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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming

@thenewstats.bsky.social
367 followers 209 following 940 posts

Open science, estimation statistics, and random thoughts from Bob Calin-Jageman and Geoff Cumming. thenewstatistics.com/itns

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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Significance Roulette at the p value casino thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/09...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
PsychTERMS: Teaching to Enhance Research Methods and Statistics -- This free online conference will be held December 9-10 and is currently accepting submissions. Find out more here: www.psychterms.com #statistics
psychterms.com
Conference
Information Learn more about the conference!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
It's the Undergraduate Art in Neuroscience competition! Details here: drive.google.com/file/d/18miY... Submissions open Sept 1. Click to submit here. Submissions close Nov 1, 2026. #neuroskyence
drive.google.com
2026 Art in Neuro announcement.pdf
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Andrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/31/s...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Estimation statistics in the wild: here's a cool paper that models and estimates the impact of our own heartbeat on perception. @estimationstats.bsky.social www.researchgate.net/publication/...
researchgate.net
(PDF) Listening with your heart: The heartbeat shapes auditory object formation by suppressing the early neural response to sound
PDF | Interoceptive sensations, arising from the body's visceral organs such as the heart, are known to impact exteroceptive sensory perception. The... | Find, read and cite all the research you need ...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
I don’t think so but on research gate you can request the full text from the authors (or email Adam directly; I’m sure he would be able to send you a copy)
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
New paper on DaBest 2.0, outlining its cool visualizations for complex designs. For both R and python, DaBest is a fantastic, easy tool for focusing on effect sizes and uncertainty. #statsky www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Getting over ANOVA: estimation graphics for multi-group comparisons - Nature Methods
Nature Methods - Getting over ANOVA: estimation graphics for multi-group comparisons
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Jamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Today we launch the first stable release of RegCheck: v1.0.0. RegCheck makes it easier and quicker to compare study registrations to published papers for consistency - something we know is important in principle, but rarely done in practice. A 🧵 on what's new: regcheck.app
regcheck.app
RegCheck
RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.
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Nu Rho Psi @nurhopsi.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Receive up to $1000 from @FUNFaculty to subsidize your travel costs to SfN 2026 in Washington D.C. Applications must be submitted by a FUN faculty member in good standing. Researchers presenting undergraduate research, even if they have already graduated, are…
Post Image
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Awesome! Marking this G14 classified.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Will there be a PSE9? Have the dates/locations been determined yet? (trying to plan before my university cuts faculty travel again) @lakens.bsky.social @annaveer.bsky.social
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Society for Neuroscience @sfn.org · 17/06/2026
OMB's proposed rule threatens the foundation of scientific discovery. Join SfN’s Advocacy Team & legislative advisors for this members-only town hall about the rule & other recent actions that have the potential to affect the scientific enterprise. 🔗 vist.ly/584nt #neurosky
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
The robots in their riot gear Glitter in my rear view mirror (Or something like that)… great album, start to finish.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
My buddy Richard Olivo have often talked about how our curmudgeonly takes on the state of #neuroscience makes us feel like we're Statler and Waldorf. Now AI can let us see what that'd look like... and it is spot on!
Bob Calin-Jageman and Richard Olivo portrayed as Statler and Waldorf in an AI-generated image.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Teaching Statistics Using Web Applets–Including esci thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/04...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Psychologists Help Society in so Many Ways thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/04... Portrait below of Ron Cumming, aeronautical engineer, psychologist, pioneer (with Ross Day) of human factors in Australia
Portrait of Ron Cumming, aeronautical engineer, psychologist, pioneer (with Ross Day) of human factors in Australia
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
This is us!! This is the sluglab!!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Recent work from our lab got a lovely write up in @thetransmitter.bsky.social today, summarizing the ongoing mystery of memory maintenance. #neuroscience www.thetransmitter.org/memory/new-s...
thetransmitter.org
New work questions how long-term memories are maintained
An experiment in sea slugs suggests transcriptional changes might fade after 24 hours.
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Jamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
All the more reason to use systematic software designed to tackle this very problem, like RegCheck (regcheck.app)
regcheck.app
RegCheck
RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.
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Martin Plöderl @ploederl.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
1. The paper with the implausibly large effects of Omega-3 fatty acids on mental health was now retracted. A little thread on the process where @ianhussey.mmmdata.io and I was involved. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
RETRACTED: The effects of Omega-3 supplementation on stress, anxiety, depression, sleep quality, and everyday memory in individuals with psychological distress: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-con...
This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier policy on Article Correction, Retraction and Removal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/policies-and…
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
It's a chapter in this painfully expensive book doi.org/10.1093/med/... It was just a paragraph in their chapter, referring to this rather amazing lookback on the single-gene-association era: doi.org./10.1038/mp.2...
doi.org
Charney and Nestler's Neurobiology of Mental Illness
Abstract. These are exciting times for psychiatry and clinical neuroscience. Our knowledge of basic brain function continues to increase at an accelerating
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
The Faculty for Undergraduate Neuroscience Teaching Workshop will take place July 15-19 at North Central College, just outside of Chicago. Registration is open (tinyurl.com/fun2026nc) and you can still submit a poster. Keynotes include Michell Miller and Alexxai Kravitz. #neuroscience
Registration for the Faculty for Undergraduate Neuroscience Teaching workshop, https://www.funfaculty.org/ev_calendar_day.asp?date=7/16/2026&eventid=23
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
One ray of hope -- meta-analyses of these early candidates were already converging on null results. That's surprising to me, and I wonder what the conditions were that enabled cumulative success.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Here's a fascinating start, assembling the evidence from early studies and from more-recent GWAS studies for 25 leading candidate genes: Farrell, M., et al. Evaluating historical candidate genes for schizophrenia. Mol Psychiatry 20, 555–562 (2015). doi-org.proxy.cc.uic.edu/10.1038/mp.2...
doi-org.proxy.cc.uic.edu
Shibboleth Authentication Request
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Up to 2008 there were over 1700 published gene/schizophrenia association studies implicating over 1000 genes. Now none of these studies are viewed as useful. -- Legge et al., 2025 What a fascinating post-mortem this would make for a meta-science project. #neuroscience #stats #metascience
Despite the enormous body of literature generated (1,727 studies of 1,008 genes), ultimately no unequivocal associations emerged for either positional or functional candidate genes.  -- adapted from Lege et al., 2025
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Earl K. Miller @earlkmiller.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
BOLD is not a simple monotonic readout of local firing. Instead, it reflects the net activity of two opposing neural populations. Interpreting it may require modeling their latent composition, not just overall activity. www.nature.com/articles/s41... #neuroscience
nature.com
Brainwide blood volume reflects opposing neural populations - Nature
Combined functional ultrasound imaging and Neuropixels recording of mouse brains identify two neuronal populations with opposing arousal-related activity and distinct haemodynamic response functi...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Brunch With Petra at the Museum thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/04...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Just saw David Byrne’s Theater of the Mind and let me save anyone reading this $100: skip it. No matter how much you like the talking heads or David Byrne. The show is bad, bad, bad: treacly pablum with some neuroscience demos awkwardly mixed in. 75 minutes and $100 you won’t get back.
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Esther Mondragón @e-mondragon.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Simulator of the following (attentional) models: 🔎 Rescorla-Wagner 🔎 Pearce-Kaye-Hall 🔎 Mackintosh Extended 🔎 Le Pelley’s Hybrid 🔎 Rescorla-Wagner with a unified variable learning rate (integrating Mackintosh’s and Pearce and Hall’s quasi-opposing conceptualisations). github.com/cal-r/PALMS-...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
esci produces lovely figures of effect sizes with CIs for most common designs. It's catching on: In March 2026, esci was downloaded over 2700 times in jamovi and another 700 times in CRAN. Still lots of rough edges-- send feature requests and feedback my way! github.com/rcalinjagema... #stats
Table of module downloads in jamovi for March 2026 showing 2.751 downloads for esciCRAN download icon for esci showing 730 downloads per month
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Brian Nosek @briannosek.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
SCORE, a collaboration of 865 researchers, is now released as three papers in Nature, six preprints, and a lot of data (cos.io/score/). SCORE examined repeatability of findings from the social-behavioral sciences and tested whether human and automated methods could predict replicability.
cos.io
SCORE | Center for Open Science
SCORE shows that there is no shortcut to producing credible research findings, and there is no single indicator of trustworthiness. Research progress depends on transparency, rigor, and establishing r...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Who says null results are uninteresting? Here, our lab shows that most transcriptional changes fade *before* memory expression. This is surprising, and raises lots of interesting questions about how long-term memories are maintained. #neuroskyence #stats www.eneuro.org/content/13/3...
eneuro.org
Transcriptional Changes Fade Prior to Long-Term Memory for Sensitization of the Aplysia Siphon-Withdrawal Reflex
Forming a long-term memory requires changes in neuronal transcription. What happens, though, as the memory is forgotten? And how does the transcriptional state relate to the maintenance and recall of ...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Not entirely sure what is going on with the prediction interval in this figure... will need to do some investigating!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Genuinely a thrill to see figures created with esci popping up in papers. Here's one from a meta-analysis of antibiotic residues in food in Southern Africa... something I know nothing at all about, but apparently esci came in handy. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #stats
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Simine drops in for dinner! thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/03...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Also, really pleased that my re-analysis of the original oxytocin/trust study by Kosfeld et al. came in handy for this project, and that my belief that there was an error in a key figure held up.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
The early intranasal oxytocin and human social behavior field is a cautionary tale, and should be taught in grad schools to help trainees understand how not to do science.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
More evidence that intranasal oxytocin does not reliably impact trust: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... Cool work from @wviechtb.bsky.social, @leonieseidel.bsky.social, @dhernaus.bsky.social and others. #neuroskyence #stats.
sciencedirect.com
Absence of a meaningful effect of intranasal oxytocin on trusting behavior: a registered report with pooled equivalence testing
The neuropeptide oxytocin (OXT) is thought to modulate important aspects of prosocial behavior. In a seminal paper, Kosfeld et al. (2005) reported tha…
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
doi.org/10.1111/jep.... Statistical reform spreads around the world and across disciplines: Beyond the p Value Dichotomy: Alternatives for Statistical Inference—A Critical Review
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
thenewstatistics.com/itns/2026/03... We want the best research methods–of course–but should also consider philosophy, ethics, global heating and health.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
If you have an idea for a piece for this series, let me know!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Check out the entire collection of Improving Your Neuroscience here: www.eneuro.org/collection/i... Great papers for you and your trainees on confirmation bias, dealing with non-normal data, teaching rigor, using simulations to plan research and more.
eneuro.org
Improving Your Neuroscience | eNeuro
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
The eNeuro "Improving Your Neuroscience" series continues with a two-part primer on experimental design and blocking from Penelope Reynolds. These new guides will help you up your design game. #stats #neuroscience www.eneuro.org/content/13/2... www.eneuro.org/content/13/2...
eneuro.org
Experimental Designs for Preclinical Neuroscience Experiments: Part I—Design Basics
Rigorous, statistically grounded experimental design is central to ethical and effective animal research. Foundational principles for statistically based Design of Experiments (DOE) were established o...
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
3 of the researchers were participants... I know I wouldn't have been able to resist, either! Suit me up with my custom-printed barn-owl ears, please!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Why did they do this? To find out if the human auditory system is flexible enough to learn to localize sounds vertically, the way barn owls do. The answer: partly! But honestly, I'm just excited that they *did* this.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Scientists created prosthetic barn-owl ears and got human participants to wear them for 3-59 days. Yes, people walked around with barn-owl ears for up to 2 months *for science*. This is the type of news I need today to restore a bit of my faith in humanity. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Figure from a research paper showing custom-printed barn-owl molds fitted to a human research participant.  Don't worry if you can't see them -- they are not nearly as cool as the phrase 'barn-owl ears' would have you expecting.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Because traditional NHST doesn't allow the skeptic to win, we've maligned the need to do so: uninteresting, just mistakes, can't prove a negative, etc. But this is just rationalizing our way into accepting the limitations of the tool. Fruitful science must be able to rule in and rule out effects!
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
"near 0" findings have been just essential for science as "not 0" findings. Pasteur, for example, showed that quantity of bacteria formed under sterile conditions is near 0, disproving the theory of spontaneous generation.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
So, just tests with results that we like? I think you are confusing "effect is near 0" with uninteresting. Not true! Near 0 is interesting (and vital to publish) when a leading theory predicted an effect. It's interesting (and vital) to producing parsimonious models.
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Bob C-J and Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Personally, I think we need all valid studies published. What we need (I think) is to think more critically about quality/validity— it is not about p value obtained or even ci width— it is evaluated from construct validity, positive and negative controls, design features, overlapping evidence, etc.
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