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notmereally.bsky.social

@notmereally.bsky.social
617 followers 209 following 436 posts
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Reposted by @notmereally.bsky.social
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 9h
“.. defense companies backed by the president's sons, including Anduril, have now raked in more than $6 billion dollars in active or promised government contracts since those investments were made, according to the government's official contract reporting. abcnews.com/Politics/tru...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 11h
“.. That works out to between $54,000 and $81,000 for each additional industry job. Under less optimistic assumptions, the cost per job could rise to as much as $125,000.” @scottlincicome.bsky.social www.cato.org/blog/federal...
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 22h
I am sorry for you. Must be hard to watch the Padres end their season. GO BREWERS!
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 22h
Election deniers want the Trump administration to use false claims that voting machines are compromised as justification to seize voting machines. They believe that the commerce secretary already has authority to do that — a view that legal experts say is way off base: demdock.com/4BaDLxl
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 23h
(Politico) - ABC programs are already tempering their election coverage ahead of the midterms to avoid angering President Donald Trump, a lawyer for the broadcast company told a federal judge on Tuesday .. @politico.com $DIS www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
SENTIMENTRADER: “.. S&P 500 closed at a record high. With twice as many lows as highs on the NYSE. Here's every date the S&P closed at a record and the NYSE low/high ratio was > 2: 6/22/29...2.1 12/3/99...2.0 12/21/99...4.2 12/22/99...4.1 12/23/99...2.3 12/29/99...2.4 10/6/26...2.6”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
“.. U.S. imports of semiconductors, which are now up by 185% y/y ..” - Schwab
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
US 30-YEAR TREASURY YIELD RISES TO 5.69%, NEW HIGH SINCE 2002
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
“.. The only major economy that has seen its 10-year bond yield rise more than the U.S. this year is France, where Ed Yardeni says the government there ‘may be on the verge of a full-blown debt crisis.’” 🇫🇷 @kopack.bsky.social
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Sorry, but not sorry
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Wonder what projected costs those margins have baked in.
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Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The IMF issuing a statement to reassure the public that bond markets are "functioning in an orderly manner" is highly unusual—and risks raising more questions than it answers. #economy #markets #bonds #yields
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
RAPIDAN: “.. Fearing US export restrictions, we assess Europe is now likely to act. However, even if Europe follows through, the odds of US export restrictions remain a solid 40% due to acute political anxiety in the White House.”
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Help democracy by staying informed. Become a Democracy Docket subscriber today. If you can afford it, become a premium member. Either way, sign up now. demdock.com/4w6emld
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 27/09/2026
‼️ FACT: Federal law bans armed civil or military officers from voting locations. However, Trump administration officials have repeatedly threatened to send armed federal agents to the polls to intimidate voters at the polls.s. Here’s how Democrats are fighting back ⬇️
democracydocket.com
Democrats, voting advocates mobilize to stop Trump from sending federal agents to polls — or anywhere near them
Democrats and voting advocates are going on the offensive against the Trump administration’s threats to send armed federal agents to the polls as voters cast their ballots in the 2026 midterm election...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
FEDWATCH: “.. the long‑dated prediction market now assigns roughly a 65% chance that the Strait won't fully reopen until 2028 .. .. That leaves the prospect of a 6% handle on the 10‑year still lurking, driven by increasingly adverse demand dynamics in the Treasury market.”
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 27/09/2026
As Democrats focus on federal candidates, Trump and his allies have homed in on the local offices where most election disputes start and end, write Kim Rogers and Eric Ming. They have stacked the courts with judges who will approve anything to ensure MAGA victories: demdock.com/4AA78sj
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Before the week begins, I have a specific request: Spread the word about the threats to democracy and how we can fight back. Tell everyone to subscribe to Democracy Docket and share its content. demdock.com/4w6emld
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 26/09/2026
💪 Prosecutors from across the country banded together to form the Fight Against Federal Oversight, or FAFO — the acronym an intentional nod to the slang phrase “F— Around and Find Out.” Here’s how they’re working to prepare for the possibility of federal agents at or around poll sites ⬇️
democracydocket.com
The local prosecutors who fought ICE are ready to combat federal election interference
“I think what I can say is that we’re going to be ready for anything,” one district attorney said. “And whatever that scenario is, it’s going to be kind of plug-and-play to have the place we’re going ...
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Rev. Benjamin Cremer @brcremer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
If you are overwhelmed by all the cruelty and tempted into hopelessness, you are a good person and on the right side of history. Those in power want nothing more than to steal your hope and drive you into apathy. Keeping your empathy and hope alive is an act of resistance.
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 25/09/2026
NEW: Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson blasted the conservative majority for ignoring the harm voters will endure by allowing Trump to use a flawed system for voter purges. "The harm caused by burdening...lawful voters outweighs the nonexistent harm that the government experiences," she wrote.
democracydocket.com
Jackson blasts Supreme Court decision reviving Trump voter-purge database
The U.S. Supreme Court’s three liberal justices argued the Court’s conservative majority ignored real harms to voters by reviving the Trump administration’s flawed centralized citizenship database Fri...
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Rev. Benjamin Cremer @brcremer.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Beware of any Christian movement that demands the government be an instrument of God's wrath but never a source of God's mercy, generosity, or compassion.
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
You will hit it out of the park!
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
What? He left out communists and socialists. Must not have read the script.
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Notice his wording, “in some cases”. What a meaningless, misleading statement.
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
“Misaligned ways” Love that wording.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. DEGLOBALIZATION!!! The US is now importing more inflation than during the pandemic! Core #ImportPrices (no energy or food!) are eclipsing Core CPI.”
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Citizens United must go
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. Anyone who doesn’t think inflation is an issue might not be paying full attention. 3+ year upward trend in Final Demand PPI remains quite strong.”
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 10/09/2026
🚨 BREAKING: The Supreme Court has stepped in to block Missouri from using its new GOP-drawn congressional map for the November election. The decision means that a 2022 map protecting Kansas City voters will be used for the midterms.
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I don’t believe they have the balls to fight him. I hope I am wrong.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
RBADVISERS: “.. Those worried about depleted military stockpiles should look at the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which effectively doesn’t exist anymore. IF…if… it ever gets refilled that could put sustained and significant upward pressure on oil prices.”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
That went well. @cnbc.com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Yeesh. 👀 “.. we find limited evidence that data center development improves fiscal balances, employment, or business formation.” (via @talsmith.bsky.social) download.ssrn.com/2026/9/1/738...
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Unusual Whales @unusualwhales.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
BREAKING: The Trump administration is seeking to rescind a rule that was put in place to stop private equity funds from bribing public officials, per Axios
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Sad but true
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 07/09/2026
🗳️ More than 50% of 18-year-olds could be registered to vote by the midterms, according to a new analysis by the Civics Center. Are you registered? Check your status here: demdock.com/4gRtE8P
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
(NBC News) — It is now the least rewarding time to be a worker in the U.S. economy since the government started keeping track. @nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com/business/eco...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
OPEN AI CHIEF SCIENTIST: “This is a time that calls for extreme caution. .. .. models are becoming superhuman in their ability to break in and out of computer systems .. no one is prepared for the consequences.. The risks .. are unfortunately going to grow from here.” openai.com/index/an-ali...
openai.com
An Alien Mind
Jakub Pachocki reflects on increasingly capable AI and the challenge of keeping it aligned. He calls for stronger safeguards and international coordination.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
2:05 pm 2:21 pm @atrupar.com
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
“.. I worry about that, for sure,” Thune told KELO, a TV station in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, on Tuesday. “I’m a realist, and I just think you — I don’t ever try and sugarcoat things. I think it’s a competitive environment right now.” @washingtonpost.com www.washingtonpost.com/elections/20...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
JPM DESK: “.. on average, the sitting President’s party has lost ~27 House seats and ~3 Senate seats over the last 23 midterm cycles. .. .. Trade ideas below come from JPM D1 team ..”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
“We have spent the last 18 years describing the financial crisis as .. a black swan .. .. It was none of those things.” It was “the scheduled mathematical consequence of loans that assumed perpetual appreciation. .. The AI boom has rebuilt this exact structure.” www.groundbrkr.com/p/the-teaser...
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notmereally.bsky.social @notmereally.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
You do realize they are not the same people?
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
“.. Bessent’s words and actions are a real pain for Warsh,” said Jon Faust, an adviser to the last three Fed chairs. “Doing it now, just before Jackson Hole, strikes me as pretty inconsiderate if not a slap in the face.” @nicktimiraos.bsky.social www.wsj.com/economy/cent...
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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
If you were to list the top 1000 real problems in the United States, voter fraud wouldn't be one of them. It’s not even in the top 10,000. Donald Trump made this up in order to make it harder for Democrats to vote and easier for Republicans to cheat.
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Steve Liesman @steveliesman.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Someone in the White House spent time today preparing an eo to rename Lake Ontario. The president spent time signing it. In economic terms, was the opportunity cost negative because they could have been doing something more important? Or positive, because they didn’t do something even dumber?
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