Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026How can we possibly explain this level of shamelessness to our students? I mean, he’s a sitting US Senator. Throw your staff member under the bus if can’t being yourself to apologize. But own it Senator. You f’ed up. 082
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026This isn’t complicated. 12/2=6. Even if one “peacock caucus” or “moderate” is replaced, the Portland City Council is still very likely to have 6-6 divides. (The dividing line will just move.) It’s a basic flaw in the design and is why legislatures need to have an odd number of members. 030
Reposted by Paul GronkeMIT Election Lab @mitelectionlab.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Data Driven Democracy is our new LinkedIn newsletter! Give us a follow for the latest insights and developments in the field of election science, from our analysis of the trends in 2026's election data to new research in list maintenance procedures and best practices. buff.ly/NNWzvtE 022
Reposted by Paul GronkeAll Voting is Local @allvotingislocal.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Election officials nationwide have faced threats, political pressure, and intimidation as we get closer to midterm elections. A bipartisan group of 50 business & civic leaders signed onto a letter standing with election officials against these threats ⤵️ bit.ly/4h2x0pjbit.lyPolitical pressure on election administration has intensified across the country and in OhioWe affirm every eligible citizen’s right to vote and to have that vote counted; impartial and transparent election administration; the resolution of disputes through established legal processes; and r... 122
Reposted by Paul GronkeRuth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Our paper on citizens' expectations for and evaluations of democratic representation is now out in Representation! Great pleasure working with David Talukder on this paper! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comThe Expectation Gap: Citizens’ Expectations for and Evaluations of Democratic RepresentationConcerns about a potential erosion of political support in established democracies have motivated scholars to study the failure of democratic institutions in realising democratic representation. Ye... 1309
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026P.S. on a plane for the next 10 hrs. Glasses are in a blue case with tape labeled “warby Parker”. No rush should be super easy to mail in a regular envelope. Thx in advance if someone snags them. #epss2026 000
Reposted by Paul GronkePaul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026@epssnet.bsky.social anyone still in Belfast willing to grab a pair of glasses (in a case) that I left at the Crown Pub (Victoria Street) at dinner Saturday night? Called, they are there, but I’m heading back to USA. Can compensate with Reed College swag! DM or email gronkep@reed.edu 101
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 21/06/2026@epssnet.bsky.social anyone still in Belfast willing to grab a pair of glasses (in a case) that I left at the Crown Pub (Victoria Street) at dinner Saturday night? Called, they are there, but I’m heading back to USA. Can compensate with Reed College swag! DM or email gronkep@reed.edu 101
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 31/03/2026Last semester. And they didn’t do well. Not test anxiety — students don’t know how to cram any more. 010
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 06/03/2026The detail at the end of the story about Councilor Avalos misrepresenting conversations she had (and did not have) with NPCC is really problematic for a Council that has been struggling with trusting one another. 010
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 10/02/2026I’m recommending that paper everywhere. It shows that so many assumptions are turned on their head. But politicians are famously superstitious learners and I suspect haven’t integrated tjis yet. 010
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 10/02/2026This is what @profnickstephan.bsky.social argues here hls.harvard.edu/bibliography...hls.harvard.eduElection Law for the New Electorate - Harvard Law SchoolNicholas Stephanopoulos, Election Law for the New Electorate (Harv. Pub. L. Working Paper No. 24-02, 2024). 100
Reposted by Paul GronkeDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/02/2026New, from me: Trump finalized his Schedule F policy, allowing him to remove job protections from career civil servants. The new rule is dishonest and unmoored from reality in its effort to formalize the politicization of the federal government 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/trumps-sch...donmoynihan.substack.comTrump's Schedule F Rule FinalizedA bizarro rule formally justifies politicizing public services 21956481
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Perhaps we read the resistenza user’s post differently. They quite clearly imply in their post — and in reply to others who say it’s speculation —that CPB targeted Pretti because of this system and the whole encounter was planned. There’s no evidence of that and personally I’d not speculate. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026This is wild speculation and it’s really not helpful to repost. We have all seen the videos — are you really claiming somehow they magically got Pretti to step in and then “knew” to target him? The situation was way too fluid. Not a credible claim. 120
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Breaking news: Trump cabinet official learns that POTUS is a narcissist who only cares about himself. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Changing organizational culture — especially a military one — takes a hell of a lot more work that reassigning a leader and installing another one. The Admin has spent six months hiring thugs and praising them when they terrorize the populace. The only way to deescalate is rewind the whole thing 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026I suspect not fired, “reassigned” and we will be told it was in the works anyway. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 27/01/2026I’m relearning German and while I’ve always known the word Grupenfuhrer, I don’t know the word for sacrificial lamb. Both apply to Bovino. 100
Reposted by Paul GronkeKyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 25/01/2026JUST IN: In a new lawsuit, Minnesota officials say DHS mishandled evidence from today's crime scene and made "astonishing" law enforcement decisions. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us... 390163135487
Reposted by Paul GronkeRick Hasen @rickhasen.bsky.social · 25/01/2026Absolutely reprehensible that AG Bondi is offering ICE stand down in exchange for access to voting rolls. Outrageous and disgusting. It shows ICE is in Minneapolis is not for law enforcement purposes. Instead it’s a way to stir up shit in blue states and extort them. 25566662402
Reposted by Paul GronkeAttorney General Keith Ellison @ag.state.mn.us · 25/01/2026Tonight, on behalf of Minnesota law enforcement, I filed a lawsuit against DHS to prevent the destruction of evidence related to the fatal shooting of Alex Pretti. DHS is not above the law, and Alex sure as hell is not beneath it. 16769911361
Reposted by Paul GronkeJustin Levitt @justinlevitt.bsky.social · 25/01/2026I stopped posting the daily reminder, but just in case it’s in need of a refresher: Congressional Republicans can stop this any. time. they. want. 625270
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 17/01/2026I just missed the 4:30 and didn’t want to wait 90 min 100
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Pro tip #3 for #spsa2026 There is no event WiFi for @spsanews.bsky.social so have your hotspot ready if your slides are on the web. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Pro tip #2 #spsa2026 The app you want is “SPSA” and is categorized as “reference” Not “SPSA connect” which is categorized as education! 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 13/01/2026Hot funk along with hot plates at Frenchman’s Street for #spsa2026 240
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 12/01/2026NOLA pro tip for #spsa2026 Fixed fare for cabs from MSY of $36, $18 a person for 2, $15 apiece for 3 or more. Uber and Lyft were showing me fares over $50. 100
Reposted by Paul GronkeReponytt @reponytt.bsky.social · 10/01/2026openelections/spsa2026 is a new repo by openelections: github.com/openelections/spsa2026 Presentation materials 011
Reposted by Paul GronkeNeil Vigdor @gettingviggy.bsky.social · 08/01/2026Austin Peay State University in Tennessee also reinstated Darren Michael, a tenured acting professor whose post about Charlie Kirk’s killing inflamed conservatives. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/07/u...nytimes.comUniversity to Pay $500,000 to Professor It Fired Over Charlie Kirk Post 821522
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 18/12/2025I don’t know how he can claim we are the hottest country since he’s closing the NCAR. 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 18/12/2025You misread the 36.0% approval rating, it’s really 360! 000
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025I loved the analysis of the impact of free buses -- what they really need to do is make bus lanes! I'm encouraged that he seemed to understand he has to get along with Albany. A bit disappointed in some of the tone of the speech, but heck, he was excited. Give him that. 010
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025Understand the need to fill space, a reminder that Harris won 68% of the vote in NYC. There were also three deeply flawed contenders. Not underplaying the amazing Mamdani campaign and his talents, but IMO this is a lot more about campaigning (and shitty opponents) than ideology. Time will tell. 020
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025I dig the excitement he is generating and that he's saying different things. But NYC is incredibly difficult to govern and I hope he ends up figuring out how to navigate that and doesn't end up being constantly frustrated. We shall see. I don't interpret a lot from a result in NYC. 100
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 05/11/2025You look only to the parents but not to the differences in their ages which seems to me quite important in this case. Also: Columbia vs Chicago. Not sure what to do with San Francisco but who is? 000
Reposted by Paul GronkeDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 28/10/2025"Dress for the job you want, not the job you have" 1212180459
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025This to me is the central challenge. With 40 years of statistical programming under my belt — all the way back to APL and Fortran — I can fashion highly focused queries and evaluate the results. Not sure what I’d do if I were teaching stats. 030
Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 09/10/2025This has not been my experience, not by a long shot. I find the LLMs produce workable code for most of my low level needs, dramatically reduce my search time for more complex tasks, and have helped complete tasks that otherwise would be beyond my capabilities. 010
Reposted by Paul GronkeRobert Mackey @robertmackey.bsky.social · 07/10/2025The Oregon Republican Party tried to help Donald Trump make the case for military intervention in Portland with an image of a fiery protest — but since Portland is calm, they had to fabricate one by merging old photos of police in Ecuador and protesters in Brazil www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...theguardian.comRepublicans post fake image of Oregon protest – using photos of South AmericaA federal judge had blocked Trump’s request to deploy California national guard to Portland 11437781926