Reposted by QwiteVoteHub @votehub.com · 11/09/2026South Carolina U.S. Senate Our polls+fundamentals model (pictured below) moved from Likely R → Lean R today. Andrews leads by 0.5 points in our average, based on just three polls since 7/18. Our forecasted margin is R +7.8 in our Complete model and R +5.8 in our Legacy model. 310016
Reposted by QwiteThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 19/08/2026In total since Trump’s return, Dems flipped 31 GOP seats in legislative elections (both regular and special). The GOP flipped zero. 3366121
Reposted by QwiteThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 19/08/2026GOP state Sen. Eric Barlow's victory in the primary for Wyoming governor makes him the fourth Republican gubernatorial candidate to beat a Trump-backed opponent this year. Trump's picks previously fell short in Iowa, Georgia, and last week in Minnesota. 211943
Reposted by QwiteUncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 19/08/2026We had our final special state legislative election of the year tonight in Pennsylvania's #HD12, a Trump+18 district covering the suburban Cranberry Township area. Democrat Brandon Dukes flipped it blue tonight, defeating Republican Scott Timko by 88 votes! 59823
Reposted by QwiteTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 19/08/2026recapping the night: —Dems flip school board of Sarasota County, FL (a stronghold of M4L). —Dems flip school board chair seat in Orange County, FL. —Dems flip at-large city council seat in Jacksonville. —Dems lead in a red Pennsylvania state House seat (all precincts in, though no AP call). 121472345
Reposted by QwiteRima I Anabtawi @rimaanabtawi.bsky.social · 17/08/2026U.S.-Palestinian dual citizen Louai Abu Ridi has arrived at Ben Gurion Airport and is heading to the West Bank village of Qusra, where his home remains besieged by Israeli settler terrorists and his brother is trapped inside. H/t @orenziv.bsky.social 33813
Reposted by QwiteBeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 14/08/2026Count me skeptical that Democrats are up eight points in Ohio (Trump+11) while being down by four in Michigan (Trump+1) 4132
Reposted by Qwite1st Minnesota Volunteers Stan Account @himdogson.bsky.social · 12/08/2026something to consider- dem primary voters really valuing perceived electability in a way polls don't always pick up is a bearish sign for kamala harris 3151
Reposted by QwiteSpooky Steve @lessdismalsci.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Median GE swing voter: who’s this Kamala person on the ballot, did Joe drop out or w/e? Median Dem primary swing voter: see, this is why I wait to vote, 3 days before the primary a poll dropped showing my preferred candidate is a 6.4% underdog in the general, so I tactically voted for my 3rd choice. 233941
Reposted by QwiteThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 12/08/2026AP call in #MN02 for former state Sen. Matt Little, who pitched himself as the most progressive option. This is the open seat in the MPLS suburbs held by Angie Craig that went 52-46 for Harris in 2024. GOP is fielding state Sen. Eric Pratt, but Little will be favored. 06922
Reposted by QwiteWilliam B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 12/08/2026oh god I spent my life savings on shorts against turkey farmers FUCK 527922
Reposted by QwiteUncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Honestly funniest possible outcome tonight is Crowley winning and Flanigan winning easily. Whatever results produce the most confusing narratives are the best results 513813
Reposted by QwiteUncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 11/08/2026I'm shocked nobody on here noticed that the only reason why it went from a slight Dem-favored model to a 50/50 toss-up is because they added Kalshi to the model. I'm not joking! bsky.app/profile/vote... 471834387
Reposted by QwiteEric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 11/08/2026If Cygnal, a conservative pollster, is showing Hinojosa down by only three against Abbott, Republicans might be on the verge of a bloodbath in Texas. We might be talking Bo French losing,m and Don Huffines losing. 610116
Reposted by QwiteJames Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 08/08/2026This by CNN is genuinely reprehensible. Everyone involved should be embarrassed. -The 'new pain' case vs Mamdani is *solely* his religion. -He was in NYC on 9/11, at grade school -Soon after attack GWB himself gave famous speech warning against blaming all Muslims for terrorism -25 yrs later, this. 21169501519
Reposted by QwiteBullwark @bullwark.bsky.social · 08/08/2026Please explain explicit detail why they think the current Mayor, who was born in Uganda and has lived in the US since he was 7 shouldnt be welcome at the 9/11 memorial 8104126
Reposted by QwiteThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 07/08/2026Abdul El-Sayed says he raised more than $2.3 million in the first two days after securing the #MISen Dem nomination 212223
Reposted by QwiteG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 05/08/2026What is truly "shocking" about the polling miss in Michigan is that it is completely average for a primary "The expected error on the margin between two primary candidates in a race for governor or U.S. Senate is a whopping 13.0 points." blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/2026-texas...blog.fiftyplusone.newsDo we really know who's leading the Texas Senate races?Primary polls have historically been rather unreliable, and a surge in new primary voters means turnout assumptions matter more than usual 23776160
Reposted by QwiteThe Salt Lake Tribune @sltrib.com · 05/08/2026More than half of young adult women who grew up as Latter-day Saints have now left the church. Many are reacting against politics, purity culture and powerlessness.sltrib.comJana Riess: Why are so many young women leaving the LDS Church?More than half of young adult women who grew up as Latter-day Saints have now left the church. Many are reacting against politics, purity culture and powerlessness. 61642154
Reposted by QwiteTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 02/08/2026the concrete effects of Virginia restoring voting rights Friday boltsmag.org/virginia-gov... 0581107
Reposted by Qwiteegg16z 🥚 @notlikewe.bsky.social · 30/07/2026uhhhhh…check this out from the same poll 👀 3526
Reposted by QwiteThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 28/07/2026This might be the perfect encapsulation of No Labels. The candidate who won their primary (yes, they had a primary) for #AZGov last week says on her website, "I rejected the No Labels Party endorsement because I stand for Arizona and not for a political party!"teriann4azgov.orgTeri Ann 4 AZ Governor | Get Involved Now — Support ChangeSupport Teri Ann for Arizona Governor advocating for transparency, community welfare, and government reform. Join the movement for a better Arizona today. 63510
Reposted by QwiteChatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST @chathamharrison.bsky.social · 19/07/2026One thing really underrated in the causal comparisons of DSA/Dem Tea Party candidates versus MAGA/regular TEA Party candidates is that even the insurgent Democrats are disproportionately nerds who want to govern well for its own sake 16810
Reposted by QwiteAbdul El-Sayed @abdulelsayed.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Today, Congresswoman Stevens had a choice: stand with the majority of Democrats who oppose unconditional military aid to Israel, or stand with the special interests funding her campaign. 221953372
Reposted by QwiteEric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Democrats who voted with Massie to end aid to Israel Some surprising names here Auchincloss Crockett Deluzio Goodlander Houlahan McBride Menefee Pettersen Min in #CA47 Derek Tran in #CA45 1916643
Reposted by QwiteTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 14/07/2026A ballot initiative to reverse Idaho’s strict abortion ban qualified for the ballot today. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...theguardian.comOne of strictest US abortion bans could be overturned in November’s electionIdaho to have ballot measure for reproductive freedom law that would reverse ban on abortions at all pregnancy stages 6747241419
Reposted by QwiteWildPartyInviteDecliner @ratelimitexceeder.bsky.social · 13/07/2026This is so sad and desperate. The two-thirds majority to expel doesn’t exist. Pits Trump against the Georgia GOP again. 25714
Reposted by Qwitepork, cheese, broccoli rabe @garlicbuffalo.gobirds.biz · 12/07/2026this is the perfect use of axios’s bullet point house style 63490640
Reposted by QwiteRima I Anabtawi @rimaanabtawi.bsky.social · 12/07/2026Lindsey Graham knew how to speak Trump's language like few others — and often acted as a megaphone on Netanyahu’s behalf. His death leaves an open question: Who will take up the mantle as the most effective conduit for Bibi’s messages to Trump? www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...haaretz.comLindsey Graham's death leaves Israel without a clear voice in Trump's earLindsey Graham knew how to speak Trump's language like few others, and there is no obvious successor among Republican hawks with his charisma and access. His death leaves an open question: Who will ta... 0102
Reposted by QwiteBeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 12/07/2026So could Annie Andrews actually win y'all? 432
Reposted by QwiteBeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 12/07/2026lindsey graham finally completed this arc 1273
Reposted by QwitePhil Lewis @phillewis.bsky.social · 12/07/2026Sen. Lindsey Graham dies at 71 after ‘brief and sudden illness’nbcnews.comSen. Lindsey Graham dies at 71 after ‘brief and sudden illness’Graham had just returned from Kyiv, Ukraine, where he met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. 1541172275
Reposted by QwiteAl Jazeera English @aljazeera.com · 12/07/2026Iran war live: IRGC declares Strait of Hormuz closed over US interference aje.news/wjqps1 1113054
Reposted by QwiteQwite @qwite.bsky.social · 12/07/2026Making an bluesky election twitter groupchat of leftists bsky.app/chat/TgDDzAQbsky.appelection bluesky6/50 122
Qwite @qwite.bsky.social · 12/07/2026Making an bluesky election twitter groupchat of leftists bsky.app/chat/TgDDzAQbsky.appelection bluesky6/50 122
Reposted by QwiteTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 01/07/2026We already have roughly two-thirds of the ballots counted in Colorado's first congressional district. And we could be in for another earthquake congressional result: Melat Kiros, a democratic socialist challenger, is up 47.5% to 45% against Rep. Diana DeGette, a longtime incumbent, in Dem primary. 16699128
Reposted by QwiteBeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 21/06/2026There's this new website one of my friends made, and its very cool. It has a forecast for the midterms, Trump approval map by state district and county, and an election shuffler for the midterm forecast *and* past Presidential elections. Check it out: electindex.com 052
Reposted by QwiteShipwreck @shipwreck75.bsky.social · 14/06/2026According to Israeli sources, in a conversation with Trump, Netanyahu clarified that Israel does not consider itself bound by the Lebanese clause in the American-Iranian agreement. 45897274
Reposted by QwiteWildPartyInviteDecliner @ratelimitexceeder.bsky.social · 14/06/2026The proposed deal is basically we halt the war and turn the Strait into an Iranian hegemony, along with $100 billion in apology money. I find it hard to believe it goes through as is, but who knows. 1336
Reposted by QwiteFinancial Times @financialtimes.com · 21/05/2026Streeting floats ‘wealth tax’ in bid to woo Labour left ft.trib.al/FarpN59ft.trib.alStreeting floats ‘wealth tax’ in bid to woo Labour leftLeadership hopeful says equalising capital gains tax rates with income tax could raise £12bn a year 9223
Reposted by QwiteSam Shirazi @samshirazi.bsky.social · 22/04/2026Loudoun is over 90% including all of early vote and mail Above the 60-40 margin needed for a comfortable Yes win Will take a while for an official call But this looks like a redo of the 2025 AG race Shy Yes voters were a thing 713540
![Disco Elysium style text box. It reads:
RHETORIC [Heroic: Failure] — Alright, here we go. We're devoting all your available brain cells to coming up with a question about populism. Scratch that, to coming up with the question about populism, the alpha and omega of populism questions, and that question is:
1. (Whisper.) "Is Count Binface the Establishment?"
2. Oh god, that's bad. Surely I can think of something better.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:kzsnqhdb3styakbudv3xtq4p/bafkreicg27jmn7f6syohe5d7au7dv2bmes77ec5ewugosphditdq72t73i)