iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

2018 TX U.S. Senate polls (8/25-9/29) 9/20 (PPP 1): 🔴 Cruz +3 (D sponsor) 9/20 (PPP 2): 🔴 Cruz +3 (D sponsor) 9/18 (Vox Pop): 🟡 Even 9/17 (Qpac): 🔴 Cruz +9 9/14 (Ipsos): 🔵 O'Rourke +2 9/12 (Chism): 🔴 Cruz +4 (D sponsor) 9/9 (Crosswind): 🔴 Cruz +3 9/7 (Dixie): 🔴 Cruz +4 8/25 (Emerson): 🔴 Cruz +1

1102

VoteHub @votehub.com · 21m

Texas U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/29 (Rasmussen): 🔵 Talarico +1 9/27 (Pulse): 🔴 Paxton +3 (R internal) 9/26 (Big Data Poll): 🔵 Talarico +2 9/24 (Stratus Intel): 🟡 Tie (R) 9/22 (Slingshot): 🔵 Talarico +5 9/20 (Marist): 🔵 Talarico +6 9/19 (TSU): 🔵 Talarico +1 ...

2183

VoteHub @votehub.com · 41m

NEW — House Speaker Mike Johnson is campaigning in California for Republican congressional candidates, including Rep. David Valadao, as the GOP works to retain House control. Our forecast rates CA-22 Likely D, with Randy Villegas at an 82% chance to defeat Valadao in this Trump +2 district.

2120

VoteHub @votehub.com · 2h

TONIGHT — California gubernatorial candidates Xavier Becerra (D) and Steve Hilton (R) will face off at 6pm PT in a one-on-one debate. The hourlong CNN debate in Los Angeles will be moderated by Jake Tapper and Dana Bash.

1164

VoteHub @votehub.com · 3h

End of Quarter Net Trump Approval Q1 2025: 🔴 +2.1 Q2 2025: 🔴 +6.7 Q3 2025: 🔴 +10.0 Q4 2025: 🔴 +11.8 Q1 2026: 🔴 +16.0 Q2 2026: 🔴 +17.3 Q3 2026: 🔴 +23.3 Trump's net approval has decreased for seven quarters in a row.

7328

VoteHub @votehub.com · 5h

VoteHub U.S. House Forecast Outlook Democrats: 231 🔵 Solid: 200 🔵 Likely: 13 🔵 Lean: 14 🔵 Tilt: 4 Republicans: 203 🔴 Solid: 147 🔴 Likely: 31 🔴 Lean: 15 🔴 Tilt: 10 Tossup: 1 🟡 Tossup: 1

3219

VoteHub @votehub.com · 18h

VoteHub U.S. Senate Polling Averages: Democrats currently lead in enough states to flip six seats and hold a 53–46 Senate majority. Our forecast, however, remains more favorable to Republicans in Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas among others because of underlying fundamentals.

42610

VoteHub @votehub.com · 18h

RACE RATING CHANGE: AZ-01 Lean D → Likely D Amish Shah’s chances of defeating Jay Feely have increased steadily in recent months. This would be a 🔴→🔵 flip.

26114

VoteHub @votehub.com · 19h

35 days until the first polls close in the 2026 midterms.

1375

VoteHub @votehub.com · 19h

RACE RATING CHANGE: NM-02 Likely D → Solid D Gabe Vasquez’s chances of defeating Greg Cunningham have risen above 95% in our forecast.

1447

VoteHub @votehub.com · 20h

Kansas U.S. Senate candidate Adam Hamilton (D) tells @ms.now he would only serve two terms if elected. He would be 74 at the end of a second term.

3423

VoteHub @votehub.com · 20h

RATINGS CHANGE — VoteHub's forecast moves the Ohio U.S. Senate race to Lean Democratic, giving Democrat Sherrod Brown a 66% chance of winning. Trump won the state by 11 points in 2024.

27212

VoteHub @votehub.com · 23h

9/29 Forecast Update Democrats continue to gain and have again hit all-time high in both chambers today. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 59.4% (+1.3% vs. last week) 🔵 U.S. House: 85.7% (+2.0% vs. last week)

3328

VoteHub @votehub.com · 23h

NC mail returns by party registration: 🔵 DEM – 5,281 (47.3%) ⚪ OTH – 4,161 (37.3%) 🔴 GOP – 1,721 (15.4%) 0.3% of expected votes have been cast.

0179

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

North Carolina 🌲 Early Votes As of Sep 29, 2026 Modeled 2024 presidential vote: 🔵 Harris – 66.9% (+41.2) 🔴 Trump – 25.7% ⚪ Other/new voters – 7.4%

1122

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

13% of Susan Collins supporters say they want Democrats to control the Senate, per NYT/PPH/Siena, underscoring her longstanding crossover support. Collins also has a history of outrunning polls: by 14 pts in 2020, 10 in 2014 and 8 in 2008. VoteHub currently rates Maine Tilt D.

3269

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

South Carolina U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/25 (Trafalgar): 🔴 Graham +1 9/9 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔴 Graham +2 8/28 (Abacus Data): 🔴 Graham +13 8/24 (Impact Research): 🟡 Even 8/24 (Trafalgar): 🟡 Even

1164

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Ken Paxton pushes back on criticism over his handling of a child predator case: “The criticism has been that I let a child predator out [after serving] one day,” Paxton said. “Well, guess what? They served 60 days.”

8347

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

In VA-01, early voters so far are moderately bluer than in 2024 and slightly bluer than in 2025. Lower-propensity voters are coming from the bluest areas, an encouraging sign for Democrats beyond simply front-loading turnout. It’s still very early in the EV period.

05112

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Georgia Governor polls (last 6 weeks) 9/23 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔴 Jackson +2 9/23 (Big Data Poll): 🔴 Jackson +1 9/18 (YouGov): 🔴 Jackson +2 (Loose LV) 9/18 (YouGov): 🔴 Jackson +3 (Strict LV) 8/17 (InsiderAdvantage): 🟡 Even

1103

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Georgia U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/23 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Ossoff +8 9/23 (Big Data Poll): 🔵 Ossoff +11 9/18 (YouGov): 🔵 Ossoff +10 (Loose LV) 9/18 (YouGov): 🔵 Ossoff +8 (Strict LV) 9/16 (Quantus): 🔵 Ossoff +4 9/12 (Trafalgar): 🔵 Ossoff +7 8/17 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Ossoff +8

0235

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Florida Governor polls (last 6 weeks) 9/27 (Change Research): 🔵 Jolly +2 9/21 (Stetson U): 🔴 Donalds +12 9/17 (St. Pete Polls): 🟡 Even 9/9 (Change Research): 🔵 Jolly +3

0143

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Florida U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/27 (Change Research): 🔴 Moody +1 9/21 (Stetson U): 🔴 Moody +11 9/21 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔴 Moody +8 9/17 (St. Pete Polls): 🟡 Even 9/10 (Quantus): 🔴 Moody +7 9/9 (Change Research): 🟡 Even

183

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

In our House forecast, Republicans winning the majority is as likely as Democrats winning 247 seats.

2303

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

Texas GOP Senate nominee Ken Paxton tells a forum of the U.S. Hispanic Business Council that data centers will be “a huge economic boon” for Texas, while suggesting rural areas are more appropriate locations for them. “There’s plenty of open space in Texas,” he said.

6189

VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026

36 days until the first polls close in the 2026 midterms.