...
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 25/09/2026
How far have US supply chains decoupled from China? @chadpbown.com joins Tim Phillips on #VoxTalks this week to examine US imports product by product, and why responses to the 2025 tariffs differed across consumer electronics, clothing and footwear. 🎧 Listen now: ow.ly/Usco50ZRvCI #EconSky #Trade
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 25/09/2026
Happening now! Watch:
piie.com
Book discussion: Messy Jobs: The Work that AI Cannot Reach
As artificial intelligence (AI) transforms the workplace, which jobs will remain valuable—and what makes them resistant to automation? Economist Luis Garicano, coauthor of Messy Jobs: The Work that AI...
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Centre for Economic Policy Research @cepr.org · 25/09/2026
Join CEPR and @piie.com for the launch of the 29th Geneva Report. 30 September from 9:00 AM to 10:00 AM EDT The report authors, Valentina Bruno, Steven B. Kamin, Cédric Tille, and Ángel Ubide, in conversation with moderator Caroline Atkinson. Register to join online: cepr.org/events/genev...
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Anna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Looking forward to discussing @lugaricano.bsky.social fantastic book Messy Jobs tomorrow @piie.com with @adamposen.bsky.social I think it’s one of the best frameworks we have to think about how AI is going to affect work. (And it’s superbly written, too). Livestream: www.piie.com/events/2026/...
piie.com
Book discussion: Messy Jobs: The Work that AI Cannot Reach
As artificial intelligence (AI) transforms the workplace, which jobs will remain valuable—and what makes them resistant to automation? Economist Luis Garicano, coauthor of Messy Jobs: The Work that AI...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 24/09/2026
The Greenland deal entrenches the existing status quo, making it a significant accomplishment for Danish & Greenlandic diplomacy, while affording Trump just enough changes to also claim victory.
piie.com
Trump's Greenland deal preserves the status quo, making the island's independence less likely
President Donald Trump and the prime ministers of Denmark and Greenland this week signed an agreement allowing the US military's continued presence on the Arctic island, which should help avoid future...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 24/09/2026
NOW: @whitehouse.senate.gov speaks with @kclausing.bsky.social about the US debt & deficit outlook, the policy challenges ahead, & the implications of persistent fiscal imbalances. Watch live:
piie.com
Grappling with US fiscal deficits and debt: Understanding the implications at home and abroad
The Peterson Institute holds an in-depth conversation featuring perspectives from leading economists and a senior policymaker on one of the most consequential economic policy challenges facing the Uni...
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The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · 24/09/2026
Starting soon! Hear from Hamilton Project Director @avivaaron-dine.bsky.social at this @piie.com event: www.piie.com/events/2026/...
piie.com
Grappling with US fiscal deficits and debt: Understanding the implications at home and abroad
The Peterson Institute holds an in-depth conversation featuring perspectives from leading economists and a senior policymaker on one of the most consequential economic policy challenges facing the Uni...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 23/09/2026
🫡🫡🫡
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 23/09/2026
SO SO great to join the amazing @kairyssdal.bsky.social on Marketplace! This time, we previewed the upcoming US-China summit between Presidents Trump and Xi. Have a listen 🎙️: www.marketplace.org/story/2026/0...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 23/09/2026
LISTEN: @chadpbown.com joined @marketplace.org to discuss what might come out of the Trump-Xi meeting.
marketplace.org
Trump and Xi meet this week. What can we expect?
President Trump and China’s Leader Xi Jinping are meeting this week. Chad Bown, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, previews what to expect from that meeting.
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 23/09/2026
This piece by my brilliant @piie.com colleage @adamposen.bsky.social may be the first time you have seen the United States described accurately as what its ruling regime has quickly made it: a "lesser power".
foreignaffairs.com
China Still Has What America Needs
The Trump-Xi summit gives Washington a chance to buy time.
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Adam Posen @adamposen.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Live at 9a ET streaming event! Exciting and new! The Trump-Xi summit and possible future of US-China economic relations Me with Chad Bown, Yeling Tan, Marcus Noland www.piie.com/events/2026/...
piie.com
The Trump-Xi summit and possible future of US-China economic relations
As Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping prepare for their September 24 summit, what can new economic analyses tell us about the direction of US-China economic relations, as well as the likely impact...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 22/09/2026
Importing from China at scale, trading valued exports to stockpile critical supplies, & exchanging commercial hostages in the form of FDI will buy the necessary time & additional economic resources to strengthen American resilience, @adamposen.bsky.social writes.
foreignaffairs.com
China Still Has What America Needs
The Trump-Xi summit gives Washington a chance to buy time.
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 21/09/2026
Learn more from @cullenhendrix.bsky.social here:
piie.com
You're already getting socialism—and Democratic Socialists have nothing to do with it
The election of New York mayor Zohran Mamdani and the surprising performance of Democratic Socialist or DSA-aligned candidates in Democratic primaries across the United States is reviving interest in ...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 21/09/2026
The US taking a big step towards greater state ownership or control of the economy—a form of socialism—in 2025 is occurring under unified Republican domination of the US government. #PIIECharts
State control of the US economy, or socialism, expanded sharply in 2025 under a Republican White House and Congress
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 21/09/2026
NEW: At the Trump-Xi summit, the US government should seek increased imports of key strategic goods & more foreign direct investment from China, @adamposen.bsky.social writes in @foreignaffairs.com. This would buy Washington more time to diversify US sources of supply.
foreignaffairs.com
China Still Has What America Needs
The Trump-Xi summit gives Washington a chance to buy time.
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Jed Kolko @jedkolko.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Political encroachment in statistical methods for political goals undermines confidence in the entire statistical system. That could hurt funding, response rates, and retention of expert staff, further degrading data quality. Read more at @piie.com www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
piie.com
Political meddling at the Census Bureau damages the entire US statistical system
This summer marks the worst period for US statistical integrity since President Donald Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics last August. Two different and seemingly uncoordinated eve...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 17/09/2026
Read the press release here:
piie.com
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, former IMF chief economist, joins PIIE as nonresident senior fellow
Washington, DC—The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is pleased to announce that Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, former economic counsellor and director of the research department at th...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 17/09/2026
We are thrilled to welcome former IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas to PIIE as a nonresident senior fellow! Welcome, Pierre-Olivier! 🎉
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 16/09/2026
The new OPT tax will harm our university system and severely reduce the attractiveness of a US education to the brightest young people from around the world. That will starve the US economy of innovation and reduce productivity growth and employment opportunities for all Americans. | cc @piie.com
piie.com
Class dismissed: The effect of international student exclusion on the US STEM workforce and economic growth
Restrictive US government policies since 2025 have reduced international student enrollment in US universities and made it harder for foreign graduates to work in the United States. This shift, if sus...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 16/09/2026
Gary Hufbauer explores historic examples of US involvement with oil in Mexico, hard minerals in Peru, copper in Chile, & more to illustrate how the Trump administration's quest for secure control over foreign minerals seems bound to fail.
piie.com
Trump's quest for control of critical minerals and oil abroad: History predicts failure
Through equity ownership and trade agreements, President Donald Trump has sought to control minerals extracted abroad. He appears to harbor two goals: first, ensure a guaranteed supply of the minerals...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 15/09/2026
Both the Venezuela oil deal & the less reported USA Rare Earths acquisition of Brazil's critical minerals producer Serra Verde come at a pivotal moment for Latin America's frequently fraught relationship with the US—& have political risk baked in. By @mdebolle.com:
piie.com
Are Brazil's critical minerals next in line for Trump's quest to commandeer resources?
The extraordinary oil deal with Venezuela forged in August—in which the United States gains access to about 20 percent of proven Venezuelan oil reserves, secured by a puppet government beholden to Pre...
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World Trade Organization @wto.org · 15/09/2026
As global trade adjusts to a shifting economic and geopolitical landscape, what will a new equilibrium look like? Join @piie.com at #WTOPublicForum to explore what comes next for the global trading system. In person (Room CR) or live: bit.ly/4j5B4Gp
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 14/09/2026
The Iran war has damaged the economies of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, & UAE, which have made ambitious investment commitments to the US. The war has weakened their finances, growth prospects, & trust in US security guarantees. The question now is whether, & how, the countries will implement commitments.
piie.com
The Iran war is raising doubts over Trump’s "America First" foreign investment goal
The Iran war has damaged the economies of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE, which have made ambitious investment commitments to the United States. The war has weakened their finances, growth prospects...
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Cullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
If you're teaching CPE this semester and would like a short, rigorous-but-accessible piece unpacking the concept of socialism and how it is on the rise - not due to DSA - but Trump, well, humbly submitted: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
piie.com
You're already getting socialism—and Democratic Socialists have nothing to do with it
The election of New York mayor Zohran Mamdani and the surprising performance of Democratic Socialist or DSA-aligned candidates in Democratic primaries across the United States is reviving interest in ...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 11/09/2026
NEW: The US is trending toward more state control over the economy. That pivot is not being overseen by intellectual descendants of early 20th century socialist leader Eugene V. Debs—Democratic Socialist types—it is coming from the Trump administration. By @cullenhendrix.bsky.social:
piie.com
You're already getting socialism—and Democratic Socialists have nothing to do with it
The election of New York mayor Zohran Mamdani and the surprising performance of Democratic Socialist or DSA-aligned candidates in Democratic primaries across the United States is reviving interest in ...
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 11/09/2026
Crystal clear from my brilliant @piie.com colleague @cullenhendrix.bsky.social —>
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Cullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The great irony of contemporary US politics: you're already getting socialism—and the Democratic Socialists have nothing to do with it. My latest for @piie.com.
piie.com
You're already getting socialism—and Democratic Socialists have nothing to do with it
The election of New York mayor Zohran Mamdani and the surprising performance of Democratic Socialist or DSA-aligned candidates in Democratic primaries across the United States is reviving interest in ...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 09/09/2026
DHS data indicate H-1B petitions “will collapse” under the Trump admin's fee proposal, @mclem.org says. “Unless American firms respond radically differently to the new [rule] than the old one, that means that the taproot for global talent fueling the American innovation economy will be decimated.”
news.bloombergtax.com
H-1B Demand Plummeted in Fallout of First Trump $100,000 Fee (1)
The Trump administration’s initial six-figure charge for some H-1B workers led to a sharp drop in demand from the program’s biggest users in the IT staffing and tech industries.
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 09/09/2026
Read the press release here:
piie.com
Former Bank of Korea governor Chang Yong Rhee joins PIIE as nonresident senior fellow
Washington, DC—The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) announced that Chang Yong Rhee, former governor of the Bank of Korea, has joined PIIE as a nonresident senior fellow, bringing ...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 09/09/2026
We are thrilled to welcome former Bank of Korea governor Chang Yong Rhee to PIIE as a nonresident senior fellow! Welcome, Chang Yong! 🎉
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 09/09/2026
Read the research here:
piie.com
El Niño could drag down the global economy by almost $1 trillion or at least $7 trillion—and the choice is ours
The US National Weather Service has announced the arrival of an El Niño, the warm phase the Central Pacific warming and cooling cycle that affects weather across the globe. The odds favor a "very stro...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 09/09/2026
How could a Super El Niño cost the global economy? @cullenhendrix.bsky.social explains.
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 09/09/2026
Huge pleasure to chat with @emilyzfeng.bsky.social about why China continues to be the big winner in Trump's escalatory trade war with Canada. www.npr.org/2026/09/09/n...
npr.org
Economy remains top of mind for many Americans as trade war with Canada escalates
President Trump's trade war with Canada comes as Americans keep the economy top of mind heading into the midterm elections.
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 08/09/2026
“Unless American firms respond radically differently to the new [rule] than the old one, … the taproot for global talent fueling the American innovation economy will be decimated.” I spoke with @bloomberg.com about the White House’s second effort to tax high skill immigration—>
news.bloombergtax.com
H-1B Demand Plummeted in Fallout of First Trump $100,000 Fee (1)
The Trump administration’s initial six-figure charge for some H-1B workers led to a sharp drop in demand from the program’s biggest users in the IT staffing and tech industries.
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 07/09/2026
Thanks so much to @cnn.com for having me on to explain why China is the real winner from President Trump's trade war with Canada.
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 04/09/2026
Read the research here:
piie.com
Who pays for tariffs? Insights from recent research
The Trump administration has mounted many varied claims to support its trade war, but a central argument is that foreigners, not US citizens, pay the price for tariffs. As discussed in our first blog,...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 04/09/2026
Follow us on Instagram (petersoninstitute) we make fuzzy mic videos now. Also, Americans are paying the tariffs.
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Elina Ribakova @eribakova.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine. The Pulse with Lizzy Burden @bloomberg 9/3/2026 youtu.be/Xu73xnH5ZUQ?...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 03/09/2026
The yuan's momentum has faded, Martin Chorzempa writes. The data paint a mixed picture, but China's Cross-Border Interbank Payment System divergence from other metrics for the first time also suggests an increasing share of yuan payments are bypassing SWIFT.
piie.com
Has the Chinese yuan's rise in global usage hit a wall?
It is widely known that global use of China's currency, the yuan, rose substantially in 2023–24 following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, as sanctions and the related reordering of Russian trade drove g...
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 03/09/2026
the VP says you should follow us on instagram :) instagram.com/petersoninstitute
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 03/09/2026
Trump's new tariffs on Canada set a new record for lack of credibility. They invoke a zombie authority found in the notorious & discredited Smoot-Hawley Act, which deepened the Great Depression. The courts should reject these tariffs as patently illegal.
piie.com
Trump invoked a zombie statute to justify tariffs on Canada
The world is used to American tariff news daily. A new target is chosen, a new reason is put forward, another legal authority is selected, and a new tariff is put in place, ostensibly to force concess...
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 03/09/2026
HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR... Korea launch! In Seoul, an extraordinary week of events to kick off the Korean translation of my new book with the amazing @soumayakeynes.ft.com. Old friends, new friends - thanks for the INCREDIBLE reception!!! Order it here: product.kyobobook.co.kr/detail/S0002...
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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 03/09/2026
Thanks to Cha Minyoung for the insightful interview about HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR (brand new Korean translation!!!) for The Asia Business Daily.
asiae.co.kr
[Interview] "It Was China, Not the U.S., That Undermined the Trade Order... Korea Must Beware the Memory Industry Threat" - The Asia Business Daily
"It was not the United States, but China, that undermined the rules-based trade order. We have simply failed to fully acknowledge that fact." Chad Bow
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Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · 02/09/2026
Account link here: instagram.com/petersoninstitute
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