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Martha Bailey

@marthajbailey.bsky.social
2K followers 213 following 14 posts

Professor of Economics, UCLA

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Reposted by Martha Bailey
chloe gibbs @chloergibbs.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Call for papers for spring SOLE meeting (4/30-5/1 in Baltimore) now open! Last year's conference, organized by Sandy Black and Jesse Rothstein, was a huge success and I'm looking forward to serving on program committee again. Send us your great work (by 10/31): www.sole-jole.org/upcoming-mee...
sole-jole.org
Upcoming Meeting
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Great piece by @alisongemmill.bsky.social for @prbdata.bsky.social explaining what’s really going on with contemporary US birth rates.
prb.org
Are Americans 'Underbabied'? - Population Reference Bureau
Earlier this month, Dr. Mehmet Oz introduced a new demographic buzzword into the public conversation. Is there any truth to this concern?
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chloe gibbs @chloergibbs.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Head Start turned 61 this week! 🎂 The entire War on Poverty, and Head Start in particular, was a massive feat of policymaking and implementation in such a short time. When the first Head Start grant recipients were announced in May 1965 (to begin that summer!), LBJ heralded the accomplishment.
“This is a most remarkable accomplishment and it has been done in a very short time. It would not be possible except for the willing and the enthusiastic cooperation of Americans throughout the country. 
I believe this response reflects a realistic and a wholesome awakening in America. It shows that we are recognizing that poverty perpetuates itself. 
Five and six year old children are inheritors of poverty's curse and not its creators. Unless we act these children will pass it on to the next generation, like a family birthmark.” 

Lyndon B. Johnson, May 18, 1965
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
CCPR at #PAA2026 - See Affiliate Alison Gemmill
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
CCPR at #PAA2026 - See Affiliate Alison Gemmill
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
CCPR at #PAA2026 - Up Next Affiliates Martha Bailey Emilia Brio, and Giulia Olivero!
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Jenn Dowd @drjenndowd.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
28/ Thanks to @upshot.nytimes.com author @clairecm.bsky.social & demographers @karenguzzo.bsky.social @alisongemmill.bsky.social @philipncohen.com & @marthajbailey.bsky.social who contributed their expertise to that piece & continue to do Yeoman's work on this topic. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/09/u...
nytimes.com
Women in Their 20s May Not Be Having Babies, but by 45 Most Probably Will
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 25/04/2026
Pat Buchanan called the Pill "the suicide tablet of the West" (don't know if that made it into the doc)
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Population Association of America @popassocamerica.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
There are reasons to believe the record-low U.S. birthrate could be only temporary as today’s young women postpone pregnancy. Several PAA Members featured in @nytimes.com piece: buff.ly/848YtKB @karenguzzo.bsky.social @philipncohen.com @alisongemmill.bsky.social @marthajbailey.bsky.social
buff.ly
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
CCPR Director Martha Bailey discusses how the declining U.S. fertility rate could still reverse course with the New York Times. @marthajbailey.bsky.social #UCLA #CCPR
nytimes.com
U.S. Fertility Rates Drop to Another Record Low
The fertility rate has been falling since 2007, in large part because of a plunge among teenagers.
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Bitsy Perlman @bitsyperlman.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Corrected link: www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho... He tolerated me after discovering how inured I am to extrinsic motivation, to his extreme credit (speaking to how generally wonderful he was to his student)
aeaweb.org
Robert A. Margo, Distinguished Fellow 2026
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Daniele Paserman @danielepaserman.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Congratulations to my @BU_Tweets colleague Bob Margo, newly elected AEA Distinguished Fellow. A superb scholar and a fantastic mentor, very well deserved! aeaweb.org/about-aea/hono
aeaweb.org
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
I am excited to organize this conference with Yana Gallen. Please submit, repost, and also circulate to your networks.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
What often gets missed in stories about declining birth rates is that they're due to declines specifically among young women. Young women are exercising reproductive autonomy and are making considered decisions about whether and when to have children. This is a good thing.
nytimes.com
The Birthrate Is Plunging. Why Some Say That’s a Good Thing.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Glad to have been interviewed for this piece, along with @kaseybuckles.bsky.social @marthajbailey.bsky.social, and @econmsk.bsky.social. And be sure to check out the companion piece!
nytimes.com
4 Things You Didn’t Know About the Plummeting U.S. Birthrate
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
U.S. birth rates have been declining, but #CCPR Director @marthajbailey.bsky.social finds that there has been no drop in the number of children born over the last 30 years. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/27/u...
nytimes.com
The Birthrate Is Plunging. Why Some Say That’s a Good Thing.
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Find #CCPR Director @marthajbailey.bsky.social paper here: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
annualreviews.org
The Economics of Childbearing: Trends, Progress, and Challenges
The neoclassical economics of childbearing turns 65 this year, marking the anniversary of Gary Becker's foundational article on the subject in 1960. This review article begins with a study of how...
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Kasey Buckles @kaseybuckles.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Happy to have contributed to this along w/ @karenguzzo.bsky.social @marthajbailey.bsky.social & Melissa Kearney. My favorite from Karen: “We spent decades shaming women 4 having kids under the wrong circumstances, 4 not having their ducks in a row. Now they are holding up their end of the bargain.”
nytimes.com
The Birthrate Is Plunging. Why Some Say That’s a Good Thing.
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Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @beckerfriedman.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
📢 Call for Papers: 2026 Reproduction of Society Conference How do contraception, fertility preferences, and policy design shape the modern fertility decline? Submit your paper by April 3, 2026. Learn more: ow.ly/1brw50YkvFY
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Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
1/Universities need to systematically address the findings in the Epstein files. In my opinion, every university in which current or past faculty, administrators, trustees appear in the files, should establish formal bodies to review and assess. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/06/u...
nytimes.com
A $50,000 Watch and Friendly Notes: One College Leader’s Ties to Epstein
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Pontus Odmalm @podmalm.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
More job ops 👇
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
I am excited to be hiring two post-doctoral positions at UCLA--please share with your networks. www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.....
aeaweb.org
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - February 1, 2026 - July 31, 2026
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
This week CCPR's seminar series will feature @philipncohen.com discussing his book, "Research is Not Enough: Public Engagement and the Citizen Scholar." Join us on January 14 @12pm in Public Affairs 337.
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
I need to take a cue from @philipncohen.com and do more to disseminate my academic research on the determinants of fertility. I am looking forward to his book talk on Wednesday at @ccpratucla.bsky.social .
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 05/01/2026
Hey, I'm going to UCLA next week! Two events Wednesday, 14 Jan. at the California Center for Population Research: 1. A talk on my book, Citizen Scholar (ccpr.ucla.edu/event/philip...) 2. A discussion on a book talk by Michael Geruso on “After the Spike." ccpr.ucla.edu/event/michae... #demography
Research Is Not Enough:
Public Engagement and the
Citizen Scholar
Philip N. Cohen
(University of Maryland)
January 14, 2026
12:00 - 1:15 p.m. PT

CCPR Seminar
4240 Pub Aff Building
UCLA Campus

What is the role of professional scholars in civic life?
How and why should academics seek to reach
audiences beyond their disciplines and institutions?
Must there be tension between advancing along an
academic career path and taking part in public
conversations, or can these goals reinforce each other?
Drawing from personal experience and in-depth
research, this talk features straightforward advice that
acknowledges professional risks as well as rewards.
Cohen embraces the reciprocal relationship between
professional scholarship and active citizenship.
arguing that aligning personal and vocational
identities can enhance both public and academic
contributions. He explores intellectual work on social
media, science communication, political activism, and
how to build trust while developing a public
intellectual identity.

College | Social Sciences
UCLA California Center for
Population ResearchClick to RSVP


Michael Geruso

After
the
Spike
Population,
Progress,
and the
Case for
People
Dean

Fancinating, thoughtful, and timely."
Simon Jenson, NobelLaurae in Ecenemics

College | Social Sciences
UCLA California Center for
Population Research
invites you to a book talk on ...
After the Spike
Michael Geruso, University of Texas
Commentary By
Martha Bailey (UCLA) and Philip Cohen (University of Maryland)

January 14, 2026
6:00 p.m. PT
Reception to Follow

Royce Hall, Room 314
UCLA Campus

Michael Geruso is an economic demographer, public
economist, and Associate Professor of Economics at the
University of Texas at Austin. His book, "After the Spike'
with co-author Dean Spears, investigates what
depopulation would mean for the climate, living
standards, equity, progress, freedom, and humanity's
general welfare. And what it would mean if, instead,
people came together to share the work of caregiving.
making parenting better and stabilizing our numbers.

Martha Bailey is a UCLA Professor of Economics and
Director of the California Center for Population
Research. As an economic demographer, labor
economist, and economic historian, Bailey's rescarch
focuses on the short- and long-run determinants of
childbearing in the U.S.

Philip Cohen is a University of Maryland Professor of
Sociology. His research focuses on demographic trends,
family structure, the division of labor, health disparities,
as well as open science and related topics.
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
CCPR is excited to host @mikegeruso.bsky.social to discuss his book, After the Spike, Wednesday, Jan 11 @6pm, in UCLA's 314 Royce Hall. Comments by CCPR Director @marthajbailey.bsky.social & @philipncohen.com. Reception to follow. RSVP here: eventsrsvp.ucla.edu/CCPRLecture2...
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HealthBegins @healthbegins.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The Quiet Collapse of America’s Reproductive Health Safety Net kffhealthnews.org/MjEwNjQwMQ by @celinegounder.com via @kffhealthnews.org CC: @marthajbailey.bsky.social @whitneysrice.bsky.social @rachelfey.bsky.social @bthomas520.bsky.social @megankavanaugh.bsky.social
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NBER @nber.org · 29/10/2025
Subsidizing contraception has large and persistent effects on the choice of contraceptive method, resulting in significantly fewer pregnancies and abortions in the US, from @marthajbailey.bsky.social, Rebolledo, Gorgulu, Figone, Lang, Prettyman, and Dalton www.nber.org/papers/w34400
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Corinne Low @corinnelow.com · 16/09/2025
People magazine has an exclusive excerpt of my book today, one week and one day until pub!! people.com/why-women-ca...
people.com
Can Women Really 'Have It All?' A Working Mom and Economist Reveals Why Not (Exclusive)
In an exclusive excerpt from her new book 'Having It All,' (out Sept. 23), Wharton professor and economist Corinne Low, Ph.D., explains why so many working moms feel like they're failing on all fronts...
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
I signed an open letter from economists supporting Fed independence & Governor Lisa Cook Letter: docs.google.com/document/d/1... Add your name by Monday: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com
Open letter
Click here to add your signature. An Open Letter from Economists in Support of Governor Lisa Cook and Federal Reserve Independence To the President, Members of Congress, and the American public: We wr...
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Trevon Logan @trevondlogan.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
I signed an open letter from economists supporting Fed independence & Gov. Lisa Cook. Add your name by Monday: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... | Letter: docs.google.com/document/d/1...
docs.google.com
Signature page for Open Letter of Support of Governor Lisa Cook and Federal Reserve Independence
By filling out the form below, you are asking your signature to be added to this open letter.
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Tim Bresnahan @timobres.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
This letter is not particularly controversial in its assertions and the topic of central bank independence is extremely important. Takes about 4.5 minutes to read and sign (if you agree.) Looks like the number of signatories is up since Tatyana's post, but Economics needs YOU!
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Massimo Anelli @massimo-anelli.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
📢Call for paper for #AlpPop 2026 is out with awesome #skinotes confirmed @marthajbailey.bsky.social and Arnout Van De Rijt. Please send your paper bocconi.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_6t… by September 21.
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NBER @nber.org · 05/07/2025
A growing body of research suggests reproductive health care has intergenerational effects on the well-being of children, from @marthajbailey.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w33970
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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 30/06/2025
Interesting review paper by @marthajbailey.bsky.social on fertility drive.google.com/file/d/1smVT...
drive.google.com
NBER_Bailey_AR_combined.pdf
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Please join CCPR for our 2025 Reception at PAA at 6:00 PM EST at the Marriott Marquis, BeerLab (901 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC). This event is hosted by Michigan, UCLA, Washington, Wisconsin-Madison and Brown. #PAA2025 @popassocamerica.bsky.social @um-psc.bsky.social
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California Center For Population Research @ccpratucla.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Congratulations @marthajbailey.bsky.social on winning the 2024 IPUMS CPS Research Award for her paper on how 1963 Equal Pay Act decreased the #GenderGap: tinyurl.com/4uadhx78 @bryanstuart.bsky.social @um-psc.bsky.social @ccpratucla.bsky.social @ipums.bsky.social @qjeharvard.bsky.social #PayEquity
tinyurl.com
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Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Delighted that this double podcast where I speak with @marthajbailey.bsky.social and @gtwodtke.bsky.social speaks with Natasha Quadlin is now live, where we cover both the progress made in gender inequality in the last 60 years as well as reasons for persisting differences.
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UChicago | Stone Center on Wealth Inequality & Mobility @ucstonecenter.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Sixty years after equal pay laws and the women’s movement transformed opportunities for women, gender inequality persists in new forms. Today’s episode features @UCLA Professors @marthajbailey.bsky.social and Natasha Quadlin. Listen every other Monday: Website: bit.ly/3YdiCkj
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Great piece by @kclausing.bsky.social on how tariffs help shift tax burden to the poor. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/21/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Trump’s Tariff War Is Being Fought to Lower Taxes for the Wealthy
President Trump is remaking the tax code to favor the well-off even more, and cloaking these changes in a veneer of nationalism.
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Matthias Doepke @mdoepke.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
I am opening a postdoc position connected to the FamilyMacro research project at the LSE. This is a one-year position that could be extended for two more years. If interested, please contact me! #EconSky @cfmuk.bsky.social jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
Research Officer (Centre for Macroeconomics)
Research Officer (Centre for Macroeconomics), , <p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></em></p> <p style="text...
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jlondonovelez.bsky.social @jlondonovelez.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
#PacDev2025 will be jointly hosted by UCLA and USC in Los Angeles ☀️😎 Please register to attend ASAP using this link (the deadline to pay the *reduced* rate is coming up soon ⏰): dtspayment.usc.edu/OnlinePaymen...
media.tenor.com
a black cat is using an apple laptop with the words deadline is coming written below it
ALT: a black cat is using an apple laptop with the words deadline is coming written below it
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Fantastic conference organized by my colleagues. 👇Deadline coming up soon!
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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 30/01/2025
Holy forking shirt balls "Denial of a wanted abortion has both immediate and lasting effects. It increases a woman’s risk of death by 2.5 p.p within nine months, mainly due to unsafe abortion procedures, and raises the likelihood of carrying the pregnancy to term by 31 p.p. "
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Kasey Buckles @kaseybuckles.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Submit now for CSWEP's sessions at the 2026 AEA meetings. Sessions will be on: • Economics of Gender in the Economics Profession • Gender and Climate Justice • Gender, Working from Home and Female Labor Supply • Economic Theory • Global Economy @aeacswep.bsky.social
aeaweb.org
CSWEP Call for Abstracts
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
#Econsky I am excited to announce two new post-doctoral positions at UCLA. One on the m-carestudy.org and the other on the life-m.org project. Please apply! www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....
aeaweb.org
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - August 1, 2024 - January 31, 2025
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Ioana Marinescu @imarinescu.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Tracking in US high schools benefits all students: on average, students gain $1000 in earnings. The introduction of AP courses also benefits lower achievement students who do not take AP, presumably through more targeted attention from teachers. #EconSky
buff.ly
Huihuang Zhu (@huihuangzhu.bsky.social)
Remarkably, all subgroups benefit from the program, including the low-performing students who do not take AP classes. Sorting by achievement seems to allow teachers to better target students'…
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Martha Bailey @marthajbailey.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Huihuang is a fantastic PhD student and job market candidate from UCLA. And this paper is 🔥
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Pedro Sant’Anna @pedrosantanna.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
❗6th Summer School in Advanced Economics. ------------------------------------------------- ➡️Where: Spetses Island, Greece. ➡️When: 22-27 June 2025. ▶️ Instructors: Jeff Wooldridge @jmwooldridge.bsky.social and myself, @pedrosantanna.bsky.social We will cover a lot! For more info⤵️
summer-school.edu.gr
Home - Summer School in Advanced Economics
The Summer School in Advanced Economics aims to bring together postgraduates, Ph.D. students, and young researchers interested in acquiring modern specialized knowledge in theoretical and empirical ec...
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Stefanie Stantcheva @s-stantcheva.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
It’s hard to overstate how much people hate inflation—and the lasting scars this recent surge caused. People across the board, even Democrats, mainly blamed the government (see the figure👇). Check the summary 🧵for "Why do we dislike inflation?" here: x.com/S_Stantcheva...
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