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Franz-Stefan Gady

@hoanssolo.bsky.social
17K followers 391 following 1.3K posts

Modern Warfare | Defense & Military Analyst | Author of ‚How the United States Would Fight China: The Risks of Pursuing a Rapid Victory‘ Link: www.gady-consulting.com

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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 1h
Putin has told military leaders to abandon rules of war, Zelenskyy says giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Putin has told military leaders to abandon rules of war, Zelenskyy says
Ukrainian leader tells FT his Russian counterpart has given the order that ‘there are no rules now’
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
‘Autowarcom, which will operate on the same level as other combatant commands such as US Central Command and US Special Operations Command…will be able to deploy weapons and buy drones and other autonomous systems, something the individual services currently do.’ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Pete Hegseth extols overhaul of US military in ‘state of the force’ speech
Defence secretary says armed forces no longer ‘weak’ as he announces a range of new initiatives
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
What often gets lost in the public discourse on interceptor shortages is that, doctrinally, ground-based air defenses were only ever one component of a broader air defense approach, meant to absorb the initial set of barrages while air and naval power destroyed the launchers etc.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
„Oleksandr Prokudin, military governor of the southern Kherson region, told the FT … that the latest operation used large drones to deliver 4,000kg of food to about 100 locations across the besieged city in a single night, an operation of unprecedented scale.“ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Ukraine airlifts aid to Russian-occupied city
Humanitarian crisis deepens in Oleshky, where access to food is scarce
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Reposted by Franz-Stefan Gady
Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
"A fire at the Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, central Poland, is being investigated as a possible act of arson ... The facility is part of strategic telecommunications infrastructure supporting internet connectivity across CE Europe, including Ukraine." defence24.com/geopolitics/...
defence24.com
Starlink station fire in Poland. Possibile slowdown in Ukraine
**A fire at the Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, central Poland, is being investigated as a possible act of arson. The incident matters far beyond the damaged equipment. The facility is part...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Heute spreche ich in Wien, im RadioCafe des ORF-Radiokulturhauses (Ö1), über die Frage, ob Österreichs militärische Neutralität das Land vor einem Krieg schützt. Beginn: 18:30 Uhr. radiokulturhaus.orf.at/artikel/7305...
radiokulturhaus.orf.at
Im Zeit-Raum: Franz-Stefan Gady
"Überfall - wenn der Krieg zu uns kommt": Johannes Kaup im Gespräch mit Franz-Stefan Gady
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Reposted by Franz-Stefan Gady
Michael Bauer @bundesheerbauer.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Einstürzende Brücken, ein zerstörtes #Bundesheer-Hauptquartier, viele Tote, der Stephansdom brennt. Dieses Szenario schildert der Militäranalyst @hoanssolo.bsky.social in seinem neuen Buch „Überfall. Wenn der Krieg zu uns kommt“. share.google/Gyi32qhfrHiK...
share.google
Schmerz oder Chance - Interview mit Franz-Stefan Gady // TRUPPENDIENST-Online
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
‚“As of today, [Ukraine] doesn’t have a steel industry any more,” Oleksandr Vodoviz, head of the chief executive’s office at Metinvest, a steel and mining company that owns two of the three plants targeted in the recent attacks, told the FT.‘ www.ft.com/content/0ecc...
ft.com
Russia’s new air campaign seeks to destroy Ukrainian economy
Drone and missile strikes hit warehouses, steel plants, ports and railways, depriving Kyiv of more than $1.5bn in tax revenue
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Meine Sonntagskolumne in der Kleinen Zeitung darüber, was Helmuth von Moltke (der Ältere) mit dem möglichen Ende der Menschheit durch KI zu tun hat.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
As I told the @financialtimes for this piece: AI-enabled precision targeting can work very well, but it can still fail to deliver victory for lack of a coherent theory of success at the strategic level of war. www.ft.com/content/6864...
ft.com
The era of AI warfare has arrived
Autonomous systems are being rapidly integrated on the battlefield, as models advance in ways even their creators cannot fully predict
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
‚Fourteen Russian spy satellites moved over a US military base in Saudi Arabia two days before a devastating attack by Iran.‘ edition.cnn.com/2026/09/16/w...
edition.cnn.com
CNN Investigates: Iran has improved targeting of US assets. Here’s how Russian satellites likely have helped | CNN
Fourteen Russian spy satellites moved over a US military base in Saudi Arabia two days before a devastating attack by Iran. The timing and sequencing of the spacecraft gave them access to a large spec...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
‚New Geran drones and Banderol cruise missiles are lethal reminders that Russia still has the resources and supply chains to field fresh threats, this time packed with advanced electronics that allow them to find targets accurately and evade interception.‘ www.wsj.com/world/russia...
wsj.com
Russia Is Churning Out Smart, Cheap New Weapons Faster Than Ukraine or the U.S.
Engineers in Russia are using Chinese components to mass-produce inexpensive arms and steal a march on its adversaries.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
‘It is so dangerous now in Slovyansk and Kramatorsk that police say it is time for civilians to get out.’ www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Ukraine's fortress cities under fire as Russia bids to seize rest of Donbas
Kramatorsk and Slovyansk are now the main focus of Russian ground assaults, and residents are being told to leave.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
This piece offers a good overview of the question of whether we have entered a new era of ‘defense dominance.’ foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/01/d...
foreignpolicy.com
Welcome to the New Defense-Dominant World
As military power proves less effective, an old IR theory is making a comeback.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
"Ukraine’s battlefield optimism is ebbing as Russia threatens its ‘fortress belt’" www.cnn.com/2026/09/08/e...
cnn.com
Ukraine’s battlefield optimism is ebbing as Russia threatens its ‘fortress belt’ | CNN
Iryna Rybakova is horribly aware that the front line is inching toward Kramatorsk. Having served in eastern Ukraine for several years, she has watched her units being pushed from one strategic hub aft...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
‚An erster Stelle sollte nicht Österreichs Neutralität stehen, sondern Österreichs Sicherheit. Das ist nicht dasselbe.‘ www.derstandard.at/consent/tcf/...
derstandard.at
Und wenn der Krieg nach Österreich kommt?
An erster Stelle sollte nicht Österreichs Neutralität stehen, sondern Österreichs Sicherheit. Das ist nicht dasselbe
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Reposted by Franz-Stefan Gady
OSINT Mirror Feed @osint-mirrors.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Source: @osinttechnical on X Footage of an American Patriot SAM battery engaging a massive incoming salvo of Iranian ballistic missiles over Jordan earlier tonight.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Kein Krieg wird herbeigeschrieben. Und es gibt auch keinen „unbeabsichtigten Krieg“, der sich losgelöst von klarer militärischer Aggression und politischer Absicht allein aus einer Eskalationsdynamik heraus entwickelt.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Meine Sonntagskolumne: Die Zeichen stehen auf Eskalation. Hier gibt es „gute“ und „schlechte“ Nachrichten. Ein offener Krieg ist nach wie vor unwahrscheinlich, aber Anschläge auf unsere Infrastruktur, Sabotage und Desinformation werden in den kommenden Monaten wahrscheinlich zunehmen.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Mein Interview mit der @nzz.ch über die wachsende Konfliktgefahr in Europa, das Szenario in meinem Buch „Überfall“ und darüber, warum Kleinstaaten wie Österreich und die Schweiz sich im 21. Jahrhundert nicht mehr allein verteidigen können.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
In response to Leipzig, Germany is considering helping Ukraine gather target coordinates for strikes, according to SPIEGEL. Only deliberations & no finished target lists apparently. www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Interesting piece: ‚My unit took on Ukraine’s ‘Nemesis’ drone hunters. Here’s what really happened.‘ taskandpurpose.com/opinion/op-e...
taskandpurpose.com
My unit took on Ukraine's 'Nemesis' drone hunters. Here's what really happened.
The commander of a U.S. mechanized unit that faced Ukraine's "Nemesis" drone team says the soldiers of Blackhawk Company performed admirably.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
„Russian positions are now seven to 10 kilometers (4–6 miles) from Sloviansk on the Lyman axis, Mayor Vadym Liakh said. Russian artillery is already capable of striking the city, which Liakh described as a frontline city.“ hromadske.ua/en/viyskovi/...
hromadske.ua
Drapatyi’s big reshuffle: Ukraine reshapes Donetsk front command as Russia closes in on Sloviansk and weighs new mobilization
One month into his tenure as commander-in-chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces, Mykhailo Drapatyi is reshaping command on the country's most critical stretch of the front as Russian forces move w...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Good reminder that there is no such thing as an accidental war.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Vielen Dank Jan Techau und ‚Internationale Politik Quarterly‘ für die kritische Rezension 👇 internationalepolitik.de/de/die-letzt...
internationalepolitik.de
Die letzte Linie der Vernunft
Zwei völlig unterschiedliche Bücher flehen um klügere Außenpolitik.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
‚Russia has been secretly helping Iran develop advanced supersonic cruise missiles in one of the most significant known transfers of strategic military technology from Moscow to Tehran.‘ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Russia secretly helping Iran develop supersonic cruise missiles
Leaks reveal programme behind one of the most significant known transfers of military technology from Moscow to Tehran
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
‚In the event of a Russian ballistic missile assault on, for example, a military headquarters or power plant, NATO could be in a similar position to Patriot-starved Ukraine and be forced “to take punch after punch in the mouth,” the U.S. defense official said.‘ apnews.com/article/patr...
apnews.com
Exclusive: US Patriot missile stocks in Europe are 'beyond critical' due to Iran war, officials say
The U.S. military faces a “beyond critical” shortage of advanced missile interceptors in Europe largely driven by President Donald Trump's war with Iran.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
As I told the @wsj.com: "[A] theory behind Putin's strategy is that pain plus exhaustion produces political capitulation.“ www.wsj.com/world/the-ru...
wsj.com
The Russia-Ukraine Air War Has Entered a New, Deadlier Phase
Both countries are inflicting mounting destruction with long-range drones and missiles, yet neither side appears to be close to breaking.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
‘U.S. officials are concerned that Putin, squeezed in Ukraine and under pressure at home, could launch an assault ranging from a cyberattack to a small-scale land incursion, likely on a Baltic nation, the Journal reported.‘ www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
wsj.com
Exclusive | CIA Chief’s Surprise Moscow Trip Was to Warn Russia Not to Attack NATO
The warning comes after new U.S. intelligence assessments indicated the Russian president could launch a limited assault.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Meine Sonntagskolumne über Russlands wachsende Drohnenstreitmacht, die sich schneller entwickelt hat, als ich es noch während des Schreibens meines Buches angenommen hatte.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
‚Unser Autor hat als junger Mann den Kriegsdienst verweigert. Jetzt hat er sich freiwillig zur Reserve gemeldet – ebenfalls aus Gewissensgründen: Weil der Krieg auch zu uns kommen kann.‘ taz.de/Vom-Nein-zum...
taz.de
Vom Nein zum Ja
Unser Autor hat als junger Mann den Kriegsdienst verweigert. Jetzt hat er sich freiwillig zur Reserve gemeldet – ebenfalls aus Gewissensgründen: Weil der Krieg auch zu uns kommen kann
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Mein Interview mit der Presse über schrumpfende US-Arsenale, eine anhaltende „Phase der Verwundbarkeit" der NATO und darüber, wie sich das Bündnis künftig mit einer autonomen Zone gegen Russland verteidigen will.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Russia builds secret drone bases in striking distance of Nato www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...
telegraph.co.uk
Russia builds secret drone bases in striking distance of Nato
Newly built hubs put much of Europe within range of Kremlin’s latest weaponry
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Reposted by Franz-Stefan Gady
Mac William Bishop @macwbishop.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
“The Trump admin might say, ‘Well, it’s not a large-scale invasion and occupation of a member state. Europe — take care of it yourself. Why don’t you help yourself, the way you helped us in the war against Iran?’” My latest for @rollingstone.com. @michaelkofman.bsky.social @hoanssolo.bsky.social
rollingstone.com
Trump Has Opened the Door for Putin to Make a Move on NATO
Vladimir Putin has long wanted to break NATO, and Donald Trump has cleared the way for him to make an incursion into a member nation.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
„Ja, Sie haben recht, gegen eine russische Bedrohung müssen wir militärisch gewappnet sein. Aber was machen wir mit Favoriten?“ Meine Sonntagskolumne. 👇
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
My entire book, 'How the United States Would Fight China', is essentially about the doctrinal concepts of cognitive dominance & information superiority within a systems warfare framework, and how that approach incentivized maintaining lower stockpiles of precision-guided munitions.
edition.cnn.com
Nearly 80% of interceptors for a key missile defense system depleted, sources say | CNN Politics
The US military has exhausted nearly 80% of its interceptors for a key missile defense system as senior US military commanders are warning that the Pentagon’s munitions stockpile is “dangerously low,”...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
My latest for @foreignpolicy.com: Ukraine's air defense problem should trigger a serious debate among the United States and its European NATO partners—and force them to rethink how they expect to cope with massed ballistic missile attacks in a great-power war. foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/03/n...
foreignpolicy.com
Europe’s Dangerous Hesitation on Its Own Air Defense
Russia’s ballistic missile attacks on Ukraine pose an urgent question for NATO leaders.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Selten so viele Zuschriften auf eine Kolumne bekommen, und das wegen einem Satz. Danke! Dazu kurz: Kreisky hat maßgeblich zum Potemkinschen Dorf der militärischen Landesverteidigung in 🇦🇹 beigetragen:
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
‘In a Monday report, researchers from the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank estimated that fewer than 827 Patriot interceptors remain in US stockpiles, and fewer than 278 THAAD ballistic missile interceptors are left.’ edition.cnn.com/2026/07/29/p...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
"The key goal is to assess the actual state of manning in brigades, regiments, and corps, analyze the effectiveness of personnel distribution among units, and identify ways to improve personnel management," the General Staff's announcement read. kyivindependent.com/general-staf...
kyivindependent.com
Ukraine's General Staff announces audit of unit staffing, manpower allocation, as Drapatyi takes charge
"The key goal is to assess the actual state of manning in brigades, regiments, and corps, analyze the effectiveness of personnel distribution among units, and identify ways to improve personnel manage...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Neuer Podcast mit @mediawall.bsky.social: Warum das „6+3“-Modell aus meiner Sicht trotz allem eine echte Reform ist und was ich heute über meine eigene Wehrdienstzeit denke. www.diepresse.com/40096870/fra...
diepresse.com
Franz-Stefan Gady zur Wehrdienstreform: „Wir haben keine Zeit für...
Militärexperte Franz-Stefan Gady ordnet den Vorschlag der Regierung zur Wehrdienstreform ein und sagt, warum er trotz eigener Ambivalenz zum Wehrdienst für eine stärkere Miliz im Land eintritt.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
‘Ukrainian officials said intelligence provided by the US and France had helped map Russian air-defence deployments and identify routes that allowed drones to evade them and reach targets deep inside Russia.’ giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Ukraine adapts strikes on Russian energy industry to hit critical components
Kyiv is shifting its long-range drone campaign to keep plants offline for longer
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Bottom Line: Ja, ich hätte mir ein 8+2-Modell gewünscht. Und ja, einzelne Ansätze – insbesondere bei der Besoldung, Zivildienst, Wehrgerechtigkeit etc. – erscheinen noch nicht vollständig durchdacht beziehungsweise suboptimal.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Meine Sonntagskolumne: Sollte die Bundesregierung dieser Tage verkünden, sechs Monate seien genug – allenfalls ergänzt um einige Wochen wiedereingeführter Milizübungen –, dann wird nicht nur die militärische Fachexpertise ignoriert. (1/2)
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Da muss sich der steirische Landeshauptmann keine Sorgen machen: Der Zeitpunkt für Jänner 2027 ist längst überschritten. Die Einberufungsbefehle für Jänner 2027 wurden bereits vor längerer Zeit verschickt.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Bevor jetzt irgendwelche Spins entstehen: Das in der Wehrdienstkommission vorgeschlagene 6+3-Modell wird die Einsatzbereitschaft des Bundesheeres steigern.
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
A very good choice: “Zelenskyy has chosen Mykhailo Drapatyi to be commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s armed forces and dismissed controversial general and close ally Oleksandr Syrsky in the biggest shake-up of the country’s military leadership since 2024.” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Zelenskyy replaces top Ukraine general in biggest military shake-up since 2024
President chooses 43-year-old Mykhailo Drapatyi to replace Oleksandr Syrsky in generational shift in Kyiv’s military leadership
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Reposted by Franz-Stefan Gady
Carlo "Realism, Gedankenfetzen und Rants" Masala @carlomasala1.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Vor 8 Jahren fing alles an. Und seitdem wird alle 3 Wochen eine schlechte Folge aufgenommen. Hier die neuste. sicherheitspod.de/2026/07/19/s...
sicherheitspod.de
Sicherheitshalber Spezial ***8. Geburtstag*** Abstieg ins Archiv und Hörerfragen - Sicherheitspod
Acht Jahre Sicherheitspod. Vier davon unter dem Eindruck des russischen Angriffskriegs gegen die Ukraine. Ein Anlass zum Feiern ist das eigentlich nicht. Also steigen die vier Podcaster mal ins Archiv...
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Zelenskyy considers sacking commander-in-chief as protests swell giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Zelenskyy considers sacking commander-in-chief as protests swell
Crisis engulfs military after Ukrainian president dismissed his popular defence minister
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
How Ukraine Brought the War to Russia www.newyorker.com/news/the-led...
newyorker.com
How Ukraine Brought the War to Russia
Long-range drone and missile strikes on Russian soil have shifted the balance of the war in Ukraine—will they be enough to end it?
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