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Alexander Lanoszka

@lanoszka.bsky.social
1.6K followers 522 following 760 posts

Associate professor at the University of Waterloo (Canada); visiting professor at the College of Europe in Natolin (Poland); and author of Military Alliances in the Twenty-First Century (Polity, 2022). www.alexlanoszka.com

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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 12h
Richard, Balkan, and I have a new op-ed, this time with @ipolitics.bsky.social. The key quote that signals the basic argument: "Yet, despite its apparent realism, [Carney's foreign policy] strategy smacks of an undue idealism about what the EU can offer Canada." www.ipolitics.ca/2026/10/01/c...
ipolitics.ca
Carney’s foreign policy idealism
Alas, Carney and his government might genuinely believe that the EU holds much promise for Canada. If so, then they might be in for a rude awakening. One wonders whether the oxygen could have been spe...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
"Unfortunately, there are significant challenges that confront Canada’s push for rearmament and economic mobilization that will manifest themselves in the coming years. Carney’s rhetoric, while encouraging, should not be swallowed uncritically." macdonaldlaurier.ca/carney-is-ta...
macdonaldlaurier.ca
Carney is talking big about taking defence seriously. Don’t get your hopes up: Richard Shimooka in The Hub | Macdonald-Laurier Institute
The government’s strategy to tie defence spending to domestic economic benefits may not adequately address the pressing threats Canada faces.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Former CDS Eyre: "I, like the handful of CAF senior leaders present, had a hard time reconciling these otherwise great speeches [re: Ukraine aid] with both the billion-dollar budget cut that they had just inflicted on us and their lethargy to approve a new defence policy." www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
cbc.ca
'Thrown under the bus': Former defence chief's memoir lays bare his battles with the Trudeau government | CBC News
Former defence chief Wayne Eyre considered quitting "several times" as he battled the Trudeau government over military misconduct, defence spending and support for Ukraine. His candid memoir recounts ...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
At this rate, Republicans will join Democrats in wishing for the midterms to come to pass as soon as possible.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
A good backgrounder on the events taking place at RAF Fairford today. "RAF Fairford is a major hub for US military aircraft in the UK ... Bomber strikes launched from Fairford were a central aspect of major US combat operations against Iran earlier this year." www.twz.com/air/british-...
twz.com
British Police Arrest Men Driving Toward U.S. Bomber Base In The U.K. With Suspected Explosives
RAF Fairford is a key hub for U.S. bomber and other operations, and was major launch point for strikes on Iran earlier this year.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
"On Thursday, 24 September, the Saeima approved the participation of the National Armed Forces in multinational military operations to secure the Strait of Hormuz. Latvia plans to deploy up to 20 soldiers to clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines." eng.lsm.lv/article/soci...
eng.lsm.lv
Latvia will send up to 20 soldiers to clear Hormuz
On Thursday, 24 September, the Saeima approved the participation of the National Armed Forces (NBS) in multinational military operations to secure the Strait of Hormuz. Latvia plans to deploy up to 20...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
"Latvia is moving toward acquiring Anduril Industries’ Barracuda family of long-range strike missiles ... If the acquisition goes through, Latvia would be the first of the Baltic states to field a strike weapon in this category." www.twz.com/news-feature...
twz.com
Latvia To Order Anduril’s Barracuda Cruise Missile For Long-Range Strike Capability
The missile deal would drastically expand Riga’s precision-fire reach as NATO’s eastern flank races to build up its conventional long-range strike capabilities. The missile deal would drastically expa...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
It was a pleasure to contribute to this conversation on the UK-led Joint Expeditionary Force, how we should think of Canada's possible contributions to it, and what returns Canada can get now that we have news that Canada has formally applied to become a member. www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-EH...
youtube.com
Should Canada Join the Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF)?
YouTube video by CDA Institute
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Paul McCartney. Take the song Something. Geddy Lee would have played too notes and Adam Clayton would have just stuck to the root notes. But Paul found the perfect balance between melody and rhythm in that song. Ringo Starr is an underrated drummer, but that's another conversation.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The SSHRC website is so terrible that its administrators caution you against doing anything else online when you are on it: "SSHRC's system does not support browsing simultaneously with multiple browsers or multiple tabs. Doing so will result in loss of data."
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
"A fire at the Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, central Poland, is being investigated as a possible act of arson ... The facility is part of strategic telecommunications infrastructure supporting internet connectivity across CE Europe, including Ukraine." defence24.com/geopolitics/...
defence24.com
Starlink station fire in Poland. Possibile slowdown in Ukraine
**A fire at the Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, central Poland, is being investigated as a possible act of arson. The incident matters far beyond the damaged equipment. The facility is part...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I would appreciate it if we could learn about our country's foreign policy choices and decision-making in our country's own media outlets. For all the talk of 'buying Canadian' and 'elbows up', we seem to be getting a lot of our information from American sources. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/23/w...
nytimes.com
Mark Carney Interview: Canada’s Leader Lays Out Vision for Breaking Reliance on U.S.
In a wide-ranging interview, Prime Minister Mark Carney described a tense, evolving relationship with President Trump.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
"Hormuz and Ukraine are the most immediate questions Seoul’s policymakers face today, but they will not be the last. Only a clear strategy will make South Korea a reliable ally and partner." warontherocks.com/seoul-needs-...
warontherocks.com
Seoul Needs a Playbook for Hormuz, Ukraine, and What Comes Next
Earlier this month, President Donald Trump shared a Washington Post opinion piece on his social media, arguing that South Korea should send its
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Good on the two Dartmouth students for having written this report. If the Provost himself uses AI so extensively in a way that would be deeply problematic in many, if not all, courses, how can he expect the College student body to uphold basic academic integrity? www.thedartmouth.com/article/2026...
thedartmouth.com
Op-eds, academic articles by Provost Santiago Schnell flagged as ‘AI-written’ by ‘near-zero error’ AI detector Pangram
Schnell said he used artificial intelligence for “making writing processes more efficient,” but that AI was not a “substitute” for his own “intellectual judgment or authorship.”
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I suspect that Trump has not really thought through the terrible foreign policy implications. That said, on economic terms, is Belarusian potash really that much cheaper than Sask potash given the necessary transportation costs involved and the tariff exemptions? www.ctvnews.ca/canada/artic...
ctvnews.ca
Trump working on deal to buy potash from Belarus for lower price than Canada
U.S. President Donald Trump says he is working on a “massive deal” to purchase potash from Belarus.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Many commentators take it as an article of faith that MAGA is going to be a permanent fixture in American politics. But are we really so sure considering how unpopular its preferred policies have become and how even Trump's personal charisma seems insufficient for keeping his coalition together?
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Silver Wotan 2026: "Swedish and German forces are conducting what appears to be the first joint rehearsal of their rapid-reinforcement plans for the Baltic island of Gotland." www.twz.com/news-feature...
twz.com
German Forces Surge Onto Baltic Island In First-Of-Its-Kind NATO Drill
Exercise Silver Wotan tests how quickly allied troops, ships, aircraft, and weapons can reach the strategically vital island of Gotland. Silver Wotan tests how quickly allied troops, ships, aircraft, ...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Imagine being a professor at a major US university, imagine spending decades commenting on US-Russia relations, and imagine not knowing in 2026 that Russia has been cut off from US financial institutions because of sanctions. He took his colleague's claims about sanctions not working too seriously.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
The Canadian media is so parochial. Canada's chief of the defence staff lost a vote to be the NATO Military Committee's next chair, but all we can say is that Trump's misogyny and anti-Canadianism might be responsible here. And yet non-US NATO members preferred Breuer. www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
cbc.ca
Canada's top general loses election to become head of key NATO Military Committee | CBC News
Despite a push from the federal government, Canada's chief of the defence staff has lost a vote to be the next chair of the NATO Military Committee, the alliance's top military authority and a key adv...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
"Sensitive F-35 fighter jet technology was unexpectedly diverted to Hong Kong this summer, sparking an inquiry on Capitol Hill and raising the possibility that China could have access to key components of the highly classified weapon system." www.politico.com/news/2026/09...
politico.com
Hill investigates after F-35 parts diverted to Hong Kong
The incident raises the possibility that top secret weapons technology may have been exposed to a foreign adversary — including China.
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Reposted by Alexander Lanoszka
Bloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 18/09/2026
The US has warned allies to expect delays of as much as five years in key weapons deliveries as it rebuilds its own depleted munitions stocks.
bloom.bg
US Warns Allies of Delays in Missile Shipments Due to Shortages
The US has warned allies to expect delays of as much as five years in key weapons deliveries as it rebuilds its own depleted munitions stocks.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
The title here suggests that the only point of resistance to Gen. Carignan being elected to chair NATO's Military Committee is the U.S. President. Yet I suspect many countries, particularly those in the Eastern flank, have good reasons to vote for Gen. Carsten Breuer. www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
cbc.ca
Canada's top general is up for a senior NATO post. Will Trump get in her way? | CBC News
Canada's Gen. Jennie Carignan faces Germany's Gen. Carsten Breuer on Saturday in a secret-ballot contest to chair NATO's Military Committee. A victory would make Carignan the first woman to hold the p...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
"Taiwan is moving toward a nuclear comeback barely a year after shutting its last reactor, as soaring LNG prices and mounting dependence on imported gas force a rethink of its energy strategy." oilprice.com/Alternative-...
oilprice.com
Taiwan Mulls Nuclear Revival to Cut Its LNG Exposure | OilPrice.com
Restarting almost 3.9 GW of nuclear capacity could eventually displace 4–4.5 million tonnes of LNG annually.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Four German Air Force Eurofighter jets as well as additional contributions from the Italian and Turkish air forces will strengthen the defence of Latvian airspace, particularly while Latvia is holding parliamentary elections early in October. eng.lsm.lv/article/soci...
eng.lsm.lv
Extra NATO jets coming to Latvia during election period
In a significant development on September 17th, it was announced that extra NATO jets will be coming to Latvia "to reinforce Latvian airspace protection during elections."
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
"The US House of Representatives on Wednesday passed legislation giving President Donald Trump broad powers to impose sanctions on Russia and tariffs of up to 100% on countries that buy Russian oil and gas. It will now go to Trump to be signed into law." www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
India faces 100% tariff threat over Russian oil after US House vote
Trump’s tariff threat puts India’s Russian oil strategy- and its access to the US market - in a new bind.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
The news today is that Canada formallly applied to join the UK-led JEF. Back in May, I was asked about this possibility. In short, the idea aligns well with Carney's internatonal strategy, but the problem remains that Canada's military is over-stretched. www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-big-as...
britainsworld.org.uk
Should Canada join the JEF?
The Big Ask | No. 15.2026
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Macron's France has not ratified the CETA, so I am sure Le Pen's France will be really excited about the prospects of Canada becoming an 'associate member', whatever that means. Have EU leaders even considered what this discourse implies for ongoing accession processes? www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
EU chief backs plan for Canada to become 'associate member'
Canada is seeking closer ties with EU after a breakdown in relations with the US and its president Donald Trump.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
New experimental research indicates that "negative alliance signals" have weak and inconsistent effects on individuals' support for acquiring nuclear weapons, with surveys drawn from respondents in Germany, Japan, Poland, and South Korea. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Canadians are generally ignorant of the EU and its politics, but any strong pivot to the EU is loaded with serious risks, not least because of the potential for RN and AfD making major gains in France and Germany, respectively. 10 EU members haven't even ratified CETA ... www.wsj.com/world/europe...
wsj.com
Exclusive | Mark Carney’s Audacious Bid to Make Canada an ‘Associate Member’ of the EU
As trade talks with the U.S. collapse, prime minister pursues a major—and risky—pivot to Europe; an Ottawa book club plays its part.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Canada's level of seriousness on defence: "Ottawa had no guarantees that Saab's GlobalEye surveillance plane could meet military requirements when it began negotiations to acquire six of the Swedish manufacturer's early warning and control aircraft last spring." www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
cbc.ca
GlobalEye gamble: Ottawa chose surveillance plane without knowing it met military needs | CBC News
Ottawa moved to acquire six GlobalEye surveillance aircraft without assurances they met military requirements — requirements not shared with competing manufacturers. Subsequent assessments identified ...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
"... representatives of the Polish Ministry of National Defence and the US Department of State are set to sign an agreement on Wednesday for another loan tranche to fund the purchase of American equipment. Off-the-record reports suggest a figure of $4 billion ..." defence24.com/defence-poli...
defence24.com
Strengthening the eastern flank: Poland’s new US deal
According to information obtained by Defence24, representatives of the Polish Ministry of National Defence and the US Department of State are set to sign an agreement on Wednesday for another loan tra...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The real problem with political polarization is that it gives both major political parties such a high floor that they don't get punished too badly for incompetence. thehill.com/homenews/adm...
thehill.com
Trump rips allies Oman, South Korea amid escalating tensions with Iran
President Trump is lashing out at rivals and allies alike amid an escalating game of economic chicken between the U.S. and Iran. On Monday, he threatened to “bomb the s‑‑‑ out of” Oman,…
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
"Turkey’s new defense pact with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan is unlikely to draw Ankara directly into a war with Iran or India unless the three countries build joint command and troop structures, former Turkish diplomat Mustafa Enes Esen told Turkish Minute." www.turkishminute.com/2026/08/07/t...
turkishminute.com
Turkey’s defense pact with Saudi Arabia, Pakistan largely symbolic, former diplomat says - Turkish Minute
Turkey’s new defense pact with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan is unlikely to draw Ankara directly into a war with Iran or India unless the three countries build joint command and troop structures, former T...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
"... the Royal Navy’s experience offers a blunt warning: When naval leaders rely on political leadership to preserve fleet size, industrial capacity, and force design, decline can arrive by increments and then suddenly become irreversible." warontherocks.com/2026-and-all...
warontherocks.com
2026 and All That: Another Benchmark Year in Royal Navy Decline
The 1930 comic history, 1066 and All That, made famous the British habit of reducing national history to a sequence of memorable dates. The modern Royal
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
"Despite all of this apparent progress and significant authority to keep pushing ahead, Gen. Michael Guetlein warned today that Golden Dome is facing a potentially insurmountable budget impasse." No kidding. www.twz.com/space/golden...
twz.com
Golden Dome Missile Defense Shield At Risk Of Grinding To A Halt Due To Budget Impasse
Despite progress, "if they don't figure it out, there is no Golden Dome because there is no funding," the top officer in charge says.
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Reposted by Alexander Lanoszka
JD Simkins @jdsimkins.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Families of sailors aboard the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln spoke to Military Times about multiple incidents in which sailors have attempted to go overboard amid the ship's extended deployment in support of combat operations in the Middle East
militarytimes.com
Multiple USS Abraham Lincoln sailors have tried to go overboard amid extended deployment, families say
Multiple sailors aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln have attempted to go overboard as the carrier's deployment stretches into its ninth month.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
2.28 million Canadian residents made return trips from the United States in July 2026 by automobile and air combined. That is 10.2% higher than in July 2025. 41,000 vehicles used the new Gordie Howe Bridge to get to Canada during its first five days. getcybertrucked.com/blog/41000-v...
getcybertrucked.com
41,000 Vehicles Pour Into Canada Over Gordie Howe Bridge in Its First Five Days - Get CyberTrucked
The Gordie Howe International Bridge barely had time to settle into its new role before traffic began arriving in force. During its first five days of
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Add this anecdote to the growing body of evidence that AI addiction is real and has stupefying effects on its consumers.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
"Wokeness allowed elite higher ed to create a new model of inclusive exclusion: one in which tuition can continue to climb, acceptance rates can continue to plummet, endowments can continue to expand, and adjunct labor can continue to be exploited ..." www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202...
theatlantic.com
Why I Quit the Tenure Track
The insufferable hypocrisy of elite academia
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
"For the first time, the convergence of AI and autonomy challenges the perennial Clausewitzian assumption that human control remains the immutable link connecting politics, military strategy, and use of force." css.ethz.ch/en/center/CS...
css.ethz.ch
Clausewitz in the Age of AI
Does Clausewitz's central proposition, that war is a fundamentally political and human phenomenon, remain valid in the age of AI, in which machines increasingly shape how wars are perceived, planned, ...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
"Voice of America will resume its Ukrainian-language broadcasts and return some employees of its Ukrainian Service to work, Ruslan Petrychka, head of the broadcaster's Ukrainian Service, announced on Aug. 5." kyivindependent.com/voice-of-ame...
kyivindependent.com
Voice of America to relaunch Ukrainian-language broadcasting
Voice of America will resume its Ukrainian-language broadcasts and return some employees of its Ukrainian Service to work, Ruslan Petrychka, head of the broadcaster's Ukrainian Service, announced on A...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
"After rebounding slightly earlier in the month, Trump’s net approval rating has now hit a new second term low of -20.6. His disapproval rating is dangerously close to breaking 60 percent, while just 21 percent of Americans strongly approve of the job he’s doing." www.natesilver.net/p/trump-appr...
natesilver.net
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
"A CBC News investigation has identified the woman as Biwei Zhang, a systems engineer with a background in economics whose online resume suggests she previously worked for the Canadian Space Agency and Statistics Canada." www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
cbc.ca
What we know about Canadian NATO intern arrested in Belgium on espionage charges | CBC News
A CBC News investigation has identified the Canadian woman arrested last week in Belgium on espionage charges as Biwei Zhang, a systems engineer whose resume suggests she has previously worked for the...
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
"Without Orbán, every act of repression in Belgrade translates more directly into accession penalties, frozen funds, and pressure on visa-free travel — the levers that have remained the European Union’s most consequential tools in the region." warontherocks.com/how-orbans-f...
warontherocks.com
How Orbán’s Fall Changed Serbia’s Political Future
In the speech announcing his invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, Vladimir Putin took only minutes to arrive at the original sin in his catalogue of
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Important read: "An intern arrested on suspicions of having spied on NATO is an artificial intelligence researcher who has previously worked for multiple other international organisations and who might have provided China with sensitive information ..." www.ftm.eu/articles/int...
ftm.eu
Espionage at NATO: This is the suspect who was arrested last week
After allegations of a spy at NATO’s offices emerged over the weekend, FTM and media partners can reveal details on the identity of the suspect.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
"The Ukrainian president's advisers believe Trump has become more favorable toward Ukraine, making the meeting their best opportunity to secure his backing." kyivindependent.com/zelensky-arr...
kyivindependent.com
Zelensky says meeting with Trump was 'good,' covered Patriot licenses, diplomacy
"The President and I discussed licenses for Patriot interceptor production and several other ideas that could help," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Oftentimes, between 2015 and 2023, I had to tell non-Polish colleagues that Poland's ruling party, Law and Justice, was highly factionalized. It was unclear whether it would survive Kaczynski's departure. Now it is facing a split with 30+ MPs, led by Morawiecki, expelled. www.pap.pl/en/news/inte...
pap.pl
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
"Germany wants a fleet of uncrewed combat aircraft to meet a key NATO requirement. But divisions inside its defense ministry over whether to buy an Australian drone or wait for European alternatives threaten to derail Berlin's goal of fielding a fleet by 2029." www.politico.eu/article/germ...
politico.eu
Germany wants combat drones. Government officials can’t agree where to get them.
Internal divisions over whether to buy Boeing Australia’s Ghost Bat or wait for European alternatives could delay Germany’s plan to field a new combat drone.
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
This is such a major loss to our community. Martin Kragh did exceptional work and I learned so much from reading his scholarship. We are worse off without him. RIP. swedenherald.com/article/russ...
swedenherald.com
Russia expert Martin Kragh dies after long illness | Sweden Herald
Martin Kragh, senior researcher at the Center for East European Studies at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI), has died after a long illne
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Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
"President Volodymyr Zelensky on July 21 dismissed the Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces, Oleksandr Syrskyi, appointing Joint Forces Commander Mykhailo Drapatyi as his replacement." kyivindependent.com/breaking-zel...
kyivindependent.com
Breaking: Zelensky dismisses Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi amid widespread protests
President Volodymyr Zelensky on July 21 dismissed the Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces, Oleksandr Syrskyi, appointing Joint Forces Commander Mykhailo Drapatyi as his replacement. The move...
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