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Manuela Zucknick

@manuelazucknick.bsky.social
786 followers 569 following 143 posts

Professor, Statistical learning in molecular medicine. Director Oslo Centre for Biostatistics and Epidemiology @ocbe.bsky.social, @uio.no & Oslo University Hospital. Posting in my own capacity. (Bio)statistics, climate breakdown, train journeys.

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Reposted by Manuela Zucknick
Mathias Kilsti Hals @kilstihals.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
«klima og miljø skal være rammen for all politikk» «jeg har sett mine barnebarn i øynene og sagt at jeg skal gjøre alt i min makt»
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Faine Greenwood @faineg.com · 17/09/2026
Great piece by @xriskology.bsky.social on how the effective altruism cult has helped destroy actual philanthropy - with dangerous and deadly results for many people in need:
realtimetechpocalypse.com
Effective Altruism Is a Dangerous Cult — Here's Why
Understanding the "Scientology of Silicon Valley." (7,700 words)
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Martin Modrák @modrakm.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I will be looking for a PhD student in Bayesian statistics (in collaboration with Paul Bürkner), located in Prague. Forward to students if you have somebody who could be interested. www.martinmodrak.cz/grammo-call/
martinmodrak.cz
Grammo - Let's Research Bayes!
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
This resonates deeply: "We are witnessing a general threat to intellectual work with misalignment between the outcome of the use of AI and its initial purpose... how to make sure that, as AI changes the way work is done, we do not lose sight of what that work was meant to achieve in the first place"
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Terence Tao @teorth.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
A group of 25 Fields Medalists, including myself, have made a joint declaration on Math and AI: mathandai.org . We welcome additional signatories. See also this article in the Economist announcing the declaration: www.economist.com/science-and-...
mathandai.org
Declaration — Math and AI
Read the declaration and add your name.
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Dave Hemprich-Bennett @davehb.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
It's pretty wild to see how much the air quality has improved in the areas of London I frequented before I left. Looks like NO2 is now ~1/4 of what it used to be at my old uni when I started there. Fantastic stuff
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Ina Roll Spinnangr @spinnangr.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
www.nrk.no/norge/xl/pri... "Etter innføringen av #norgespris økte strømforbruket betydelig, også når det tas høyde for temperatur."
nrk.no
Prisen for billig strøm
Nordmenns apetitt for billigere strøm er utømmelig. Det er ikke vannmagasinene.
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Laura Grace Weldon @lauragraceweldon.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
This
Cartoon by  Gautami Reddy 

12 cartoon images under the caption How To Live In The Age of AI 
read slowly
make ugly thing
don't believe everything
eat together
get bored
avoid instant replies
call your grandma/grandpa
fall in love
cry every now and then
memorize a poem
trust your gut
take your time
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Nobel Prize @nobelprize.org · 24/08/2026
We've arrived on Bluesky! We hope you will follow along as we share inspiring, motivational and exciting content about the achievements and individuals that have been awarded a Nobel Prize. Stay tuned.
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)
avehtari.github.io
Bayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow book
Website for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan.
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Very happy to announce this upcoming course in Applied Meta-Analysis in R, to be held at OCBE by visiting lecturer Dr Maria Giovanna Scarale (Vita-Salute San Raffaele University)! @achaimani.bsky.social @ocbe.bsky.social www.med.uio.no/imb/english/...
med.uio.no
Applied Meta-Analysis in R - Institute of Basic Medical Sciences
We are happy to announce this 5-day intensive course in Applied Meta-Analysis in R, held by visiting researcher Dr Maria Giovanna Scarale. The course is aimed at biomedical researchers and PhD candida...
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Eivind Trædal @eivindtraedal.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Tørke, skogbrann, tørre elver, atomkraftverk som mangler kjølevann, hundretusenvis av mennesker evakueres. Klimaendringene rammer nå, og de er mer dramatiske enn mange av oss har fryktet. www.aftenposten.no/verden/i/Okl...
aftenposten.no
Slik endrer heten Europa
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
MAGA and Project 2025 are not succeeding with many of their goals, but they sure are making progress on the women-hating front 😠
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Ine Harsten 📎 @iharsten.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Selvsagt en annen Ine. Men MDG på 3,8% og Frp på 28,9% bedrer ikke akkurat nattesøvnen. I og for seg greit for meg, jeg dør fra denne klimakatastrofen før den skikkelig er der. Men det undrer meg hvordan et parti, med slik fokus på innvandring, vil bortforklare klimaflyktningene når de kommer.
Klassekampens forside

Sylvi slår Ine
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Anders @andersskyrud.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Når Listhaug sier på TV at folka som storma over grensa til Ceuta kan bevege seg fritt i Schengen-området, skulle jeg så veldig gjerne ønske at vi hadde gode nok journalister i Norge til at de bare skyter inn «men det stemmer jo ikke» uten å engang tenke seg om. Istedenfor blir løgnen bare stående.
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Ruprecht Polenz @polenz.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
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Jonas Ali Ghanizadeh @jonasali.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Tror FrP at det å ikke adressere klimaendringene er et alternativ som er priset til 0 kroner? En tråd.
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
"What It Means to Be a Mathematician When AI Does the Math" spectrum.ieee.org/ai-in-mathem...
spectrum.ieee.org
What it Means to Be a Mathematician When AI Does the Math
Researchers debate motivation, purpose, and the field’s future
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The Wolfpack @wolfpack11720.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Megan Herbert
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Christopher Pahle @tophepahle.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
15 years after the Norwegian mass murderer killed 77 people, mostly children, motivated by conspiracy theories about cultural marxists and white genocide, his race war manifesto is more or less repeated verbatim to millions of people by the world's richest man, Elon Musk. Let that fucking sink in.
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Walker Bragman @walkerbragman.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
What stage of capitalism is this?
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
De er visst spesielt interessert i å rekruttere flere norske fotball-entusiaster som studie-deltakere! www.worldcupfever.study Heia Norge! 😀⚽🇳🇴-🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
worldcupfever.study
World Cup Fever - Universität Bielefeld
Wir analysieren die
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Here is a fun study by colleagues from Bielefeld University on football "World Cup fever" using pulse rate data from smart watches: www.worldcupfever.study You can still participate (if you own a smart watch and are into the World Cup...) - sign up using the link below.
worldcupfever.study
World Cup Fever - Universität Bielefeld
Wir analysieren die
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Jeremy Glover @jgrantglover.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
There’s a scene in the dystopian sci-fi movie Minority Report where Tom Cruise’s character is riding in an autonomous vehicle that gets remotely commandeered by the police to bring him into custody. The audience is supposed to see this as flagrant disregard for privacy and due process.
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wenchangyue.bsky.social @wenchangyue.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Anthropic shipped Claude Science this week. The useful thing to know first: it's not a smarter model. It runs the same Claude models everyone already has (Opus 4.8), no special access, no gating. What you get is the wiring, not more intelligence.
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
@ocbe.bsky.social
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LCV – League of Conservation Voters 🌎 @lcv.org · 06/07/2026
The Trump administration is paying Duke Energy $129 million in taxpayer dollars to stop its North Carolina offshore wind farm. Trump has now paid over $2.5 billion to terminate offshore wind projects that would have provided affordable energy to millions. He's enriching Big Oil at our expense.
Photo of TrumpImage of oil refinery/plant
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
To celebrate a rebellion is to know that, from a flawed world, we can make new things. We can hold on, we can find each other, and not just imagine but create a much better America. It is a special 250th – it is ours. Video in link: snyder.substack.com/p/on-tyranny...
snyder.substack.com
On Tyranny — Special 250th Edition
With friends, on video, to recall and to rebel
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Dragon "Gay'ed Too Close to the Sun" Fish @dragonfish.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
"Despite looking like gambling, Polymarket is actually a scam."
Calvin's dad from Calvin and Hobbs, specifically a crop in of the third panel from the strip where he explains how a record works.
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Pierre Alquier @pierrealquier.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Following the decision of Statistics and Computing to charge (high!) APCs to *all* accepted papers, I decided to resign from the Editorial Board. (Sorry to the let EiC down, he's doing a super job).
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F. Javier Rubio @fjrubio.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
“Springer about to hijack Statistics & Computing” xianblog.wordpress.com/2026/06/28/s...
xianblog.wordpress.com
Springer about to hijack Statistics & Computing
I recently learned that Springer Nature is about to make the reference journal Statistics and Computing, where I published close to twenty papers over the years, fully “open access”, wh…
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Hannah Frick @frick.ws · 03/07/2026
A really nice data visualization and story-telling in the scrolling of this Pudding article on women's clothing sizes. They are a mess but this shows you in which ways they are messed up: pudding.cool/2026/02/wome...
pudding.cool
Sizing chaos
The inter-generational struggle to find clothes that fit more than a tiny portion of women
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Johan P @johanp.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Jeg skjønner ikke: Hvordan kan regjeringen i det hele tatt si dette? Ut fra min forståelse innebærer dette i praksis å instruere Økokrim om å ignorere brudd på forurensingsloven - hvilket formelt grunnlag mener ministeren at han har for det? www.nrk.no/vestland/nor...
nrk.no
Nordic Mining får halde fram å tømme avfall i Førdefjorden
Tillatinga til å tømme gruveavfall i Førdefjorden var ugyldig, slo Høgsterett fast. Likevel får selskapet halde fram.
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Chad Loder @chadloder.dev · 24/06/2026
"We declared a War On Cancer in the 1970s and we have not made significant progress on treating cancer despite ever-increasing funding. It's a welfare program for academic labs" Bro what the FUCK are you talking about. The survival statistics do not bear this out even at first glance
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
New paper "To select or not to select: predictively consistent priors instead of model selection" with Anna Elisabeth Riha, Leevi Lindgren, @davidkohns.bsky.social, @paulbuerkner.com arxiv.org/abs/2606.22850 Model selection is not a substitute for building good models in the first place 1/
To select or not to select: predictively
consistent priors instead of model selection

Anna Elisabeth Riha, Leevi Lindgren, David Kohns, Paul-Christian Bürkner, Aki Vehtari

Bayesian modelling workflows often consider multiple candidate models of varying complexity. Model selection is commonly used to navigate potential trade-offs between model complexity and generalisability to new data. We study when model selection is unnecessary or can even be harmful for predictive performance in finite data regimes and find that the need for selecting simpler models can depend on prior choice. We formalise predictively consistent priors, which keep prior predictive implications stable as model complexity increases. Across examples and numerical experiments, including adding covariates in linear and logistic regression, forward variable selection, and nonlinear modelling, flexible models with predictively consistent priors typically match or outperform selected simpler models in out-of-sample predictive performance. When selection helps, it can indicate poor joint prior implications, such as excessive prior mass on implausible predictive values. Based on our findings, we propose replacing the notion of sparsity or parsimony at the level of model components with specifying priors that remain sensible in predictive space as models become more complex.
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
For years I've tracked billionaire excess. Each year I show students a chart that blows their minds. This year I had to redraw it for a trillionaire: Elon Musk, $1.32T. Depressing that we're here. Silver lining: couldn't have happened to a less deserving person, proof that wealth ≠ merit.
stanford.edu
Elon Musk's $1.32 Trillion, to Scale
The first trillionaire's fortune, one pixel per $1,000 — scroll past every dollar, and see what a fraction of it could do instead.
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Elaine Burke @elaineburke.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
The EU is all too happy of late to frame itself as being "behind". It may be behind on billionaires and unicorns and wealth inequality, but it's streaks ahead on regulation and digital rights. When did that become something not worth shouting about? I had some thoughts on this on Inside Story.
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Mel Andrews @bayesianboy.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
When utilized in literature review, LLMs consistently 1. fail to mention female authors in female-led literatures, 2. insist that men are more influential or more heavily cited when this is contradicted by objective citation counts, and 3. attribute women’s work to hallucinated male scholars.
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Sebastian Watzl @sebastianwatzl.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
yes, and we should forcefully defend the importance of the university as, in Chris Mole's terms, a place of collective attention. The value of education is not (just) about the acquisition of personal skill, it is about learning how to lead our collectives *together.*
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
🎉👏👏👏
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Kees van der Leun @sustainable2050.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Confirmed: atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa averaged 432.3 ppm in May, probably the highest in 15 million years, and 1.8 ppm higher than last year.
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Booking a cross-border train shouldn't require five websites, a degree in logistics and a prayer. We are fighting for a Single European Train Ticket to make travel simple, reliable, and accessible for everyone. Join us and let's get European rail back on track. share.greens-efa.eu/s/F2cWS33h
share.greens-efa.eu
Get on board our campaign and demand a Single European Train Ticket. 🎫
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Please support your friends and colleagues in the US. www.standupforscience.net
standupforscience.net
STAND UP FOR SCIENCE
Science activists and allies mobilizing to save science, health and democracy itself from the Trump administration's dismantlement and privatization.
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Mark A. Hanson @hansonmark.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Europe is ditching US tech — what does this mean for researchers?
European governments are choosing European digital tools — and some universities and researchers are doing the same.
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Shame on the American Diabetes Association for caving to political pressure. Timothy Snyder’s “On Tyranny “, rule no 5: “Remember professional ethics.” When politicians demand obedience, professionals must insist on acting ethically.
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Brooke Wolford, PhD @bnwolford.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
“We call on all concerned citizens of our beloved country to contact their congressional representatives to declare their alarm about what is happening at HHS.” diabetesjournals.org/care/article...
diabetesjournals.org
Misguided Brushes of a Pen Continue to Dismantle and Destroy Biomedical Research in the United States: We Can No Longer Afford Complacency and Fear. We Must All Act Now!
The opinions expressed in this editorial are the personal views of the authors (S.E. Kahn, C.A.M. Anderson, J.B. Buse, and E. Selvin) and do not represent
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The Devil @iamdevil.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Knowing nothing else.
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Manuela Zucknick @manuelazucknick.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
We are “dancing animals”! ❤️
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