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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming

@thenewstats.bsky.social
364 followers 209 following 939 posts

Open science, estimation statistics, and random thoughts from Bob Calin-Jageman and Geoff Cumming. thenewstatistics.com/itns

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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
PsychTERMS: Teaching to Enhance Research Methods and Statistics -- This free online conference will be held December 9-10 and is currently accepting submissions. Find out more here: www.psychterms.com #statistics
psychterms.com
Conference
Information Learn more about the conference!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
It's the Undergraduate Art in Neuroscience competition! Details here: drive.google.com/file/d/18miY... Submissions open Sept 1. Click to submit here. Submissions close Nov 1, 2026. #neuroskyence
drive.google.com
2026 Art in Neuro announcement.pdf
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Andrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/31/s...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Estimation statistics in the wild: here's a cool paper that models and estimates the impact of our own heartbeat on perception. @estimationstats.bsky.social www.researchgate.net/publication/...
researchgate.net
(PDF) Listening with your heart: The heartbeat shapes auditory object formation by suppressing the early neural response to sound
PDF | Interoceptive sensations, arising from the body's visceral organs such as the heart, are known to impact exteroceptive sensory perception. The... | Find, read and cite all the research you need ...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
New paper on DaBest 2.0, outlining its cool visualizations for complex designs. For both R and python, DaBest is a fantastic, easy tool for focusing on effect sizes and uncertainty. #statsky www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Getting over ANOVA: estimation graphics for multi-group comparisons - Nature Methods
Nature Methods - Getting over ANOVA: estimation graphics for multi-group comparisons
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Jamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Today we launch the first stable release of RegCheck: v1.0.0. RegCheck makes it easier and quicker to compare study registrations to published papers for consistency - something we know is important in principle, but rarely done in practice. A 🧵 on what's new: regcheck.app
regcheck.app
RegCheck
RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.
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Nu Rho Psi @nurhopsi.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Receive up to $1000 from @FUNFaculty to subsidize your travel costs to SfN 2026 in Washington D.C. Applications must be submitted by a FUN faculty member in good standing. Researchers presenting undergraduate research, even if they have already graduated, are…
Post Image
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Will there be a PSE9? Have the dates/locations been determined yet? (trying to plan before my university cuts faculty travel again) @lakens.bsky.social @annaveer.bsky.social
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Society for Neuroscience @sfn.org · 17/06/2026
OMB's proposed rule threatens the foundation of scientific discovery. Join SfN’s Advocacy Team & legislative advisors for this members-only town hall about the rule & other recent actions that have the potential to affect the scientific enterprise. 🔗 vist.ly/584nt #neurosky
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
My buddy Richard Olivo have often talked about how our curmudgeonly takes on the state of #neuroscience makes us feel like we're Statler and Waldorf. Now AI can let us see what that'd look like... and it is spot on!
Bob Calin-Jageman and Richard Olivo portrayed as Statler and Waldorf in an AI-generated image.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Teaching Statistics Using Web Applets–Including esci thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/04...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Psychologists Help Society in so Many Ways thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/04... Portrait below of Ron Cumming, aeronautical engineer, psychologist, pioneer (with Ross Day) of human factors in Australia
Portrait of Ron Cumming, aeronautical engineer, psychologist, pioneer (with Ross Day) of human factors in Australia
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
This is us!! This is the sluglab!!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Recent work from our lab got a lovely write up in @thetransmitter.bsky.social today, summarizing the ongoing mystery of memory maintenance. #neuroscience www.thetransmitter.org/memory/new-s...
thetransmitter.org
New work questions how long-term memories are maintained
An experiment in sea slugs suggests transcriptional changes might fade after 24 hours.
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Jamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
All the more reason to use systematic software designed to tackle this very problem, like RegCheck (regcheck.app)
regcheck.app
RegCheck
RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.
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Martin Plöderl @ploederl.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
1. The paper with the implausibly large effects of Omega-3 fatty acids on mental health was now retracted. A little thread on the process where @ianhussey.mmmdata.io and I was involved. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
RETRACTED: The effects of Omega-3 supplementation on stress, anxiety, depression, sleep quality, and everyday memory in individuals with psychological distress: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-con...
This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier policy on Article Correction, Retraction and Removal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/policies-and…
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
The Faculty for Undergraduate Neuroscience Teaching Workshop will take place July 15-19 at North Central College, just outside of Chicago. Registration is open (tinyurl.com/fun2026nc) and you can still submit a poster. Keynotes include Michell Miller and Alexxai Kravitz. #neuroscience
Registration for the Faculty for Undergraduate Neuroscience Teaching workshop, https://www.funfaculty.org/ev_calendar_day.asp?date=7/16/2026&eventid=23
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Up to 2008 there were over 1700 published gene/schizophrenia association studies implicating over 1000 genes. Now none of these studies are viewed as useful. -- Legge et al., 2025 What a fascinating post-mortem this would make for a meta-science project. #neuroscience #stats #metascience
Despite the enormous body of literature generated (1,727 studies of 1,008 genes), ultimately no unequivocal associations emerged for either positional or functional candidate genes.  -- adapted from Lege et al., 2025
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Earl K. Miller @earlkmiller.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
BOLD is not a simple monotonic readout of local firing. Instead, it reflects the net activity of two opposing neural populations. Interpreting it may require modeling their latent composition, not just overall activity. www.nature.com/articles/s41... #neuroscience
nature.com
Brainwide blood volume reflects opposing neural populations - Nature
Combined functional ultrasound imaging and Neuropixels recording of mouse brains identify two neuronal populations with opposing arousal-related activity and distinct haemodynamic response functi...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Brunch With Petra at the Museum thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/04...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Just saw David Byrne’s Theater of the Mind and let me save anyone reading this $100: skip it. No matter how much you like the talking heads or David Byrne. The show is bad, bad, bad: treacly pablum with some neuroscience demos awkwardly mixed in. 75 minutes and $100 you won’t get back.
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Esther Mondragón @e-mondragon.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Simulator of the following (attentional) models: 🔎 Rescorla-Wagner 🔎 Pearce-Kaye-Hall 🔎 Mackintosh Extended 🔎 Le Pelley’s Hybrid 🔎 Rescorla-Wagner with a unified variable learning rate (integrating Mackintosh’s and Pearce and Hall’s quasi-opposing conceptualisations). github.com/cal-r/PALMS-...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
esci produces lovely figures of effect sizes with CIs for most common designs. It's catching on: In March 2026, esci was downloaded over 2700 times in jamovi and another 700 times in CRAN. Still lots of rough edges-- send feature requests and feedback my way! github.com/rcalinjagema... #stats
Table of module downloads in jamovi for March 2026 showing 2.751 downloads for esciCRAN download icon for esci showing 730 downloads per month
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Brian Nosek @briannosek.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
SCORE, a collaboration of 865 researchers, is now released as three papers in Nature, six preprints, and a lot of data (cos.io/score/). SCORE examined repeatability of findings from the social-behavioral sciences and tested whether human and automated methods could predict replicability.
cos.io
SCORE | Center for Open Science
SCORE shows that there is no shortcut to producing credible research findings, and there is no single indicator of trustworthiness. Research progress depends on transparency, rigor, and establishing r...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Who says null results are uninteresting? Here, our lab shows that most transcriptional changes fade *before* memory expression. This is surprising, and raises lots of interesting questions about how long-term memories are maintained. #neuroskyence #stats www.eneuro.org/content/13/3...
eneuro.org
Transcriptional Changes Fade Prior to Long-Term Memory for Sensitization of the Aplysia Siphon-Withdrawal Reflex
Forming a long-term memory requires changes in neuronal transcription. What happens, though, as the memory is forgotten? And how does the transcriptional state relate to the maintenance and recall of ...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Genuinely a thrill to see figures created with esci popping up in papers. Here's one from a meta-analysis of antibiotic residues in food in Southern Africa... something I know nothing at all about, but apparently esci came in handy. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #stats
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Simine drops in for dinner! thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/03...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
More evidence that intranasal oxytocin does not reliably impact trust: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... Cool work from @wviechtb.bsky.social, @leonieseidel.bsky.social, @dhernaus.bsky.social and others. #neuroskyence #stats.
sciencedirect.com
Absence of a meaningful effect of intranasal oxytocin on trusting behavior: a registered report with pooled equivalence testing
The neuropeptide oxytocin (OXT) is thought to modulate important aspects of prosocial behavior. In a seminal paper, Kosfeld et al. (2005) reported tha…
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
doi.org/10.1111/jep.... Statistical reform spreads around the world and across disciplines: Beyond the p Value Dichotomy: Alternatives for Statistical Inference—A Critical Review
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/03... We want the best research methods–of course–but should also consider philosophy, ethics, global heating and health.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
The eNeuro "Improving Your Neuroscience" series continues with a two-part primer on experimental design and blocking from Penelope Reynolds. These new guides will help you up your design game. #stats #neuroscience www.eneuro.org/content/13/2... www.eneuro.org/content/13/2...
eneuro.org
Experimental Designs for Preclinical Neuroscience Experiments: Part I—Design Basics
Rigorous, statistically grounded experimental design is central to ethical and effective animal research. Foundational principles for statistically based Design of Experiments (DOE) were established o...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Scientists created prosthetic barn-owl ears and got human participants to wear them for 3-59 days. Yes, people walked around with barn-owl ears for up to 2 months *for science*. This is the type of news I need today to restore a bit of my faith in humanity. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Figure from a research paper showing custom-printed barn-owl molds fitted to a human research participant.  Don't worry if you can't see them -- they are not nearly as cool as the phrase 'barn-owl ears' would have you expecting.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Sterling, 1959 updated. We still aren’t sharing science in a scientific manner. With 65 years of knowing the problem, how are we still struggling to address it?
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
So excited to see DaBest 2.0 is out: get bootstrapped estimation statistics for simple through complex designs, all with beautiful visualization, available in R and Python. Check it out! Pre-print describing new features for complex designs: www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6... #stats
biorxiv.org
Getting over ANOVA: Estimation graphics for multi-group comparisons
Data analysis in experimental science mainly relies on null-hypothesis significance testing, despite its well-known limitations. A powerful alternative is estimation statistics, which focuses on effect-size quantification. However, current estimation tools struggle with the complex, multi-group comparisons common in biological research. Here we introduce DABEST 2.0, an estimation framework for complex experimental designs, including shared-control, repeated-measures, two-way factorial experiments, and meta-analysis of replicates. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Looking forward to reading this retrospective on the promise and perils of organizing an RRR with in-person data collected. From: @aggieerin.bsky.social , @psforscher.bsky.social , and others. #stats doi.org/10.1111/spc3...
doi.org
The Challenges and Solutions of In‐Person Big‐Team Science
Big-Team Science (BTS) offers a powerful framework for advancing psychological research through large-scale collaboration, yet the unique challenges of conducting in-person BTS studies remain under-e....
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Jamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Comparing registrations to published papers is essential to research integrity - and almost no one does it routinely because it's slow, messy, and time-demanding. RegCheck was built to help make this process easier. Today, we launch RegCheck V2. 🧵 regcheck.app
regcheck.app
RegCheck
RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
esci 1.0.9 is now on CRAN. No big changes, just a couple of bug fixes and some compatibility changes for statpsych 1.9. Still a great easy way to get effect sizes and fair tests for many common designs. cran.r-project.org/web/packages... #stats
cran.r-project.org
esci: Estimation Statistics with Confidence Intervals
A collection of functions and 'jamovi' module for the estimation approach to inferential statistics, the approach which emphasizes effect sizes, interval estimates, and meta-analysis. Nearly all funct...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/01... A statistics textbook for the AI era
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/01...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
The Faculty for Undergraduate Teaching Workshop is back this summer, July16-19, right outside of Chicago. A great conference with great people. Registration and abstract submission are open… it is going to be great! #neuroscience www.funfaculty.org/conference_2...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Another threat to stereotype threat? An RRR (in press, AMPPS) shows the ~0 impact of stereotype threat on female math performance. Fantastic, arduous work from leads Andrea Stoevenbelt, Paulette C. Flore, and Jelte Wicherts (and DU alum @luis-a-gomez.bsky.social) #stats osf.io/preprints/ps...
The stereotype-threat effect among
women was virtually null and not significant (N = 1275, g = 0.04, SE = 0.08, 95% CI [-0.11; 0.20]), and considerably smaller than the original study (N = 45, d = -0.82; 95% CI [-1.45; -0.18]).
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Some frank talk about paper mills from @sfnjournals.bsky.social . (maybe @cbmetznancy.bsky.social ). Really hard to see how the integrity of scientific publishing will hold up against the incentives and the tools to cheat. #neuroscience www.eneuro.org/content/13/1...
eneuro.org
AI-Generated Scientific Papers: Crisis? What Crisis?
Picture a man in a deckchair, umbrella overhead, relaxing with a drink in hand—while surrounded by industrial wasteland and decay. This was the iconic 1975 album cover for Supertramp's Crisis? What Cr...
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Mattan S. Ben-Shachar @mattansb.msbstats.info · 12/01/2026
Too many significance tests!! Made this little graphic for my #stats class, showing the various kinds of (N)HST and how interpreting confidence intervals can replace all of them. Made with #rstats #ggplot (duh)
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Most neuroscience data is *not* normally distributed... so what should you do about it? Here's a great tutorial from @mikemalekahmadi.bsky.social focused on regression techniques for non-normal data: www.eneuro.org/content/13/1... #stats #neuroscience
eneuro.org
Most Neuroscience Data Is Not Normally Distributed: Analyzing Your Data in a Non-normal World
While the most common statistical tests assume that the error of the dependent variable follows a normal distribution, dependent variables in translational neuroscience studies often fail to meet this...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Another paper I want to read, this one on the interpretation of effect sizes, with data on actual use in psychology. Seems to be another contribution to sentiment that we need to get over Cohen's d -- raw score effect sizes are usually best! doi.org/10.1057/s415...
doi.org
The use and interpretation of unstandardized and standardized effect sizes in psychology: current practices and challenges - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications - The use and interpretation of unstandardized and standardized effect sizes in psychology: current practices and challenges
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
This looks like an interesting discussion of I2 and its interpretation for meta-analysis: doi.org/10.1017/rsm....
doi.org
Reflections on the I-squared index for measuring inconsistency in meta-analysis | Research Synthesis Methods | Cambridge Core
Reflections on the I-squared index for measuring inconsistency in meta-analysis
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Here's an intriguing new(ish) finding from our lab: as a memory is forgotten, transcription seems to fade more rapidly than memory expression. This is a project we completed in 2019 and finally had a chance to write about: www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6... #neuroscience
biorxiv.org
Transcriptional Changes Fade Prior to Long-Term Memory for Sensitization of the Aplysia Siphon-Withdrawal Reflex
Forming a long-term memory requires changes in neuronal transcription. What happens, though, as the memory is forgotten? And how does the transcriptional state relate to the maintenance and recall of ...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Whoever did this, I love you: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pGfN...
youtube.com
1. I watched 40+ hours of Sapolsky neuroscience videos. Madness.
YouTube video by phoboukaideimou
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Jordan Axt @jordanaxt.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
New paper in press at JPSP! An adversarial collaboration focusing on a large-scale test of how strongly implicit racial attitudes predict discriminatory behavior. Pre-print here: osf.io/preprints/ps...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
An unbiased tally of social science experiments shows less than 1/3 of hypotheses were supported. This is what our research literature *should* look like. Biggest predictor of success was sample size, but largely due to ability to detect trivial effects.
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