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Markus Haverland

@mhaverland.bsky.social
1.9K followers 245 following 9 posts

Political Science Prof|Erasmus University Rotterdam|European Union Politics and Policy

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Reposted by Markus Haverland
Prof Bill McGuire @profbillmcguire.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Mind-boggling - just mind-boggling Now expected to peak at an extraordinary 4.2C in December
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Oliver Treib @olivertreib.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Happy German Unity Day everybody!
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Happy Reunification Day to all who celebrate🧵
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Markus Haverland @mhaverland.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I’m delighted to share this PEGAP/OSE policy event in Brussels on 4 November. We’ll discuss lessons from the RRF and what they mean for the European Semester/SGP and the EU’s next long-term budget. Would be great to see you there! ose.be/en/events/fi...
ose.be
| OSE
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Jan-Werner Mueller @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Erinnerung: 'Die Idee, man könne die radikale Rechte „entzaubern“, indem man sie in die Verantwortung hebt, findet in den Daten keinerlei Bestätigung.'
sueddeutsche.de
Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil
Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 14/09/2026
Your regular reminder: If the Russians stop fighting, the war ends. If the Ukrainians stop fighting, their land will be occupied, their leaders will be killed, their history and language will be erased, their children will be kidnapped to serve Russia.
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Annette Dittert @annettedittert.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Why it’s just a matter of time when Merz will have to resign and what needs to happen now. My take on what’s going on in Germany. 👇👇
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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
AfD’s huge gains in Saxony-Anhalt are the latest in a series of far-right electoral gains across Europe, while mainstream parties are struggling. 2027 brings major elections in 🇫🇷 🇮🇹 🇪🇸🇵🇱 Europe is heading towards a political stress test. How does this matter for the EU’s ability to act? 🧵 1/10
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 08/09/2026
Friedrich Merz is now on borrowed time. But that’s not why the AfD’s triumph is seismic | Jörg Lau
theguardian.com
Friedrich Merz is now on borrowed time. But that’s not why the AfD’s triumph is seismic | Jörg Lau
The anti-fascist consensus about our Nazi past is fundamental to German democracy. But that, shockingly, is being shattered, says Jörg Lau, an international correspondent for the German weekly Die Zeit
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Saxony-Anhalt went to the polls, with the AfD falling just short of a majority. Here are some takeaways based on the preliminary results across all 218 municipalities and local socioeconomic characteristics. A thread 🧵(1 /n) Full analysis + write-up: juliuskoelzer.de/saxony-anhal...
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
With some delay, my op-Ed on the dramatic Saxony-Anhalt election. It is high time we focus our political struggle on strengthening democracy, rather than merely weakening the far right. To do this, we must show realism, resilience and restraint.
theguardian.com
The AfD’s win in Germany is a dark day for Europe. Time is running out to stop the far right | Cas Mudde
This party is among the most extreme in Europe. To protect our democracies, liberal parties must urgently change their tactics, says Cas Mudde, author of The Far Right Today
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
The Saxony-Anhalt state election shows the familiar socio-structural divides—education, urban vs. rural, and the gender gap among young voters (albeit with unusually high support for the AfD).
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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 07/09/2026
The votes have been counted in Saxony-Anhalt and the AfD got 43.8% – more than doubling the seats, but not enough to form a government on their own. Now the options are minority government, or convincing one of the other parties to join them.
davekeating.substack.com
The German far right is coming to power – with US and Russian support
The AfD’s win in Saxony-Anhalt could give the far right seats in the national Bundesrat for the first time since the federal republic’s creation.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Absolutely dramatic defeat for CDU and victory for AfD. Main question is: will BSW make it into parliament. Currently AfD is estimated at 39 seats, BSW at 5 (out of 83). AfD majority is unlikely, but still possible.
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 05/09/2026
All eyes on Saxony-Anhalt – what will AfD do if it wins German state poll?
theguardian.com
All eyes on Saxony-Anhalt – what will AfD do if it wins German state poll?
Sunday’s election could bring in Germany’s first far-right state government since the Nazi eraGerman...
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Markus Haverland @mhaverland.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
With the right-wing extremist AfD projected to win more than 40% of the vote in this Sunday’s election in the German state of Saxony-Anhalt, this is an important analysis of why this and other forthcoming regional elections matter for national politics and the EU. www.epc.eu/publication/...
epc.eu
How German state elections can shift EU politics
In subsequent regional elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin on 20 September 2026, the party is again likely to score highly, but building coalitions to form the next governments is likely to be easier.
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Prof.dr. Beatrice de Graaf @beatricedegraaf.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Deeply unsettling interview with my colleague and friend Marcus Boeick (from East Germany): www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
My home state is set to hand a breakthrough to the German far right. It’s a disaster decades in the making | Marcus Böick
A sense of abandonment could make Saxony-Anhalt the first state government to be solely led by the AfD. But the party’s hollow promises will only make a dire situation worse, says historian Marcus Böi...
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Alberto Alemanno @alemanno.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Europe’s socialists, liberals and greens can either let the EU stray further away from the values they cherish, or end their collusion with the @eppgroup.bsky.social allowing this drift It’s their last chance My latest for @theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 07/07/2026
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R. Daniel Kelemen @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
@dziblatt.bsky.social and I in @foreignaffairs.com on the real lessons from Hungary www.foreignaffairs.com/hungary/how-...
foreignaffairs.com
How to Beat an Autocrat
The real lessons of Orban’s defeat.
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General Boles @generalboles.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
That's fine but England have responded with Harry Kane as the Venerable Bede
Harry Kane photoshopped as the Venerable Bede

It Cometh Home
It Cometh Home
It Cometh Home

is written on a scroll he is holding
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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-05-10...
gelliottmorris.com
Democrats now have to win the House vote by 4 points due to Republican gerrymandering
A new analysis by Strength In Numbers reveals the impacts of mid-decade and post-VRA redistricting by Republicans, with the now-missing Democratic counter-gerrymander in Virginia
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
This made my day! If you need a laugh, please read this story. Masterful! 😂
theguardian.com
French professor accused of ‘gigantic hoax’ after inventing Nobel-style prize
Authorities investigate Florent Montaclair over award given to himself and others including Noam Chomsky
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Thorsten Benner @tbenner.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
"I want Germany and Europe to be strong enough that nobody can blackmail us". This by @larsklingbeil.bsky.social is exactly the right understanding of European sovereignty. The sovereignty to make choices and not be blackmailed.
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Mujtaba Rahman @mijrahman.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Some positives from Magyar's win for the EU -€bn for Hungary for its economy -€bn for Ukraine -Accession chapters unlocked for Ukraine & also for Moldova, which could move quite quickly -€ adoption -Isolates Fico -Could weaken the momentum for Bardella/RN in France
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Roland Pierik @roleo.eurosky.social · 12/04/2026
Yup. the deal that Trump scrapped on his first day in office.
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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 29/03/2026
"In a world of giants, Europe needs to be a giant itself" - Timothy Garton Ash "Here’s a bunch of Europeans who still believe in Europe. And know exactly what it must do: get stronger. The only question is whether our national politics will allow us to do it."
youtu.be
Why Europe Matters - Trailer
YouTube video by IAIChannel
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Mike Levin @mikelevin.org · 20/03/2026
6 months before bombing Iran and closing the Strait of Hormuz, the Trump admin fired the State Dept. oil and gas experts. The people who modeled exactly this scenario. The ones with contacts at Gulf energy ministries. Now nobody knows who to call. You can't make this up.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
notus.org
Trump’s DOGE Cuts Slashed Staff That Handled Middle Eastern Oil and Gas Crises
Six months before going to war in Iran, the U.S. government cut staff that would have been central to the current situation.
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Dmitry Grozoubinski @explaintrade.com · 14/03/2026
Inside the Department of War are two wolves: "We've shut down the Colleges of War because book learnings are woke, gay, and irrelevant to war fighting." "How come no one told us the Strait is important, there are different kinds of Kurds, Iran is big, and air power historically doesn't win wars?"
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Randy Barbee💙🇺🇲🇺🇦 @randylb.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Nailed it 👌
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Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
New data shows #Brexit has lowered UK GDP by 6-8% over the past decade. Investment down 12-18%, employment down 3-4%. It's even worse than economists had predicted pre-referendum, because they thought there would be a bounce-back long term. "Economists were roughly right on the
cepr.org
Brexit’s slow‑burn hit to the UK economy
The UK is once again debating why its economy has grown slowly since the mid‑2010s. This column examines the impact of the decision to leave the European Union in 2016. Using almost a decade of data s...
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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 16/02/2026
Great piece from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social, which touches on one of the big theories for why English-speaking countries do especially badly at housebuilding: Adversarial and litigious common law systems (Anglo) vs judge-led civil law systems elsewhere. samf.substack.com/p/build-the-...
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Joost van Spanje @joostvanspanje.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Great @theguardian.com piece by @catherinedevries.bsky.social: "attention itself has become a strategic battlefield of int'l politics. Attention wars aren't won by reacting faster. They're won by deciding what deserves focus. Europe (..) needs to outplan" Trump. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
Trump wants our attention. Let’s stop falling for his geopolitical clickbait | Catherine De Vries
Whether he’s targeting Greenland, tariffs or Iran, Trump’s agenda is to distract – because a Europe that is always reacting is never planning, says political scientist Catherine De Vries
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Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
This one is making the rounds. But after a tense 🇪🇺 vs 🇺🇸 week it is needed. Healthier, less poor, fairer, more equitable, safer. 🇪🇺 not perfect. But pretty good!
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Amazing chart with horrible acronyms - for the first time in my living memory, unemployment in Northern Europe and Southern Europe seems to have converged. Seemed unthinkable during the Eurozone crisis.
Chart from Economist on unemployment in Southern and Northern Europe since 2005 now converging.
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Captain it’s Wednesday @wednesday.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Captain it's Wednesday
Captain it's Wednesday
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Official confirmation is now here - exploration team to land already tomorrow:
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Neil Lewis, Jr. @neillewisjr.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
One of my favorite clips about the Mercator projection: www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVX-...
youtube.com
Gall--Peters Projection
YouTube video by UsefulClips
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 11/01/2026
Joint statement by 4 former officials in Democratic and Republican Administrations—including four NATO Ambassadors, 3 Assistant Secretaries of State for Europe, and 3 NSC Senior Directors. Excellent opening in particular.
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
America’s Strategic Alliance with Denmark and NATO
A statement by 14 former officials in Democratic and Republican Administrations—including four NATO Ambassadors, 3 Assistant Secretaries of State for Europe, and 3 NSC Senior Directors
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Fun fact for a pub quiz for EU nerds: Made the calculation for today's Mercosur vote. It is not only unusual for such a major step to be adopted just above the threshold for an absolute majority. It is also the first case I could find where the old, pre 2014 weighted votes would have produced a No.
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
For those keeping score, Bellingcat, The New York Times Visual Investigation Team, & Washington Post's Visual Forensic team have all published analysis showing the ICE shooter wasn't in the path of Renee Nicole Good’s vehicle when he shot her, contradicting statements by the President & his cronies
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Markus Haverland @mhaverland.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
So true!
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Michal Onderco @profonderco.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
If you’re in The Hague: join the official book launch on 10 February 2026. I’ll be discussing the book with Sico van der Meer, Michaele de Goeij, and Linde Desmaele. More info: www.eur.nl/en/essb/even...
eur.nl
Book Launch: Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella
On Tuesday 10 February 2026, Dr. Michal Onderco will present his latest book “Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella”, recently published by Cambridge University Press.
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Markus Haverland @mhaverland.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Extremely relevant publication of a colleague of mine. Could not be more timely!
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Jan-Werner Mueller @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
The Donroe Doctrine: Extortion, Extraction, Exploitation (and Extradition, if needed).
theguardian.com
The Trump doctrine exposes the US as a mafia state | Jan-Werner Müller
The Venezuela incursion is in line with this logic, made even plainer as the US eyes Greenland
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
"I’m going to pause here just to review: an institution that purports to be a university has told a philosophy professor he is forbidden from teaching Plato." surreal times dailynous.com/2026/01/06/t...
dailynous.com
Texas A&M Bans Plato - Daily Nous
Drop the race and gender material from your course and the Plato readings, or teach a different course. You have a day to decide. That's a paraphrase of what Martin Peterson, professor of philosophy a...
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Francesco Nicoli 🇪🇺 🎓 @francesconicoli.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Via @zubrin.bsky.social
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Yf Reykers @yfreykers.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
With the decision to make available a €90 billion loan to Ukraine, the EU has lived up to its commitment to continue supporting the country. Will this be sufficient for Ukraine to win the war? No. But still, the European Council of 18 Dec. warrants cautious optimism. Why?👇
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
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Jana Puglierin @jpuglierin.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Europeans are waking up this morning to find the new US National Security Strategy (quietly) released. And what it has to say on Europe could not be clearer. On the „stark prospect of civilizations erasure“ for example. 👇
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