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Thomas Fraise

@thfraise.bsky.social
507 followers 280 following 243 posts

Nuclear weapons, deterrence, secrecy, and democracy. Currently, Univ. of Copenhagen & Nuclear Knowledges. Co-editor in chief of PARISS Journal.

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Reposted by Thomas Fraise
Denis Colombi @uneheuredepeine.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Attendez… mais c’est une énorme entorse à toute déontologie et même à tout conception de l’honneur. Le mec fait des accusations anonymes puis les relaie en tant que « journaliste » ? Il devrait être mis à la porte de tous les médias sérieux.
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Dare Obasanjo @carnage4life.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Going from claiming your company is working on technology that might destroy humanity to leaking you’re on track to generate $100 billion in sales this year, just in time for the IPO. Makes it hard to defend the claims that this hasn’t all been a cynical form of marketing and regulatory capture.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
@ucph.bsky.social @ceri-sciencespo.bsky.social @wellerstein.bsky.social
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
If you are interested in this, I have a different, more theoretical piece about France specifically. Hopefully, at some point I will have a book. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Our understanding of nuclear secrecy is heavily influenced by US-based (and to an extent, UK) case studies. This piece attemps to correct this tendency by looking at Sweden and France.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
I have a new paper out! It looks into the early history of nuclear secrecy and examines how US standards of secrecy diffused toward European allies through coercion and imitation, shaping their domestic practices. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Exporting nuclear secrecy. The transatlantic diffusion of nuclear secrecy practices in the postwar period (1945-1953)
Published in Cambridge Review of International Affairs (Ahead of Print, 2026)
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Stars and Stripes @starsandstripes.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
A civilian geography professor was fired from West Point for pushing back after department officials barred faculty from teaching that humans contribute to climate change.
stripes.com
West Point professor fired after pushing back on limitations to teaching climate change, lawsuit says
Adam Kalkstein pushed back after department officials barred faculty from teaching that humans contribute to climate change, the lawsuit says.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Tiens, l'université de Gand...
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
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lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Shilling your book off a bloke's suicide is just so classless wtf, is he not rich enough already!? Bring back shame.
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Pieter T. L. Beck @ptrbck.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
His comment about becoming "head of the department of eugenics and race science at Harvard" seems to confirm that his whole DEI/race/woke-obsession is just him never having gotten over the fact that he was rejected at Harvard
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
christ, what a depressing story all round, and what a series of failures of responsibility to get to this.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
An opportunity to repost my favorite Hume atheism persecution story
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👻madeline bOoOoOoOodent👻 @oldenoughtosay.com · 13/08/2026
I dunno who needs to hear this (yeah I do it’s Americans) but. multiple countries on this earth have had civil wars. like. a lot of countries
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Think twice about when to launch your nuclear war: traffic jam may ruin your day!
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Fucking hell.
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
honestly, the fact that we have made it through the atomic age *without* another use of nuclear weapons since 1945 is a miracle we don't fully appreciate
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OBrother @obrother.eurosky.social · 31/07/2026
"CEO Said A Thing!" Journalism
"CEO said a thing!" journalism involves parroting the claims of a business leader or executive with absolutely no context, correction, or challenge whatsoever, no matter how elaborate the delusion.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
My review of Rebecca Lubot’s book on the (nuclear) history of the US 25th Amendment is out with H-Diplo. It is a timely contribution, highlighting how deterrence constraints shape the institutions of democratic states. I recommend it! networks.h-net.org/group/discus...
networks.h-net.org
H-Diplo|Jervis Forum Review 190: Fraise on Lubot, _Keeping a Finger on the Button_ | H-Net
The Jervis ForumH-Diplo | Robert Jervis International Security Studies ForumReview 190Rebecca C. Lubot, Keeping a Finger on the Button. Presidential Continuity and the Nuclear Age. Palgrave Macmillan,...
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TheBossRoss 🧶 @thebossross.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
In that context: July 23, 2026, was the busiest day for commercial air travel ever, according to data from @flightradar24.com A whopping 153,359 commercial flights were tracked worldwide. This is absurd.
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TheBossRoss 🧶 @thebossross.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Jason Hickel: "This new study finds that the total death toll in Europe during the June heatwave exceeds 20,000 people." "This result highlights the accelerating threat of mass heat mortality events in Europe despite previous adaptations to heat." Pre-print below.
The text of this tweet on X is quoted in my post above. It is illustrated with a heat map of Europe.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
"I don't accept the argument that people that look like me should be held accountable for anything, really."
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Pour être complètement honnête, je ne l'ai pas lu non plus, mais c'était un élément récurrent de l'excellent podcast Project 1933 d'@adriandaub.bsky.social
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Victor Klemperer avait le malheur de faire refaire sa maison en 1933 il me semble
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
"What is developing is so far beyond any global climate event that has impacted modern industrial civilization that predicting much of what’s coming is educated guesswork" climatecasino.substack.com/p/some-monst...
climatecasino.substack.com
Some Monsters are Real
What's coming has never been seen before in the history of modern global industrial civilization ... and it's just getting started.
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Erin Sikorsky @erinsikorsky.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
A whole dang story about NATO contemplating resilience at the Port of Rotterdam (a key hub for military logistics in case of a conflict in Europe) without a single mention of sea level rise: www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe...
csmonitor.com
Ahead of summit, NATO eyes the security of Europe’s ports and bridges
If war breaks out in Europe, the resilience of civilian hubs – such as ports – might be as critical as the size of armies. This will be a major theme of NATO’s annual summit.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
www.newscientist.com/article/2533...
newscientist.com
Collapse of AMOC ocean current may already be locked in
The fate of the Atlantic Ocean current that keeps Europe’s climate warm depends on our carbon emissions and the rate of ice melt from Greenland, but there is a chance that a shutdown is already inevit...
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Quite a bit of convergent sources. www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
telegraph.co.uk
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Brandon T. Snider @brandontsnider.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Back on my bullsh
an image that has boxes and a flow chart- GET A NEW IDEA > START A NEW PROJECT > TELL EVERYONE. the pattern repeats circularly, ignoring the box that says FINISH PROJECT
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André Loez & podcast Paroles d’histoire @andreloez.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Un texte qui me semble tout à fait important: critique des orientations du directeur de ScPo Luis Vassy en matière d'études internationales, avec de très bons rappels sur l'efficacité des outils des sciences sociales, y compris pour penser de façon "réaliste" la "puissance" aoc.media/analyse/2026...
aoc.media
Penser le monde d’aujourd’hui avec des idées d’hier : Luis Vassy et l'international - AOC media
Le directeur de Sciences Po a publié dans Le Grand Continent sa vision des études internationales : un retour au réalisme stratégique, une méfiance assumée envers le droit, une approche réduite à ce q...
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
This is really funny inpreparation.substack.com/p/opinion-i-...
inpreparation.substack.com
Opinion: I Was Not Allowed To Type Prompts Into ChatGPT During My Chalk Talk And This Is Discrimination
By Dr. Rachel Simmons, Postdoctoral Fellow, Stanford University
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
From this piece www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
foreignaffairs.com
The Broken Nuclear Umbrella
What comes after extended deterrence.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
I don't see how they could field those weapons before 2030/2035, which is presumed to be our next year of maximum danger. Also, with what budget, and to the sacrifice of which other programs? The problem is a bit different for France, but timeline issues are not different.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
What is the timeline of this kind of proposals? The UK retired the WE.177 in the 90s. It would probably have to redesign a warhead, or rework existing designs, without the possibility of testing and, presumably, with strained US support (French support maybe?).
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Must be nice to live one's life is a fantasy world and still get to claim you are doing science.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
I think this is particularly true for military related research, thanks to all the former engineers or vet who self-publish edited books who do not look like much and may be poorly written but know they subject like no one else or have mindblowing details you never saw before.
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John Carl Baker @johncarlbaker.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
"This thing is an environmental nightmare" - @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on Burevestnik www.npr.org/2026/06/18/n...
npr.org
Report: Russia's nuclear-powered 'Skyfall' missile is dirty and dangerous
MIT researchers think they've worked out exactly how Russia's Burevestnik nuclear-powered missile flies. "It's almost certainly a terrible idea," one analyst said. "But it's not an impossible idea."
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Not the first time for the author retractionwatch.com/2023/08/25/e...
retractionwatch.com
Ex-cops tangle with journals over strip clubs and sex crimes
Brandon del Pozo A study by two economists who found opening strip clubs or escort services caused sex crimes in the neighborhood to drop contains “fatal errors” and should be retracted…
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
A great critique of dangerously irresponsible science journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Relire Scrubs
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
The Journal of American-East Asian Relations has some interesting new articles on the atomic bomb and the end of the Pacific war. brill.com/view/journal...
brill.com
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Oui, je suis tout à fait d'accord avec ça. On voit beaucoup ça avec l'essor des survey studies et des designs expérimentaux (qui ont leur mérite, évidemment) qui reproduisent la logique incrémentale du progrès en sciences dures, mais sont en décalage avec ce que l'innovation peut être en SHS.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Ce n'est pas idéal, et je vois comment le terme science peut venir limiter l'activité intellectuelle, mais je crois qu'il peut aussi servir de protection dans certains cas.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
la conception que des professionnels de la sécurité se font de la réalité et de "l'intérêt national". Et le terme "science", et les standards qui vont avec, me paraît une bonne façon de symboliser cette différence et d'éviter l'idée selon laquelle tout se vaut plus ou moins.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
légitimer différentes positions politiques. Dans le domaine des études de sécurité spécifiquement, il me paraît important de maintenir une distinction entre un résultat qui est vrai selon des critères globalement partagés au sein du champ, et un résultat qui est dit vrai parce qu'il résonne avec
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Je comprends l'argument mais, particulièrement aujourd'hui, il me paraît important de trouver une façon de distinguer qualitativement les résultats qui respectent des standards académiques/scientifiques, et peuvent prétendre à une forme de véracité différente de travaux "experts" qui ne visent qu'à
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Paul N. Edwards @avastmachine.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
tipping point crossed. This won’t save the world but it will help.
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Interesting story about (likely US?) efforts to slow down a (likely the Iranian) nuclear program through cyber-sabotage of physics simulation sofwares. www.zetter-zeroday.com/experts-conf...
zetter-zeroday.com
Experts Confirm the Fast16 Malware Was Sabotaging Nuclear Weapons Tests, Likely in Iran
Fast16 didn't predate Stuxnet but was contemporaneous with it. It also wasn't aimed at altering nuclear weapons but was simply feeding false data to engineers about the nuclear detonation tests they w...
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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Fun bit from FRUS, where Stalin seems unaware of what Voice of America was. history.state.gov/historicaldo...
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