Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Together with Jonas Schneider, we checked whether the NPT sky is actually falling. Our verdict: not quite. There is more good news than the current despair suggests - though we do have a few reasons for caution. Just not necessarily the same ones everyone else is worried about. 011
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 28/07/2026Die Überprüfungskonferenz des Nuklearen Nichtverbreitungsvertrags NPT ist 2026 zum dritten Mal in Folge gescheitert. Das ist aber noch kein Todesurteil für die globale Nuklearordnung, so @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social & Jonas Schneider @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...swp-berlin.org»Der NPT ist tot, lang lebe der NPT!«Der Nichtverbreitungsvertrag nach der gescheiterten Überprüfungskonferenz 044
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 27/07/2026It was great to contribute to this project, expertly led by @alexsorg.bsky.social. Many thanks to the editors for the opportunity to dive back into the wonderfully puzzling world of Belarus' nuclear shenanigans. 000
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 17/03/2026If the 553 pages of the project @smetanamichal.bsky.social and I co-led on Russia’s nuclear threats struck you as excessive, unreasonable, or hostile to human happiness, good news: Here’s the graphic version. Many thanks to the many @swp-berlin.org colleagues who made this possible! 093
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzJames Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 03/03/2026Tusk: "We are investing heavily in future nuclear power plants, and Poland will not want to be passive when it comes to nuclear security in a military context." "We will cooperate with our allies...as our capabilities increase, we will try to prepare Poland for autonomous action in this matter."reuters.comPoland seeks as much autonomy as possible in terms of nuclear arms, Tusk saysPoland wants to be autonomous in the future when it comes to a nuclear deterrent, Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Tuesday, as Europe seeks to build its capabilities independently of the United St... 35737
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 03/03/2026Mein Versuch, nukleare Abschreckung in Europa weiterzudenken. Eine Umsetzung ist derzeit höchst unwahrscheinlich – aber wir brauchen innovative Ideen jenseits ausgetretener Pfade. Kritik & weitere "verrückte Ansätze" herzlich willkommen! 0101
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzJintro Pauly @jintropauly.bsky.social · 11/02/2026OUT NOW: Mind the Deterrence Gap: Assessing Europe's Nuclear Options. A new report by the European Nuclear Study Group assessing #Europe 's options to maintain a credible deterrence posture in the face of continued aggression from #Russia and an increasingly strained transatlantic relationship. 👇 12411
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 11/02/2026It was a real pleasure to collaborate on this with an outstanding group of colleagues! I’m looking forward to discussing it in Munich at #MSC2026. Europe’s nuclear choices are complex, consequential, and will require sustained work. 182
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 05/02/2026Das letzte große Abkommen zur nuklearen Abrüstung "New START" läuft heute aus. Droht jetzt ein atomares Wettrüsten? Welche Rolle spielen die Atommächte GB und Frankreich künftig? Darüber spricht @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social im DLF: www.deutschlandfunk.de/new-start-li...deutschlandfunk.deNew START: Liviu Horovitz (SWP) über Modernisierung von Atomwaffen in Europa 022
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzPeace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 05/02/2026@smetanamichal.bsky.social and @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social introduced our chronology of nuclear signaling between Russia and NATO during the war in Ukraine in a recent episode of Ukraine: The Latest @telegraph.co.uk! 🎧 Listen here: open.spotify.com/episode/2Ycr... @ims.fsv.cuni.czopen.spotify.comPutin waits until Kyiv hits -20C before knocking out power with missiles & FIFA president calls for lifting Russia sports ban 144
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzElizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Just read this again, slowly. 36419
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzPeace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 12/01/2026What nuclear signaling did Russia vs. NATO use during the first 3 years of Ukraine war? We systematically tracked these statements in our recent study with @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social. Join us for our event on Jan 27 for a study presentation and a discussion with authors! More info below 👇 1128
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzChristoph Harig @charig.bsky.social · 17/12/2025The Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg (IFSH) in Hamburg is offering a number of research positions in security/conflict/peace www.ifsh.de/en/careerifsh.deCareer - IFSH 077
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 15/12/2025I am thrilled the newest "Russia's Nuclear Signaling" Chronology is published! Really glad @smetanamichal.bsky.social came onboard 15 months ago to continue this important work. A big thank you to all @swp-berlin.org @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social #STAND & @prcp.cuni.cz for making this possible! 1/7swp-berlin.org 2147
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzPeace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 15/12/2025📄 Just published: Our latest study with @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social #STAND provides a comprehensive chronology of nuclear signaling in the Ukraine war. We found that Russia amplified perceptions of nuclear escalation, while NATO focused primarily on deterring nuclear use. Read more 👇 163
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 08/12/2025Gelingt es Washington, eine glaubwürdige Abschreckung gegenüber Russland und China aufrechtzuerhalten? Kann sich Europa weiter auf den nuklearen Schutzschirm der USA verlassen? Darüber spricht @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social im SWP-Podcast: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/... 174
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 05/12/2025Arrow & Germany, Russian Sarmat, US & nukes, Chinese nuclear policy & satellites, EU Space Act, US security guarantees & testing in our very last STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 122
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 28/11/2025Arms control; missile defense in the US, Russia & China; Iran’s nuclear program; Germany & nukes; Euro deterrence & more in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 152
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 21/11/2025Die »Golden-Dome«-Initiative soll ein umfassendes US-Abwehrsystem gegen Luft- und Raketenangriffe schaffen. Für Europa bleiben Chancen und Risiken schwer einschätzbar, so @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social @julianasuess.bsky.social @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...swp-berlin.org»Golden Dome« und das illusorische Versprechen der UnverwundbarkeitUS-Raketenabwehr unter Trump: Risiken und Chancen für Europa 034
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 21/11/2025Germany’s space security strategy, Euro deterrent, ROK & nuclear-powered subs, US-Saudi nuclear deal, China’s nuclear testing & more in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 143
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzAlexandra Paulus @alexandrapaulus.bsky.social · 20/11/2025New policy paper out: An Achilles Heel of Today’s Armed Forces: Managing Software Supply Chain Risk in the Military Sector Armed forces should pay more attention to their software supply chains. These are complex networks of software components, vendors, service providers, and other companies. /1 285
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 07/11/2025Nuclear testing & Trump, Golden Dome, China’s & NATO’s strategic deterrence, Belarus, House of Dynamite & US missile defense in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 162
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzJeffrey Lewis @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social · 30/10/2025The @statedeptus.bsky.social 2021 "compliance report" is the most detailed unclassified statement on Russian, Chinese nuclear testing. DIA said something similar in 2019. Russia is directly accused of low-yield testing, while there are only concerns about Chinese transparency. 25314
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 31/10/2025US, Russia’s tests & subs, Euro deterrent, conventional forces, US space force & House of Dynamite in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 165
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 30/10/2025Der US-Präsident hat scheinbar wieder schneller gepostet als gedacht. Was er damit meint? Schwer zu sagen. Bis wir es wissen, versuche ich, zu diesen Fake-News einige Nuke-Infos einzuspeisen. 1/xtruthsocial.comDonald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump)The United States has more Nuclear Weapons than any other country. This was accomplished, including a complete update and renovation of existing weapons, during my First Term in office. Because of the... 171
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 30/10/2025Some actual facts to balance presidential fiction. 000
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzKai Küstner @kuestnerk.bsky.social · 28/10/2025Die Sanktionen von Trump und der EU wirken - aber sie werden kaum die russische Wirtschaft kurzfristig in den Crash treiben oder Putin dazu bringen, seinen Angriffskrieg zu beenden. So meine Kurz-Version des Deep-Dives mit @jakluge.de 👇 www.ardaudiothek.de/episode/urn:...ardaudiothek.dePodcast: Janis Kluge: Warum Sanktionen wirken - aber den Krieg nicht stoppenKai Küstner spricht mit Wirtschaftswissenschaftler und Politologe der Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik Janis Kluge über die US-Sanktionen. Erstmals stehen Russlands größte Energiekonzerne Lukoil und ... 3227
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 24/10/2025Europe's military, Dark Eagle, Iran’s nuclear program, AUKUS, South Korea’s new missile, Russian nukes in Belarus, New START & ASATs in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 132
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 21/10/2025Software ist für moderne Streitkräfte unverzichtbar, birgt aber Risiken in den Lieferketten. Um Sicherheit zu gewährleisten, sollten diese konsequent minimiert werden. Mehr dazu in der neuen SWP-Studie von @alexandrapaulus.bsky.social @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social.👇 www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...swp-berlin.orgEine Achillesferse moderner StreitkräfteRisiken der Software-Lieferkette und Schutzmöglichkeiten 1158
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzAlexandra Paulus @alexandrapaulus.bsky.social · 21/10/2025Was bedeuten eigentlich Cyberangriffe, die sich die Software-Lieferkette zunutze machen, für die Bundeswehr? Diese Frage treibt mich seit Juni 2024 um. Ein gutes Jahr verbrachte ich also in einem ziemlichen Rabbithole. Das Ergebnis ist heute erschienen: www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/... 🧵⬇️swp-berlin.orgEine Achillesferse moderner StreitkräfteRisiken der Software-Lieferkette und Schutzmöglichkeiten 22215
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 19/10/2025“So grossartig wie unsere Stadt.” 🤣 Sogar Kiesinger würde das als unvertretbare Unwahrheit bezeichnen. Ich freue mich sehr, dass Berlin weit Besseres zu bieten hat als diesen Regionalliga-Flughafen. 000
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzNicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 17/10/2025Spannende Möglichkeit für Studentinnen oder Studenten uns in der SWP zum Schwerpunkt "Neugestaltung der europäischen Sicherheitsordnung" zu unterstützen: 053
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 17/10/2025Leaves are falling, perfect time to curl up on the sofa and “leaf” through some light reading on nuclear weapons and space from us at @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social #STAND 🍂☕📚🚀☢️.media.tenor.coma cartoon bird wearing glasses is sitting on a blue couch .ALT: a cartoon bird wearing glasses is sitting on a blue couch . 031
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 17/10/2025New START, US help to Ukraine, Steadfast Noon, Euro deterrence, Chinese & DPRK’s capabilities, SATCOM & the military use of space in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 253
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 15/10/2025Bis 2030 will das Verteidigungsministerium 35 Milliarden Euro in eine neue Sicherheitsarchitektur im All investieren. Im SWP-Podcast erklärt @julianasuess.bsky.social, warum der Weltraum für die Sicherheit & Verteidigung auf der Erde relevant ist. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/... 1119
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzPia Fuhrhop @pfuhrhop.bsky.social · 15/10/2025Wir @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social @swp-berlin.org suchen zwei neue Kolleg:innen zur Rückkehr des militärischen Wettbewerbs in Europa und zur Zukunft maritimer Sicherheit. Unbedingt bewerben! @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social @julianasuess.bsky.social @alexandrapaulus.bsky.social 095
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 14/10/2025Come work with me! German is a must, international security geekyness too. Everything else is a bonus 😇. 041
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 10/10/2025Our recommended reads & podcasts this week here at #STAND @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social to deep-dive into nuclear policy and space - insightful, sobering, and (maybe) best enjoyed with something stronger than coffee this Friday ☕➡️🥃. Well, or on a far-away beach 🏖️🤓. 020
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 10/10/2025New START, US Energy Department, SpaceX, Russia’s deterrence, Saudi-Pakistani defense pact, sanctions & proliferation & podcasts in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 181
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 03/10/2025For everyone not celebrating German Unity Day with a suspiciously large beer stein today – here’s your alternative buzz: fresh nuclear & space analysis from us at @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social #STAND 🍻🚀☢️. And hey, they probably go surprisingly well after one or two of those steins too 😄🤓. 030
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 03/10/2025SATCOM & Bundeswehr, Russia’s upgraded missiles, Iran's nuclear program, DPRK & South Korea, AI & tech race & more in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 163
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzTexas National Security Review @tnsr.org · 30/09/2025How are alliances like AUKUS and cooperation between Russia, China, and North Korea reshaping the nuclear order? @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social introduce the essays and explore the effects of domestic politics and global competition. 📖 Read here: tnsr.org/roundtable/n... 154
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzJames Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 30/09/2025Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989–1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989–1991 is out today! Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo... 13514
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 29/09/2025What do geeks and dorks do late at night? Read the newest FRUS 🤣.history.state.govHistorical Documents - Office of the Historianhistory.state.gov 3.0 shell 010
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzTheresa Hitchens @thitch.bsky.social · 25/09/2025This is a big deal for Germany. I remember when no German politician would be willing to mention the words space and military in the same paragraph, much less the same sentence. breakingdefense.com/2025/09/germ...breakingdefense.comGerman military to invest $41B in space capabilities - Breaking Defense"Satellite networks today are an Achilles' heel of modern societies. Whoever attacks them paralyzes entire nations,” German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said. 0199
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 26/09/2025Nuclear-sharing, Germany & space, New START, Pakistan’s nuclear umbrella, China & US, verification, SLCM-N, nonproliferation & more in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 131
Reposted by Liviu HorovitzFelix Heiduk @felixheiduk.bsky.social · 25/09/2025Praktikumsplätze in der Forschungsgruppe Asien der SWP zu vergeben, wir freuen uns über Bewerbungen: www.swp-berlin.org/karriere/pra...swp-berlin.orgPraktika im ForschungsbereichPraktika im Forschungsbereich - Politikwissenschaftliche Forschung und unabhängige Beratung in internationalen Beziehungen, Außenpolitik und Sicherheitspolitik für Bundestag und Bundesregierung 022
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 19/09/2025One more week, one more round of news & analysis from us at #STAND. Did you pick up German in the meantime? It's no Star Wars, so I know you have. Listen to @julianasuess.bsky.social & me unpack Trump’s “Golden Dome” for @swp-berlin.org podcast: ambitions, risks & why it's likely wishful thinking.swp-berlin.orgUm jeden Preis: Wie das das Raketenabwehrsystem »Golden Dome« die USA vor Angriffen schützen sollUS-Präsident Trump will einen Schutzschild gegen Raketen- und Luftangriffe für die USA. Der »Golden Dome« soll 175 Milliarden Dollar kosten.... 051
Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 19/09/2025Germany’s forces, the Zapad exercise, UK & F-35As, French spaceplane, Iran’s nuclear programs, Ukraine’s deep strikes & NPT in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10 151