Keeping an eye on development trends for late next over the southern Gulf

Another weak and short-lived system likely this week over the open subtropical Atlantic as Tropical Depression Fay slowly spins down

Plus the latest on Nolo and Polo in the Pacific and Fay’s revival in the Atlantic

Nolo forecast to make its closest approach to the Big Island of Hawaiʻi Saturday as a major Category 3 hurricane

The Big Island of Hawaiʻi at risk for a major close-call hurricane by the weekend

Tropical Atlantic stays mostly quiet this week as a nor’easter gears up along the Eastern Seaboard

Poorly forecast Fay overachieves outside the lines over the weekend, falling just short of the Atlantic’s first hurricane of 2026

The Great 1926 Miami Hurricane struck the vibrant city 100 years ago today, pricking Florida’s land boom and forever reshaping South Florida

System being tagged for development over the central Atlantic is in no hurry to organize

Google’s DeepMind ensemble system suggests the system could bust the record Atlantic hurricane drought, but conventional physics-based models aren’t as impressed

The Atlantic basin has never gone beyond September 11th without a hurricane. Until this season.

The Atlantic Ocean has never seen a year without a hurricane since reliable records began

For the second straight hurricane season, Google’s DeepMind is topping even official National Hurricane Center predictions

It’s the most likely week to find a tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin, but this year it’s crickets

It’s the most likely week to find a tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin, but this year it’s crickets

Atlantic basin hits the snooze button through the traditional hurricane season peak

Atlantic basin hits the snooze button through the traditional hurricane season peak

Not since at least the late 1930s has the Atlantic basin gone three consecutive Labor Day weekends with no active tropical systems

Heavy rains and flash flooding from Edouard will continue into Thursday morning for parts of eastern Texas

Edouard to move inland today, bringing the threat for heavy rain and scattered flash flooding through Wednesday

Blustery conditions and periods of heavy rain could accompany Dolly’s remnants this weekend, but significant impacts not expected

Blustery conditions and periods of heavy rain could accompany Dolly’s remnants this weekend, but significant impacts not expected

Could Invest 96L be another false start for the Atlantic hurricane season?

Models divided on whether the season’s healthiest tropical wave so far can survive the central Atlantic shear zone this weekend

After a few failed attempts earlier in the month, the tropical Atlantic threatens to rebound this week

Invest 90E expected to organize into Tropical Storm Moke this week and is forecast to move near or south of Hawaiʻi by Sunday

7 out of 10 Atlantic hurricane seasons record their first hurricane before August 19th. Will 2026’s hurricane drought get busted before the end of August?

7 out of 10 Atlantic hurricane seasons record their first hurricane before August 19th. Will 2026’s hurricane drought get busted before the end of August?