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Pete Dodd

@petedodd24.bsky.social
2.2K followers 689 following 13 posts

Mathematical modelling for TB, infectious diseases, epi & pop health

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Reposted by Pete Dodd
Finn McQuaid @cfmcquaid.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
So...what would happen to the global TB epidemic if we "eliminated" undernutrition? Our paper out now @lancetgh.bsky.social, where we combined estimates from our review (doi.org/10.1093/ije/...) with population-specific BMI distributions to find out...(www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...)
sciencedirect.com
Global, regional, and national estimates of tuberculosis incidence averted by eliminating undernutrition in adults: a modelling study
Current efforts to reduce global tuberculosis incidence have proved insufficient, highlighting that urgent action is needed to address underlying modi…
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Reposted by Pete Dodd
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control @ecdc.europa.eu · 24/03/2026
Around 40000 people are diagnosed with #TB each year in the EU/EEA & some cases still go 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝘁𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱. For the World TB Day, we speak with #ECDC's expert Senia Rosales-Klintz about: ➡️ how TB can remain hidden in the body ➡️ what treatment really involves ➡️ why gaps in detection & care still matter.
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Katherine Horton @kchorton.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Our analysis of #TB exposure and transmission patterns is now in @pnas.org. @petedodd24.bsky.social and I found a majority of TB transmission globally is attributable to contact with adult men, while contributions to transmission by age are more variable across regions. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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Alvaro Schwalb @aschwalbc.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
1/📢 In our new publication, we estimate that in 2022, 134 million people worldwide had a recent Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection and were at high risk of progressing to TB disease. Read the full paper in PLOS Medicine (tinyurl.com/mtbinfection). #TBSky
tinyurl.com
Estimating the global burden of viable Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection: A mathematical modelling study
Alvaro Schwalb and colleagues conducted a mathematical modelling study to estimate the global burden of viable Mycobacterium tuberculosis--that which can cause disease and be transmitted--to help guid...
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
#tuberculosis #modeling #fellowship with lovely & great people at Johns Hopkins (deadline 31 January) drive.google.com/file/d/12lK8...
drive.google.com
postdoc_ad_jan2026_final.pdf
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Reposted by Pete Dodd
Nyasha Mafirakureva @nyashamafirakureva.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Our new paper highlights a substantial but under-recognized burden of #tuberculosis during pregnancy and postpartum with ~340,000 women affected globally in 2023. 👉 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #MaternalHealth #GlobalHealth @petedodd24.bsky.social @tb-ipd.bsky.social @lancetgh.bsky.social
sciencedirect.com
Global estimates of tuberculosis incidence during pregnancy and postpartum: a rapid review and modelling analysis
Despite known maternal, perinatal, and infant health risks of tuberculosis during pregnancy, global estimates of incidence remain scarce. Existing est…
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Katherine Horton @kchorton.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
Understanding patterns of #TB exposure and transmission is needed for targeted prevention strategies. In our latest pre-print, @petedodd24.bsky.social and I estimated the proportion of TB exposure to and transmission from sex and age groups for 177 countries. bit.ly/4nbV492
medrxiv.org
A global analysis of patterns of tuberculosis exposure and transmission
Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health concern and the leading infectious cause of mortality globally. The disease exhibits strong prevalence patterns by age and sex, but the implications of these...
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Ruth Bowness @ruthbowness.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
PhD opportunity: New approaches to modelling TB transmission in low-incidence settings. Supervised by Ellen Brooks-Pollock (Bristol), me (Bath) & Rajeka Lazarus (Bristol) Apply: www.findaphd.com/phds/project... Deadline 20 Oct #PhD #Tuberculosis #Epidemiology #InfectiousDisease
findaphd.com
New approaches for modelling tuberculosis transmission in low incidence settings at University of Bristol on FindAPhD.com
PhD Project - New approaches for modelling tuberculosis transmission in low incidence settings at University of Bristol, listed on FindAPhD.com
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
#Imperial PhD studentship on #electronicpatientrecords analysis for UK #tuberculosis policy, with Onn Min Kon, Jenni Quint, Sharon Cox at #ukhsa and me. www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
findaphd.com
PhD Studentship in Respiratory Electronic Health Record Group: Analysing electronic health records to study pathways of care for people with tuberculosis at Imperial College London on FindAPhD.com
PhD Project - PhD Studentship in Respiratory Electronic Health Record Group: Analysing electronic health records to study pathways of care for people with tuberculosis at Imperial College London, list...
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
More projected impacts of cuts to international health aid on paediatric #tuberculosis urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=htt...
World maps of additional child tb & tb deaths
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Reposted by Pete Dodd
Matthew Saunders @mjsaunder.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
So...what would happen to the global TB epidemic if we hypothetically "eliminated" undernutrition? In this preprint, we combined estimates from our new review (doi.org/10.1093/ije/...) with population-specific BMI distributions to find out...(doi.org/10.1101/2025...)
doi.org
Global, regional, and national estimates of tuberculosis incidence averted by eliminating undernutrition in adults: a modelling study
Background Current efforts to reduce global tuberculosis incidence have proved insufficient, highlighting that urgent action is needed to address underlying modifiable risk factors such as undernutrit...
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Reposted by Pete Dodd
Matthew Saunders @mjsaunder.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
@cfmcquaid.bsky.social @tbtakenseriously.bsky.social @jaseddon.bsky.social @petedodd24.bsky.social @tb-lshtm.bsky.social #endtb
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The Union @theunion.org · 07/08/2025
The Union's TB Undernutrition working group is hosting a webinar with Dr Matthew Saunders. 📅 21 August at 2pm CET Dr Saunders (@lshtm.bsky.social‬) will share findings from a new analysis that redefines the relationship between BMI and TB incidence. 📧 To join email membership@theunion.org.
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Reposted by Pete Dodd
Nyasha Mafirakureva @nyashamafirakureva.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Check out our new @PLOSGPH paper exploring the impact and cost-effectiveness of near point-of-care technology for diagnosing #tuberculosis in children in primary healthcare settings. Read it here: doi.org/10.1371/jour... From @petedodd24.bsky.social
doi.org
Evaluating the health impact, health-system costs and cost-effectiveness of using TrueNat on stool samples compared to usual care for the diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis in primary care settings:...
The World Health Organisation (WHO) recommends rapid molecular diagnostics to improve bacteriological confirmation of tuberculosis in children. TrueNat MTB, MTB Plus and MTB-RIF Dx assays (Molbio Diag...
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Meeting the health needs of incarcerated people can be costly. We found that targeted #tuberculosis infection screening at 1st reception in England could be cost saving. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Cost-effectiveness of tuberculosis infection screening at first reception into English prisons: a model-based analysis
The World Health Organization recommends systematic screening for tuberculosis in incarcerated populations, which are consistently at high risk of tub…
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
WHO recommends treatment decision scoring algorithms to help diagnose child #Tuberculosis. Thx to #Unitaid, our TB-Speed team evaluated them to be very cost-effective for children with severe acute malnutrition in UGA & ZAM www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Treatment decision algorithms for tuberculosis screening and diagnosis in children below 5 years hospitalised with severe acute malnutrition: a cost-effectiveness analysis
Children with severe acute malnutrition (SAM) are an important risk group for underdiagnosis and death from tuberculosis. In 2022, the World Health Or…
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Reposted by Pete Dodd
Finn McQuaid @cfmcquaid.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
In 2024, 68 million people were internally displaced by humanitarian crises, & are at increased risk of TB, the world's biggest infectious disease killer. We urgently need estimates to identify the scale of this problem & drive our response. We provide initial numbers here gh.bmj.com/content/10/3...
gh.bmj.com
Thinking fast and slow: the urgency of crisis response must not lead us to overlook chronic needs such as tuberculosis
The number of people facing displacement due to humanitarian crises worldwide is increasing rapidly and is likely to continue. An average 10% year-on-year increase in the last 5 years resulted in 68.3...
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WHO @who.int · 24/03/2025
Yes, #Tuberculosis (TB) is curable! TB is treated with antibiotics taken daily for 4–6 months. ⚠️ Stopping treatment early can lead to drug-resistant TB. Funding cuts & rising drug resistance put the most vulnerable at risk. Sustained support is crucial to #EndTB 👉 bit.ly/4ilkK1h #WorldTBDay
Tuberculosis treatment
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Tom Yates @tomayates.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
NEW PAPER with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social in @ofidjournal.bsky.social Our tool can estimate extent to which misallocation of person time will result in spurious or optimistic estimates of intervention effects We find benefits of IVIG in STSS have likely been exaggerated
academic.oup.com
Quantifying potential immortal time bias in observational studies in acute severe infection
We developed a tool to quantify the impact of misallocation of person time, then used it to demonstrate that published observational studies have likely ov
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
A tracker estimating TB deaths from USAID funding discontinuation #IDsky #TBsky tb.impactcounter.com
tb.impactcounter.com
Tuberculosis Impact Counter | Tracking TB Funding Impact
Tracking the impact of TB funding via USAID
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
A tracker estimating deaths from freezing PEPFAR pepfar.impactcounter.com #HIVsky #TBsky #IDsky
pepfar.impactcounter.com
PEPFAR Impact Tracker
Track the impact of PEPFAR funding halt
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Caitlin Ryus MD, MPH @caitlinryus.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Do not accept defeat. We don’t have time for despair. Read this important piece from one of my heroes @gregggonsalves.bsky.social We have work to do! #publichealth #medsky #emedsky #episky #resist #lgbtqSTEM #academicsky
nytimes.com
Opinion | I Shudder to Imagine Kennedy Running Our Health Agencies.
We have to go toe-to-toe with this administration and resist its attacks on public health.
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PetraHeitkamp @petraheitkamp.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Great article showing impact on Tuberculosis of funding freeze "Stopping this—literally overnight—means that these strains have the potential to spread not just abroad but here in the US." #EndTB #keepthelightson #11KEveryDay #RestoreTBFunding
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Hannah Rickman @hannahrickman.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
New preprint (with all pre-print caveats!) tinyurl.com/589ffhu4 on Mtb infection risk by sex & age. Men are at higher risk of #tuberculosis v women- but unclear how much driven by higher infection vs progression to disease. We meta-analysed Mtb immunoreactivity surveys to find out more🧵 #tbsky
papers.ssrn.com
Sex Differences in the Risk of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Population-Based Immunoreactivity Surveys
Background: Tuberculosis (TB) killed 1·25 million people globally in 2023. Men have a 1·7-fold higher TB incidence than women, but it is not known to what exten
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Tom Yates @tomayates.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
NEW PREPRINT! Enjoyed working with @tom-parks.bsky.social and @petedodd24.bsky.social on immortal time bias In its simplest form, ITB results from misallocation of person time, i.e. pre treatment time in intervention group being counted as time on treatment www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1... [1/n]
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
This is the levofloxacin TPT Xmas double issue #TBsky
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Vu @nguyenmv.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Here is the article and link (making sure it gets embedded): doi.org/10.1056/nejm... #idsky #tbsky
doi.org
Levofloxacin Preventive Treatment in Children Exposed to MDR Tuberculosis | NEJM
Worldwide, approximately 2 million children younger than 15 years of age are infected with multidrug-resistant (MDR) Mycobacterium tuberculosis, with MDR tuberculosis developing in approximately 30...
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Newly out RCT data on integration of child TB services into routine care in KEN/CMR gh.bmj.com/content/9/12... #TBsky & our economic evaluation of it: gh.bmj.com/content/9/12...
gh.bmj.com
Effect of integrating paediatric tuberculosis services into child healthcare services on case detection in Africa: the INPUT stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial
Introduction Paediatric tuberculosis (TB) underdiagnosis is a critical concern. The INPUT stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial assessed the impact of integrating child TB services into child healthc...
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Happy to have been part of the mammoth team effort reviewing and modelling the burden of TBM in children #TBsky www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Global burden of tuberculous meningitis in children aged 0–14 years in 2019: a mathematical modelling study
Tuberculous meningitis is fatal if untreated and can lead to lifelong neurological sequelae. However, to our knowledge, there are no data on the numbe…
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
#TBsky
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Pete Dodd @petedodd24.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
#TBsky
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Samuel G. Schumacher @sgschumacher.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
Today WHO released Guidance on evidence generation (GEG) on new regimens for #TB treatment — a first-of-its-kind document that advises researchers, developers, funders, and other stakeholders about how evidence should be generated to optimally inform WHO guideline development.
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The Lancet @thelancet.com · 29/11/2024
Despite encouraging progress in the global #HIV effort, the Sustainable Development Goal of ending HIV as a public health threat by 2030 is not on track. Ahead of #WorldAIDSDay, our latest Editorial explores the triumphs and threats of HIV in 2024. Read this & more in our new issue: bit.ly/4fL2ugz
Cover of The Lancet's Nov 30, 2024 issue. Quote on cover reads "Scientific advances alone are insufficient to end HIV as a public health threat: it is a political and financial choice."
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Peter MacPherson @petermacp.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Read this amazing preprint today: ~2% (156M) of the world recently infected with #tb. Between 4.9%~7.7% have viable infection. But emphasises we need +++ data on Mtb infection @aschwalbc.bsky.social @kchorton.bsky.social @petedodd24.bsky.social @reinhouben.bsky.social @hannahrickman.bsky.social
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TB Journal Club @tbjournalclub.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
We host monthly online international journal clubs on the latest #tuberculosis literature. We welcome researchers, clinicians, and anyone else interested in #TB - eepurl.com/hO4D79 to join the mailing list & hear about future meetings.
eepurl.com
TB Journal Club
TB Journal Club Email Forms
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Kyle Walding @tbrnaughttb.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
#TBSky, if i wanna see a feed of all TB content, how do i do that? 🤔 @catherineberry.bsky.social @apcmd.bsky.social @petermacp.bsky.social etc
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Onisillos @onisillos.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
New research article in The Lancet Microbe Performance of stool-based molecular tests and processing methods for paediatric #tuberculosis diagnosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... #IDSky #MicroSky #TB #OpenAccess #OA
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Helen Ayles @helenzambart.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
#UnionConf2024 Why are 1.3m people still dying of TB? Despite increasing access to TB drugs we need to do more. Lots of wins getting drug prices down but battles take time and effort- people die waiting! Great talk by Christopher Perrin #IDsky #GHsky #TBsky 🧪🛟😷🩺
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Alvaro Schwalb @aschwalbc.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
1/📢 In our new PREPRINT - tinyurl.com/yc6kbay9 - we estimate that 156 million people globally carry a recent, viable M. tuberculosis (Mtb) infection and are at high risk of progressing to TB disease.
tinyurl.com
Estimating the Global Burden of Viable Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Infection
Background: Estimating the proportion of individuals currently infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is key for informing global health policies. Altho
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Dr Lindsey Fitzharris @drlindseyfitz.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
More good news for #Bluesky! @tpwky.bsky.social (THIS PODCAST WILL KILL YOU) & host @erinwelsh.bsky.social have joined us! This is one of my favorite science podcasts about epidemics and weird medical mysteries. Follow swiftly - you won't regret it. And let's continue building our geeky community!
Logo for the podcast featuring a cartoon head of a woman and she is looking at a syringe in her hand.
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Gabriele Pollara @gpollara.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
Starter packs are an excellent way on this platform to quickly find people / accounts in your feed with shared interest (and thus fill your timeline with relevant material). However, they are weirdly not easy to find.... until now. This tool should help blueskydirectory.com/starter-pack...
blueskydirectory.com
All - Bluesky Directory
A curated collection of all things relating to the Blue Sky social media platform.
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Ilan Schwartz @germhuntermd.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
Good news: Our community is growing! The IDSky Starter Pack has exceeded the max 150 accounts, so I’ve started on another (pls share here and the other place, and LMK if I missed you) IDSky starter pack 1 go.bsky.app/LnAQjdq IDSky starter pack 2 go.bsky.app/JNfSvQT
media.tenor.com
a man in a white shirt is standing in a corn field at sunset .
Alt: Kevin Costner from field of dreams is standing in a corn field at sunset . Text says “if you build it, they will come”
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Peter MacPherson @petermacp.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
Here is a really nice report from BBC Scotland into our research. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
How cigarettes, chickens and chocolates hleped to stopped a TB epidemic
In 1957, Glasgow had the highest death rate from TB in Europe so health officials offered free prize draws for those who got X-rayed.
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