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noeffoe.bsky.social

@noeffoe.bsky.social
22 followers 29 following 68 posts
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Suomen Ilmastopaneeli @ilmastopaneeli.fi julkaisi tänään raportin "Ilmastonmuutoksen tilannekuva 2026 – Miten ilmastonmuutos etenee ja vaikuttaa Suomessa ja globaalisti" ilmastopaneeli.fi/hae-julkaisu... Suomi on lämmennyt jo noin 2,5 astetta esiteollisesta ajasta.
Raportin kuva 1. Aikasarja Suomen ja maapallon keskilämpötilan kehityksestä vuosina 1900-2025, sekä ennusteet vuoteen 2050 asti.
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Die Wissenschaft hat klar, deutlich und verständlich kommuniziert. Alle Staaten haben sich nach Jahrzehnten aus gutem Grund verbindlich auf die 1,5-Grad-Grenze geeinigt. Aber nicht entsprechend gehandelt. Das ist erschütternd und verantwortungslos. Wir werden hart für dieses Versagen bezahlen. 😟
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 14/08/2026
I talked about wildfires, fossil fuels, clean energy and the possibility of a better future with CBC News yesterday. With a few audio cameos from Mr Jekyll 🙀 Watch here:
youtu.be
Climate change 'loading the dice' for extreme weather, says climate scientist
YouTube video by CBC News
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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
July 2026 set a new record for the warmest national-average monthly temperature in the Contiguous USA in both the Berkeley Earth and NOAA time series. Ongoing global warming is now starting to carry the USA beyond some of the extraordinary records set during the 1930s Dust Bowl.
Time series chart of July monthly-average temperature across the contiguous USA, showing both Berkeley Earth and NOAA results.  July 2026 set a new record.
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Andrew Freedman @afreedma.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
*Record-breaking*: July 2026 displaced the Dust Bowl-era July of 1936 as well as July of 2012 to take the title of the US' hottest month on record since NOAA's record-keeping began in 1895. www.cnn.com/2026/08/10/c...
cnn.com
July was the hottest month in the US since records began in 1895 | CNN
July was the hottest month ever recorded in the United States, according to data released Monday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Thank you for your work! One question: Does the outcome (e.g. max temp) of the ongoing El Nino help us in assessing more accurately the value of the climate sensitivity?
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 05/08/2026
🚨 Last month set a new record for the hottest average global sea surface temperature in the month of July! Record warmth is found in both the deeper ocean and at the surface. This isn't necessarily a surprise, but it will have consequences for around the world. Data in the graphic from NOAA ERRSTv6
Green line graph time series of average sea surface temperature anomalies for each July from 1900 through 2026. There is large interannual variabaility, but an overall long-term increasing trend. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1981-2010 baseline.
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Die #Erderhitzung macht extreme Waldbrände viel wahrscheinlicher. Was allgemein längst wissenschaftlich unumstritten ist (siehe Berichte des IPCC) wurde in einer Studie jetzt nochmals konkret für die aktuellen Feuer in Frankreich und Spanien belegt. www.tagesschau.de/wissen/klima...
tagesschau.de
Studie belegt den Einfluss des Klimawandels auf Feuerwetter
Hunderttausende Hektar sind seit Jahresbeginn in Europa verbrannt - und die Flammen wüten weiter. Eine neue Studie kommt zu dem Schluss: Der Klimawandel erhöht das Risiko für Waldbrände deutlich. Von ...
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 15/07/2026
The latest observations of monthly-averaged greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide (record high). Data provided by gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/
Graphic shows three line graph time series of monthly carbon dioxide abundance in ppm (blue line), monthly methane abundance in ppb (red line), and monthly nitrous oxide in ppb (purple line). Graphs are all shown from January 1984 through March 2026/June 2026. Current levels of CO2 are 431 ppm. Current levels of methane are 1938 ppb. Current levels of nitrous oxide are 340 ppb. All graphs show long-term increasing trends along with some interannual variability and seasonality.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 28/06/2026
On average, global ocean temperatures right now are the hottest in our historical records for this time of year! Follow along at zacklabe.com/climate-chan... 🌊
Graph showing daily global mean sea surface temperatures for 2026. This is also compared to the daily data from the 1981-2010 average and 1991-2020 average. Annotations are also shown to the current year with the other years from 1940 to 2026. There is a seasonal cycle. There is a long-term warming trend. 2023 and 2024 are also indicated, which were the warmest years on record. Data is from ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis and updated through 15 June 2026.
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Ben Sanderson @benmsanderson.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
Recent French national average temperatures: - impossible in a pre-industrial world, - about 1 year in 40 years in a 1.5C world - 1 in 10 years in a +2 °C world - 3 degree world - happens every other year interactive/method/maps here (également en français): benmsanderson.github.io/futureevent/
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Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) @dwdderwetterdienst.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
In Saarbrücken-Burbach wurde heute ein Temperatur-Höchstwert von 41,3 °C gemessen. Dieser Wert wurde in Deutschland erstmals seit Beginn der Wetteraufzeichnungen erreicht. Der Messwert ist vorläufig und kann sich nach einer vom DWD durchgeführten zeitnahen Qualitätsprüfung nochmals ändern
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Unsere Kinder und Enkel werden uns bitter verfluchen. Die #Erderhitzung lässt sich auch durch Nullemissionen nicht zurückdrehen, nur die weitere Erhitzung stoppen. Denn CO2 bleibt Jahrtausende in der Luft. Kipppunkte kommen näher. Es wird kein Zurück geben.
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Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
It is not looking good for the costs of nuclear fusion, particularly in comparison to solar with batteries. Oh, wait, we still need to get one to work yet... (though, interesting discussion on whether it is worth government investment) www.nature.com/articles/s41... (reposting, wrong link)
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Nahel Belgherze @wxnb.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
The June 2026 heatwave will go down as the most statistically anomalous heat event ever observed at any time of year in metropolitan France. The 4-day mean temperature anomaly breached the extraordinary +10°C mark.
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Prof Friederike Otto @frediotto.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Europe's worst heatwave so far, in terms of heat stress measures and temperatures - brought to you by fossil fuels. New @wwattribution.bsky.social study showing how such deadly heat became possible in only a few decades. www.worldweatherattribution.org/fossil-fuel-...
A map of Europes with dots for all 854 cities analysed, pink dots for the cities that broke humid heat records, grey dots elsewhere. Pink dots conentrated over Southern UK, Germany, Poland and Benelux.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 22/06/2026
Dangerous and potentially historic extreme heat is forecast to impact parts of western Europe this week. We already know that these temperatures are made at least 5x more likely due to human-caused climate change. Stay safe! Explore the attribution data at csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...
Graphic showing the Climate Shift Index for June 24, 2026 across parts of Europe. Graphic is from Climate Central. Many areas see a change in likelihood of 5.
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
ECMWF weekly mean temperature anomaly shows the highest category (>10°C above normal) over France this week. Typically, these colors appear only during winter warm spells, when temperature variability is the largest. Seeing them in mid-summer says a lot about the intensity of this heatwave.
2 m temperature weekly mean anomaly from ECMWF sub-seasonal forecast. The colors are red in Europe, with > 10 °C above normal over France.
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Just out: spring 2026 in Finland was the warmest ever recorded, with a mean temperature of 4.6 °C. This also brings the records for all seasons into the 2020s: the warmest winter in Finland was in 2020, the warmest spring in 2026, the warmest summer in 2024, and the warmest autumn in 2020.
Time series graph of Finland's mean temperature in MAM, with the record year 2026 highlighted.
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Beware of charlatans like Leon Simons who hype (see: www.cbc.ca/news/science...) the false (see: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...) narrative that warming is exceeding model predictions as a way to promote their pet project: geoengineering
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 07/05/2026
Wind and solar have now beaten fossil fuels in Great Britain for a record 15 months in a row Just a decade ago, fossil fuels were generating four times more than wind + solar Now that's flipped: Since the Iran war, wind and solar generated twice as much as fossil fuels
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
@rahmstorf.bsky.social
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Euroopan ilmaston tila 2025-raportti julkaistiin tänään. climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2025 Tämän vuoden raportissa käsitellään paljon myös Suomea ja Pohjoismaita, sillä viime kesän voimakkain helleaalto kohdistui tälle alueelle. Raportin mukaan Eurooppa on kaikista nopeimmin lämpenevä maanosa.
Figure 1.2 of the ESOTC2025 report. Trend in annual surface air temperature (°C/decade) for 1996–2025. Data: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
Denmark's coal-to-wind transition is one of the most dramatic energy transformations of the past three decades. In 1990, coal provided 90% of Danish electricity. Today it is under 3%. Wind now covers roughly 60% of electricity generation. The last coal plant is scheduled to close by 2028.
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Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 23/04/2026
The world is warming. Every country is warming. www.ShowYourStripes.info #ShowYourStripes
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Atte Harjanne @atteharjanne.vihreat.fi · 23/04/2026
En vastusta turpeen pragmaattista huoltovarmuusroolia siirtymävaiheessa, mutta tällainen identiteettipoliittinen horina jostain ”kunnianpalautuksesta” on surullista pelleilyä ja pahimmillaan verorahoilla kannustetaan tässä koneyrittäjiä investoimaan kalliisti menneisyyden umpikujaan.
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Varsinkin maan itäosaa kurittaa kuivuus. Tämän vuoden sademäärä 66 mm on alle puolet normaalista, ja vuosien 1961-2026 havaintoaikasarjassa ennätysalhainen määrä. Mediassa on arveltu tilanteen linkittyvän ilmastonmuutokseen.
Aikasarjagraafi maan itäosan sademääristä aikavälillä 1.1.–14.4. vuosina 1961–2026.
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
It can be now said with certainty that the thermal spring started in Sodankylä, Lapland on March 12. That is the earliest onset of spring on record (since 1908). The date is 10 days earlier than the previous record (in 1920) and 37 days before the median date for 1991–2020 (April 18).
Time series graph showing the onset date of spring in Sodankylä Tähtelä in 1908-2026.
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Record-warm March after an unusually dry and snow-poor winter has pushed nationwide snow amounts to unprecedentedly low levels. Snowmelt is occurring more than a month earlier than usual. Normally, these snow depths would be present around May Day.
Daily average snow depth in Finland based on FMI gridded data. The chart depicts daily average snow depth averaged over the Finnish land area.
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 28/03/2026
Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, responsible for around 0.5C historical warming. But it is very short lived. Unlike CO2 it acts as a "flow" rather than stock pollutant, with impacts based on the rate of emissions rather than cumulative emissions.
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Oras Tynkkynen @orastynkkynen.vihreat.fi · 24/03/2026
PS ja keskusta: kun Suomeen iskee fossiiliriippuvuudesta johtuva energiakriisi, mitäpä jos alennettaisiin fossiilisten tuontipolttoaineiden hintaa Minä: mitäpä jos kuitenkaan ei
orastynkkynen.fi
Vihreiden Tynkkynen tyrmää kalliin bensapopulismin: ”Oireita ei tule lievittää pahentamalla itse tautia” | Oras Tynkkynen.fi
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Tiedoksi tämä tilaisuus täällä Utajärvellä. Voi osallistua myös etänä. Tervetuloa! www.utajarvi.fi/fi/uutiset/8...
utajarvi.fi
Mustikkakankaan vihreän vedyn jalostamosta yleisötilaisuus
Kaikille avoin hankkeen ja arviointiohjelman esittelytilaisuus pidetään keskiviikkona 25.3.2026 kello 17.00–19.00 Utajärven koululla, Laitilantie 8.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 23/03/2026
The World Meteorological Organization report on the State of the Global Climate 2025 was released today: "Earth's energy imbalance has been growing since the 1960s, reaching a record high in 2025." "Extreme weather impacts millions and costs billions." Press release: wmo.int/news/media-c...
Graph of Earth's energy imbalance from the 1970s to present for three different datasets and measured in Watts per squared metre. There is a long-term increasing trend.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 21/03/2026
Unless there's a sudden shift in weather conditions, preliminary estimates show that 2026 set another new record low maximum extent for #Arctic sea ice. This follows very closely with last year, which previously set the record. Not good! Download graphic at zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
Line graph time series of 2026's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. Additional scatter points show the maximum extents from 2000 to 2025. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year.
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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
The current heatwave in the US Southwest is utterly destroying many records for this time of year. Phoenix, Arizona has ~90 years of daily temperature data, and yet recent temperatures beat the previous March record by 5 °F (2.8 °C), and would actually tie the record for April.
Plot wrapping daily maximum temperature history for Phoenix, Arizona for every year since 1933, and showing the anomalously high temperatures in 2026.
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
I discussed the record heat out west, it's tie-in to human-caused climate change, and the real-world consequences we are seeing, earlier this evening with Ali @velshi.com on @msnowreports.bsky.social #TheLastWord youtu.be/CI0jxrxoLqI
youtu.be
Michael Mann, MSNow "The Last Word" Talking w/ Ali Velshi About Record Heat & Clim Change (3/20/26)
YouTube video by Michael Mann
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Tapio Laakso @tapiolaakso.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Kommentoin hyökkäyksiä päästökauppaa vastaan Hesarissa: ”Meidän huoli on, että tässä vedetään mattoa alta niiltä yrityksiltä, jotka ovat liikkuneet nopeasti ja tehneet investointeja”
hs.fi
Vihreä siirtymä | Suomen miljardi-investoinnit ovat vaarassa, kun EU-maat horjuttavat päästökauppaa
Muun muassa Italian ja Itä-Euroopan maiden painostuksen alla komissio lupaa esittää muutoksia EU:n päästökauppa­järjestelmään.
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Atte Harjanne @atteharjanne.vihreat.fi · 08/03/2026
Päästökaupan vesittäminen olisi aivan valtavan typerä strateginen virhe. Se ohjaa tehokkaasti juuri oikeaan suuntaan: pois päästöistä ja fossiilienergian tuonnista. Vätystelijöitä ei pidä palkita. Suomen on laitettava kaikki paukut tämän idioottimaisuuden torppaamiseen. www.hs.fi/politiikka/a...
hs.fi
Vihreä siirtymä | Suomen miljardi-investoinnit ovat vaarassa, kun EU-maat horjuttavat päästökauppaa
Muun muassa Italian ja Itä-Euroopan maiden painostuksen alla komissio lupaa esittää muutoksia EU:n päästökauppa­järjestelmään.
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
Guter Bericht der Tagesschau zu unserer neuen Studie, gemeinsam mit dem US-Statistiker Grant Foster. Die Messdaten belegen: die Erderwärmung hat sich sogar beschleunigt. Jede Verzögerung beim Ausstieg aus fossiler Energienutzung halte ich für unverantwortlich. www.tagesschau.de/wissen/klima...
tagesschau.de
Studie: Erderwärmung geht seit 2015 wirklich schneller voran
Hinweise gab es schon, nun bestätigt eine neue Studie des Potsdam-Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung: Die Erde hat sich in den vergangenen zehn Jahren deutlich schneller erwärmt als in den Jahrzehnten...
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 28/02/2026
End of month climate change check-in: 🫣 + Global temperature: 📈 + Carbon dioxide (CO₂): 📈 + Methane (CH₄): 📈 + Nitrous oxide (N₂O): 📈 Graphic by zacklabe.com/climate-chan...
This graphic shows four line graph time series and each are monthly from January 1984 through January 2026. The first graph is a 12-month running mean of global mean surface temperature anomalies. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1991-2020 baseline using ERA5 data. The second graph is monthly carbon dioxide abundance. The CO2 graph is the Keeling Curve. Current levels are 429 ppm. The third graph is monthly global methane abundance. Current levels are 1946 ppb. The fourth graph is monthly global nitrous oxide abundance. Current levels are 339 ppb. The three greenhouse gases show seasonal cycles and long-term increasing trends using data from NOAA GML. The global mean surface temperature anomaly record also exhibits decadal variability and a long-term increasing trend. All graphs are rising and shown in four different colors, including white, yellow, orange, and pink.
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Oma kysymys: Missä vaiheessa luonnonsuojelulain mukainen ekologinen kompensaatio muutetaan velvoittavaksi?
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
If I understand right, the average temperature of the 1981–2010 period is set as the boundary between blue and red colours. Is that right?
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Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 03/02/2026
Climate 'fingerprints' mark human activity from the top of the atmosphere to the bottom of the ocean theconversation.com/climate-fing...
Warming stripes for different layers of the atmosphere and ocean from 1960-2025. The ocean and troposphere are warming, the stratosphere is cooling.
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
I just hope that we don´t switch away from temperature targets to "clean" energy targets (see link). Would be a disaster for LULUCF, because burning wood does cause emissions in LULUCF but not as part of the energy sector. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
As we breach 1.5 °C, we must replace temperature limits with clean-energy targets
Actionable goals are needed to guide the world towards what needs to happen most quickly: shifting economies to clean energy sources.
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noeffoe.bsky.social @noeffoe.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Right! And by the way: At least here in the EU the emissions from wood burning are not reported within in the energy sector but within LULUCF. So, it is "clean energy" but not so clean within LULUCF. Cutting and burning wood is no fun for biodiverity either.
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
2025 was the third hottest year on record! Copernicus report: climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2... And let's not forget the ominous northern Atlantic 'cold blob' in the data, here seen in the NASA data. What is behind that? Watch my short talk: youtu.be/ULJXqOZuY-8?...
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 14/01/2026
We continue to receive warning signs for our future. The data is in, and last year was the 3rd hottest on record for our planet... + Full report by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social at climate.copernicus.eu/sites/defaul...
Bar graph time series showing global mean surface temperature anomalies from 1850 to 2025 for ERA5 compared to other datasets. 2025 was the third warmest year on record. Graphic produced by Copernicus ECMWF. There is a long-term warming trend.
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National Centre for Atmospheric Science @ncas-uk.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
“Many of 2025’s heat-related records are, of course, likely to be broken again soon.” We spoke to @edhawkins.org about 2025 being the UK’s warmest year on record, and about the causal chain for changes in climate. ncas.ac.uk/in-conversat...
ncas.ac.uk
In conversation with Professor Ed Hawkins: UK’s warmest year - NCAS
We spoke to climate scientist Ed Hawkins about 2025 being the UK’s warmest year on record.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 10/01/2026
2025 was the hottest year on record for ocean heat content. Unfortunately, we now say this every year. 🥹 "In addition to setting a new record in 2025, the global ocean continues to show sustained and intensified warming." + #OpenAccess Study: doi.org/10.1007/s003... + Data: www.ocean.iap.ac.cn
Bar graph showing global ocean heat content change in the upper 2000 m from the late 1950s through 2025. There is a long-term warming in the time series, which is using IAP/CAS data.
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