Reposted by Simon GalleSteve Cicala @stevecicala.bsky.social · 29/08/2026An export tax on oil and gas would be an exquisite response to the US taxing imports from Canada. Have fun explaining why tariffs are good, but export taxes are bad! 034
Reposted by Simon Galle"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 24/07/2026No, No, no. Look, are there lessons to learn from this debacle? Sure. Drone warfare, mag depth, etc. But the solution here is not 'yet more tactical excellence or tech.' It is 'the president asked the impossible of the military and they should have said so.' www.theatlantic.com/internationa...theatlantic.comThe War Is Lost. Now Fix What It Broke.America has to rethink how it moves resources, fights wars, and deters adversaries. 412254504
Reposted by Simon GalleKarakter - Tijdschrift voor Wetenschap @karakterasl.bsky.social · 05/06/2026Podcast | Is de Nobelprijs Economie een bekroning van wetenschap of ideologie? Luister naar de analyse van prof. @simongalle.bsky.social (BI) in ons nieuwste audio-essay. open.spotify.com/episode/4cNt...open.spotify.comDe Nobelprijs Economie: afschaffen of opwaarderen? – prof. Simon GalleKarakter. Tijdschrift van Wetenschap · Episode 011
Reposted by Simon GalleAidan Milliff @aidanmilliff.com · 15/05/2026New research in Science from @dominic-rohner.bsky.social and others: USAID cuts caused violent conflict to spike immediately in areas that received the most USAID support and last for months. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...science.orgAiding peace or conflict? The impact of USAID cuts on violenceLess than a week after its inauguration, the second Trump administration issued a blanket stop-work order for the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the largest national human... 1105
Reposted by Simon GalleCarl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 15/05/2026This is assuming prints of 0.4% We just did a 0.6%. 1428766
Reposted by Simon GalleOwen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 14/05/2026The local elections in one chart. Labour has been squeezed between the Greens in young wards and Reform in older working-class wards www.economist.com/britain/2026... 61831309
Reposted by Simon GalleBart Eeckhout @barteeckhout.bsky.social · 02/05/2026Er tikt een bom onder de begroting. Ze ontploft pas na de verkiezingen www.demorgen.be/nieuws/er-ti...demorgen.beEr tikt een bom onder de begroting. Ze ontploft pas na de verkiezingenMet wat schoten van links en rechts vat de regering-De Wever de begrotingsonderhandelingen langzamerhand aan. Het wordt lastig, maar nog één keer op de tanden bijten voor een extra inspanning van 5 mi... 7102
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 08/04/2026"But you don’t need to be some sort of game theory maven to appreciate that the small chance of a catastrophic outcome can outweigh the overwhelmingly likely but less than 100 percent chance of a trivial gain." substack.com/home/post/p-...substack.comNuclear brinkmanship usually works. It’s also incredibly dangerous.A small chance of a catastrophic outcome isn’t something to shrug off. 010
Reposted by Simon GalleDean Yang @deanyang.bsky.social · 03/04/2026Grateful to @umisr.bsky.social for highlighting our new AER paper. The big finding: migration doesn't drain the home economy — it builds it up. 093
Reposted by Simon Gallepriednis.bsky.social @priednis.bsky.social · 29/03/2026"(..) the USA is not the preferred partner of choice, nor are any of the traditional European defense firms—it is the Ukrainians. Let that sink in. Ukraine is now a world leader in one of the most important strategic capabilities all states face." 315631
Reposted by Simon GalleThe Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 29/03/2026"Europe does not need permission to help Ukraine restore its borders. It needs the will. There is a basic rule that applies to nations as much as to people: pour your energy into the things you can affect," writes Academic director at the University of Amsterdam Andrew Chakhoyan in his op-ed.kyivindependent.comWar in Iran, war in Ukraine: Europe must act where it counts"Flying balalaika" or a "death moped with wings" is how Ukrainians refer to the Iranian-Russian Shahed drone. On March first, one of these crude, cheap, but devastatingly effective killing machines st... 16981310
Reposted by Simon GalleUNITED24 @u24.gov.ua · 23/03/2026One area of unequaled Ukrainian expertise? Shooting down killer drones🔥 This is a skill Ukrainian warriors wish they never had to learn — but mastered it anyway — because they had to. You can help them work their magic here: u24.gov.ua/sky-defense?... 415639
Reposted by Simon GalleAnders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 22/03/2026Let's not make this "NATO's war". 3229239
Reposted by Simon GalleVoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 19/03/2026@ahlfeldt.bsky.social, Nathaniel Baum-Snow, & Remi Jedwab analyse over 11,000 urban agglomerations to show that vertical growth of cities enhances land efficiency, reduces commuting, and boosts worker welfare. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky 093
Reposted by Simon GalleROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin @rfberlin.bsky.social · 11/02/2026New RFBerlin Discussion Paper! Fenella Carpena & Simon Galle study how technical change affects workers across occupations. The mechanisms behind adjustment matter. 🔗 www.rfberlin.com/wp-content/u... 021
Reposted by Simon GalleDuncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 16/03/2026What a paragraph. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... 2447591409
Reposted by Simon GalleCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 15/03/2026We need help to open the Strait that is already open to help protect it from the enemy we actually already defeated 100% 751626369
Reposted by Simon GalleChris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 14/03/20266/ If Trump paid any attention to the Ukraine War he would have noticed how warfare has changed. But he didn’t. And he blundered. Worse, the Gulf states are running out of interceptors to stop Iranian missiles and drones - meaning that soon more oil sites will be vulnerable. 444149727
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 27/02/2026There's been a bit of fuss recently about technology, trade & migration shocks. Well, I'm looking forward to teaching a short PhD course on how these shocks affect labor market inequality. 📍 May 18–22, 2026 at BI (Oslo) ⏱️ Format: 18 hours Syllabus: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/95d63... 1/3dropbox.com 111
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 23/02/2026Europe should do both: integrate more where feasible (India, Mercosur, Trans-Pacific,...), while simultaneously preparing to strike back hard against malevolent actors. No need for panic, but neither for naivety. 021
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Meanwhile destroying any lingering hope of maintaining a solid Western alliance. 021
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 17/01/2026One option is retaliation. Another option is to ignore this bluff/BS and send as many exports as possible through non-tariffed EU/EEA members. (Sorry, Brexiteers.) Clearly, Dear Leader spent more time writing this post than thinking through the policy implications. 2112
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 17/01/2026A related view: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-stupid...paulkrugman.substack.comThe Stupidest Trump Move So FarJust kill me now. Or tariff me. Whatever. 020
Reposted by Simon GalleOlivier Simard-Casanova @o.simardcasanova.net · 14/01/2026The French Army just announced that it will be part of the military force that goes to Greenland Germany is also part of it, on top of Sweden If the US invades Greenland, it means that two NATO nuclear powers will be fighting against each otherfranceinfo.frLa France va participer à une mission militaire européenne au GroenlandL'Allemagne aussi doit participer à cette mission, dont l'objectif est de soutenir le territoire menacé d'annexion par les Etats-Unis de Donald Trump. 620467
Reposted by Simon GalleOlivier Simard-Casanova @o.simardcasanova.net · 14/01/2026What is currently happening is an escalation management plan The goal is to deter the United States from attacking, in the same way that stationing troops in the eastern flank of NATO is aimed at deterring Russia Europe and Canada forces are not amassing troops to repel an US invasion 28815
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 15/01/2026European tripwire forces make a military land grab of Greenland drastically more costly to the Trump admin: Harming European forces will force Europe to strongly retaliate economically and destroy any defense cooperation. In turn, this may trigger a backlash both in Congress and in the US military 022
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 06/01/2026Some people in the Trump administration may benefit from a clear visualization of what "Nothing" means. 0164
Reposted by Simon GalleG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 13/11/2025Today is one of those days when I should have taken my own advice. Flooded with rage tweets on the other platform. Garbage way to communicate that only brings out the worst in people. All dunks, no conversation. Complete waste of time trying to engage there www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should...gelliottmorris.comYou should quit social media for goodPlatforms optimized for engagement warp our politics, erode attention, and harm our wellbeing. Here’s how I minimize time on the (anti‑)social web. 2533661
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 05/11/2025Market statistics from EconJobMarket.org. Good thing there's Europe. 010
Reposted by Simon GallePhilipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 03/11/2025This paper shows: the 2022 energy crisis led to record global profits for fossil fuel companies. The US gained the most, with claims on US$301 billion, exceeding its US$267 billion investment in low-carbon energy. Half of profits went to the top1%, mainly through stock ownership 27231
Reposted by Simon GalleSimon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 11/09/2025BI is hiring PhD candidates in economics. We offer: - a friendly and collegial department - strong faculty support during your PhD - access to very rich Norwegian microdata - a competitive salary - a strong track record in PhD placements. Please share #EconSky 🙏🙏 bi.easycruit.com/vacancy/3539...bi.easycruit.comHandelshøyskolen BI Programområdet - Doktorgrad - PhD Candidate in EconomicsPhD Candidate in Economics 186
Reposted by Simon GalleOlúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 11/10/2025an experience I think about a lot: I was visiting a class in DC Jail shortly after Kim Kardashian visited and had brought in her camera team. I relayed critiques of her "performative", "virtue signalling" acts I had heard on the outside. the response was somewhere between a shrug and an eye roll 1271886
Reposted by Simon GalleKarakter - Tijdschrift voor Wetenschap @karakterasl.bsky.social · 25/09/2025De #Nobelprijs #Economie ligt onder vuur. Critici stellen dat de prijs een misleidende autoriteit verleent aan een discipline die vaak ideologisch gekleurd is. Lees het antwoord van prof. @simongalle.bsky.social (BI Norwegian Business School). 👉 www.tijdschriftkarakter.be/de-nobelprij...tijdschriftkarakter.beKarakterTijdschrift van wetenschap biedt een etalage op recente vernieuwingen in de internationale wetenschap 022
Reposted by Simon GalleDavid Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 24/09/2025One obvious part of Europe's Trump handling is not to give too much weight to each individual utterance, but to stop the US going completely off the rails. In the absence of a domestic version, arguably even "the adults in the room" 37216
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 19/09/2025music.youtube.com/watch?v=L5jI...music.youtube.comAin't Got No, I Got Life - Nina SimoneYouTube video by drMandinga 020
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 11/09/2025BI is hiring PhD candidates in economics. We offer: - a friendly and collegial department - strong faculty support during your PhD - access to very rich Norwegian microdata - a competitive salary - a strong track record in PhD placements. Please share #EconSky 🙏🙏 bi.easycruit.com/vacancy/3539...bi.easycruit.comHandelshøyskolen BI Programområdet - Doktorgrad - PhD Candidate in EconomicsPhD Candidate in Economics 186
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 31/08/2025This matter-of-fact letter is straightforward and non-partisan. It is more informative on the "Trump vs. Cook" case than most of the press coverage I have seen about it. 1175
Reposted by Simon GalleG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 28/08/2025"Researcher who has distorted voter data appointed to Homeland Security election integrity role" www.nbcnews.com/politics/tru...nbcnews.comResearcher who has distorted voter data appointed to Homeland Security election integrity roleHeather Honey, a conservative election researcher, was appointed to the new role amid Trump's push to restructure how elections are run. 22745333
Reposted by Simon GalleAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 26/08/2025#NumbersDay qz.com/moodys-chief...qz.comMoody’s chief economist says some states are in recessionMoody’s chief economist Mark Zandi placed blame on high tariffs and “restrictive” immigration policies for the economy’s downturn 03821
Reposted by Simon GalleThe Economist @economist.com · 26/08/2025There is little precedent: no Fed governor has been dismissed for cause beforeecon.stTrump “fires” Lisa Cook, escalating his war on the Federal ReserveThere is little precedent: no Fed governor has been dismissed for cause before 6236
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 26/08/2025"Dag na dag ontvouwt zich in Gaza een van de grootste en grofste misdaden tegen de menselijkheid van onze tijd... De waarheid is dat Europa wel degelijk hefbomen heeft om Israël onder druk te zetten om dit bloedvergieten te stoppen en zijn doelstellingen aan de onderhandelingstafel te bereiken." 010
Reposted by Simon Gallelaurentfranckx.bsky.social @laurentfranckx.bsky.social · 15/08/2025I was already an adult when I first heard that the French and the British continued their blockade of Germany after the armistice of 11 November 1918 until the Treaty of Versailles was signed, and that this lead to hundreds of thousands of death from starvation. I remained convinced that this / 2263
Reposted by Simon GalleArin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 12/08/2025After a remarkable stretch when wage inequality fell substantially, wage growth at the bottom is now once again falling behind growth at the top. This is bad news for working class Americans. t.co/1hp5EE9up5 617776
Reposted by Simon GalleDaniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 01/08/2025Wow, weak July #jobsreport. Headline a touch softer than expectations, but real surprise is huge downward revisions to May & June. -Payrolls grew just 73,000, below expectations -Surprisingly large downward revisions to May (+144k to +19k) and Jun (+147k to +14k) -Unemp up to 4.2% #NumbersDay 1/ 35323
Reposted by Simon GalleYuriy Gorodnichenko @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social · 01/08/2025Please submit your papers to the series! #EconSky #UkrainianView #Ukraine 0135
Reposted by Simon GalleJohn McLaren @johnmclaren.bsky.social · 01/08/2025The big question for LLM’s is not “will they revolutionize life” or “will they take our jobs?” It’s “who will benefit and who will lose.” It’s a very tricky question, and this paper is a careful attempt to work out the subtle mechanisms. Spoiler: Most of the cost is borne by white-collar types. 071
Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 01/08/2025New version of our paper "The Labor Market Impact of Technical Change: Inspecting the Mechanisms," with F. Carpena. www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/wp-c... We present a stylized, tractable model on how occupation-specific technical change affects the wage distribution. #EconSky 1133