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Paul Gronke

@pgronke.bsky.social
981 followers 116 following 123 posts

Professor, director, gardener, and a few other things. I mainly do elections. Follow my work at EVIC.reed.edu LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/paul-gronke-834…

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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
How can we possibly explain this level of shamelessness to our students? I mean, he’s a sitting US Senator. Throw your staff member under the bus if can’t being yourself to apologize. But own it Senator. You f’ed up.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
This isn’t complicated. 12/2=6. Even if one “peacock caucus” or “moderate” is replaced, the Portland City Council is still very likely to have 6-6 divides. (The dividing line will just move.) It’s a basic flaw in the design and is why legislatures need to have an odd number of members.
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MIT Election Lab @mitelectionlab.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Data Driven Democracy is our new LinkedIn newsletter! Give us a follow for the latest insights and developments in the field of election science, from our analysis of the trends in 2026's election data to new research in list maintenance procedures and best practices. buff.ly/NNWzvtE
Lab Update
Suscribe to 
Data Driven Democracy 
A new monthly newsletter from the MIT Election Data + Science Team
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All Voting is Local @allvotingislocal.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Election officials nationwide have faced threats, political pressure, and intimidation as we get closer to midterm elections. A bipartisan group of 50 business & civic leaders signed onto a letter standing with election officials against these threats ⤵️ bit.ly/4h2x0pj
bit.ly
Political pressure on election administration has intensified across the country and in Ohio
We affirm every eligible citizen’s right to vote and to have that vote counted; impartial and transparent election administration; the resolution of disputes through established legal processes; and r...
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Our paper on citizens' expectations for and evaluations of democratic representation is now out in Representation! Great pleasure working with David Talukder on this paper! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Expectation Gap: Citizens’ Expectations for and Evaluations of Democratic Representation
Concerns about a potential erosion of political support in established democracies have motivated scholars to study the failure of democratic institutions in realising democratic representation. Ye...
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
P.S. on a plane for the next 10 hrs. Glasses are in a blue case with tape labeled “warby Parker”. No rush should be super easy to mail in a regular envelope. Thx in advance if someone snags them. #epss2026
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
@epssnet.bsky.social anyone still in Belfast willing to grab a pair of glasses (in a case) that I left at the Crown Pub (Victoria Street) at dinner Saturday night? Called, they are there, but I’m heading back to USA. Can compensate with Reed College swag! DM or email gronkep@reed.edu
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
@epssnet.bsky.social anyone still in Belfast willing to grab a pair of glasses (in a case) that I left at the Crown Pub (Victoria Street) at dinner Saturday night? Called, they are there, but I’m heading back to USA. Can compensate with Reed College swag! DM or email gronkep@reed.edu
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
Last semester. And they didn’t do well. Not test anxiety — students don’t know how to cram any more.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
The detail at the end of the story about Councilor Avalos misrepresenting conversations she had (and did not have) with NPCC is really problematic for a Council that has been struggling with trusting one another.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
I’m recommending that paper everywhere. It shows that so many assumptions are turned on their head. But politicians are famously superstitious learners and I suspect haven’t integrated tjis yet.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
This is what @profnickstephan.bsky.social argues here hls.harvard.edu/bibliography...
hls.harvard.edu
Election Law for the New Electorate - Harvard Law School
Nicholas Stephanopoulos, Election Law for the New Electorate (Harv. Pub. L. Working Paper No. 24-02, 2024).
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
New, from me: Trump finalized his Schedule F policy, allowing him to remove job protections from career civil servants. The new rule is dishonest and unmoored from reality in its effort to formalize the politicization of the federal government 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/trumps-sch...
donmoynihan.substack.com
Trump's Schedule F Rule Finalized
A bizarro rule formally justifies politicizing public services
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Perhaps we read the resistenza user’s post differently. They quite clearly imply in their post — and in reply to others who say it’s speculation —that CPB targeted Pretti because of this system and the whole encounter was planned. There’s no evidence of that and personally I’d not speculate.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
This is wild speculation and it’s really not helpful to repost. We have all seen the videos — are you really claiming somehow they magically got Pretti to step in and then “knew” to target him? The situation was way too fluid. Not a credible claim.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Breaking news: Trump cabinet official learns that POTUS is a narcissist who only cares about himself.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Changing organizational culture — especially a military one — takes a hell of a lot more work that reassigning a leader and installing another one. The Admin has spent six months hiring thugs and praising them when they terrorize the populace. The only way to deescalate is rewind the whole thing
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
I suspect not fired, “reassigned” and we will be told it was in the works anyway.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Noem is next. She’s cosplayed for the last time.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Has he been fired or just reassigned?
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Sundenbock. As in: Bovino ist der Sundenbock.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
I’m relearning German and while I’ve always known the word Grupenfuhrer, I don’t know the word for sacrificial lamb. Both apply to Bovino.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
About time for the storm trooper to go
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Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
JUST IN: In a new lawsuit, Minnesota officials say DHS mishandled evidence from today's crime scene and made "astonishing" law enforcement decisions. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
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Rick Hasen @rickhasen.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Absolutely reprehensible that AG Bondi is offering ICE stand down in exchange for access to voting rolls. Outrageous and disgusting. It shows ICE is in Minneapolis is not for law enforcement purposes. Instead it’s a way to stir up shit in blue states and extort them.
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Attorney General Keith Ellison @ag.state.mn.us · 25/01/2026
Tonight, on behalf of Minnesota law enforcement, I filed a lawsuit against DHS to prevent the destruction of evidence related to the fatal shooting of Alex Pretti. DHS is not above the law, and Alex sure as hell is not beneath it.
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Justin Levitt @justinlevitt.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
I stopped posting the daily reminder, but just in case it’s in need of a refresher: Congressional Republicans can stop this any. time. they. want.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Could be a long hot summer
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
I just missed the 4:30 and didn’t want to wait 90 min
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Pro tip #3 for #spsa2026 There is no event WiFi for @spsanews.bsky.social so have your hotspot ready if your slides are on the web.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Pro tip #2 #spsa2026 The app you want is “SPSA” and is categorized as “reference” Not “SPSA connect” which is categorized as education!
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Hot funk along with hot plates at Frenchman’s Street for #spsa2026
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
NOLA pro tip for #spsa2026 Fixed fare for cabs from MSY of $36, $18 a person for 2, $15 apiece for 3 or more. Uber and Lyft were showing me fares over $50.
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Reponytt @reponytt.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
openelections/spsa2026 is a new repo by openelections: github.com/openelections/spsa2026 Presentation materials
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Neil Vigdor @gettingviggy.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Austin Peay State University in Tennessee also reinstated Darren Michael, a tenured acting professor whose post about Charlie Kirk’s killing inflamed conservatives. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/07/u...
nytimes.com
University to Pay $500,000 to Professor It Fired Over Charlie Kirk Post
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
This football game is nuts
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
I don’t know how he can claim we are the hottest country since he’s closing the NCAR.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
You misread the 36.0% approval rating, it’s really 360!
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
I want someone to cut prices 500%
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
I loved the analysis of the impact of free buses -- what they really need to do is make bus lanes! I'm encouraged that he seemed to understand he has to get along with Albany. A bit disappointed in some of the tone of the speech, but heck, he was excited. Give him that.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Understand the need to fill space, a reminder that Harris won 68% of the vote in NYC. There were also three deeply flawed contenders. Not underplaying the amazing Mamdani campaign and his talents, but IMO this is a lot more about campaigning (and shitty opponents) than ideology. Time will tell.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
I dig the excitement he is generating and that he's saying different things. But NYC is incredibly difficult to govern and I hope he ends up figuring out how to navigate that and doesn't end up being constantly frustrated. We shall see. I don't interpret a lot from a result in NYC.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
You look only to the parents but not to the differences in their ages which seems to me quite important in this case. Also: Columbia vs Chicago. Not sure what to do with San Francisco but who is?
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
"Dress for the job you want, not the job you have"
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
This to me is the central challenge. With 40 years of statistical programming under my belt — all the way back to APL and Fortran — I can fashion highly focused queries and evaluate the results. Not sure what I’d do if I were teaching stats.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
This has not been my experience, not by a long shot. I find the LLMs produce workable code for most of my low level needs, dramatically reduce my search time for more complex tasks, and have helped complete tasks that otherwise would be beyond my capabilities.
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Robert Mackey @robertmackey.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
The Oregon Republican Party tried to help Donald Trump make the case for military intervention in Portland with an image of a fiery protest — but since Portland is calm, they had to fabricate one by merging old photos of police in Ecuador and protesters in Brazil www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
theguardian.com
Republicans post fake image of Oregon protest – using photos of South America
A federal judge had blocked Trump’s request to deploy California national guard to Portland
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