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Simon Stückelberger

@sstueckelberger.bsky.social
249 followers 816 following 5 posts

Politikwissenschaftler | Sotomo | Wahlkampagnen, (Online-)Targeting www.politransparency.ch

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Reposted by Simon Stückelberger
Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Taktisches Wählen soll eine Regierung der AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt verhindern. Für @zeit.de schreibe ich, warum die Strategie der politischen Mitte in Ostdeutschland kurzfristig helfen mag, aber langfristig nicht ihre strukturellen Probleme löst – und mache einen Vorschlag. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
shorturl.at
Landtagswahlen: Der Preis des taktischen Wählens
Je mehr Parteien es über die Fünf-Prozent-Hürde schaffen, desto geringer sind die Chancen der AfD auf eine Mehrheit. Über die Chancen und Schwächen der Strategie
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Mario Stäuble @mariostauble.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Die ersten Hochrechnungen von @tagesanzeiger.bsky.social und @leewas.bsky.social sind da. Nein-Trend bei 10-Millionen-Schweiz, Ja-Trend beim Zivildienstgesetz. Es ist aber noch früh, der Unsicherheitsbereich ist noch recht hoch. Details hier: www.tagesanzeiger.ch/10-millionen...
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Christian Jakob @chrjkb.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Den Wal vermenschlichen so viele, weil er ihnen als Individuum entgegentritt. Wer aber zur anonymen Masse entmenschlicht wird, dessen Leid rührt nicht mehr an. So wird Akzeptanz dafür geschaffen, Geflüchtete weiter sterben zu lassen. Bei ihnen ist Wegschauen Programm. taz.de/Todeszone-Mi...
taz.de
Todeszone Mittelmeer: Als Wal wäre ihnen das nicht passiert
Das Massensterben von Migranten auf See ging auch diese Woche weiter. Doch für unsere Mitmenschen dort gibt es keinen Liveticker und kein Mitleid.
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
I spent weeks watching hundreds of videos from Jan 6th to place them in time and space as part of a collaboration with Richard Engel, and I can categorically say this version of events is bullshit.
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Simon Stückelberger @sstueckelberger.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Jon Stewart said it best: it's not the fragility of audiences, it's the fragility of leaders that are a threat to comedy and freedom. youtube.com/clip/Ugkxi8d...
youtube.com
YouTube
Share your videos with friends, family, and the world
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Reposted by Simon Stückelberger
Social Media Lab @socialmedialab.ca · 25/07/2025
"Meta will no longer accept political, election or issue ads in EU" www.axios.com/2025/07/25/m...
axios.com
Meta will no longer accept political, election or issue ads in EU
Meta's decision comes ahead of regulation it says will cause "significant operational challenges and legal uncertainties."
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
What Abou-Chadi et al. show here is not just that conservative migration positions won't help social-democrats to attract voters, but also that left positions on retirement (that is allowing for early retirement) make social-democrats most attractive (and right positions make them less attracitve).
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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
*Register data* results now published for whole Germany: 37% of women under 25 voted for die Linke in the German federal elections in 2025. Also very striking to see that the AfD was the strongest party among *all age groups of men except those older than 60*.
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Julian Schmidli @julianschmidli.com · 27/06/2025
Mal wieder ein Hinweis auf unseren Klimamonitor, der seit Jahren täglich das aktuelle Wetter einordnet und in grössere Zusammenhänge bringt. www.srf.ch/news/schweiz...
srf.ch
Klimamonitor - Am Puls des Planeten – tägliche Zahlen und Fakten zum Klima
Temperaturen, Gletscherabfluss, Solarausbau – die wichtigsten Daten und Hintergründe, täglich aktualisiert.
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Simon Stückelberger @sstueckelberger.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Nice thread on the importance of migration for the (Swiss) watch industry.
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
Populism remains an important necessary concept to understand current political transformations. But analysts need to move away from it as the main focus. Authoritarian nativism, white supremacy, racism, sexism and fascism are the ideologies at the core of the current erosion of liberal democracy 1/
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Dr. Sarah Parcak @indyfromspace.bsky.social · 04/05/2025
This article. My god. www.thenation.com/article/soci...
thenation.com
Why I Had to Flee the United States
I was a political prisoner in Egypt. I didn’t want to become one again in America.
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Tim Verstynen @tdverstynen.bsky.social · 04/05/2025
A great and useful summary as to why science is inherently political, though only partisan when partisans make it so.
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
Give this a listen. Trump and Rubio are locking up people for engaging in speech, without any tangible evidence of wrongdoing or even hateful speech. So it's good to hear from the people they are demonizing.
On the day he was detained:

When I get the appointment the first thing was uh… is this a trap or is it legit? And I realized directly that I am dealing with two extreme opposite poles. One is becoming a citizen with full rights, and the other one is being detained and having no rights.

I see the risk, I see the opportunity, and I want the American people to see this, too. To see this level of injustice. That I am doing everything legally, that I have prepared and studied for the Constitution and that I went willingly and respected the law, did everything the way how it's supposed to be done.
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
We spent an absurd amount of time in 2022-24 denying this gap b/w consumer sentiment & behavior existed & inventing complex explanations like “felt inflation,” when the answers were right there. It was a sobering lesson in many things, including the politics of Narratives™️ bsky.app/profile/mcop...
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Simon Stückelberger @sstueckelberger.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Im Lärm der Musk-Kettensäge geht unter: Auch die Schweiz will bei der Forschung massiv sparen. Dumme Idee!
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
This chart was made in America by skilled artisans. It also provides important context for understanding our current tariff situation.
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Julian Schmidli @julianschmidli.com · 03/04/2025
Neues zum Unterschriften-Bschiss: Wir haben Daten zur kantonalen Verteilung von Initiativ-Unterschriften analysiert. Ab 2016 - Aufkommen von Sammelfirmen - zeigen sich klare Verschiebungen. Viel mehr Unterschriften aus der Romandie – z.T. bis zu 80% (Organspende-Initiative).
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Michael Wong @miquai.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
I received a heartbreaking email today: A paper in a special issue I’m editing is being retracted because one of its authors is afraid of losing their job and their legal status in the U.S. if they publish a scientific study on evolution. Yes, on evolution, nature's engine of diversity.
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Jan-Werner Mueller @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
True. One difference: other aspiring autocrats asked themselves how the rest of the world might react; clearly not the case here…
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Sarah Bütikofer @sarahbuetikofer.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Wir probieren ein ganz neues Format aus: Public Viewing der Bundesratswahlen mit satirischen & fachlichen Einschätzungen! 12. März, Universität Bern, ab 8 Uhr. Eintritt frei. Mit Satiriker Michael Elsener und den Politologinnen @istad.bsky.social @sarahbuetikofer.bsky.social
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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 07/03/2025
NEW: The actions of Trump and Vance in recent weeks highlight something under-appreciated. The American right is now ideologically closer to countries like Russia, Turkey and in some senses China, than to the rest of the west (even the conservative west). My column: www.ft.com/content/3046...
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Sean Müller @seanstmllr.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Explains the success of the 13th AUV/AVS initiative: everybody wants higher pensions, some just even more than others! Plus aging society & pro-old bias in participation... welcome to the pension state!
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Simon Stückelberger @sstueckelberger.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Mit 1. Klass Super Sparschiene darf ich nicht rein in die DB lounge. So billig kriegt man also nicht Zugang zur obersten Schicht der Pendler. Bleibt mir nur die Lounge des Pöbels: vapiano.
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Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · 14/02/2025
Curious about targeting strategies in the 2025 German elections? 🗳️ favstats.github.io/de25/targeti... Updated daily, my dashboard tracks how much € German parties spend on targeted ads. For example 1M on “lookalike” audiences to reach people similar to a pre-defined audience (often supporters). 📊
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Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · 13/02/2025
⏰ New Dashboard Time! Tracking AI content in the 2025 German elections! The CampAIgn Tracker is live! 🤖 📊 What it does? - Tracks AI posts & ads from parties - Shows whether use of AI was disclosed - Lets you explore AI content by party, platform, & more! 🔍 Check it out: www.campaigntracker.de
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George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
It was never about “free speech.”
A tweet from rohit (@krishnanrohit) saying "This is Orwellian" in response to a tweet by Alessandro Rigolon (@alerigolon). Rigolon shares that he was instructed to remove the word "climate" from the title of an ongoing grant to keep it and that publications from the grant cannot include the word "climate" or other forbidden words. Rigolon expresses disbelief at this situation, noting that he is writing from the United States of America. The hashtag #AcademicSky is included.
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Josh Chafetz @joshchafetz.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
But, honestly, the crisis is Trump ignoring absolutely bedrock constitutional principles (like the congressional power of the purse and birthright citizenship) and clear statutory text (like the Impoundment Control Act). It's not Trump ignoring some district judge.
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Sean Müller @seanstmllr.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
79% Nein, in allen 79 Gemeinden, zu Stimmrechtsalter 16 im Kanton Luzern 🫣 #chvote #abst
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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Ruralites dislike urbanites - but not vice versa. This paper by @alinazumbrunn.bsky.social investigates affective polarization among ruralites, suburbanites & urbanites in 🇨🇭. doi.org/10.1080/0140... #polisky #academicsky
Abstract of the article "An unrequited conflict: affective polarisation among ruralites, suburbanites and urbanites in Switzerland" by Alina Zumbrunn. Published online first in West European Politics.Figure 1, displaying the affective polarisation between rural and urban residents.Figure 3, displaying the affective polarisation between rural and suburban residents.Figure 5, displaying the affective polarisation between urban and suburban residents.
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Jeremy Faust, MD @jeremyfaust.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
BREAKING NEWS: CDC orders mass retraction and revision of submitted research across all science and medicine journals. Banned terms must be scrubbed. Goes beyond MMWR +other CDC pubs. Applies to research already submitted to top medical journals. Take a look. open.substack.com/pub/insideme...
open.substack.com
BREAKING NEWS: CDC orders mass retraction and revision of submitted research across all science and medicine journals. Banned terms must be scrubbed.
Any unpublished manuscript mentioning certain topics, including gender and "LGBT," must be pulled or revised.
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Christian Stecker @pluggedchris.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
With the joint majority of AfD and CDU, the "firewall" (Brandmauer) is becoming a central issue in the Bundestag election campaign. In a new study (with @christinajuen.bsky.social & @martingross.bsky.social), we examine how voters react to CDU candidates' varying positions on issues & firewall. 🧵
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
I teach a class called "Politics of the Internet," and one thing I end up talking about is internet adages. The list I cover: Godwin's Law Poe's Law The Streisand Effect Don't feed the trolls The Rule of Goats Any big ones I missed? Things along those lines I should add?
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Silja Häusermann @siljahausermann.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Me and current/recent team members @dpzollinger.bsky.social @retobuergisser.bsky.social @lhaffert.bsky.social (Postdocs) @feisenring.bsky.social @indubioproreto.bsky.social (PhD students) are happy to answer questions. More on me: siljahaeusermann.org More on IPZ: tinyurl.com/nvserevm
siljahaeusermann.org
Welcome!
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Simon Stückelberger @sstueckelberger.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Great post, highlighting how social media affects our view of what the public wants and is. "The coalitions that we create, the political battles that we imagine ourselves as engaged in, may also depend on the technologies and the particular fights and issues that they highlight."
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
THE PRICE TAG OF SWISS DIRECT DEMOCRACY Official stats reveal that campaign spending for the 12 national referendums held in 2024 reached EUR 46.8 mio. Re. debates on affluent influence in democracy: The Swiss business umbrella organization stood out as the largest individual spender (EUR 7.3 mio)
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Silja Häusermann @siljahausermann.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
Today, feeling close to cosmopolitans or feminists separates voters of the left from right voters who identify with people who are down to earth and hard working. Yet, these identities do have structural roots, just like class identities did. Our short CUP book on cleavage formation is out in OA.
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Damian Trilling 🟥 @damiantrilling.net · 13/12/2024
A lot of researchers and practitioners (say, journalists) are nowadays confronted with LLMs: they use them, or they write about them. But it’s hard to find a detailed explanation that is accessible enough for non-specialists but also not oversimplified. Here’s a recommendation:
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Timothy Caulfield @caulfieldtim.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
Yet again, political identity driving bunk.👇 Why older adults are drawn to dubious news www.psypost.org/its-not-digi... > "to engage with unreliable new sources." "...heightened partisan bias & entrenched political identities..." by @jacobmontgomery.bsky.social @jasonreifler.bsky.social et al
psypost.org
It’s not digital illiteracy: Here's why older adults are drawn to dubious news
Older adults' engagement with unreliable news stems from entrenched partisan bias rather than digital illiteracy or cognitive decline, according to new research.
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Petra Guasti @petraguasti.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Those interested in how democracy dies should not focus on the strength of liberal democracy’s enemies, but on the weakness of its allies.
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Pavlos Vasilopoulos @pavlosvas1.bsky.social · 01/12/2024
This thread reminded me of Diana Mutz's excellent 1998 book Impersonal Influence on how the media shape collective judgments
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Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Speeches for and against assisted dying reflecting a lot of what we heard in our focus groups, people’s views on this issue are profoundly shaped by personal experiences and made by wrestling between two very human instincts to alleviate suffering and protect the vulnerable.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
Another look at the "law of dispersion": In the German city of Bremen, the turnout rates of different neighbourhoods in Bundestag elections have diverged quite dramatically over the past four decades.
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Brian Schaffner @bfschaffner.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
polls missed big in 2016, but pollsters spent the past 8 years adapting to those misses and these adjustments worked pretty well in 2024. my new @goodauth.bsky.social piece with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/pollste...
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Jan Broder Engler @jbengler.de · 22/11/2024
The brand new `legendry` package by @teunbrand.bsky.social takes ggplots2 guides to the next level 🤩 teunbrand.github.io/teunbrand_bl...
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