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Arthur Charpentier

@freakonometrics.bsky.social
1.8K followers 1.5K following 822 posts

Dad of 3 & born-again mathematician. Statistician, economist, fellow actuary & data addict. Professor & researcher in Montréal 🇨🇦. Previously in Kyoto 京都 🇯🇵, Paris 🇫🇷, Hong Kong 🇭🇰, Leuven 🇧🇪 & Rennes 🇫🇷. Full of 'satiable curtiosity.

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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
SANAGA @sanaga.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Le dessin du jour pour @vert.eco
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
"ArXiv submission rates have steadily increased since our founding in 1991. In September, arXiv received 40,363 submissions in a single month – a new record." blog.arxiv.org/2026/10/01/u...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Reading about concerns over academics being used to spy on AI research www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-... Which would be slightly ironic in our case... Our papers are on arXiv. Our code is on GitHub. Our slides are online. Espionage seems like an unnecessarily complicated way to access our research.
reuters.com
UK accuses China of using academics to spy on AI and other tech research
Britain's MI5 spy agency issued an unprecedented alert on Wednesday to ​warn that a Chinese organisation was involved in funding academic research into topics such as AI on behalf ‌of Beijing's state ...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
"How mass education and elite education synergistically reproduce and enhance inequalities; why education is not an effective vehicle for “social justice.”" musaalgharbi.substack.com/p/on-education
musaalgharbi.substack.com
On Education
How mass education and elite education synergistically reproduce and enhance inequalities; why education is not an effective vehicle for “social justice.”
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
(existe aussi en français : sondage.uqam.ca/874229?lang=fr)
sondage.uqam.ca
Opinions professionnelles et environnement organisationnel
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
«La Belgique n’a pas de problème budgétaire, elle a un problème fiscal» www.levif.be/opinions/chr... "les gouvernements ont été particulièrement inventifs pour creuser le déficit budgétaire et transformer la Belgique en enfer fiscal pour les faibles revenus, mais en paradis pour les plus hauts"
levif.be
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
"What Americans Get Wrong about Canada" thewalrus.ca/what-americans-get-wrong-about-canada/
thewalrus.ca
What Americans Get Wrong about Canada | The Walrus
Our closest neighbour has never really understood us
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Québec, Fall 2026
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
La Vie des idées @laviedesidees.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Avant de déterminer le « juste prix » d’un risque, une assurance doit déterminer le collectif au sein duquel les pertes seront partagées. Retour sur l’histoire de cette construction... par Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social laviedesidees.fr/Qui-doit-par...
laviedesidees.fr
Qui doit partager le risque avec qui ?
Avant de déterminer le « juste prix » d'un risque, une assurance doit déterminer le collectif au sein duquel les pertes seront partagées. Ce texte revient sur l'histoire de cette construction, des…
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
"Europe faces incredibly harsh winters and unrelenting droughts if the vital AMOC ocean current fails – but when disaster will strike and how bad it will be remains uncertain. Now there is an ambitious plan to give us a warning" www.newscientist.com/article/2588...
newscientist.com
The collapse of the AMOC would be catastrophic. How will we know when it's coming? | New Scientist
Europe faces incredibly harsh winters and unrelenting droughts if the vital AMOC ocean current fails – but when disaster will strike and how bad it will be remains uncertain. Now there is an ambitious...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Insurance and actuarial professionals: I would be very grateful for your input. You will be presented with around a dozen statements related to actuarial practice and insurance, and simply asked for your views. The survey takes about 20 minutes. sondage.uqam.ca/798345?lang=en
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
Tom Gauld @tomgauld.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
My latest @newscientist.com cartoon. many more here: www.newscientist.com/author/tom-gauld/
Image: A graph with lots of red dots clustered together in a curve. The are all looking upwards at a single red dot wearing sunglasses. 

Caption: Mike was an outlier and would probably be excluded from the study, but all the other data points secretly thought he was really cool.
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
"Not only assholes drive Mercedes. Besides disagreeable men, also conscientious people drive high-status cars" onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ijop.12642
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Not only assholes drive Mercedes. Besides disagreeable men, also conscientious people drive high‐status cars
In a representative sample of Finnish car owners (N = 1892) we connected the Five-Factor Model personality dimensions to driving a high-status car. Regardless of whether income was included in the lo...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Seminars are back !
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Edward Steed, www.newyorker.com/gallery/cart... #reality
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
"Political segregation in the US workplace" www.nature.com/articles/s41562-026-02501-9.pdf (or papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....) "Republican Share of Coworkers (Two−Party)"
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
"La société au prix du risque: Assurance, algorithmes et climat à l’âge de la prédiction" freakonometrics.github.io/risk-priced-... en open review et entièrement disponible jusqu'à la fin de l'année (aussi disponsible en pdf)
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
"Replaceable but Employed: Automation and the Meaning of Work" nber.org/papers/w35559 "This "meaning externality" can create demand for the machine and make profitable development socially harmful"
nber.org
Replaceable but Employed: Automation and the Meaning of Work
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
"Why Is Everyone In Tech So Sad?" noemamag.com/why-is-everyone-in-tech-so-sad/ "A lot of people seem to be realizing that knowledge work is mostly pointless. AI might give us the pleasure of finding out what happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers"
noemamag.com
Why Is Everyone In Tech So Sad? | NOEMA
A lot of people seem to be realizing that knowledge work is mostly pointless. AI might give us the pleasure of finding out what happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers.
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
"Health Effects of Wildfire Smoke Exposure" www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
annualreviews.org
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
Martin Anota @manota.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
By @freakonometrics.bsky.social !
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Istanbul, Summer 2026
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
www.kplx.art
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Madrid, España, Summer 2026
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Segovia, España, Summer 2026
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Rennes, Roazhon, #bzh Summer 2026
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Paris, Summer 2026
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
Renaud Epstein @renaudepstein.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
#RomanPhoto
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
"Comment, du XIXe siècle à nos jours, les alertes scientifiques sur le dérèglement climatique ont été ignorées, sous la pression des milieux politiques et économiques. Éclairant notre présent en péril, un exposé historique implacable, nourri de témoignages d'experts" www.arte.tv/fr/videos/11...
arte.tv
Les questions qui fâchent - Le stockage du CO2 : solution miracle ou greenwashing ? - Regarder le documentaire complet | ARTE
Le stockage du carbone est-il une technologie nécessaire si nous voulons parvenir un jour à la neutralité carbone ou une tactique de l'industrie pétrolière et gazière pour continuer à vendre des combu...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
"If you see two ants in your kitchen, you don't have a two ants problem..." www.youtube.com/watch?v=locK... and www.nytimes.com/2026/08/18/o... for the transcript
youtube.com
The A.I.s Are Already Out of Control | The Ezra Klein Show
YouTube video by The Ezra Klein Show
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
"Gender-Dependent Diagnostic Substitution in LLM Medical Triage: Same Symptoms, Unequal Urgency" arxiv.org/abs/2606.03641
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
"The Return of a Discredited Pseudoscience" nautil.us/the-return-o...
nautil.us
The Return of a Discredited Pseudoscience
The Return of a Discredited Pseudoscience: Eugenics is rearing its ugly head again in today’s crucible of politics and culture
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
"As extreme heat overwhelms the Continent’s great cities, they are racing to transform themselves for a climate that they were never built to withstand." www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
newyorker.com
The End of the European Summer
As extreme heat overwhelms the Continent’s great cities, they are racing to adapt to a climate that they were never built to withstand.
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
"Beyond Zipf’s Law: Equifinality and Mechanistic Inference from Scaling Laws" freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/91196 (see arxiv.org/abs/2608.09459, inspired by “Whale song shows language-like statistical structure” spj.science.org/doi/10.1016/...)
freakonometrics.hypotheses.org
Beyond Zipf’s Law: Equifinality and Mechanistic Inference from Scaling Laws
Earlier this year, I was reading Arnon et al.’s Science paper, “Whale song shows language-like statistical structure,” which reports statistical regularities in humpback whale song that resemble those...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
"Some study rivers that deviate from Hack’s law. Others organize transport networks that follow Hack’s law into one class of optimal transport networks, among a whole family of them" quantamagazine.org/why-are-rivers-so-mathematical-20260810/ (see science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ady6805)
quantamagazine.org
Why Are Rivers So Mathematical? | Quanta Magazine
A simple scaling law brings order to the chaos of flowing water, rock, and sediment. New findings have extended the law even further.
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
« Nous sommes entrés dans un monde fini et incertain, dans lequel les données du passé ne suffisent plus à penser le futur » (voir aussi "Prévoir sans précédent" freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/91153) www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...
freakonometrics.hypotheses.org
Prévoir sans précédent
(avec le sous-titre "De l’actuariat contemplatif à l’actuariat prédictif") En mars 2024, Gavin Schmidt, directeur du Goddard Institute for Space Studies de la NASA, publiait dans Nature un texte au ti...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
In one week, I will be on my way to Europe, with Paris, Rennes (intelligence-artificielle.univ-rennes.fr/semaine-ia-2...), Segovia - Madrid (cci26.climateinsure.tech) and Istanbul (eaj2026istanbul.org) on the agenda
intelligence-artificielle.univ-rennes.fr
Semaine IA et société 2026 : vers des usages responsables ? | L'intelligence artificielle à Rennes
Le projet TIARe organise du 1 au 7 septembre 2026, une semaine de conférences pour les étudiantes et étudiants, centrée sur les enjeux sociétaux liés à l'intelligence artificielle. Cet événement rasse...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
"When urban flood models disagree: hydrological equifinality as actuarial model risk" link.springer.com/article/10.1...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
"Criminal records, the right to be forgotten, and inclusive insurance: risk, rehabilitation, and data governance in underwriting" link.springer.com/epdf/10.1057...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
(back in) Canada, Summer 2026
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Reposted by Arthur Charpentier
The Economist @economist.com · 18/08/2026
In a recent study, pupils using AI saw their average homework score rise by 18% across all subjects after six months. But come exam time, the same students scored 20% below their classmates who had not called on AI’s help. We analyse the data
bit.ly
Does AI stop children from learning?
New data show the peril and promise of the technology
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
"AI finds a way" www.economist.com/the-world-th...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Chloé ledevoir.com/photos/galeries-photos/les-caricatures-de-godin-et-de-chloe/2494511 😍
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
"Tempêtes qui se répètent, primes qui s’envolent, retraits d’assureurs : à l’heure du dérèglement climatique, une question se pose : qui règlera, in fine, la note ?" theconversation.com/a-la-fin-qui...
theconversation.com
À la fin, qui prendra en charge le coût des assurances ?
Tempêtes qui se répètent, primes qui s’envolent, retraits d’assureurs : à l’heure du dérèglement climatique, la promesse de protection vacille. Qui, finalement, règlera la note ?
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
"Beyond Zipf’s Law: Equifinality and Mechanistic Inference from Scaling Laws" freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/91196 and arxiv.org/abs/2608.09459
freakonometrics.hypotheses.org
Beyond Zipf’s Law: Equifinality and Mechanistic Inference from Scaling Laws
Earlier this year, I was reading Arnon et al.’s Science paper, “Whale song shows language-like statistical structure,” which reports statistical regularities in humpback whale song that resemble those...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
éclipse très partielle sur Montréal
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
"Prévoir sans précédent: De l’actuariat contemplatif à l’actuariat prédictif" freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/91153
freakonometrics.hypotheses.org
Prévoir sans précédent
(avec le sous-titre "De l’actuariat contemplatif à l’actuariat prédictif") En mars 2024, Gavin Schmidt, directeur du Goddard Institute for Space Studies de la NASA, publiait dans Nature un texte au ti...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Opportunités de stages de recherche www.mitacs.ca/our-programs... On propose d'accueillir 3 stagiaires à Montréal, le printemps-été prochain. Date limite pour appliquer, le 16 septembre 2026 (après, ça sera trop tard) globalink.mitacs.ca#/student/app...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
"Le sociologue Benoit Giry estime, dans une tribune au « Monde », que la multiplication des incendies et des canicules ne suffira pas à réorienter les politiques publiques. Seul un travail politique de longue haleine le pourrait." www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...
lemonde.fr
« Les catastrophes climatiques ne produisent pas mécaniquement plus de prévenance à l’égard du monde »
TRIBUNE. Le sociologue Benoit Giry estime, dans une tribune au « Monde », que la multiplication des incendies et des canicules ne suffira pas à réorienter les politiques publiques. Seul un travail pol...
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Arthur Charpentier @freakonometrics.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
"Prediction Markets Let You Bet on Whether a Wildfire Will Burn Down Your Town" www.wired.com/story/predic...
wired.com
Prediction Markets Let You Bet on Whether a Wildfire Will Burn Down Your Town
Wildfire survivors call fire-prediction markets “morally reprehensible” and worry they could increase the risk of arson.
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