iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Peter Harrell

Todd Tucker @toddntucker.com · 10/03/2025

In the WSJ, @petereharrell.bsky.social lays out the case for why a trade report due out in April constitutes an opportunity for course correction on the trade war. www.wsj.com/opinion/this...

wsj.com

Opinion | This Is No Way to Run a Trade War

Trump is misusing a statute to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico that hurt American interests.

083

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

Thrilled to host former Trump Term 1 Deputy U.S. Trade Rep. C.J. Mahoney on Security Economics to talk trade policy (as well as how to regulate AI). Whether you agree or disagree with Trump's policies, C.J. helps break them down. Full episode on YouTube, Spotify, etc. youtu.be/Pt97ZQ-h9JA?...

youtu.be

C.J. Mahoney Joins Security Economics

YouTube video by Security Economics

130

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 06/02/2025

We keep reading that “the market” is a check on Trump economic policy. Interested to see if it is a check on Elon as well.

182

Reposted by Peter Harrell

Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 05/02/2025

U.S. tariffs have failed to contain China’s global economic ambitions, writes @petereharrell.bsky.social. The Trump administration will need to pivot—and start working with foreign countries to reduce their trade with Beijing.

foreignaffairs.com

How to Stop a Trade War

Trump, tariffs, and the coming transformation of global commerce.

2152

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

Last I checked, Brad Setser still hadn't made over here from the other platform. But I want to share the discussion I had with him yesterday (Sunday) about Trump's opening salvo in the Great American Trade War: www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6WN...

youtube.com

Brad Setser on Trump's Trade War

YouTube video by Security Economics

020

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

Retaliation beyond tariffs: Canada is beginning to target Elon's companies directly, not just tariffing imports from the U.S. Will be watching to see if this spreads to financial services, oil & gas, tech, and other companies in Trump's orbit. www.ft.com

ft.com

Financial TimesFinancial Times

News, analysis and opinion from the Financial Times on the latest in markets, economics and politics

031

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

Trump does care about equities, but I am unconvinced that a 1.5% fall in stocks--even if this materializes after markets open would materially make Trump reconsider the Great American Trade War.

020

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

Trump can rely on plenty of laws to implement his tariff ambitions. (He could even ask Congress for new powers if he can sell his vision). But IEEPA--the 1977 law frequently used for sanctions--should not be one of those laws. My take in @lawfare.bsky.social: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-...

lawfaremedia.org

The Case Against IEEPA Tariffs

Forcing Trump to use trade statutes—or to go to Congress to seek new authorities—would be more consistent with IEEPA’s history and practice.

141

Reposted by Peter Harrell

Lawfare @lawfaremedia.org · 31/01/2025

"Courts should find that allowing Trump to waive his magic sharpie to sign an IEEPA Executive Order imposing tariffs would upset the balance Congress has long sought to strike when it delegates its tariff authority to the president," writes @petereharrell.bsky.social.

lawfaremedia.org

The Case Against IEEPA Tariffs

Forcing Trump to use trade statutes—or to go to Congress to seek new authorities—would be more consistent with IEEPA’s history and practice.

29131

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

In a new Carnegie paper, I map the web of rules the US has created to regulate Chinese apps, software, and connected devices. It's not just TikTok: this will be a key pillar of US-China relations, alongside tariffs & export controls. Plus policy recs! carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

carnegieendowment.org

Managing the Risks of China’s Access to U.S. Data and Control of Software and Connected Technology

U.S. policymakers need to develop a more systematic and comprehensive framework for managing the data security and influence risks that come from cross-border data flows, Chinese software, and connect...

010

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Top questions for Lutnick confirmation today: 1. Details on tariff plans, including legal authorities? 2. Will he continue CHIPS? 3. Export control lessons from DeepSeek? 4. What Chinese ICTS devices/software should the Department's ICTS office focus on as potential security risks?

010

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

A 20% universal tariff and 25% tariffs on Mexico and Colombia aren't going to make coffee prices come back down....

020

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

This is good news. After years of abuse, it is past time to reign in the US government’s snooping on American citizens’ messages without a warrant.

120

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Will be interesting to see next week if Trump’s Trade EO, which starts a deliberative process on tariffs that will play out over months and involve lots of analysis, or if Trump’s repeated remarks of “25% tariffs starting Feb. 1!!!” prevail. Definitely the “let’s see what happens” trade Presidency.

010

Reposted by Peter Harrell

CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies @csis.org · 13/01/2025

Tomorrow at 10:30 am, the CSIS Economic Security and Technology Department welcomes Reta Jo Lewis, Chair of the Export-Import Bank of the United States, to discuss how the newly introduced Supply Chain Resiliency Initiative can bolster U.S. economic security. Register: www.csis.org/events/secur...

csis.org

Securing America’s Economic Future: A Conversation with EXIM Chair Reta Jo Lewis | CSIS Events

Join CSIS EST for a conversation with EXIM Chair Reta Jo Lewis on the new Supply Chain Resiliency Initiative (SCRI), fostering U.S. economic security through resilient supply chains, plus insights on ...

061

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 06/01/2025

Reps. Moolenaar and Krishnamoorthi joint statement and letter out in support of the planned AI chips partner deployment rule is an interesting counterpoint to some of the (at times colorful) opposition out from industry over the past several weeks.

000

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 02/01/2025

Today's Department of Commerce action starting the process to ban Chinese-made drones illustrates a point I've been making for the last year: bans on devices and software due to perceived security risks will be as important an element of U.S.-China decoupling as are tariffs and export controls.

000

Reposted by Peter Harrell

Lawfare @lawfaremedia.org · 19/12/2024

On Lawfare Daily, @sranderson.bsky.social spoke to Ashley Deeks and @keichensehr.bsky.social about their law review article “Frictionless Government and Foreign Relations,” the dangers that can arise when there is broad consensus on policies and strategies policymakers can embrace for managing them.

lawfaremedia.org

Lawfare Daily: Frictionless Government and Foreign Relations, with Ashley Deeks and Kristen Eichensehr

What is frictionless government?

082

Reposted by Peter Harrell

Brendan Duke @brendanvduke.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

I’ve been pretty pessimistic about a Trump Presidency, but even I never predicted that he would shut down the federal government in the -1st month of his term.

1103

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

CISA officially recommending use of encrypted messaging apps "such as Signal." Amazing how massive Chinese hacking has gotten the USG to suggest Americans take communications security seriously (compared to the prior position of opposing encryption...) www.cisa.gov/sites/defaul...

cisa.gov

010

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

The incoming Trump team has an opportunity to undertake the most important re-write of the global trading order in more than 30 years--or to stumble into costly tariff wars. My advice, as a former official, to the new team, in @foreignaffairs.com. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

foreignaffairs.com

How to Stop a Trade War

Trump, tariffs, and the coming transformation of global commerce.

042

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

IEEPA, a statute originally passed in 1977 to deal with time limited emergencies, is now used for everything from sanctions to cloud services KYC to Chinese investment restrictions. I agree with many of the specific uses, but it is past time for Congress to examine the statute and look at reforms.

010

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

Interesting that Commerce is considering banning Chinese WiFi routers, citing security risks and using the same “ICTS” authority used for Chinese connected cars. My take: “connected device restrictions” will become a 3rd pillar of US-China economic statecraft, alongside tariffs & export controls.

021

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 17/12/2024

Pleased to co-author with CJ Mahoney a new Carnegie Endowment piece on how the Trump Administration can use the 2026 USMCA renegotiation to strengthen U.S. industry, build supply chain resilience, and promote secure supplies for clean energy materials: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

carnegieendowment.org

Toward a Cleaner, Smarter USMCA

Renewal negotiations offer the best—maybe the only—path to strengthening North America's clean energy supply chain.

010

Peter Harrell @petereharrell.bsky.social · 04/12/2024

My take on Lighthizer's job search is much less fun than the news stories. He wanted Treasury or Commerce. Those are always hard given (a) 2 openings, and (b) many qualified candidates. When Trump went elsewhere, Lighthizer decided happy to advise from the outside. Also, Trump still wants tariffs.

141