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And so it begins. avisos.inmet.gov.br/55817

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The question is of course who decided to platform Amazon at Climate Week of all places? Bravo to these brave people for calling out this BS 👏🏻

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Just a reminder from Zeke during yesterday’s Berkeley Earth media event:

Global surface temperature lags the tropical Pacific by about 2 to 5 months.

With the event expected to peak around
December 2026, the bulk of its warming shows up in 2027.

That makes 2027 a strong candidate for a new annual record.

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Nepal’s catastrophic floods were ‘warning to the world,’ PM Shah tells UN

And a reminder via Berkeley Earth August temperature update: “the present disaster occurred during one of the hottest weeks in one of the hottest years on record for this site and elevation.” (See berkeleyearth.org/august-2026-...)

france24.com

Nepal’s Prime Minister Balendra Shah said on Thursday that last month’s catastrophic floods were a “warning to the world” of growing climate risks in the Himalayas. He said warming was melting glacier...

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 24/09/2026

This is true. In this case I think maybe DW should have said something like this: "Europe’s largest economy is now the third country, after France and the Netherlands, to present a national roadmap aimed at implementing the COP28 commitment to transition away from fossil fuels in energy systems."

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 24/09/2026

I think the DW phaseout comment is related to energy systems? (COP28) But as you say the Netherlands isn't clear, in one place they say by 2050 they want to be using energy from renewables but then elsewhere they say "minimize the use of fossil fuels in 2050."

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Peter du Toit @peterdutoit.com · 24/09/2026

While we are now certain that Sep 2026, will not be the hottest September ever recorded - that was Sep 2023 at 1.75ºC above pre-industrial (ERA5) - it will be the second hottest at ~1.61)C But things are about to get interesting in Oct-Nov-Dec. Graphic source: dashboard.theclimatebrink.com#global

Recent years against era envelopes (5–95th percentile per era). Dashed: EC46 46-day forecast. Shaded column: the current month.

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They pump from Glebe into Akkerkloof and then on to the waterworks when Akkerkloof storage is needed. So the river supplies the town and any extra goes to Akkerkloof. (Btw buckle up the place got plunged into chaos today iol.co.za/news/politic... - this as we face a *high risk* summer and 2027)

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Glebe holds about 150 ML so about 10-days supply

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451,000 at Risk - Climate Impact Lab

NEW from the Climate Impact Lab: “We project that 451,000 lives will be lost due to heat the first nine months (June-February) of #ElNiño, compared to a normal year. This is about 65 times larger than the 6,800 people believed to be dead or missing from the recent Nepal flash flood.” Study:

impactlab.org

Scientists project that global land temperatures will be 1.2°C/2.1° F above normal in the coming months due in large part to the current “Super El Niño” that began in June and is expected to last thro...

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They are actively filling this, so should be close to 100% before summer kicks in proper. That only gives them about 3 months of storage at expected consumption rates. They can augment supply by about ~8 ML/day but severe restrictions are the only way to survive a very dry and hot summer

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What is happening in and around Antarctica should be such a wake-up call! The Earth is progressively losing its ability to reflect heat which the oceans keep absorbing. Payback time is looming large on the horison. Where are the emissions emergency brakes?! Data: ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/ext...

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent [million km2] (PRILIMINARY)

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IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | September 2026 Quick Look

IRI on ENSO strength forecast “Our current intensity classification is capped at +2.0°C, yet a majority of models in the plume—including both dynamical and statistical models—project Niño3.4 values that could reach or exceed +3.0°C, well beyond our highest defined category” Climate shocks incoming

iri.columbia.edu

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Albanese's Climate Week speech left out the numbers that matter most

Anthony Albanese NY Climate Week: “The science told us unmistakably that as the world warms these events will become more frequent and intense. And those scientific forecasts have come to be. Yet he has approved 37 new, expanded or extended coal and gas developments since taking office in 2022!

thepoint.com.au

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese opened Climate Week NYC on Monday by leaning on Australia's renewables progress: massive rooftop solar uptake, ten thousand home batteries a week, enough wind and solar...

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Meanwhile the writing is on the wall www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv...

U.S. 2026 Billion-Dollar Weather & Climate Disasters

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