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notmereally.bsky.social

@notmereally.bsky.social
613 followers 209 following 433 posts
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 27/09/2026
‼️ FACT: Federal law bans armed civil or military officers from voting locations. However, Trump administration officials have repeatedly threatened to send armed federal agents to the polls to intimidate voters at the polls.s. Here’s how Democrats are fighting back ⬇️
democracydocket.com
Democrats, voting advocates mobilize to stop Trump from sending federal agents to polls — or anywhere near them
Democrats and voting advocates are going on the offensive against the Trump administration’s threats to send armed federal agents to the polls as voters cast their ballots in the 2026 midterm election...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
FEDWATCH: “.. the long‑dated prediction market now assigns roughly a 65% chance that the Strait won't fully reopen until 2028 .. .. That leaves the prospect of a 6% handle on the 10‑year still lurking, driven by increasingly adverse demand dynamics in the Treasury market.”
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 27/09/2026
As Democrats focus on federal candidates, Trump and his allies have homed in on the local offices where most election disputes start and end, write Kim Rogers and Eric Ming. They have stacked the courts with judges who will approve anything to ensure MAGA victories: demdock.com/4AA78sj
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Before the week begins, I have a specific request: Spread the word about the threats to democracy and how we can fight back. Tell everyone to subscribe to Democracy Docket and share its content. demdock.com/4w6emld
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 26/09/2026
💪 Prosecutors from across the country banded together to form the Fight Against Federal Oversight, or FAFO — the acronym an intentional nod to the slang phrase “F— Around and Find Out.” Here’s how they’re working to prepare for the possibility of federal agents at or around poll sites ⬇️
democracydocket.com
The local prosecutors who fought ICE are ready to combat federal election interference
“I think what I can say is that we’re going to be ready for anything,” one district attorney said. “And whatever that scenario is, it’s going to be kind of plug-and-play to have the place we’re going ...
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Rev. Benjamin Cremer @brcremer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
If you are overwhelmed by all the cruelty and tempted into hopelessness, you are a good person and on the right side of history. Those in power want nothing more than to steal your hope and drive you into apathy. Keeping your empathy and hope alive is an act of resistance.
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 25/09/2026
NEW: Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson blasted the conservative majority for ignoring the harm voters will endure by allowing Trump to use a flawed system for voter purges. "The harm caused by burdening...lawful voters outweighs the nonexistent harm that the government experiences," she wrote.
democracydocket.com
Jackson blasts Supreme Court decision reviving Trump voter-purge database
The U.S. Supreme Court’s three liberal justices argued the Court’s conservative majority ignored real harms to voters by reviving the Trump administration’s flawed centralized citizenship database Fri...
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Rev. Benjamin Cremer @brcremer.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Beware of any Christian movement that demands the government be an instrument of God's wrath but never a source of God's mercy, generosity, or compassion.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. DEGLOBALIZATION!!! The US is now importing more inflation than during the pandemic! Core #ImportPrices (no energy or food!) are eclipsing Core CPI.”
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Citizens United must go
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. Anyone who doesn’t think inflation is an issue might not be paying full attention. 3+ year upward trend in Final Demand PPI remains quite strong.”
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 10/09/2026
🚨 BREAKING: The Supreme Court has stepped in to block Missouri from using its new GOP-drawn congressional map for the November election. The decision means that a 2022 map protecting Kansas City voters will be used for the midterms.
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I don’t believe they have the balls to fight him. I hope I am wrong.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. Those worried about depleted military stockpiles should look at the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which effectively doesn’t exist anymore. IF…if… it ever gets refilled that could put sustained and significant upward pressure on oil prices.”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
That went well. @cnbc.com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Yeesh. 👀 “.. we find limited evidence that data center development improves fiscal balances, employment, or business formation.” (via @talsmith.bsky.social) download.ssrn.com/2026/9/1/738...
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Unusual Whales @unusualwhales.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
BREAKING: The Trump administration is seeking to rescind a rule that was put in place to stop private equity funds from bribing public officials, per Axios
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Sad but true
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 07/09/2026
🗳️ More than 50% of 18-year-olds could be registered to vote by the midterms, according to a new analysis by the Civics Center. Are you registered? Check your status here: demdock.com/4gRtE8P
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
(NBC News) — It is now the least rewarding time to be a worker in the U.S. economy since the government started keeping track. @nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com/business/eco...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
OPEN AI CHIEF SCIENTIST: “This is a time that calls for extreme caution. .. .. models are becoming superhuman in their ability to break in and out of computer systems .. no one is prepared for the consequences.. The risks .. are unfortunately going to grow from here.” openai.com/index/an-ali...
openai.com
An Alien Mind
Jakub Pachocki reflects on increasingly capable AI and the challenge of keeping it aligned. He calls for stronger safeguards and international coordination.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
2:05 pm 2:21 pm @atrupar.com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
“.. I worry about that, for sure,” Thune told KELO, a TV station in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, on Tuesday. “I’m a realist, and I just think you — I don’t ever try and sugarcoat things. I think it’s a competitive environment right now.” @washingtonpost.com www.washingtonpost.com/elections/20...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
JPM DESK: “.. on average, the sitting President’s party has lost ~27 House seats and ~3 Senate seats over the last 23 midterm cycles. .. .. Trade ideas below come from JPM D1 team ..”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
“We have spent the last 18 years describing the financial crisis as .. a black swan .. .. It was none of those things.” It was “the scheduled mathematical consequence of loans that assumed perpetual appreciation. .. The AI boom has rebuilt this exact structure.” www.groundbrkr.com/p/the-teaser...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
“.. Bessent’s words and actions are a real pain for Warsh,” said Jon Faust, an adviser to the last three Fed chairs. “Doing it now, just before Jackson Hole, strikes me as pretty inconsiderate if not a slap in the face.” @nicktimiraos.bsky.social www.wsj.com/economy/cent...
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
If you were to list the top 1000 real problems in the United States, voter fraud wouldn't be one of them. It’s not even in the top 10,000. Donald Trump made this up in order to make it harder for Democrats to vote and easier for Republicans to cheat.
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Steve Liesman @steveliesman.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Someone in the White House spent time today preparing an eo to rename Lake Ontario. The president spent time signing it. In economic terms, was the opportunity cost negative because they could have been doing something more important? Or positive, because they didn’t do something even dumber?
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
GROUNDWORK: “.. After adjusting for inflation, corporate profits have grown 52% since 2019. Wages have grown just 12%.” @groundwork.bsky.social
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Left side: corporate profit margins: Right side: labor’s share of GDP: (via @mikezaccardi.bsky.social @bloomberg.com / SoberLook)
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Bessent’s bond-market battle “is starting to look like his boss’s war in Iran .. a tangled set of objectives, an underestimated opponent and an implausible path to victory. And like the conflict in the Middle East, we are all going to suffer ..” @katie0martin.ft.com www.ft.com/content/b9e7...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
“.. the structure of the deals generally appears to be bespoke. (It is almost as if a bunch of private-equity guys went into government and just started treating the government as a giant PE shop ..” @petereharrell.bsky.social substack.com/@peterharrel...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. If the 30-Year TBond yield is rising because of crowding out by hyperscalers’ debt issuance then why aren’t high yield bond spreads widening? Is the US a worse credit than high yield bonds?”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 20/08/2026
perfect synopsis of modern Republicanism
Darline Graham: I tripped up on one question last night, regarding Taiwan. I don't speak politician. I was just honest. Of course, Taiwan is our friend. But I think people in South Carolina are more worried about boys in girls sports.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
“.. US National Debt has increased by ~$600 billion since July 1st.” - Bilello
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Max Boot @maxboot.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
WaPo: “Trump pledged during his first campaign in 2016 to eliminate the debt within eight years; instead, it has doubled since he first took office.” www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
washingtonpost.com
U.S. debt set to hit $40 trillion months earlier than expected
Faster borrowing — driven in part by lost revenue from invalidated tariffs — means the next debt-limit fight is also likely to arrive ahead of schedule.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
“.. It’s immoral to, year after year, trillion after trillion, just keep borrowing the money, not paying your bills for immediate consumption and deferring not only the principal balance but the interest costs onto our kids and grandkids,” he said. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
“.. Import prices for capital goods rose by 6.55% y/y in July ... the largest increase in the history of the monthly data going back to 1990.” - Schwab
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
🚨BREAKING: The Trump administration plans to deploy approximately 1,000 Department of Justice election monitors across the country in November, Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon said Monday. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...
democracydocket.com
Trump DOJ readies 1,000 election monitors for midterms
Dhillon offered one of the clearest previews yet of how the department’s Civil Rights Division intends to approach the 2026 midterms.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
A capital-gains tax cut? Yeah, that tracks. @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Hormuz tanker crossings: 1.
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
I will be direct: Here how you can help me. 1. Spread the word about the threats to democracy and free and fair elections. 2. Tell everyone to subscribe to Democracy Docket and share its content. demdock.com/4w6emld
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Fluke StarBucker (Chris Foreman) @flukestarbucker.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Damn. 🔥 www.linkedin.com/posts/jon-hi...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Hilsenrath did everything but post this.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Three-byline alert: 🚨 “.. Trump’s frustration over the Iran war boiled over at Camp David last week, where he demanded answers from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on why he had apparently been misled on extreme munitions shortages ..” @washingtonpost.com www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 05/08/2026
Trump in Nevada: "Vote for Michael Whatley, by the way" (Whatley is running in North Carolina)
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