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Stefano Sangiovanni

@stesangio.bsky.social
204 followers 288 following 32 posts

PostDoc @uni-konstanz.de @excinequality.bsky.social | PhD UniMi ste-sangiovanni.github.io Computational Methods | Party Politics | Valence Issues | Experiments Just a nerd with some muddling through skills. I really like (punk) music! #Firstgen

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Reposted by Stefano Sangiovanni
Alex Hartland @alexhartland.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📄 New Publication 📄 When AI Talks Politics: How reliable is ChatGPT? Co-authored with Daniela Braun, @giucarny.bsky.social and @rosanavarrete.bsky.social Now available Open Access @electoralstudies.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 🧵
sciencedirect.com
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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 22/09/2026
Far right parties strategically increase the (descriptive) representation of women assuming it helps them win votes in general and, in particular, from women. Does it work? In this short descriptive piece, I show the answer in the case of Reform UK is a clear ‘no’ doi.org/10.1332/2515...
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Federico Trastulli @fedetrastulli.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🇮🇹 Una bella chiacchierata su Varieties of Social Democracy e sui temi della sinistra ieri con @vincenzoemanuele.bsky.social sul suo canale YouTube, che potete recuperare qui: www.youtube.com/live/gVDDl4Z...
youtube.com
Perché la sinistra non vince più? E cosa dovrebbe fare per tornare a vincere?
YouTube video by Vincenzo Emanuele
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Nicolás de la Cerda @ndelacerda.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
New with @jacobgunderson.bsky.social , in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social (open access): "Positional Blurring in Context." Europe's populist parties typically blur their economic platforms but stay sharp on cultural issues. Does that hold everywhere? 🧵 doi.org/10.1017/S153...
doi.org
Positional Blurring in Context: How Dimensionality and Ideology Constrain Strategy | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Positional Blurring in Context: How Dimensionality and Ideology Constrain Strategy
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Jan Schwalbach @janschwalbach.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
🚨New article in Nature Scientific Data: The ParlLawSpeech Parliamentary Text Data Collection > 3 Million Parliamentary Bills, Laws, and Speeches from 8 Legislatures: doi.org/10.1038/s415... with @lukashetzer.eurosky.social @sopro.bsky.social @chrauh.bsky.social @miklossebok.bsky.social 1/6
doi.org
The ParlLawSpeech Parliamentary Text Data Collection > 3 Million Parliamentary Bills, Laws, and Speeches from 8 Legislatures - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - The ParlLawSpeech Parliamentary Text Data Collection > 3 Million Parliamentary Bills, Laws, and Speeches from 8 Legislatures
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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Does ideological congruence or perceived competence matter more for vote choice? @dieterstiers.bsky.social & @annkristinkolln.bsky.social argue both matter, but valence consistently outweighs spatial considerations. Read more: buff.ly/J3cy21u @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky #polsci
Abstract
Rational choice theories offer one of the major explanations for citizens’ voting behavior. The most prominent models within the rational choice framework – spatial and valence voting – share the same roots but differ in central aspects, emphasizing ideological congruence and competence evaluations, respectively. In this note, we provide a direct test of the models’ relative strength. Does a party’s issue congruence with a voter (spatial) or its effectiveness in handling important issues (valence) have a larger effect on vote choice? Our results from lab-like conditions using a novel conjoint experiment show strong evidence for both models, but valence evaluations consistently trump spatial considerations. These results have important implications for research on electoral behavior, party politics, and democratic representation.
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Gaetano Inglese @gaetanoinglese.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Delighted to have presented my work on how rising house prices are shaping the politics of private renters in the UK in front of UK politics scholars at the #EPOP Conference in Liverpool! @psaepop.bsky.social @lsegovernment.bsky.social
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Lena Stephan @lenastephan.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Happy to see our paper with @annevanbavel.bsky.social on the negative consequences of political harassment towards MPs on their staff out in Parliamentary Affairs! Almost all staffers witness harassment towards MPs which discourages them from politics … (1/3) academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
academic.oup.com
The negative spillover effect of political harassment toward MPs: evidence from MPs personal staff
Abstract. Harassment politicians face has direct consequences on their working reality, yet the indirect spillover effects on those who witness it remain u
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social "What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success" Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
journals.uchicago.edu
What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP) is now online! 🇩🇪 GLMP provides a systematically documented & reproducible corpus of local manifestos & related political programmes from municipalities across Germany. Browse & download the data: localmanifestoproject.de @christinajuen.bsky.social
localmanifestoproject.de
German Local Manifesto Project
Besuche den Beitrag für mehr Info.
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Alessio Scopelliti @scopelliti.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I am very happy to share our new article, published in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social co-authored with Prof Andrea Ceron! This work looks at how parties use the rhetoric of responsibility in their electoral manifestos. #PoliticalScience #PartyPolitics #PoliticalCommunication #Manifestos #LLMs #NLP
lnkd.in
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
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Computational Communication Science Lab (CCL) @compcommlab.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
📢 We’re hiring a Postdoc in Computational Communication Science at the University of Vienna! 🔎 Text/image analysis, platform data & political communication 📍 Vienna ⏳ 6 years, full-time ⏰ Apply by 3 Oct jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi... Find out more about our team here: compcommlab.univie.ac.at
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
@christinajuen.bsky.social & I are very happy to see our first publication of our @dfg.de project published in Party Politics. GLMP provides a new dataset for studying local party politics in 🇩🇪: 2,307 manifestos from 306 political actors in 248 municipalities (1989-2024) doi.org/10.1177/1354...
doi.org
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP): A new data source for studying local party politics - Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen, 2026
Local politics remains comparatively understudied in political science, partly due to limited data on party competition at the municipal level. This research no...
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Ala Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
How do refugee crises end? In Dec. 2024, Syrian dictator Assad fled to Russia, ending a regime that displaced millions Would Syrians go back now the regime fell? Our paper tests this with original panel data (2019-2026), ~3k Syrian refugees, spanning fall of Assad osf.io/preprints/so... 🧵 1/8
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨 I am extremely excited that the First View of my new article "Strongmen, Populism, and Soccer: Comparing Silvio Berlusconi, Viktor Orbán, and Donald Trump" is now available. It was quite an ordeal to get it past reviewer 2, but I made it with help of special issue editors.
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Saxony-Anhalt went to the polls, with the AfD falling just short of a majority. Here are some takeaways based on the preliminary results across all 218 municipalities and local socioeconomic characteristics. A thread 🧵(1 /n) Full analysis + write-up: juliuskoelzer.de/saxony-anhal...
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Emma Hoes @emmahoes.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Thrilled to share that I have received an ERC Starting Grant for my project HIDDENPOL: The Hidden Politics of Everyday Media. 🎈 @erc.europa.eu
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Mike Cowburn @mikecowburn.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
📄New preprint with @steffenhurka.bsky.social , @steffiru.bsky.social, and @kaplaner.bsky.social. (@demolaw.bsky.social) Divided We Legislate: How Party Conflict Shapes Legislative Design. doi.org/10.33774/aps...
doi.org
Divided We Legislate: How Party Conflict Shapes Legislative Design
Though research on elite party conflict has long emphasized its effect on legislative productivity and outcomes, little attention has been paid to how these dynamics shape the design of legislation it...
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Whose fault is it really? 👉️ 👈️ Andrea Ceron of @ecprsgpp.bsky.social and @scopelliti.bsky.social analyse responsibility rhetoric to suggest that it is used by parties moderating their policy positions to explain shifts from tradition buff.ly/wd9dZCs
cambridge.org
The rhetoric of responsibility in party manifestos (1980–2021) | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The rhetoric of responsibility in party manifestos (1980–2021)
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Zeljko Poljak @zeljkopoljak.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
What makes citizens engage with politicians on social media? Our new study shows that negativity, particularly personal attacks and incivility, gets attention, but not necessarily approval. Citizens comment and share more on such posts, but they don’t necessarily like them. ➡️ doi.org/10.1057/s412...
link.springer.com
Engaging citizens? The role of negativity and incivility on politicians’ social media - Acta Politica
Studies show that negative social media posts by politicians generate higher levels of citizen engagement, yet not all forms of negativity have the same effects, nor do they operate uniformly across c...
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Giovanna Invernizzi @ginvernizzi.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Bocconi University is hiring an open-rank Comparative Politics position! Scholars at all levels with strong research agendas welcome; rigorous quantitative analysis (empirical or theoretical) highly preferred. Deadline: Oct 1, 2026. Apply: unibocconi.eu/jobmarket
unibocconi.eu
Job Market - Bocconi University
Recruiting, Faculty, Post-doc Grant, Collaboration Contracts
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Federico Trastulli @fedetrastulli.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
It's here! ✨📕 In Varieties of Social Democracy in Western Europe (Palgrave Macmillan @springernature.com), I show that the varying ideological differences between social democrats are primarily shaped by how external constraints are configured in their national context at a given time. 1/4
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Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
New project and dashboard on football and politics: footballinparliament.com Stefan Couperus, Martijn Schoonvelde, and I (supporters of FC Groningen, AZ Alkmaar, and Borussia Mönchengladbach, guess who’s who) were wondering how and why politicians talk about football clubs. 1/5
Dashboard: https://footballinparliament.com
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Andreas Küpfer @ankuepfer.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
We've built a website for our DFG project: we collect, process, and study 30,000+ hours of video recordings of legislative debate in all German State Parliaments and the German Bundestag! ⤵️ videoparl.github.io
videoparl.github.io
VideoParl — Analysis of Parliamentary Debates Using Multimodal Data
VideoParl is a DFG-funded research project analyzing text, audio and video from German parliamentary debates.
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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Siri, please shows me the best pro-immigration poster for a declining demographic country with an anti-immigration government www.olympics.com/en/news/sara...
olympics.com
European Aquatics Championships 2026: Sara Curtis breaks women's 50m backstroke world record again to claim gold
The 19-year-old broke the world record for the second night in a row, touching in 26.56 to take her first European title.
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Štěpán Jabůrek @stepanjaburek.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
🚨New Data🚨 We just released the "Machine-translated ParlSpeech V2" on Harvard Dataverse! It contains 3.5M parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, NL, SE) translated into English using open-source models. w/ Adam Černý @chrauh.bsky.social @janschwalbach.bsky.social ⬇️
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Stefano Sangiovanni @stesangio.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
📢 First paper from my PhD dissertation now out in JEPOP! Parties don’t just campaign on policies. They also try to convince voters they’re competent, trustworthy and capable of governing. But do valence appeals actually relate to polling gains during election campaigns? 📄 doi.org/10.1080/1745...
doi.org
Valence strategies and polling support during electoral campaigns
Valence issues play a central role in electoral competition, yet less is known about whether emphasizing valence during campaigns is associated with shifts in party support, and under what conditio...
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Marius Sältzer @msaeltzer.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Job Alert! We now have another position in computational social science. In the context of an interdisciplinary method center, we offer a 4+1 year 100% postdoc position with no teaching! If you have any questions, send me a PM. uol.de/en/job/postd...
uol.de
Postdoctoral Position in Digital Social Sciences and Humanities // University of Oldenburg
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Andrej Cvetić @andrejcvetic.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Does anyone have colleagues/friends who recently passed through Canadian work permit application process as postdocs? I'd be very happy to connect and discuss the process. Thanks!
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Elena Pro @elenapro.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
New (and personal first!) paper out in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social w/ Chris Anderson. 🤖🗳️ Citizens increasingly use and interact with AI tools to make sense of political information and express views. We ask: what does this mean for citizens' autonomy in politics?
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
NEW - The Equality Positions and Policies of Governments, 1970–2020: How Egalitarian Parties Evoke Equality While Evading Real Redistribution - cup.org/3TLOKfb - @alexanderhorn.bsky.social & @leoahrens.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing selective egalitarianism in economic policies, analyzing political manifestos and OECD countries' approaches to taxation and redistribution. The focus is on party competence and policy complexity, highlighting challenges in implementing redistributive measures effectively.
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Georgy Tarasenko @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
🔔🔔 Russian polls have shown ~75% support for the war in Ukraine since February 2022, essentially flat. New working paper with Kirill Chmel and @nikitasavin.bsky.social shows that number is stable partly because it stopped measuring what people actually think. 🧵 ssrn.com/abstract=711...
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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
New publication out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! We know young voters vote for different parties and hold different attitudes than older citizens. What we know less about: whether they also care differently about political issues. Using novel experimental survey data, I show: they do! 👇
cambridge.org
“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old
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Melanie Sauter @melinscribe.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Day 5 of our Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology! It’s been inspiring to see participants from across countries exchange ideas, build collaborations, and strengthen a supportive research community. Huge thanks to our fantastic speakers, organizing team, and supporters! 🙌 #PolMeth #WPM
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Politische Vierteljahresschrift @pvs-journal.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Which city/district councils have live streams of their meeting and can they serve as a data source for political scientists? Do politicians behave differently when they are on a live stream? Find out in the open access research note by Paul Reimers (in German) doi.org/10.1007/s11615-026-00672-8
doi.org
Bridging the Gap? Liveübertragungen in Kreistagen und Stadträten als Datengrundlage für die politikwissenschaftliche Forschung - Politische Vierteljahresschrift
The scarcity of meeting minutes makes it difficult to analyze the working methods of local political bodies and the behavior of the actors involved. The increasing availability of livestreams and video recordings of district and city council meetings is helping to remedy this situation. Combined with technical innovations for extracting and processing large (multimodal) datasets, this availability enables new perspectives for local political research. However, for this wealth of data to be widely used, it must be generalizable to the broader population of local government bodies. Accordingly, questions arise regarding whether districts and cities that offer livestreams and recordings differ systematically from those that do not and whether these broadcasts induce shifts in local political debates.To this end, based on systematic research and a survey of district council members, this study describes the legal, political, and financial framework for introducing such recordings and examines the resulting influence on speakers’ behavior. Meeting recordings are available, particularly in large cities, but have so far been scarce in districts with low population density; furthermore, significant differences exist among the federal states. The survey indicates that adjustments to expanded public visibility of meetings are also occurring at the local level. Thus, the external validity of meeting recordings as a data source is not yet established, which should be taken into account during research design and case selection.
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davidbroska.bsky.social @davidbroska.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Americans say they want less inequality. Why don’t they support policies to reduce it? New paper: across 31 nationally representative survey waves (N=384,248) and a preregistered experiment (N=1,009), Americans favor PREdistributive over REdistributive policies 🧵 osf.io/preprints/so...
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Rachel Porter @rachelporter.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Back with a substantially revised version of our Information Limits paper ahead of #PolMeth Huge thanks to everyone whose comments and feedback have already helped improve the paper We’d love to hear what you think: osf.io/preprints/so...
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Chris Arnold @chrisguarnold.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
When the far right enters parliament, established parties go high on average. But right after a far-right speech, they answer madly in anger: in words, voice, and body. Joint work with @ankuepfer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social presented at #PolMeth2026 at Michigan State.
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Alona O. Dolinsky @alonadolinsky.com · 14/07/2026
If you know of a flat/house that is going to be available in Dublin 7 in the next 5 weeks, please please please let me know.
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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6]
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Lauren Leek @laurenleek.eu · 02/07/2026
NEW! Combining my two obsessions of cycling and political economy data into a new Substack: Tour de Data. Daily posts for every stage of the Tour de France, digging into what the race tells us about money, place, and power. Not just who's in yellow;) 🚴📊 tourdedata.substack.com
tourdedata.substack.com
Tour de data | Lauren Leek | Substack
Everyone watches the racing. I'm watching the data on riders, money, towns, and what the Tour is really about. Click to read Tour de data, by Lauren Leek, a Substack publication. Launched 18 hours ago...
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Korinna Lindemann @korinlind.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
📢 Job Ad: I am looking for one doctoral researcher (75%) in my newly funded DFG project on misperceptions and factual information on immigration from 1.10. or soon after! 📌 Location: MZES, University of Mannheim 💢 Application Deadline: 21st of July
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Jessica Haak @haakjes.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
💭 Looks like the heat wave has brought some attention to my study - enough that it got a mention in the New York Times 👉 www.nytimes.com/2026/06/26/w... It’s also a good example of how weather extremes can shift public attention toward climate change (without necessarily prompting policy change).
nytimes.com
As Europe Sweats, Some Politicians Talk of Air-Conditioning, Not Climate Action
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Michele Scotto di Vettimo @michelesdv.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
🚨🚨 500+ University of Exeter staff are at risk of compulsory redundancy. These cuts would devastate teaching, research, and the humanities. Stand with staff, students, and the wider community - sign and share the petition. @exeter.ac.uk @uniofexeternews.bsky.social @ucu.org.uk c.org/cJmrk7DNq4
c.org
Sign the Petition
Stop Redundancies at the University of Exeter
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Stefano Sangiovanni @stesangio.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Almost ready to fly to Belfast #EPSS2026 I’ll be presenting work from a broader project on political scandals and electoral accountability, joint work with Andrea Ceron and @ginvernizzi.bsky.social If you'll also be in Belfast and want to chat, feel free to reach out or say hi 💙
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Yiqing Xu @yiqingxu.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
My very personal reflection on the use of AI in social science, perhaps the first of many. yiqingxu.substack.com/p/ai-disarray
yiqingxu.substack.com
AI Disarray
I have felt a little disarrayed recently, and I attribute it to AI.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Heading to the #EPSSBelfast conference next week? The EPSS Diversity Committee has organized several events to make this a welcoming space for everyone. Quick thread on what's happening and when 👇
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⭕⭕⭕ Zoë Greene ⭕⭕⭕ @zdgreene.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
But, apparently it is ok to use these same models to make decisions "balancing" the human rights of marginalised groups in the UK. They refused to provide the model, how it was checked, if humans were involved, or anything else. Many reasonable questions to ask which laws were violated by the EHRC.
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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Image showing the abstract of the paper "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies at the Voting Booth" by Werner Krause and Christina Gahn, published in the Journal of Politics. The abstract describes a quasi-experimental study across 25 countries finding that parties polling just below electoral thresholds are approximately 45 percentage points less likely to clear them, and that this effect diminishes when voters are informed about polling uncertainty.
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Amelia Malpas @malpas.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
I'm working on a project on cross-national young gender gap that shows dif patterns. The below w ESS & CSES data show 1. Dif in ideology (id=standardized by country) btwn young men & women, where x is year & y is standard deviations 2. Young men & women ideology relative to other age-gender groups
This shows the difference in young men's and young women's (<30) ideology, standardized by country, over the last two decades. The trend lines include confidence intervals. A point above the dotted line indicates that young men are to the right of young women. This shows the average ideology of age-gender groups between 2002 and 2023. Ideology is standardized within country. Above the dotted line means the group is that many standard deviations more right than their country mean, while below the line means the group is that many standard deviations left of their country mean.
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