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Mauro Gilli

@maurogilli.bsky.social
3.7K followers 824 following 387 posts

Professor of Military Strategy and Technology at the Hertie School in Berlin. Great powers rivalry, future of war, tech competition. Born 🇮🇹, 9y 🇺🇸, 9y🇨🇭, 🇩🇪 sites.google.com/site/maurogilli2

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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 10h
Interesting question. In case anyone can help.
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Christian Thiels @christianthiels.eurosky.social · 13/08/2026
"Messages shared in Moroccan social media groups have called for another attempt to enter Ceuta on Saturday, although it remains unclear who is behind them." @en.rfi.fr www.rfi.fr/en/internati...
rfi.fr
Morocco steps up border security over fears of new mass crossing into Ceuta
Morocco has stepped up security along its borders with the Spanish enclaves of Ceuta and Melilla after fresh calls appeared on social media urging migrants to attempt another mass crossing, weeks afte...
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biologist077.bsky.social @biologist077.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Pancreatic cancer is so tough. But in an early trial, 7 of 8 patients (87.5%) who responded to a personalized mRNA vaccine + immunotherapy are still alive 6 years after surgery. It's designed to train the immune system to fight remaining cells. Promising, and worth attention.
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auonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
A UK P8 maritime patrol aircraft spent 6 hours finecombing SW Baltic Sea for enemy units, above and below surface, before command would let the ship ARK GERMANIA leave Køge port for a transport of military units across Baltic Sea. Another P8 covering ahead. Says something about threat level, innit?
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 31/07/2026
Interesting, though unsurprising
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Kevin Rothrock @kevinrothrock.me · 29/07/2026
France's Interior Ministry has ordered Ksenia Fedorova, former head of RT France, expelled from the country. It accuses her of acting "as a conduit for disinformation campaigns orchestrated by the Russian authorities" with the aim of "destabilizing the public order." www.france24.com/en/france/20...
france24.com
France orders Russian journalist Xenia Fedorova to leave country over alleged Kremlin propaganda
France has ordered Russian journalist Xenia Fedorova to leave the country, the interior ministry said on Wednesday, amid accusations that she spread Kremlin propaganda through French television and ra...
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Recently, ASML has been a lot in the news. In a new article, we explain why concerns about industrial espionage, reverse engineering and talent poaching miss the critical challenge that the production of lithography machines poses: systems integration. tinyurl.com/3u79rj7e
tinyurl.com
ASML's Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in China
In June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached
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Joanna Bryson @j2bryson.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
"Vulnerability discovery is an orchestration problem: analysis, hypothesis generation, harness construction, execution, verification, and long-horizon memory. Block access to one model and the same workflow runs on another." should also apply to cybersecure #systemsEngineering #systemsAI?
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Joanna Bryson @j2bryson.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
“Clearview AI, which took advantage of a lack of regulations around biometrics and people's faces online to build a massive database,” really “took advantage of the BS GAFAM claims of self-governance” which @microsoft.com in particular trumpeted as demonstrating its #aiethics — indeed it did. 1/2
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Don't forget that some (pro-Russian charlatans) have been accusing Bellingcat of being a CIA-psyop.
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Flattered to be included in this detailed Financial Times article on the cat-and-mouse game between Israeli/US interdiction assets and Iranian ballistic-missile launchers. www.ft.com/content/b2b3...
ft.com
The hunt for Iran’s ballistic missile crews
Tehran’s missiles are key to its retaliation against Israel and the US. But launching them brings an immediate risk of death
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
The Dutch Defence Minister suggested on a radio interview that European countries can “jailbreak” an F-35 in case the US blocked software updates: “I'm going to say something I should never say, but I'll do it anyway. Just like your iPhone, you can jailbreak an F-35. I won't say more about it.”
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auonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Shadow tanker PEACE lacks safety management, insurance. She is flying a false flag of Timor-Leste where Timor-Leste demands of other states to stop her. She is lawless. Sanctioned by EU and UK. She is on her fifth delivery of Russian crude to India last 12m. She is leaving Baltic Sea laden now.
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
For those keeping score, Bellingcat, The New York Times Visual Investigation Team, & Washington Post's Visual Forensic team have all published analysis showing the ICE shooter wasn't in the path of Renee Nicole Good’s vehicle when he shot her, contradicting statements by the President & his cronies
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Evidence coming up. Some of these systems however were in hangars. I assume we will know more soon.
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Benjamin D Lane @slowtalking.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Fascinating air defense neutralization thread:
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.
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Matthew Redhead @matthewrr.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
Ah, is that the EU that launched an unprovoked military attack against its neighbour in February 2022? Oh no, that was Russia, wasn’t it, Lavvy, baby?
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Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 25/12/2025
Chinese military simulated battles near Mexico, Cuba and Taiwan, CCTV report shows Rare insight revealed on state television in footage from a PLA wargaming event in central China where dozens of systems were demonstrated
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
Happy holidays to everyone, and merry Christmas to those celebrating it. And if you don't know it already, here is one of the best Christmas stories about air defense. #SantaDetected www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...
dailymail.co.uk
How a child's phone call to US air base began Christmas tradition
The Santa Tracker brings the magic of Christmas alive and children are able to imagine that the sleigh going across the globe is carrying their presents.
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Kori Schake @kschake.bsky.social · 06/12/2025
"a manifesto for a radically different American project. It is narrower, more partisan, more inwardly focused, and more personalized than any of its predecessors.”
warontherocks.com
Ten Jolting Takeaways from Trump’s New National Security Strategy
The new National Security Strategy is out, and it’s a shock to the system. It is not just the latest public articulation of principles, ambitions, and
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 05/12/2025
The All-Russian Cossack Society turns school clubs into pipelines for state-sponsored militarisation and recruitment for war in Ukraine. Bellingcat shows how they shape an alternative mobilisation force: www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
bellingcat.com
From School to Battlefield to Grave: How Russian Cossacks drive young people to war - bellingcat
The All-Russian Cossack Society turns school clubs into pipelines for state-sponsored militarisation and recruitment for war in Ukraine. Bellingcat shows how they shape an alternative mobilisation for...
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
Beyond surreal. The message to Moscow is that European defense is not a priority.
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
vsquare.org/how-a-czech-...
vsquare.org
How a Czech Supply Chain Feeds the Global Spyware Machine - VSquare.org
Several people living in the Czech Republic have worked for Intellexa, the spyware company, representatives of which have been accused of assisting with human rights violations and are currently on tr...
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Hans Kristensen @nukestrat.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Finnish Air Force confirmed B-52 over Finland where it conducted simulated weapons drops on the Sotinputo range. x.com/finnishairfo... 60-0036 is part of Bomber Task Force recently deployed to Morón. Today’s mission part of strengthening air ops in Northern region. ac.nato.int/archive/2025...
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Geopolitics and Security Studies Center @gssc-lt.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
@hoanssolo.bsky.social, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the @cnas.bsky.social joins the Vilnius Foreign and Security Policy Conference on November 21 to discuss modern warfare, defense innovation, and the future of strategic security. Learn more: conference.gssc.lt Photo credits: CNAS
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Mario Seminerio @phastidio.net · 08/11/2025
"Recent data from Advocates for Children of New York shows that 154,000 students in the city’s public school system were homeless — about one in eight pupils" www.ft.com/content/46c1...
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Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 31/10/2025
Bellingcat has geolocated footage of a mass killing outside the recently captured Sudanese city of El Fasher. In the video, which has circulated widely online, RSF commander Abu Lulu can be seen firing his weapon at what appears to be ten unarmed men sitting on the ground. Image: @vantortech
Satellite imagery of geolocated site of killings with marked screengrabs from footage depicted the killing and the surrounding area. The trench and berm constructed in August by the RSF is labelled. As is a large group of burned vehicles and where the corpses are visible in satellite imagery. Location of killing: 13.71387, 25.27922.  Image credit: Vantor
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Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
US, Russia’s tests & subs, Euro deterrent, conventional forces, US space force & House of Dynamite in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Justin Bronk @justin-br0nk.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
President Zelenskyy in Sweden today: Ukraine plans to buy 100-150 JAS-39 Gripen E fighters. Certainly a positive sign for the post-war prospects of the Ukrainian Air Force. Great EW suite, modern AESA radar, Meteor missile compatible. But, it doesn't help win the current war.
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
Very interesting article discussing what might lurk behind the Nexperia controversy. bits-chips.com/article/lets...
bits-chips.com
Let’s not forget Itec in the Nexperia affair - Bits&Chips
The storm surrounding Nexperia has mostly been told as a story about chips and geopolitics. But in the shadow of that debate sits a smaller, quieter player: its subsidiary Itec. At this firm resides m...
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Christian Thiels @christianthiels.eurosky.social · 18/10/2025
"A recent report by the House Select Committee on the CCP issued a startling warning: U.S. Department of Defense funding has routinely sponsored research conducted by institutions with deep links to China’s defense industrial base. " @thediplomat.com thediplomat.com/2025/10/why-...
thediplomat.com
Why Is the US Defense Department Funding China’s Military Research?
It’s time for the U.S. government to start consolidating its blacklists.
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Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
New START, US help to Ukraine, Steadfast Noon, Euro deterrence, Chinese & DPRK’s capabilities, SATCOM & the military use of space in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
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Juliana Suess @julianasuess.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Ich hatte vor kurzem die Chance mit Marlen Oehler für den Podcast @nzz.ch Geopolitik zu sprechen: "Krieg der Satelliten? Wie die Machtspiele auf Erden den Weltraum erfassen" www.nzz.ch/podcast/krie...
nzz.ch
Krieg der Satelliten: Die Militarisierung des Weltraums - NZZ Geopolitik
Moderne Kriege sind ohne Satelliten nicht mehr denkbar. Nicht nur zivile Infrastruktur im Weltraum wird für kriegerische Auseinandersetzung auf der Erde genutzt, auch die Bewaffnung des Alls erreicht ...
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Reminder for students from Sweden: at the Hertie School, we have 3 full scholarship (tuition + stipend) for our MA in international affairs with specialization in international security www.hertie-school.org/en/study/fun...
hertie-school.org
Ax:son Johnson Scholarship
This scholarship is for applicants from Sweden with a demonstrated interest in international security and German-Swedish relations.
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
The EU considering China's "market for technology" clause.
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
www.wired.com/story/satell...
wired.com
Satellites Are Leaking the World’s Secrets: Calls, Texts, Military and Corporate Data
With just $800 in basic equipment, researchers found a stunning variety of data—including thousands of T-Mobile users’ calls and texts and even US military communications—sent by satellites unencrypte...
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Doug Parr @dougparr.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
“I think China is using [clean technology] in a very, very geopolitically savvy way, taking advantage of America’s stupidity and regression back into a petrostate. China just wins. America has abrogated the playing field.” www.ft.com/content/013e...
ft.com
The ‘profound’ global impact of China’s rise as an electrostate
The country’s companies now dominate many clean technology industries
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Hey students from Sweden 🇸🇪: here you can find information for three full scholarships to come to study international security at the Hertie School (@hertieschool.bsky.social, @hertiesecurity.bsky.social) in Berlin. www.hertie-school.org/en/study/fun...
hertie-school.org
Ax:son Johnson Scholarship
This scholarship is for applicants from Sweden with a demonstrated interest in international security and German-Swedish relations.
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André Loez & podcast Paroles d’histoire @andreloez.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
Ouverture de la journée Marc Bloch, vie, combats, héritages, par @jalazard.bsky.social à la Sorbonne
Amphi richelieu
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Sebastian Karcher @adam42smith.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
Today's #openScience mini kerfuffle is @urisohn.bsky.social 's Data Colada post responding to the JASA paper by @richarddmorey.bsky.social & @clintin.bsky.social critiquing the p-curve. datacolada.org/129 The whole thing is a bit sad w open-science related debates degenerating into team sports. 1/n
datacolada.org
[129] P-curve works in practice, but would it work if you dropped a piano on it? - Data Colada
P-curve is a statistical tool we developed about 15 years ago to help rule out selective reporting, be it p-hacking or file-drawering, as the sole explanation for a set of significant results. This po...
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Sarah Kirchberger @sarahkirchberger.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
🔱 “Citing the 🇨🇳 Chinese navy, Xinhua News Agency reported that the J-15T and J-35 fighter jets, along with the KJ-600 early warning and command aircraft, recently completed electromagnetic catapult-assisted 🛫 takeoffs and arrested 🛬landings aboard the #Fujian.” #EMALS
newsweek.com
China achieves major aircraft carrier breakthrough
Chinese military aircraft conducted electromagnetic catapult-assisted takeoffs and arrested landings aboard the aircraft carrier CNS Fujian.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
"Although reports suggest that an initial architecture has been selected, unless expectations are recalibrated, Golden Dome risks (lol) being built to promises rather than requirements, eroding the transparency and confidence needed to make the program sustainable." warontherocks.com/2025/09/gold...
warontherocks.com
Golden Dome is a Trillion Dollar Gambit
U.S. President Donald Trump set high expectations for “Golden Dome.” His executive order directing development of this homeland air and missile defense
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
Very happy to see our article ""Europe needs also minds, not just guns" out, which I have written with @aagilli.bsky.social, Antonio Missiroli & Niccolò Petrelli. www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...
ispionline.it
Europe needs also minds - not just guns | ISPI
Europe is rapidly rearming but risks wasting resources without a robust strategic thinking ecosystem, requiring investments
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
www.ft.com/content/60a9...
ft.com
Switzerland’s US tech ‘whale’
Conservative central bank has more than $42bn invested in Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia and Meta
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Joanna Bryson @j2bryson.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
Unfortunately at the exact same time @mmitchell.bsky.social and I are talking, so those physically in Berlin have to choose, but the rest of you sign up for the AI here invtdu.to/_ovppw PS the Pizza events Mauro is a part of are aimed at prospective Hertie School students, so the pizza is great!
invtdu.to
AI Ethics in the Age of Competitive AI "Democratisation"
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
I started a thread about this, but I quickly got to 2k words: I will make it into an article. For those in Berlin, I will talk about these very points on Wednesday. See you there. Details here: www.hertie-school.org/en/events/ev...
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Will Lowe @conjugateprior.org · 13/09/2025
We ran 9 billion regressions: Eliminating false positive through computational model robustness

John Muñoz and Christobal YoungI just ran four million regressions

Xavier X. Sala-i-MartinI just ran two trillion regressions

Christoph Hancky tho?
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
In an intense news cycle, it is easy to miss that Washington is normalizing ties with Minsk, with a US envoy having met with Lukashenka and agreeing to lift sanctions on Belavia Airlines in exchange for the release of political prisoners. pism.pl/publikacje/u...
pism.pl
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ETH Zurich @ethz.ch · 12/09/2025
ETH Zurich climate scientist @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social is the first Swiss citizen to receive the prestigious German Environmental Award bestowed by the German Federal Environmental Foundation. Congratulations for receiving this award for outstanding research! ethz.ch/en/news-and-...
ethz.ch
Great honour for ETH climate researcher Sonia Seneviratne
ETH Professor Sonia Seneviratne is the first Swiss citizen to receive the prestigious German Environmental Award bestowed by the German Federal Environmental Foundation. The climate researcher shares ...
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