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Paul Manson

@paulonabike.bsky.social
884 followers 691 following 66 posts

Research Asst Prof with the Hatfield School of Government at Portland State University. Study elections admin, gender in public service, and environmental policy and administration. Find me playing soccer and doing what my handle suggests. 907 to 503.

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John Horvick @horvick.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Voters ages 65+ are likely to make up 47% of the Oregon primary electorate this year. This assumes a turnout of the average of the 2018/2022 primaries.
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R. Michael Alvarez @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Working out this weekend? Spring break? Driving trip? Listen to the Election Science Office Hours podcast on Spotify and Apple! I've got @pgronke.bsky.social and @paulonabike.bsky.social on, talking about everything they've learned about local election officials. open.spotify.com/episode/1vwB...
open.spotify.com
Episode 14: Paul Gronke & Paul Manson. What do we know about local election officials?
The Election Science Office Hours Podcast · Episode
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R. Michael Alvarez @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
Okay, #bsky folks. Election Science Office Hours is back. Had a wide-ranging conversation with @pgronke.bsky.social and @paulonabike.bsky.social from @electionsvoting.bsky.social. We talked about some of their intriguing results from their remarkable LEO survey. Watch! youtu.be/wl3mSDlJ6LU?...
youtu.be
Election Science Office Hours with Paul Gronke and Paul Manson, Researchers from EVIC
YouTube video by Linde Center for Science, Society, and Policy
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
This guy is literally trying to access your banking information via the IRS. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
Gavin Kliger, a DOGE software engineer, arrived unannounced at IRS headquarters on Thursday and was named senior adviser to the acting commissioner. IRS officials were told to treat Kliger and other DOGE officials as contractors, two people familiar said.Gavin Kliger, a DOGE software engineer, arrived unannounced at IRS headquarters on Thursday and was named senior adviser to the acting commissioner. IRS officials were told to treat Kliger and other DOGE officials as contractors, two people familiar said.
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NPR @npr.org · 08/02/2025
Here's what the decision by America's favorite sports league tells us about "anticipatory obedience."
npr.org
The NFL is removing 'End Racism' from its Super Bowl end zone
Here's what the decision by America's favorite sports league tells us about "anticipatory obedience."
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MIT Election Lab @mitelectionlab.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Our friends at @electionsvoting.bsky.social have officially launched the results of the 2024 Local Election Official Survey! Check it out for an unparalleled look at how election officials are doing, organizational challenges they face, and voter experiences:
buff.ly
2024 EVIC LEO Survey Report – Elections & Voting Information Center
Reed College |3203 SE Woodstock Blvd,  Portland, OR 97202
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Elections & Voting Information Center @electionsvoting.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
2024 Local Election Official Survey results are available today. The link to the report is below. ● Job satisfaction is at 77% down from 91% in 2020. ● 41% are eligible to retire. ● 14% of LEOs have considered leaving their roles due to safety concerns. evic.reed.edu/2024-evic-le...
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Today the @electionsvoting.bsky.social team has released our 2024 Findings from the Local Election Official Survey. The report details the profesisonal, organizational, and personal challenges officials faced in 2024. evic.reed.edu/2024-evic-le...
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Lora Kolodny @lorak.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
CalFire site shows all the L.A. fires are 97% or more contained right now. I'm in awe of the hard work it took to get to this and hoping it keeps going in the right direction weather-wise and in every way. www.fire.ca.gov
fire.ca.gov
California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection | CAL FIRE
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Ryan Haas @ryanjhaas.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Famed concern of the American people: underwriting length. Public media is a threat to power because we don't operate inside the corporate levers and don't have billionaire owners who can kill coverage they don't like. Simple as that.
nytimes.com
F.C.C. Chair Orders Investigation Into NPR and PBS Stations
Brendan Carr, the chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, recently expressed concern about NPR’s and PBS’s sponsorships.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
A NYTimes editor is fist pumping for this solid dad joke they printed.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
My team at @electionsvoting.bsky.social will be releasing findings from our 2024 Local Election Official Survey next week. In advance some key findings are shared today in this Votebeat story. Despite a rapid and clear recent election, many stresses remain. www.votebeat.org/2025/01/30/e...
votebeat.org
The nation’s election administrators remain on edge, survey finds
“Please, become a doctor. Become a lawyer. Be a mathematician,” says Colorado’s election director. “Don’t do this. … That is the way I view this job.”
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
Audit data presentation at #SPSA2025 by @mitelectionlab.bsky.social team led by Sam Baltz and team. Amazing data collection challenges to explore impacts of audit.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
For my election nerd friends. A live pod cast taping at the #SPSA2025 conference in Puerto Rico. @pgronke.bsky.social with Eric Fey, Brianna Lennon, and Jackie Wu.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 04/01/2025
Excited to join the SPSA meeting and share our research on elections. Bummed @alaskaair.bsky.social thinks Puerto Rico is not part of the US. Our colonial history has made a lasting impact on the island. But it is America.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 27/12/2024
Took some time to wander with family and try and unplug.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
Amazing reporting — wild to see how this unfolds in the story.
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R. Michael Alvarez @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Another election photo from the archive; this is also from the LA County "Got Dots?" voter information campaign in 2004.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
The HBO Yacht Rock documentary is outstanding. Great series of stories about the era, the music business, mixing cultural forces, and connections to hip hop. youtu.be/a55pyQsI3GQ?...
youtu.be
Music Box: Yacht Rock: A Dockumentary | Official Trailer | HBO
YouTube video by HBO
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
New edited volume with @pgronke.bsky.social, @christiangrose.bsky.social, David Kimball, Mara Suttman-Lea, Thessalia Merivaki, and Bridgett King on election administration! Excited to contribute to this collaboration built on the Local Election Official Survey. link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
link.springer.com
Local Election Administrators in the United States
This book focuses on 8,000+ local elections administrators in counties and townships who largely manage the key administrative processes of elections
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NPR @npr.org · 05/12/2024
UPDATE: The tsunami threat has now passed, according to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center.
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WeatherMatrix @weathermatrix.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Here's what we know. #Tsunami Warning in effect, first one in Contig. US in IEM's text database that goes back to the 1980s. Time Travel map issued by Tsunami.gov Warning on Calif. & Oregon Coasts One buoy is reporting an "event"
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
gtsummary is amazing.
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Kyle Walker @kylewalker.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Release day for the 2019-2023 5-year American Community Survey data is one week away! On release day, you'll be able to use the tidycensus #rstats package to get your hands on it right away. Want to learn how? My book Analyzing US Census Data is a great way to start: walker-data.com/cens...
walker-data.com
Preface | Analyzing US Census Data
This book is an overview of how practitioners can acquire, wrangle, visualize, and model US Census data with the R programming language.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
I am just starting to explore our initial results from the @electionsvoting.bsky.social Local Election Official Survey. Job satisfaction remains high, though one question we ask if election admins would recommend their children go into election admin - that number has fallen from 41% in 2023.
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Paul Gronke @pgronke.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Kicking off the BPC 2024 Election Summit with @paulonabike.bsky.social Great event and excited to see the repurposed Newseum.
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Elliot Njus @elliotnj.us · 28/11/2024
Happy Thanksgiving!
Posts on X.com from Portland Fire & Rescue that read:

Crews responding to
a reported structure fire in NW Portland, 911 caller reports smoke on the 3rd floor of this 3 story apartment building.

(posted 5 minutes later) This was burnt food, incident has been recalled.
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Dara Lind @daralind.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Fun fact: DC has had a rough year and we deserve a Spirit win
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
An Alaska village sinking in ocean bc climate change still has residents. Officials forgot to set up voting there. This woman flew there on a small plane last minute to set up vote-by-fax. Here, she is radioing village to bring their ballots. (Great story—read to end: boltsmag.org/alaska-measu...)
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Marian Call @mariancall.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
"In addition to the Alaska House, just seven state legislative chambers are majority-female or at gender parity in the U.S., according to CAWP."
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Anthony Macuk @anthonymacuk.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Chavez-DeRemer currently represents Oregon's 5th Congressional District, but was defeated in the Nov. 5 election by Democratic challenger Janelle Bynum.
kgw.com
Trump to nominate Lori Chavez-DeRemer to head up Labor Department
Chavez-DeRemer currently represents Oregon's 5th Congressional District, but was defeated in the Nov. 5 election by Democratic challenger Janelle Bynum.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Long Thanksgiving week for election officials in Colorado working the recount for this race with a 7 vote difference!
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
RCV and open primaries survive by 664 votes in Alaska.
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Andrew S. Kelly @askellyphd.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
This phenomenon is similar to the effect that Trump had on the ACA in 2017. The Trump/GOP attacks on the ACA helped raise awareness about the law and public support became much more favorable during and after repeal and replace (see figure of KFF)
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Tom Bonier @tbonier.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
So was this increase in youth turnout in GA fueled by the young men targeted by the Trump campaign? It doesn't seem that way. Young women increased their turnout by 2.2 pts, as compared to 1.5 pts among young men.
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Tom Bonier @tbonier.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Okay, but here's our first surprise, perhaps... looking at turnout as a percent of registered Georgia voters, the under age 30 group was the ONLY age group to see turnout increase over 2020! By 1.9 pts, while every other group saw a decline.
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Evan Peck @peck.phd · 20/11/2024
Trying something new: A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?" It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social 🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...
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Michael Li (李之樸) @mcpli.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
One thing I think people talking about the threat of authoritarian creep have gotten, if not exactly wrong, not quite right either is to frame discussion in terms of various European precedents. Those are relevant to be sure, but we also have an American precedent - namely the South before 1965.
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Thanks to @jayleetx.bsky.social my favorite reaction on Slack is still....
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
@maxr17.bsky.social 👋
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Paul Manson @paulonabike.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Lights are flickering here in Portland.
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✨ItsTeenaBish✨ @itsteenabish.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
I love Kodai Senga with all my being 💖💖💖
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Ryan Voutilainen @yvrwxwatcher.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Winds gusting 50mph+ (85km/h+) nr #Enumclaw #WA as air rushes through the Cascade gaps toward the intense low offshore! Causing lots of downed trees & power outages — use extreme caution travelling & drive slow, you may not see downed trees/wires ahead of you! #WAwx
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Liz Ruskin @lizruskin.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Wow! Repeal gained a bit back. Vote No’s lead has shrunk to 45 votes. This is Alaska’s ballot measure 2, whether to repeal ranked choice voting.
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Hadley Wickham @hadley.nz · 14/11/2024
Bluesky really is the new #rstats twitter because we have the first base R vs tidyverse flame war 🤣
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David Roth @drmetwatch.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
The November low pressure record for buoy 46005 has fallen. They still need a little over 11 hPa for their all-time low pressure record.
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Ivan Moore @alaskasurvey.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Woot! RCV LIVES!
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Chris Goodman @cbgoodman.co · 18/11/2024
Some time ago and spurred on by an email from @mullinmeg.bsky.social, I recreated a bunch of local government maps that the Census Bureau once created but no longer does. They live on my website. I hope they're helpful to someone (I regularly steal them for presentations).
cgoodman.com
Map Gallery | Christopher B. Goodman
Christopher B Goodman is an associate professor at Northern Illinois University, researching special districts & preemption and teaching public finance.
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