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Simon Galle

@simongalle.bsky.social
2K followers 1.7K following 180 posts

🇧🇪 Economist interested in trade & development, technology, and labor market inequality. PhD UC Berkeley. Associate Prof at BI, Oslo. www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Simon Galle
Steve Cicala @stevecicala.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
An export tax on oil and gas would be an exquisite response to the US taxing imports from Canada. Have fun explaining why tariffs are good, but export taxes are bad!
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
No, No, no. Look, are there lessons to learn from this debacle? Sure. Drone warfare, mag depth, etc. But the solution here is not 'yet more tactical excellence or tech.' It is 'the president asked the impossible of the military and they should have said so.' www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
theatlantic.com
The War Is Lost. Now Fix What It Broke.
America has to rethink how it moves resources, fights wars, and deters adversaries.
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Karakter - Tijdschrift voor Wetenschap @karakterasl.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Podcast | Is de Nobelprijs Economie een bekroning van wetenschap of ideologie? Luister naar de analyse van prof. @simongalle.bsky.social (BI) in ons nieuwste audio-essay. open.spotify.com/episode/4cNt...
open.spotify.com
De Nobelprijs Economie: afschaffen of opwaarderen? – prof. Simon Galle
Karakter. Tijdschrift van Wetenschap · Episode
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Aidan Milliff @aidanmilliff.com · 15/05/2026
New research in Science from @dominic-rohner.bsky.social and others: USAID cuts caused violent conflict to spike immediately in areas that received the most USAID support and last for months. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
science.org
Aiding peace or conflict? The impact of USAID cuts on violence
Less than a week after its inauguration, the second Trump administration issued a blanket stop-work order for the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the largest national human...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
This is assuming prints of 0.4% We just did a 0.6%.
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Owen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
The local elections in one chart. Labour has been squeezed between the Greens in young wards and Reform in older working-class wards www.economist.com/britain/2026...
Chart showing the lading party by ward % age 50 or older and % with a managerial or professional occupation. Between 2021 and 2024 Labour won wards with a majority of young or working-class voters, in 2026 the Greens won younger wards while Reform UK won older working class wards
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Bart Eeckhout @barteeckhout.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
Er tikt een bom onder de begroting. Ze ontploft pas na de verkiezingen www.demorgen.be/nieuws/er-ti...
demorgen.be
Er tikt een bom onder de begroting. Ze ontploft pas na de verkiezingen
Met wat schoten van links en rechts vat de regering-De Wever de begrotingsonderhandelingen langzamerhand aan. Het wordt lastig, maar nog één keer op de tanden bijten voor een extra inspanning van 5 mi...
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
"But you don’t need to be some sort of game theory maven to appreciate that the small chance of a catastrophic outcome can outweigh the overwhelmingly likely but less than 100 percent chance of a trivial gain." substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com
Nuclear brinkmanship usually works. It’s also incredibly dangerous.
A small chance of a catastrophic outcome isn’t something to shrug off.
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Dean Yang @deanyang.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Grateful to @umisr.bsky.social for highlighting our new AER paper. The big finding: migration doesn't drain the home economy — it builds it up.
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priednis.bsky.social @priednis.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
"(..) the USA is not the preferred partner of choice, nor are any of the traditional European defense firms—it is the Ukrainians. Let that sink in. Ukraine is now a world leader in one of the most important strategic capabilities all states face."
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 29/03/2026
"Europe does not need permission to help Ukraine restore its borders. It needs the will. There is a basic rule that applies to nations as much as to people: pour your energy into the things you can affect," writes Academic director at the University of Amsterdam Andrew Chakhoyan in his op-ed.
kyivindependent.com
War in Iran, war in Ukraine: Europe must act where it counts
"Flying balalaika" or a "death moped with wings" is how Ukrainians refer to the Iranian-Russian Shahed drone. On March first, one of these crude, cheap, but devastatingly effective killing machines st...
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UNITED24 @u24.gov.ua · 23/03/2026
One area of unequaled Ukrainian expertise? Shooting down killer drones🔥 This is a skill Ukrainian warriors wish they never had to learn — but mastered it anyway — because they had to. You can help them work their magic here: u24.gov.ua/sky-defense?...
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 22/03/2026
Let's not make this "NATO's war".
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VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 19/03/2026
@ahlfeldt.bsky.social, Nathaniel Baum-Snow, & Remi Jedwab analyse over 11,000 urban agglomerations to show that vertical growth of cities enhances land efficiency, reduces commuting, and boosts worker welfare. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
The figure shows the evolution of the total stock of tall building heights (km) covering tall buildings above 55 metres (13–14 floors).

Land-use regulations, including height limits, affect housing affordability and urban productivity. This column analyses over 11,000 urban agglomerations and 300,000 tall buildings to explore the effect of height restrictions on welfare. Vertical growth enhances land efficiency, reduces commuting, and boosts worker welfare. While higher density can increase housing demand and rents, the associated gains more than offset the costs. The debate about housing supply should not focus only on horizontal expansion. Allowing cities to build upward may be just as important for accommodating urban growth, improving access to opportunity, and preserving valuable land.
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ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin @rfberlin.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
New RFBerlin Discussion Paper! Fenella Carpena & Simon Galle study how technical change affects workers across occupations. The mechanisms behind adjustment matter. 🔗 www.rfberlin.com/wp-content/u...
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Let him sweat it out by himself.
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
What a paragraph. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
We need help to open the Strait that is already open to help protect it from the enemy we actually already defeated 100%
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Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
6/ If Trump paid any attention to the Ukraine War he would have noticed how warfare has changed. But he didn’t. And he blundered. Worse, the Gulf states are running out of interceptors to stop Iranian missiles and drones - meaning that soon more oil sites will be vulnerable.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
There's been a bit of fuss recently about technology, trade & migration shocks. Well, I'm looking forward to teaching a short PhD course on how these shocks affect labor market inequality. 📍 May 18–22, 2026 at BI (Oslo) ⏱️ Format: 18 hours Syllabus: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/95d63... 1/3
dropbox.com
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Europe should do both: integrate more where feasible (India, Mercosur, Trans-Pacific,...), while simultaneously preparing to strike back hard against malevolent actors. No need for panic, but neither for naivety.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Meanwhile destroying any lingering hope of maintaining a solid Western alliance.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
One option is retaliation. Another option is to ignore this bluff/BS and send as many exports as possible through non-tariffed EU/EEA members. (Sorry, Brexiteers.) Clearly, Dear Leader spent more time writing this post than thinking through the policy implications.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
A related view: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-stupid...
paulkrugman.substack.com
The Stupidest Trump Move So Far
Just kill me now. Or tariff me. Whatever.
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Olivier Simard-Casanova @o.simardcasanova.net · 14/01/2026
The French Army just announced that it will be part of the military force that goes to Greenland Germany is also part of it, on top of Sweden If the US invades Greenland, it means that two NATO nuclear powers will be fighting against each other
franceinfo.fr
La France va participer à une mission militaire européenne au Groenland
L'Allemagne aussi doit participer à cette mission, dont l'objectif est de soutenir le territoire menacé d'annexion par les Etats-Unis de Donald Trump.
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Olivier Simard-Casanova @o.simardcasanova.net · 14/01/2026
What is currently happening is an escalation management plan The goal is to deter the United States from attacking, in the same way that stationing troops in the eastern flank of NATO is aimed at deterring Russia Europe and Canada forces are not amassing troops to repel an US invasion
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
European tripwire forces make a military land grab of Greenland drastically more costly to the Trump admin: Harming European forces will force Europe to strongly retaliate economically and destroy any defense cooperation. In turn, this may trigger a backlash both in Congress and in the US military
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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 14/01/2026
The second China shock
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Some people in the Trump administration may benefit from a clear visualization of what "Nothing" means.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 13/11/2025
Today is one of those days when I should have taken my own advice. Flooded with rage tweets on the other platform. Garbage way to communicate that only brings out the worst in people. All dunks, no conversation. Complete waste of time trying to engage there www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should...
gelliottmorris.com
You should quit social media for good
Platforms optimized for engagement warp our politics, erode attention, and harm our wellbeing. Here’s how I minimize time on the (anti‑)social web.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Market statistics from EconJobMarket.org. Good thing there's Europe.
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Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
This paper shows: the 2022 energy crisis led to record global profits for fossil fuel companies. The US gained the most, with claims on US$301 billion, exceeding its US$267 billion investment in low-carbon energy. Half of profits went to the top1%, mainly through stock ownership
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
BI is hiring PhD candidates in economics. We offer: - a friendly and collegial department - strong faculty support during your PhD - access to very rich Norwegian microdata - a competitive salary - a strong track record in PhD placements. Please share #EconSky 🙏🙏 bi.easycruit.com/vacancy/3539...
bi.easycruit.com
Handelshøyskolen BI Programområdet - Doktorgrad - PhD Candidate in Economics
PhD Candidate in Economics
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
an experience I think about a lot: I was visiting a class in DC Jail shortly after Kim Kardashian visited and had brought in her camera team. I relayed critiques of her "performative", "virtue signalling" acts I had heard on the outside. the response was somewhere between a shrug and an eye roll
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Karakter - Tijdschrift voor Wetenschap @karakterasl.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
De #Nobelprijs #Economie ligt onder vuur. Critici stellen dat de prijs een misleidende autoriteit verleent aan een discipline die vaak ideologisch gekleurd is. Lees het antwoord van prof. @simongalle.bsky.social (BI Norwegian Business School). 👉 www.tijdschriftkarakter.be/de-nobelprij...
tijdschriftkarakter.be
Karakter
Tijdschrift van wetenschap biedt een etalage op recente vernieuwingen in de internationale wetenschap
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David Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
One obvious part of Europe's Trump handling is not to give too much weight to each individual utterance, but to stop the US going completely off the rails. In the absence of a domestic version, arguably even "the adults in the room"
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
music.youtube.com/watch?v=L5jI...
music.youtube.com
Ain't Got No, I Got Life - Nina Simone
YouTube video by drMandinga
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
Extremely useful resource.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
BI is hiring PhD candidates in economics. We offer: - a friendly and collegial department - strong faculty support during your PhD - access to very rich Norwegian microdata - a competitive salary - a strong track record in PhD placements. Please share #EconSky 🙏🙏 bi.easycruit.com/vacancy/3539...
bi.easycruit.com
Handelshøyskolen BI Programområdet - Doktorgrad - PhD Candidate in Economics
PhD Candidate in Economics
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
This matter-of-fact letter is straightforward and non-partisan. It is more informative on the "Trump vs. Cook" case than most of the press coverage I have seen about it.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 28/08/2025
"Researcher who has distorted voter data appointed to Homeland Security election integrity role" www.nbcnews.com/politics/tru...
nbcnews.com
Researcher who has distorted voter data appointed to Homeland Security election integrity role
Heather Honey, a conservative election researcher, was appointed to the new role amid Trump's push to restructure how elections are run.
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 26/08/2025
#NumbersDay qz.com/moodys-chief...
qz.com
Moody’s chief economist says some states are in recession
Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi placed blame on high tariffs and “restrictive” immigration policies for the economy’s downturn
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The Economist @economist.com · 26/08/2025
There is little precedent: no Fed governor has been dismissed for cause before
econ.st
Trump “fires” Lisa Cook, escalating his war on the Federal Reserve
There is little precedent: no Fed governor has been dismissed for cause before
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
"Dag na dag ontvouwt zich in Gaza een van de grootste en grofste misdaden tegen de menselijkheid van onze tijd... De waarheid is dat Europa wel degelijk hefbomen heeft om Israël onder druk te zetten om dit bloedvergieten te stoppen en zijn doelstellingen aan de onderhandelingstafel te bereiken."
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laurentfranckx.bsky.social @laurentfranckx.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
I was already an adult when I first heard that the French and the British continued their blockade of Germany after the armistice of 11 November 1918 until the Treaty of Versailles was signed, and that this lead to hundreds of thousands of death from starvation. I remained convinced that this /
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
After a remarkable stretch when wage inequality fell substantially, wage growth at the bottom is now once again falling behind growth at the top. This is bad news for working class Americans. t.co/1hp5EE9up5
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Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Wow, weak July #jobsreport. Headline a touch softer than expectations, but real surprise is huge downward revisions to May & June. -Payrolls grew just 73,000, below expectations -Surprisingly large downward revisions to May (+144k to +19k) and Jun (+147k to +14k) -Unemp up to 4.2% #NumbersDay 1/
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Yuriy Gorodnichenko @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Please submit your papers to the series! #EconSky #UkrainianView #Ukraine
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John McLaren @johnmclaren.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
The big question for LLM’s is not “will they revolutionize life” or “will they take our jobs?” It’s “who will benefit and who will lose.” It’s a very tricky question, and this paper is a careful attempt to work out the subtle mechanisms. Spoiler: Most of the cost is borne by white-collar types.
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Simon Galle @simongalle.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
New version of our paper "The Labor Market Impact of Technical Change: Inspecting the Mechanisms," with F. Carpena. www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/wp-c... We present a stylized, tractable model on how occupation-specific technical change affects the wage distribution. #EconSky
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