Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026This isn’t complicated. 12/2=6. Even if one “peacock caucus” or “moderate” is replaced, the Portland City Council is still very likely to have 6-6 divides. (The dividing line will just move.) It’s a basic flaw in the design and is why legislatures need to have an odd number of members. 030
Reposted by Paul GronkeMIT Election Lab @mitelectionlab.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Data Driven Democracy is our new LinkedIn newsletter! Give us a follow for the latest insights and developments in the field of election science, from our analysis of the trends in 2026's election data to new research in list maintenance procedures and best practices. buff.ly/NNWzvtE 022
Reposted by Paul GronkeAll Voting is Local @allvotingislocal.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Election officials nationwide have faced threats, political pressure, and intimidation as we get closer to midterm elections. A bipartisan group of 50 business & civic leaders signed onto a letter standing with election officials against these threats ⤵️ bit.ly/4h2x0pjbit.lyPolitical pressure on election administration has intensified across the country and in OhioWe affirm every eligible citizen’s right to vote and to have that vote counted; impartial and transparent election administration; the resolution of disputes through established legal processes; and r... 122
Reposted by Paul GronkeRuth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Our paper on citizens' expectations for and evaluations of democratic representation is now out in Representation! Great pleasure working with David Talukder on this paper! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comThe Expectation Gap: Citizens’ Expectations for and Evaluations of Democratic RepresentationConcerns about a potential erosion of political support in established democracies have motivated scholars to study the failure of democratic institutions in realising democratic representation. Ye... 1309
Reposted by Paul GronkePaul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026@epssnet.bsky.social anyone still in Belfast willing to grab a pair of glasses (in a case) that I left at the Crown Pub (Victoria Street) at dinner Saturday night? Called, they are there, but I’m heading back to USA. Can compensate with Reed College swag! DM or email gronkep@reed.edu 101
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026@epssnet.bsky.social anyone still in Belfast willing to grab a pair of glasses (in a case) that I left at the Crown Pub (Victoria Street) at dinner Saturday night? Called, they are there, but I’m heading back to USA. Can compensate with Reed College swag! DM or email gronkep@reed.edu 101
Reposted by Paul GronkeDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/02/2026New, from me: Trump finalized his Schedule F policy, allowing him to remove job protections from career civil servants. The new rule is dishonest and unmoored from reality in its effort to formalize the politicization of the federal government 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/trumps-sch...donmoynihan.substack.comTrump's Schedule F Rule FinalizedA bizarro rule formally justifies politicizing public services 21956481
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Breaking news: Trump cabinet official learns that POTUS is a narcissist who only cares about himself. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Changing organizational culture — especially a military one — takes a hell of a lot more work that reassigning a leader and installing another one. The Admin has spent six months hiring thugs and praising them when they terrorize the populace. The only way to deescalate is rewind the whole thing 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026I’m relearning German and while I’ve always known the word Grupenfuhrer, I don’t know the word for sacrificial lamb. Both apply to Bovino. 100
Reposted by Paul GronkeKyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 25/01/2026JUST IN: In a new lawsuit, Minnesota officials say DHS mishandled evidence from today's crime scene and made "astonishing" law enforcement decisions. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us... 390163155487
Reposted by Paul GronkeRick Hasen @rickhasen.bsky.social · 25/01/2026Absolutely reprehensible that AG Bondi is offering ICE stand down in exchange for access to voting rolls. Outrageous and disgusting. It shows ICE is in Minneapolis is not for law enforcement purposes. Instead it’s a way to stir up shit in blue states and extort them. 25566682403
Reposted by Paul GronkeAttorney General Keith Ellison @ag.state.mn.us · 25/01/2026Tonight, on behalf of Minnesota law enforcement, I filed a lawsuit against DHS to prevent the destruction of evidence related to the fatal shooting of Alex Pretti. DHS is not above the law, and Alex sure as hell is not beneath it. 16769921361
Reposted by Paul GronkeJustin Levitt @justinlevitt.bsky.social · 25/01/2026I stopped posting the daily reminder, but just in case it’s in need of a refresher: Congressional Republicans can stop this any. time. they. want. 625270
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Pro tip #3 for #spsa2026 There is no event WiFi for @spsanews.bsky.social so have your hotspot ready if your slides are on the web. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Pro tip #2 #spsa2026 The app you want is “SPSA” and is categorized as “reference” Not “SPSA connect” which is categorized as education! 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 13/01/2026Hot funk along with hot plates at Frenchman’s Street for #spsa2026 240
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 12/01/2026NOLA pro tip for #spsa2026 Fixed fare for cabs from MSY of $36, $18 a person for 2, $15 apiece for 3 or more. Uber and Lyft were showing me fares over $50. 100
Reposted by Paul GronkeReponytt @reponytt.bsky.social · 10/01/2026openelections/spsa2026 is a new repo by openelections: github.com/openelections/spsa2026 Presentation materials 011
Reposted by Paul GronkeNeil Vigdor @gettingviggy.bsky.social · 08/01/2026Austin Peay State University in Tennessee also reinstated Darren Michael, a tenured acting professor whose post about Charlie Kirk’s killing inflamed conservatives. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/07/u...nytimes.comUniversity to Pay $500,000 to Professor It Fired Over Charlie Kirk Post 821622
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025Understand the need to fill space, a reminder that Harris won 68% of the vote in NYC. There were also three deeply flawed contenders. Not underplaying the amazing Mamdani campaign and his talents, but IMO this is a lot more about campaigning (and shitty opponents) than ideology. Time will tell. 020
Reposted by Paul GronkeDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 28/10/2025"Dress for the job you want, not the job you have" 1222181459
Reposted by Paul GronkeRobert Mackey @robertmackey.bsky.social · 07/10/2025The Oregon Republican Party tried to help Donald Trump make the case for military intervention in Portland with an image of a fiery protest — but since Portland is calm, they had to fabricate one by merging old photos of police in Ecuador and protesters in Brazil www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...theguardian.comRepublicans post fake image of Oregon protest – using photos of South AmericaA federal judge had blocked Trump’s request to deploy California national guard to Portland 11437781926
Reposted by Paul GronkeBrendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 07/10/2025My new op-ed with @lkfazio.bsky.social: Trump sent a 'compact' to our universities. They should reject this devil's bargain. Any institution that yields to these broad and intrusive demands would forever be subservient to the whims of the government. www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb... 11639206
Reposted by Paul GronkeNancy Kanwisher @nancykanwisher.bsky.social · 07/10/2025I am proud of MIT, where our branch of AAUP has voted unanimously to endorse this statement urging MIT leadership and the MIT Corporation to reject the Compact wholesale docs.google.com/document/d/1...docs.google.comLetter Regarding CompactMIT Chapter of the American Association of University Professors October 6, 2025 Statement on the “Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education” MIT has been invited by the federal governmen... 12804197
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 12/09/2025@ivelasq3.bsky.social The new book on survey weighting in R is amazing but you may want to reconsider the first section on weighting the ANES (summarized at this post www.r-bloggers.com/2025/08/anes...) I don't think many end users produce "population size" estimates, as the book describes. 1/r-bloggers.comANES 2024 is Out! How to Analyze the Data with R | R-bloggersLast fall, my co-authors Stephanie Zimmer, Rebecca Powell, and I released Exploring Complex Survey Data Analysis Using R. Earlier this August, we had the joy of teaching a workshop based on the book a... 110
Reposted by Paul GronkeGovernor Gavin Newsom @governor.ca.gov · 26/08/2025A glimpse into Trump's make-believe world of "giant water valves" in Northern California… 47250261469
Reposted by Paul GronkeBrandon Friedman @brandonfriedman.bsky.social · 30/07/2025JD Vance is suddenly opposed to gerrymandering. Someone tell Greg Abbott. 1111026197
Reposted by Paul GronkeEPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 29/06/2025📣 Mark your calendars: The first-ever EPSS Conference will be held in Belfast, 18–20 June 2026 Organized under our new not-for-profit model. ➡️ epssnet.org/belfast-2026/ More details soon, so watch this space. See you all in Belfast! 🇬🇧☘️epssnet.orgBelfast 2026 – EPSS© 2025 – European Political Science CIC 0157
Reposted by Paul GronkeAdam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 09/07/2025The Supreme Court’s “shadow docket” has cast very different shadows depending on which party holds the White House. When lower courts blocked Trump admin policies, SCOTUS intervened on an emergency basis to lift those orders in 77% of cases. For the Biden administration, that number was 0%. 11450712350
Reposted by Paul GronkeElections & Voting Information Center @electionsvoting.bsky.social · 26/06/2025Today's @electionline.bsky.social Weekly features EVIC Director @pgronke.bsky.social's by-line: "Declining Job Satisfaction Among Local Election Administrators: Survey reveals trend in smallest jurisdictions, but identifying cause is a bigger challenge"w/ findings from EVIC LEO Survey Program. 153
Reposted by Paul GronkeFairVote @fairvote.bsky.social · 26/06/2025NYC just used #RankedChoiceVoting in its city primaries. FairVote CEO Meredith Sumpter explains how RCV delivered more choice, more competition, and better campaigns for NYC voters. 👀 0102
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 26/06/2025This decision to reverse an earlier decision that threw out a grants package is ultimately a good news story. Learning when to lead and when to defer isn't easy. Glad to see the 7 members were willing to admit their error. Now let's see if the lesson sticks. www.wweek.com/news/city/20...wweek.comAmid Outcry, City Council Restores Portland Children’s Levy Grants PackageClose to ten BIPOC executive directors of nonprofit organizations testified to the council, railing them for rejecting the funding recommendations. 010
Reposted by Paul GronkeDan Garisto @dangaristo.bsky.social · 24/06/2025NEW: NSF will be kicked out of their building. Announcement will be made tomorrow by HUD Sec. and Governor of VA. HUD will take over the NSF building over the next two years. NSF staffer: "There is no planning for NSF, no identified future location, appropriation for a new building or a move." 10927931518
Reposted by Paul GronkeDerek Willis @dwillis.bsky.social · 24/06/2025Every time I hear about the dangers of electing inexperienced people to be a NYC mayor, I think about how Vincent Impellitteri, an absolute nobody, became acting mayor, lost the primary and then won running as the “Experience Party” candidate: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vincent...en.m.wikipedia.orgVincent R. Impellitteri - Wikipedia 154
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 25/06/2025POTUS and administration claims about the results of the bombing were nearly a complete fabrication / fantasy/ wishful thinking? I’m shocked! 000
Reposted by Paul GronkeElections & Voting Information Center @electionsvoting.bsky.social · 11/06/2025We hope all #ElectionGeeks are enjoying the fabulous agenda of #ESRA2025. Our @electionsvoting.bsky.social Director @pgronke.bsky.social is with you in spirit, and our Research Director @paulonabike.bsky.social is onsite. 064
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 10/06/2025Life must be difficult as an upright biped with no spine. 030
Reposted by Paul GronkeRick Hasen @rickhasen.bsky.social · 09/06/2025You can see why MARINES are necessary. 973573892
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 09/06/2025Sad to be missing #esra2025 due to a series of flight delays that would get me there a day late. But there in spirit with the topsiders and pastel shirt I put aside to go to the reception, and the bagels I made for the early morning flight. #electionscience #aesra #esra2025 140
Reposted by Paul GronkeDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/06/2025Midnight, June 7 is the deadline to comment on the revised Schedule F, Trump's plan to politicize the civil servants by converting them into at-will appointees that can be fired for the mildest pushback against illegal actions. It's easy - here is how: donmoynihan.substack.com/p/last-day-t...donmoynihan.substack.comLast day to weigh in on Trump's plan to politicize the civil serviceTrump has already shown us how he would use Schedule F powers 42678542
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/05/2025Judge Richard L. Leon understands the appropriate use of exclamation points to signal his outrage. Starting right on page 1. Fundamental constitutional are no bullshit and can’t be taken away by executive order. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us... 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 24/05/2025We don’t need an officer corps of “careerists”? Does the POTUS have even a basic understanding of how we maintain our military? 011