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Kevin Ash

@scatterazure.bsky.social
1.4K followers 2.5K following 119 posts

Hazards/disasters, vulnerability, risk perception & communication, resilience. Opinions mine alone.

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Reposted by Kevin Ash
Prof. Lee Bosher @leebosher.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
An important campaign has been launched to address the possibility that the EM-DAT database might cease to exist. Please read and sign the open letter and support efforts to preserve this important database. You can add your name to the open letter here: openletter.earth/the-worlds-c...
Screenshot of EM-DAT open letter
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UF Geography @ufgeog.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
JOB - The Department of Geography at the University of Florida invites applications for a full-time, 12-month, non-tenure track Lecturer/Assistant Instructional Professor position in GIScience and Geographic Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) explore.jobs.ufl.edu/en-us/job/53...
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Tomer Burg @burgwx.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
Waiting on a dropsonde to confirm, but Melissa is most certainly below 900 hPa right now. Tragically we are about to witness the 2nd or 1st deepest Atlantic hurricane landfall by min MSLP on record in Jamaica.
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Dr. Jeff Masters @drjeffmasters.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
The western end of Jamaica where #Melissa is projected to make landfall has the least well-built structures of anyplace on the island. Graphic is from a 2021 paper, "Poverty and hurricane risk exposure in Jamaica": www.researchgate.net/publication/...
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Eric Holthaus @ericholthaus.com · 28/10/2025
Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013) is exactly the storm I'd compare Melissa to. It was the only other time I've seen the Dvorak scale violated above 8.0, and the only other time I've seen a complete ring of -80°F cloud tops (shown here in pink).
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Sam Lillo @samlillo.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
CI# up to 8.2 = 176kt / 882mb (satellite estimates put Melissa at Wilma levels)
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
*** JOB OPPORTUNITY AT UNIV OF FLORIDA IN GIS ***
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syn @syn.horse · 25/06/2025
oh no
A plush Jean-Luc Picard next to a 5-pack of lightbulbs showing only four bulbs in the illustration
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Yeah I've also found it's helpful for synthesizing huge volumes of text that you directly provide, like thousands of paper abstracts. But it is terrible at actual academic writing with citations and references. It can't even do basic reference formatting correctly, when given a list.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
My brother and I were on the north side of this storm and missed these. We were watching another brief tornado with another storm and then were out of position for the main show. Cool to see your great footage after 20 years!
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Charlotte Garden @charlottegarden.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
Looks like an academic freedom catastrophe from beginning to end: because of (real or perceived) pressure from the state, Tulane’s leadership barred a scientist from talking about her research apnews.com/article/canc...
apnews.com
Tulane scientist resigns citing university censorship of pollution and racial disparity research
A Tulane University researcher has resigned, citing censorship from university leaders. Kim Terrell, a researcher with the Tulane Environmental Law Clinic, resigned Wednesday, saying in a letter the u...
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Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
I have posted a lot recently about my worries for the NWS. However, I am also increasingly worried that the threat to NWS is distracting from the even greater threat to the rest of NOAA. Tonight I wrote about the broader agency I am so proud to have been a part of. open.substack.com/pub/balanced...
open.substack.com
NOAA is not just the National Weather Service
Looking at the broader expanse of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
What they are doing is aggressively accusing everyone else of insurrection in order to cover up and make everyone forget the actual insurrection & attempted coup that Trump orchestrated.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
Would have drifted to near Dodge City by now...
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
It would be a nice day to have lunch and then go sky watching in/near Great Bend, KS, if I were out that direction...which I am not. I am in FL trying to get our new robot lawnmower to stop going in circles & getting stuck. Also, I hope to hear a thunderous roar from OKC this afternoon.
Image is a logo that says "Great Bend Chamber of Commerce, 100 years, 1921 to 2021."
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UF Geography @ufgeog.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
🎉PhD student Michelle Ruiz was selected for the Disaster Research Center’s CHEER summer research program that will take place in North Carolina www.drc.udel.edu/2025-summer-...
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
Congratulations Marinna and Michael on graduation! And congrats Stephen, too!
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 03/05/2025
Mostly German, but reviewing my French and dabbling in a few others. You?
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
I have enjoyed learning via Duolingo for over a year now, but recently have missed several days in a row due to being quite busy. The aggressive, weird tone of the Duolingo reminder emails do not make me want to resume lessons. They make me want to delete the app & cancel my subscription.
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Jess Calarco @jessicacalarco.com · 20/04/2025
Or, consider the experimental evidence. Scholars have found (over and over again) that, compared to "regular" people, those with high levels of wealth and income are more likely to lie, cheat, and steal. And they're also more likely to say that greed is good. www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...
pnas.org
Higher social class predicts increased unethical behavior | PNAS
Seven studies using experimental and naturalistic methods reveal that upper-class individuals behave more unethically than lower-class individuals....
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 12/04/2025
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “Trump is engaging the full power of the presidency to settle scores,” our columnist Maureen Dowd writes. “The White House was not meant for petty tyrants on revenge tours. In the biggest job in the world, Trump seems like a very small man.”
nytimes.com
Opinion | A Lot About Trump Doesn’t Add Up
A very petty man in a very powerful job.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Still finding quarter sized hailstones on the ground 45 minutes after...
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
A few photos...
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Pretty impressive hailstorm in NW Gainesville in the past 15 minutes, a lot of dime and nickel sized, a few quarters
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Had a lot of dime to nickel sized hail in NW GNV, a few quarters. Most intense hailstorm I've seen in Gainesville.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Frequent cloud to ground lightning in GNV now, could get a little rough next few minutes in our area.
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Reposted by Kevin Ash
Clark Evans @clarkevanswx.github.io · 11/04/2025
This would kill all weather model development - RRFS, HAFS, and WoFS - in NOAA. These are activities that the private sector can’t support; they leverage these models to train & benchmark their own. I wish the headline didn’t just focus on climate as it limits the audience who will listen.
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UF Geography @ufgeog.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
The Climate Risk and Storm Hazards (CRASH) Lab led by Dr. Katy Serafin and Dr. @scatterazure.bsky.social focuses on risk, vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation for weather and climate hazards and environmental change geog.ufl.edu/geography-la...
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Andrea Thompson @andreatweather.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
*Watches as tornadoes and floods devastate towns in the mid-South.* Yeah, this seems like a totally great idea that won't lead to bigger disasters losses down the road at all.
scientificamerican.com
FEMA to Halt Billions in Grants for Disaster Protection, Internal Memo Says
An internal FEMA memo says the agency is canceling future and existing grants that help states and tribes prepare for floods, tornadoes and other disasters
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Joseph Trujillo-Falcón @latinwx.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
68,845,865. That's how many individuals in the United States speak a language other than English at home. Everyone deserves a chance to stay safe during disasters, and I will never stop advocating for that. Thinking of all the communities that are going to be affected by this change.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Yet another move in the wrong direction.
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Dr. Judith Hubbard @judithgeology.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
🧪⚒️ Oh no, this is bad. Really really bad. M7.7 earthquake in Mynamar. earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...
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Nicole Hemmer @pastpunditry.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
I spoke with the Washington Post about why the Trump administration is so focused on US history: because authoritarian regimes rewrite history to legitimize their projects and normalize their chaotic, violent governance. Gift link: wapo.st/4cdjRFQ
wapo.st
Their jobs vanished. These historians want to ensure their stories don’t.
An oral history project aims to document the stories of the federal workforce cuts. The project is open to all feds and contractors — even DOGE and Musk.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
This segment from @maryannefranks.bsky.social is an incredibly tight argument that captures the breadth of the Trump assault on free speech perfectly and in less than a minute. Spread it far and wide.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
He's describing his boss to a T.
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Flightradar24 @flightradar24.com · 21/03/2025
London-Heathrow will be closed for ALL of Friday due to a “significant power outage” caused by a fire in an electrical substation. There are currently 120 aircraft in the air that will be diverting to alternate airports or returning to their origins. www.flightradar24.com/airport/lhr
120 flights bound for Heathrow Airport that are going to need to go somewhere else.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
I don't watch much college hoops these days. But one thing I learned as a teenage hoops junkie in the 90s still appears to be true, judging by tonight's results... When it comes to March Madness: Missouri Valley > Missouri Tigers Every time.
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Dr. Jeff Masters @drjeffmasters.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Yep, the right side of a landfalling hurricane is the dangerous side, particularly for an unusually fast-moving hurricane like Helene (31 mph forward speed). A map of the location of the 248 deaths from NHC’s report issued today: www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL0...
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Andrew Rumbach @andrewrumbach.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
❗❗ The Trump Administration has issued an executive order (and accompanying fact sheet, see first comment) on 'state and local preparedness' that lays out priorities for FEMA and disaster reform. Lots to unpack... www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
whitehouse.gov
Achieving Efficiency Through State and Local Preparedness
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered: Section 1. Purpose.
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Can Ukraine stop Russia from allying with North Korea, Iran, and China? If not, then Russia cannot forbid Ukraine from allying with whom it chooses. That is a basic element of sovereignty.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Small debris kicked up due to hail?
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Confirmed, long-track tornado moving across Izard County in northern Arkansas right now. Thanks to all those in NOAA-NWS, TV mets, and local/state emergency management working to keep up with this severe weather outbreak.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
90-100 mph winds and possible tornado about to cross the Mississippi River and hit Alton, Illinois
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Pat Hyland @hylandwx.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Confirmed tornado getting very close to the NWS St. Louis Forecast Office
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Confirmed tornado via spotters & radar debris signature, serious situation in southern Missouri, heading in general direction of West Plains.
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Maybe it was all a thin smokescreen for quietly moving assets and resources into position for a different type of operation, yet to come.
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Elizabeth Leitman @wxliz.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
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Pat Hyland @hylandwx.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Currently, 7 of the top 10 cities with the worst Air Quality Index (AQI) in the world are in Oklahoma #okwx
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Kevin Ash @scatterazure.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Watching live stream from CBS News 6 out of Tulsa, and Mannford, OK has active building fires within the city limits. About 3500 population in Mannford, 20 miles west of downtown Tulsa. Terrible situation. Many other fires causing damage across OK.
Infrared satellite image showing hotspot indicative of wildfires in Oklahoma.
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