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Thomas Pollet

@tvpollet.bsky.social
934 followers 861 following 49 posts

I study social relationships (and a bunch of random other things) with an interest in statistics. Views are my own. tvpollet.github.io

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Reposted by Thomas Pollet
Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22h
New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854
Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
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Cultural Evolution Society @culturalevolsoc.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
The Fyssen Foundation International Prize is open for nominations, this year on the theme of "Technology and the Social Organisation of Prehistoric Human Groups" . The prize is for 100,000 euros - consider applying if your research is relevant! culturalevolutionsociety.org/news-and-eve...
culturalevolutionsociety.org
Fyssen Foundation International Prize: Technology and the social organisation of prehistoric human groups - Cultural Evolution Society
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
In other words, a 10 percent contraction in one of Britain’s most successful exports. If it were steel or fish or other infinitely less profitable sectors, people would be having a meltdown.
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simine vazire @simine.com · 07/10/2026
Another special issue at Psych Science! We invite “submissions that advance the field through critical appraisal of articles previously published by Psychological Science” Please share! www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...
psychologicalscience.org
Special Issue Call for Submissions: “Appraising the Foundations of Psychological Science”
Editors: Tom Beckers and Heather UrryOne way a journal can earn its reputation for quality is to take active steps to vet the articles that appear within its pages after publication. To that end, Psyc...
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Alice Roberts @profaliceroberts.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
I've stumbled across AI's plan. They're going to make us into pâté.
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Raymond Hames @rayhames.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
This is terrible: ‘Complete devastation’: How NSF gutted its social sciences research | Science | AAAS www.science.org/content/arti...
science.org
‘Complete devastation’: How NSF gutted its social sciences research
Agency body that funds sociology, linguistics, and archaeology studies in U.S. gave 90% fewer new grants this year
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Kieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 06/10/2026
Life in the city is sometimes strange and confusing.
NYC dog bite dataset, with a goat
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Kieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 06/10/2026
I assume this was cut because the administration heard that neutrinos were constantly passing undetected.
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Thanks to Russ Vought for exposing this woke research
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toilet bones @toiletbones.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Found the email I sent when I got accidentally added to the faculty listserv of an orthopedic surgery clinic and nobody would remove me so I sent this email to all faculty/staff/med students and they removed me almost immediately
Hello Bone Colleagues, 
I have invented a new type of ankle and I'm very excited to show it to you. Early raccoon trials suggest a 60% increase in scurrying speed and dramatic increases in fine motor banditry. I know we are not supposed to create super raccoons, but I think you'll change your mind and professional ethics when you see how cute they are. I believe we are on the cusp of a new era in advanced human scurrying because if medical science has taught me anything, it's that improvements in raccoons correspond 1:1 to improvements in humans. 

--
[My name]
Chief Bone Inventor
Chair, Department of Foot and Leg Innovation
Lord Mayor, Musculoskeletal Medicine 
Hartford HealthCare,
The Bone & Joint Institute at Hartford Hospital.
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Dermot Lynott @dermotlynott.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Me: I need to keep this computational environment stable for reproducibility purposes, so I'm just going to switch off automatic system updates for now IT Services:
The fuck you are
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Antigone @antigoneinthebes.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
People don’t realize how serious the situation is.
A graph showing number of Germanies over time. Losing one on October 3rd 1990 means by projection we are only decades before reaching -1 Germany in 2072
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San Diego Zoo Wildlife Alliance @sandiegozoo.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
⚠️Busy beavers at work⚠️
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Aves do Brasil @avesbrasil.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
🇧🇷Polícia-inglesa-do-norte 🌎Leistes militaris Conservação: Pouco Preocupante O polícia-inglesa-do-norte é um Passeriforme da família Icteridae. 📷 Luiz Ribenboim
Um pássaro de porte médio está empoleirado sobre uma superfície de madeira rústica e acinzentada. Sua característica mais marcante é a coloração vibrante de sua plumagem: o peito e a parte frontal do pescoço exibem um vermelho intenso e brilhante, que contrasta nitidamente com o restante de seu corpo, coberto por penas de um preto profundo e aveludado. A cabeça é pequena e arredondada, com olhos escuros e expressivos. O bico é cônico, cinza-azulado, com uma textura fina e um detalhe claro na ponta. Suas patas são longas e delgadas, com garras firmes que se agarram à borda da madeira. O pássaro mantém uma postura ereta e alerta, com a cabeça voltada para a direita. O fundo é composto por um desfoque suave em tons terrosos e esverdeados, criando um contraste que destaca a ave.
Atenção: O alt da imagem foi gerado automaticamente.
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San Diego Zoo Wildlife Alliance @sandiegozoo.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Just keep swimming 💧
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Roope Kaaronen @roopekaaronen.net · 18/09/2026
This article wins the data visualisation of the month contest. www.mdpi.com/2571-550X/9/...
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Maxime Derex @maximederex.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
One week left to apply!
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Marcos Echevarria-Eirea @marcoseche.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Announcing Round 1 of the 𝐌𝐚𝐩𝐩𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐏𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧 𝐓𝐢𝐤𝐓𝐨𝐤 (𝐌𝐏𝐏𝐓𝐢𝐤𝐓𝐨𝐤) dataset! It provides manually collected TikTok handles for MPs and parties in 17 Western democracies (elected as of December 2025). Dataset: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/mp... Preprint: doi.org/10.31235/osf... 1/3
dataverse.harvard.edu
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21 Group @21group.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
US student newspapers have real teeth Cornell Daily Sun played big role in exposing gang-rape scandal Stanford freshman’s reporting brought down the university President Journalism with serious scrutiny & consequences Food for thought for UK student journos www.cornellsun.com/article/2026...
cornellsun.com
EDITORIAL | Cornell Won’t, We Will
The Editorial Board demands that Cornell stops protecting the alleged Chi Phi rapists through the University's opaque sexual assault policies.
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Josiah Mortimer @josiahmortimer.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
New GB News accounts are out. Here are their losses to date. Or "spent political donations" if you prefer
Line chart titled 'GB News has lost £142m to date', showing cumulative losses in pounds rising steadily from around £3m in 2020/1 to £142m by 2025. The red line climbs most steeply between 2021/2 and 2023/4, reaching roughly £110m, then flattens as growth slows towards £142m. A note states the latest figures cover the seven-month period to 31 December 2025. Chart by Press Gazette, source: Companies House
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Rosemary Mosco @rosemarymosco.com · 02/10/2026
Butterbutt. An older comic.
A four-panel comic titled "yellow-rumped warbler poem". In panel 1, a yellow-rumped warbler stands on a branch in a late autumn scene, and says "Fall is here." In panel 2, the warbler watches a brown leaf fall to the ground, and says "Winter's near." In panel 3, the warbler faces the viewer as brown leaves fall, and says "Need some cheer?" In panel 4, the warbler is showing its luminous yellow rump, and cheerfully says "See my rear."
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Margot Finn @eicathomefinn.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
'Sussex has moved away from Turnitin, UEA has indicated that it will, and in private conversations I’ve had with SU colleagues, other universities are signalling that a Southampton-style exit is on the cards.'
wonkhe.com
A supplier shouldn’t be able to rewrite who owns students’ essays
Sam Dickinson looks at Turnitin’s paused plan to put student essays to work on AI – and finds that neither anonymisation nor university regulations answer the copyright question
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Vivek Nityananda @viveknityananda.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
All of this
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Ethan Landes @ethanlandes.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
As an undergrad, I RA'd in a genomics lab working with nematodes. My training could have been ... better. For months I pulled PCR tubes out of lab's central storage boxes with bare hands until a horrified lab technician pointed out that other groups using those tubes sequence human DNA.
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Massimo (mirror) @rainmaker1973-m.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
How seeds implant themselves in soil can seem magical. Take some varieties of Erodium: their corkscrew-like stalk unwinds and twists the seed into the soil, where it can take root and be safe from birds. [📹 Carnegie Mellon] Original post
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Jeremy Freese @jeremyfreese.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
When it closed, the server was opened to reveal a little man who took a bow.
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Nicola Rennie @nrennie.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
If you missed today's @rinpharma.bsky.social workshop, here are a few of my favourite "quick fixes" for some common #ggplot2 issues 📊 1. Use {ggview} to preview plots at the same size and resolution as you want to save them with ggsave() to avoid the annoying resizing #RStats #DataViz
library(ggview)
ggplot(mtcars, aes(wt, mpg)) +
  geom_point() +
  canvas(
    width = 6, height = 4,
    units = "in",
    dpi = 300
  )
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Jolyon Troscianko @jtroscianko.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
🦋 Butterfly wing patterns create motion illusions that protect them from predators! Our new study (8 years in the making) is out in Nature today doi.org/10.1038/s415... @grahancock.bsky.social @esbriolat.bsky.social @scienceanna.bsky.social @lauraakelley.bsky.social @uniexecec.bsky.social
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Guillaume Noblet @gnoblet.eurosky.social · 29/09/2026
How long does a barista work to afford a small cappucino in their own café? Another #TidyTuesday from a few weeks back (week 36) with a detailed walkthrough. Playing with sine and cosine, long time no see, yay! Code: gnoblet.codeberg.page/TidyTuesday/... #ggplot2 #rstats #dataviz
A crema-coloured spiral chart. Each coloured bean is a country, placed at the minutes a barista works to afford a small cappuccino: Australia at 10 minutes near the top of the outer rim, most of Europe and North America within the first half hour, and Pakistan at 4 hours 37 minutes near the centre. Bean colour shows region and bean size the number of cafés surveyed.
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Bill Mudron @mudron.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
DoorDash spent $1.4M trying to stop Zohran Mamdani from becoming mayor. This week's historic $131.5M enforcement action against DoorDash for underpaying NYC delivery workers shows why. Yet another reminder that the only thing that can beat organized money is organized people.
theintercept.com
DoorDash Spent $1.4 Million Trying to Stop Mamdani From Becoming Mayor. Now We Know Why.
In a wage-theft settlement, DoorDash now has to pay its workers around 100 times what it spent trying to beat Zohran Mam
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Dermot Lynott @dermotlynott.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
One of my favourite typos was from the cover page of a student's coursework a few years back
Word cunt: 2050
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BPS Cyberpsychology @bpscyberpsychology.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🚨 UPCOMING EVENT! 🧠💻 What is Cyberpsychology? An introductory talk and perspective from an undergraduate student Our very own committee member and undergraduate representative Fraser Carey will be delivering an engaging one-hour introduction to Cyberpsychology!
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Cats of Yore @catsofyore.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
What a wonderful face to come home to! Photo from my collection, 1957.
Black and photo of a lovely shorthaired white cat with black spots, sitting up on the cement steps in front of the door of a brick house. It has a beautiful friendly face!
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Massimo (mirror) @rainmaker1973-m.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The incredible moment a “zombie” fish continues to swim in water despite having a huge chunk missing from its body. More than other animals, fish can live for a limited amount of time, if the bite is peripheral enough to not interest crucial organs. Original post
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🌬Breeze @cool-summer-breeze.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
This is the Stolen Neighbors Quilt. Each of the 11,000 squares represents a person taken by ICE in Minnesota.
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Simon Munk @psimonk.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Possibly longest thread I've ever written. Once again, despite all evidence, some folks, closely related to the 'bus industry' want to blame cycling for slowing down London buses. tl;dr: this is a lie & it's cars wot done it. It is not buses v cycling v walking or wheeling. It's all of us v cars...
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Justin Lehmiller @justinlehmiller.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Research finds that just one-third of unmarried men under age 50 used a condom during their recent sexual encounters. At the same time, CDC data indicates that STI rates are about 13% higher than they were a decade ago. www.womenshealthmag.com/sex-and-lov…
womenshealthmag.com
Where Have All the Rubbers Gone? Why Women Are Still Begging Men to Wear Condoms
Barrier protection isn’t exactly new. So what’s with guys pushing back on condoms so much?
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Claudia Wascher @wascherclaudia.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The scientific impact of gender in behaviour, ecology and evolution: authorship and citation performance @marinapapa.bsky.social & Afruni: 20 years on, male-dominated author teams still prevail and solo female authorship remains rare www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
The scientific impact of gender in behaviour, ecology and evolution: authorship and citation performance
Over the last few decades, gender bias across scientific disciplines has been revealed in the form of skewed gender ratios among invited speakers in c…
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Animal Behavior Society @animbehsociety.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
New play behavior just dropped!
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Sarah Andersen @sarahseeandersen.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The image is of a four panel comic.
In the first panel we see Sarah, the protagonist, next to a stick figure labeled “AI”. The stick figure says, “my outputs look just like yours now.”
The second panel zooms in on Sarah’s face. Above her we see text reading “I think”.
The third panel zooms in closer on Sarah’s face. Text above her reads “you missed”.
The fourth panel shows Sarah drawing happily in a sunlit room. The text above her reads “the point”.
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Nico Schuck @nicoschuck.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
2023: 8,039 proposals 2024: 10,360 proposals 2025: 17,066 proposals 2026: 21,627 proposals Something's gotta give
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The Onion @theonion.com · 21/09/2026
NSFW Artist Struggling To Improve On Sexiness Of Regular Muppets theonion.com/nsfw-artist-struggling…
NSFW Artist Struggling To Improve On Sexiness Of Regular Muppets
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Common Dreams @commondreams.org · 21/09/2026
It would cost Starbucks less than a single day’s sales to agree to a fair contract that would ensure we’re treated fairly—why wouldn’t the company want that?
commondreams.org
Why You Should Boycott Starbucks
Union baristas have shown that our collective power can win meaningful change, and now we’re calling on organizations, political parties, and elected officials to stand with us and boycott Starbucks until our demands are met.
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Charlotte Walker @charlottewalker.bsky.social · 28/10/2023
Someone sent me this meme about peer reviewer comments and it is 👌🏻 #PhDSky #AcademicSky
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👻 Jack Djinn Wail 🧞 @jacktindale.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Unless he’s raising an army in the Spanish Netherlands and claim the throne for himself with support of France and the Habsburg powers, this should not be leading the BBC headlines for the third day in a row. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Earl Spencer tells BBC Harry and Meghan's media treatment echoes what happened to Diana
Princess Diana's brother says she was "really brought low by all that criticism" and he saw her in "tears of despair".
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Kieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 20/09/2026
This thing I made two years ago continues to hold up pretty well
AI and consciousness political 2D grid.

Authoritarian
Al is not conscious and neither am I
Authoritarian
Left
Al is conscious but l am not
Authoritarian
Right
Economic-
Left
Economic-Right
Libertarian
Left
I am conscious but Al is not
Libertarian
Right
I am conscious and so is Al
Libertarian
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Siobhán Cully 🇺🇸 🐱🥼🤓🩼 @siobhancully.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
New job on evolution of health at U Michigan. careers.umich.edu/job_detail/2...
careers.umich.edu
Tenure Track Position - Focus on Health Disparities - Evolution of Health Disparities or Anthropology of Mental Health and Health Disparities | U-M Careers
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THE FAR SIDE DAILY @bot.cowtools.org · 20/09/2026
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Massimo (mirror) @rainmaker1973-m.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Baby antelope in looks like a mix between a koala and a deer. Original post
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