Reposted by Mike MakowskyNed Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I think about this interview with the distinguished philosopher Conan O'Brien a lot. I actually think this is a healthy way to live your life! www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/a... 162618566
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 20hI have multiple students on the market this year who are absolutely excellent. So excellent that they will be bonafide candidates at many, many schools. Some of which refuse to use recruitment websites and instead require bespoke interactions and submissions. I have...feelings about this. 012
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 28/09/2026A documentary on Maria Bamford just dropped on Netflix...so I guess that means I'm restarting my Netflix subscription. Damn you, perfectly targeted content! 000
Reposted by Mike MakowskyMarcello Graziano 🇺🇦 @marcellograz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026About 20 years of law research in Italy about importing criminals b/c the system is just a dead golem. 011
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Social norms are necessary, but not sufficient for a functioning society. There are just too many people who figure out that the concept of "being in trouble" isn't real. This, to me, is the principal lesson of the last 10 years from US governance. economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/09/28/s...economistwritingeveryday.comSocial norms are necessary but not sufficientThis, to me, is the principal lesson of the last 10 years from US governance. The story and data in this paper are based in Singapore, but the lessons are universal. Social norms are critical, but … 130
Reposted by Mike MakowskyJames Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 27/09/2026The GOP cut funding to the IRS because *audits work* and they fundamentally don't believe rich people should have to play by the rules. 273297769
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 26/09/2026So, yeah, maybe rampant money laundering probably explains why aggressively wrong bets are accruing enormous profits. futurism.com/future-socie...futurism.comPolymarket Is Being Used for Massive Money LaunderingA bombshell investigation revealed a massive amount of financial fraud roiling Polymarket, and executives couldn't care less. 010
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Can someone explain to me how this account appears to be consistently closing enormous profits on Polymarket wagers that resolved *against* it's wager. polymarket.com/@11122 Even if they sold every contract owned at the peak absolute historical traded value, some of these are literally impossible. 150
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Wabi-sabi was always easy to explain to folks who were into punk rock and indie/mumblecore films, but I think it's genuinely important that it hits the broader zeitgest hard and fast 020
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 22/09/2026No one has taken a bigger reputational hit from this administration than the on-camera talent in reality & daytime television. Again and again they are revealed to be astonishingly dim and unrepentedly ignorant. Dumb. Just so dumb. No matter how much you try, you just won't believe how dumb they are 020
Reposted by Mike MakowskySchrödinger's Sneetch Belly @rtodkelly.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Please know that this is one of my few legitimate areas of actual, high-level professional expertise: Kicking the healthiest people off of a health insurance program will bankrupt it. Not 'could;' not 'might,' not 'probably," but absolutely will, with mathematical certainty. 25768262250
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Congrats to the English Premier League which looked at the 90s NHL/New Jersey Devils and said thats what we want. I look forward to the intro of a two line pass rule 100
Reposted by Mike MakowskyRadley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I just got a frantic call from Allison Statham. She's the mother of Haley Oliveaux, the girl Chris Duncan was wrongly convicted of killing. She says the police are now at her door and demanding a DNA sample. They're threatening to arrest her.radleybalko.substack.comThe framing of Chris Duncan: Part Two“God doesn’t let innocent babies die for no reason. Somebody has to be punished.” 9387133
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Software patents are hard to enforce and obsolete quickly. Hundreds of billions have been invested in AI. If investors anticipate rapid market proliferation of competing AIs before they can recoup investments via monopoly rents, being heavily regulated would, coincidentally, be very attractive 020
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 17/09/2026People complain about college athletes not actually getting an education, but clearly legacy wealthy donor kids carrying elite degrees without a lick of learning is a far, far bigger problem. 010
Reposted by Mike MakowskyIn Medias Malone @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 11/09/2026The easiest way to explain the future of US governance for your lifetime and mine is that Trump has taken us from “easy” to “difficult” permanently 9693114
Reposted by Mike MakowskyZach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Is there a political party in favor of reverting the Internet to just being a lot of poorly-indexed Geocities pages? 3 megs per person, free! All social problems solved. If you don't like it, use the newly-revived usenet we'll create. 1521511
Reposted by Mike MakowskyTressie McMillan Cottom @tressiemcphd.bsky.social · 11/09/2026It was an MLM convention. Anyone whose Dad ever sold Amway knows what this was. The downlines have tapped out their networks and are dropping off, garages full of product they can’t move and broken homes waiting for them when they get back. 152197401
Reposted by Mike MakowskyJohn Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Good morning with good news: US solar deployment surged 45% to 11.4 GW in Q2 2026. Solar, wind & batteries were 91% of new capacity in H1 2026. Wind was 21%, its best H1 since 2022. EIA says solar will be 51%, battery 28%, wind 14% & gas 7% for 2026! pv-magazine-usa.com/2026/09/10/s... #energysky 26827
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Hey #econsky - I've got a grad student whose staggered treatment diff-in-diff event study results are essentially the same if she runs a 2 stage (a la Gardner), stacked EV, Call-Sant, or Sun-Abra saturated model. If you had to pick one to feature as your primary estimation, which would you choose? 020
Reposted by Mike MakowskyDavid Roberts @volts.wtf · 06/09/2026A sundowning old man, addicted to AI slop, surrounded by supplicants and apparatchiks, with control over the US nuclear arsenal. 471427332
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 02/09/2026"Coyote vs Acme" is to "Erin Brockovich" what "Who Framed Roger Rabbit" was to "Chinatown". It was very funny and, as a Gen X'r who always rooted for the Coyote because he never gave up, it suprisingly hit me in the feels a couple times. 3498
Reposted by Mike MakowskyJonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 01/09/2026Some thoughts on higher ed: 1) Remember, lots of college students go to some type of public college, paying in-state tuition. 2) Overall, prices have slightly declined in the last decade. Yet they were already very high, driven by Baumol's cost disease and reduced subsidies to public colleges. 27525
Reposted by Mike Makowskyryan cooper @ryanlcooper.com · 29/08/2026USAID was a free space for tankie and tankie adjacent dingbats to score edgy contrarian points by wildly exaggerating how imperialist it was, confident in the belief that it wouldn’t just disappear, except now it has and everyone is uncomfortably looking elsewhere 392548390
Reposted by Mike MakowskyThe Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 29/08/2026ICE has arrested more than half a million people since President Trump returned to office, and nearly 40 percent do not have a criminal record. As of Aug. 6, ICE had detained more people without a criminal record this year than in all of 2025. wapo.st/4izoaAb 20182120
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 27/08/2026As I noted at the end of my post, I still think there is a real chance this was intended to become a Sokal-style hoax economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/08/22/i... 010
Reposted by Mike MakowskyAndrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling.bsky.social · 27/08/2026This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far). statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/27/2...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far). | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science 3238
Reposted by Mike MakowskyAlex Zalben @azalben.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Dolly Parton, among a thousand other amazing things she did in her life, gifted over 330 million books to kids through her Imagination Library program. Her passing is a tremendous loss to the world, but you can support the program today to keep it going imaginationlibrary.comimaginationlibrary.comDolly Parton's Imagination Library | USA, UK, IE, CA, AUDolly Parton’s Imagination Library is a book gifting program that mails free books to children from birth until they begin school in participating areas. 45121555979
Reposted by Mike MakowskyDave Lee @davelee.me · 25/08/2026The Bloomberg obit for Dolly is terrific. Gift link: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.comDolly Parton, Country Queen Who Sang of Strong Women, Dies at 80Dolly Parton, the effervescent and glamorous “Queen of Country” who emerged from extreme poverty in rural Tennessee to become one of America’s most distinguished songwriters and wealthiest self-made w... 12914
Reposted by Mike MakowskyNathan Nunn 🇨🇦 🇰🇷 @nathannunn.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Only a few more days left to submit a paper for the NBER Economics of Religion conference --> fall 2026 in San Francisco... www.nber.org/conferences/...nber.orgEconomics of Religion, Fall 2026 064
Reposted by Mike MakowskyJess Calarco @jessicacalarco.com · 14/08/2026Two married professors and their son are being held in ICE detention, despite being legal permanent residents and having no criminal records. All, apparently, because their mom/MIL was a translator for the Iranian hostage takers in 1979, before they were even born. www.thenation.com/article/soci...thenation.comOne Woman’s Message From the Hell of ICE DetentionMy husband, son, and I have been locked up for months—despite being permanent residents with no criminal record. It is an unendurable, unending nightmare. 2721891175
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 17/08/2026Apropos of nothing and a full week late, I'd like it on the record that I was always entertained watching Russell Westbrook play basketball. The OKC years felt like an apology from the gods for making AI's career so short. 000
Reposted by Mike MakowskyKai Ryssdal @kairyssdal.bsky.social · 15/08/2026This is, bar none, the stupidest fuckung thing I’ve ever heard. And the idea that there’s nobody in the chain of command - civilian or military - with enough courage to say so is a disgrace.wapo.stNavy weighs major warship redesign to match Trump’s preferencesThe president wants the new fleet of aircraft carriers to more resemble those from World War II. Such a change could cost billions. 29947651111
Reposted by Mike MakowskyNicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 15/08/2026You know that source of US power that's lingering due to network effects—so many use the dollar and dollar-denominated assets that it'd be a pain to switch, there's no alternative—the power we haven't managed to throw away yet? Yeah, we want to trash that one too. While calling it "America First." 22307105
Reposted by Mike MakowskyAaron Fritschner @fritschner.bsky.social · 11/08/2026Video of an ICE agent pulling a gun on a wife and mother, who is a US citizen born and raised in the area, near Bailey's Crossroads in Northern Virginia yesterday. Chillingly, they claimed she “almost ran them over” until she told them she had video proving that was a lie. 1814214078940
Reposted by Mike MakowskyJason Briggeman @jbriggeman.liberalcurrents.com · 08/08/2026The existence of a "DSA," of a young left, breaks through in old media, and thus to older people, and the existence of a radical left is a legible, understood phenomenon to older people, but insane radicalism among young right-wingers isn't so covered in old media and isn't legible to older people. 215527
Reposted by Mike MakowskyM. Nolan Gray 🥑 @mnolangray.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Some things I've learned about legislative advocacy, and I think my record speaks for itself. 1. Start by asking for everything you want. Stop preemptively negotiating against yourself. The process of passing the bill will whittle it down. Why started with a whittled down product? 437262
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 03/08/2026Went through a fair amount of trouble to send my PhD student to JPAL training, only for Delta to screw them at every turn for 48 straight hours. Truly she is an academic now. 050
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 01/08/2026"Hassle is regressive" is such a perfect encapsulation of a really deep and important insight for policy design. I will use this regularly. I hope Justin will forgive me if I almost never credit him. Such constant citation would just be too much...trouble. 030
Reposted by Mike MakowskyJennifer Doleac @jenniferdoleac.bsky.social · 31/07/2026A group of crime economists is launching an Association for Crime Economics. It's about time this field got the official structure it deserves! Huge thanks to Amanda Agan and others for doing this. Want to stay in the loop? Sign up for updates here: rhahn-niskanen.github.io/Association-...rhahn-niskanen.github.ioAssociation for Crime EconomicsA proposed professional organization advancing the economic analysis of crime, criminal justice, and public safety. Join our mailing list. 0268
Reposted by Mike MakowskySarah Kendzior @sarahkendzior.bsky.social · 31/07/2026We're near the ten-year anniversary of this interview, which was viewed as wildly controversial at the time. It led to hit pieces on me from liberal outlets like The New Republic as well as death threats. Now it's seen as conventional wisdom -- but it always was! 17640213
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Cool people: The Odyssey is great Annoying people: Actually The Odyssey is bad Me: We should be on our third Fletch movie with Jon Hamm and Greg Mottola 020
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 24/07/2026The Odyssey was very good in IMAX. I wore concert earplugs and recommend you do the same. 000
Reposted by Mike MakowskyDara Lind @daralind.bsky.social · 21/07/2026I really wish that a large fraction of the “ICE is still in X place” attention were being paid to stuff like this. It’s not even about the people getting apprehended today. It’s about the people who DISENROLLED FROM THEIR LIVES out of fear and are now trying to pick back up. 217181
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 20/07/2026You ever wonder why otherwise brilliant people can become absolutely enraptured with terrible ideas? A thought experiment. economistwritingeveryday.com/2026/07/20/t...economistwritingeveryday.comThe Genius TrapOne of my professors once said “I don’t know why I don’t agree with everything <redacted famous professor> says. He’s much smarter than me.” He was being entirel… 020
Reposted by Mike MakowskyNicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 18/07/2026The US built the greatest talent magnet ever, attracting the smart, skilled, and striving. They’d come to study, then stay and build things here, or leave with positive impressions and fruitful connections. Helped make the US wealthy and powerful. Then America chose to throw it away. And for what? 20846331581
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 16/07/2026This may be right, but it's worth noting that Democratic strategists have to thread the needle on a 100 issues, each of which they must both get correct and fit within the platform in a manner that doesn't make the other 99 issues feel neglected. It's not an easy job. 010
Mike Makowsky @mikemakowsky.bsky.social · 16/07/2026This is obviously ridiculous, but I can't emphasize enough that if you are betting on pre-determined events without specific and reliable inside information, you are at best a gambling addict and at worst a gullible fool. Probably both. 140
Reposted by Mike MakowskyDr. Samantha Hancox-Li @sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com · 11/07/2026lot of people in the replies doing the usual doomposting about stock market crashes, financialization, whatever. as if none of those apply to fucking home prices lmao. but perhaps more importantly: "your house is your wealth" is actually a pretty fucked up political economy!liberalcurrents.comNIMBYism Is Segregation PersistingIn a hot convention hall in Philadelphia in 1788, the last member of the Constitutional Convention set his pen to the page and sealed in ink slavery as one of America’s foundational institutions. On C... 520029