iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

An opportunity to repost my favorite Hume atheism persecution story

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Think twice about when to launch your nuclear war: traffic jam may ruin your day!

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

What is the timeline of this kind of proposals? The UK retired the WE.177 in the 90s. It would probably have to redesign a warhead, or rework existing designs, without the possibility of testing and, presumably, with strained US support (French support maybe?).

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

Must be nice to live one's life is a fantasy world and still get to claim you are doing science.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Fun bit from FRUS, where Stalin seems unaware of what Voice of America was. history.state.gov/historicaldo...

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Pour celles et ceux qui souhaiteraient aller plus loin.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

Someone in my building’s trash area made their choice 😄

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

uh, it's a little more expensive than I expected

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

On the value of going back to the classical foundations of our concepts: sometimes, they are very well written. Such is the case with Laing’s The Divided Self - "within ourselves there can only be our footprints".

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 26/02/2026

Les données du PRIO et de l'Uppsala Conflict Database (UCPD) sont de très bonnes qualités pour les conflits contemporains. Il y a une bonne discussion des dimensions méthodo chap. 2 et 5 là dedans (livre magistral, par ailleurs)

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 21/02/2026

Currently reading this. It’s nice. Interesting to see how actors navigating the constraints of the nuclear age invariably lead to changes in domestic structure.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

Je lis Les Deux Mégots, sur l’affaire Alessandri et, soyons honnête, c’est une accumulation de dingueries, mais celle-ci frappe assez fort.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

Great piece by S. Fetter and S. Phillipe on UK targeting policies and their consequences. This point, on intent and harm, is essential for any debates on the legality and morality of nuclear deterrence choices. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

Flora Lewin's 1967 book on the Palomares accident is not great, but its last lines are very illuminating about the nature of the nuclear age:

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

If there is one book to read these days, I think this is the one.

Cover from the book "Exit from Hegemony, the unraveling of the American Global Order" by Alexander Cooley and Daniel Nexon. The cover features Trump turning his back to the reader. The second edition features Biden, instead of Trump, doing the same.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 09/07/2025

"David Hume is famous for other reasons."

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 20/06/2025

Best quote in the entire history of RAND

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

I am currently reading through this, and this is really good. It amazes me that this is a self-published book.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

ISA ideas for deterring the Soviets over Berlin in 1961: appoint LeMay as secretary of state.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 08/05/2025

Very happy to have received my copy of @ejir.bsky.social 31(1), which features my article on nuclearization and de-democratization! 📚

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 01/05/2025

Very interesting piece in the latest Foreign Affairs issue.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/04/2025

You have to start preaching the Word while they are young.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 26/04/2025

I am so happy learning swedish allowed me to watch movies like this one. Movies that dare asking important questions such as: what if zombies had guns and everyone was also super racist for some reason?

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

There is a lot to say about the Euronuke discourse, but this bit is quite annoying: why do we measure the requirements of deterrence relative to the US arsenal, thus assuming that its size is the clearly reasonable one, and not relative to strategic needs?

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Grim conclusion. It's frustrating that the doc is very vague about chronology.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Interesting stuff about potential pathways to accidental nuclear detonation in the 60s in a Sandia document.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

A lot to unpack in a single word crossed out (memo for JFK, January 1963)

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

This is a worrying trend. Has it reached the social sciences yet, or are we more safe because there is less money here (sorry)?

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

I had missed the publication in english of Thibault le Texier *must-read* book on the so-called Stanford prison experiment. If you have not read it, but heard about this story, I advise you to run for it. Mindblowing stuff.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

Should we start a thread of these?

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

James Digby on Bruce-Briggs' book (likely The Shield of Faith, 1988).That he considered this detail important enough to be corrected is probably telling, but not sure of what.

Bit from an interview with James Dibgy. The text says "Briggs never really had great credentials as a scientist in this area, he's got a lot of the arguments down quite well. He makes a few mistakes. He talks about my changing our fallout shelter into a wine cellar later on. Actually, it was a wine cellar and fallout shelter from the very beginning, so there are some mistakes like that. But I'm surprised at how well he did"

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

RAND in the 50s/60s attracted, and attracts still, fascination. It's far from undeserved but it's interesting how much of this was pure intellect (available in large quantity there), and how much was performance of intellect. (bit from an itw w James Digby)

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

This estimate (10kt=200 casualties) feels... optimistic (not impossible, for sure, but optimistic)

Excerpt from the article: "Another apparent effect when examining the operational level is grasping the number of casualties produced by the detonation and what that means for combat operations. The figure shows six motorized infantry platoons as red (severe casualty or fatality), one as yellow (degraded), and one medical platoon as red (severe casualty or fatality). With roughly 30 Soldiers per platoon, that
would be over 200 severe casualties." This last sentence is highlighted.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

So, we're back to these days, uh?

Title page from an article published in Joint Forces Quarterly and entitled "Preparing for Adversary Employment of Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons Tactical Effects, Operational Impacts, Strategic Implications"

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

"'I never thought leopards would eat MY face,' sobs CEO who voted for the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party"

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 21/01/2025

Genuine question: why is x.com/doge the canonical url of that official .gov website?

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 14/01/2025

It's somewhat dumbfounding how redacted available declassified reports on Proud Prophet can be.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 13/01/2025

tired: "Nuclear winter: global consequences of multple nuclear explosions" - R P Turco, O B Toon, T P Ackerman, J B Pollack, C Sagan (1983) wired:

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 06/01/2025

Wohlstetter-style analysts taking a stray bullet in the process.

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Thomas Fraise @thfraise.bsky.social · 06/01/2025

Bernard Brodie's review of Gen. Beaufre's Introduction à la Stratégie is quite something. I wonder how Beaufre took it. www.rand.org/content/dam/...

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