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Lucas Couto

@lucascoutoz.bsky.social
301 followers 506 following 47 posts

PhD Student in Political Science at Aarhus University. Fond of Data Viz and Sports. lucascoutoz.netlify.app

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Reposted by Lucas Couto
Sofia Marini @sofiamarini.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
💬 Do intra-party procedures affect how voters evaluate policy repositioning? With Leen Lingier, @jasmienluypaert.bsky.social & @markuswagner.bsky.social, we show experimental evidence that more inclusive decision-making processes can increase approval of the repositioning and ptv for the party 👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼
sciencedirect.com
Voter reactions to party policy repositioning: The role of inclusive intra-party decision-making
Changes in position present opportunities and risks for political parties. Parties reposition themselves hoping that the new stance will prove more po…
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Yusaku Horiuchi @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
📢 Now online in AJPS (@ajpseditor.bsky.social)! With Katie Clayton, Aaron Kaufman, @kinggary.bsky.social , and @mayyakomis.bsky.social, we offer a unified framework for conjoint analysis—and argue for analyzing data at the CHOICE level. 📊 📄 doi.org/10.1111/ajps... 🛠️ yhoriuchi.github.io/projoint/
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social: ❓What information do voters seek when accurately informed about the European Parliament's powers? 📊 real-world VAA + survey experiment ✔️ Voters prioritize policy over polity information and use it to update their vote choice. 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
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Koichi Osamura @koichiosamura.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
I'm very happy to share that my first dissertation paper is now online in Party Politics (🔓)! I examine how political appointments (patronage) relate to coalition support in multiparty presidential systems, using roll-call data from Brazil's Chamber of Deputies (2003-2018). doi.org/10.1177/1354...
journals.sagepub.com
Bureaucratic appointments and coalition support in presidential systems – An analysis of Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies - Koichi Osamura, 2026
How does the provision of political appointments influence coalition support in multiparty presidential systems? While the importance of cabinet portfolios for ...
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
⚽📚 The Ultimate World Cup Research Thread I've set up a little automated thread: every day of the 2026 World Cup (11 Jun–19 Jul) it shares one study on what football does to society: politics, economics, migration, health, crime & more. One paper a day. Kickoff below 👇
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Kendall Lynn Curtis @kendallcurtis.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
My job market paper is finally in print and open access! Check it out if you get the chance.
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harmodio @harmodio.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Buen camino, profe Raúl Pacheco Vega. Fuiste y serás siempre el investigador más chido.
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European Political Science Review @epsrjournal.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
18.2 🪻 But what happens next? 🫱 🫲 @lucascoutoz.bsky.social uses a cross-case analysis of Latin American 🌎 cases to question why some governments closely follow their pre-electoral #Coalition agreements while others do not... buff.ly/A8Z1B2c
buff.ly
The drivers of resemblance in presidential regimes: explaining the conversion of pre-electoral coalitions into coalition cabinets | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The drivers of resemblance in presidential regimes: explaining the conversion of pre-electoral coalitions into coalition cabinets - Volume 18 Issue 2
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Reposted by Lucas Couto
Fernando Meireles @meirelesff.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Our paper on measuring portfolio salience is out at the @lsqjournal.bsky.social! t.co/1QZOkoXwoV
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Allan Sikk @allansikk.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Does party switching pay off for MPs? Not really, but... For details see our #instaparty paper w @sonagolder.bsky.social, @ibenskasr.bsky.social & @paulinasl.bsky.social just out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
Impact of switching on preference vote change
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Lucas Couto @lucascoutoz.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
As the initial excitement of winning elections cools down, the president-elect must begin thinking about how to govern. But what makes governing coalitions resemble pre-electoral coalitions in multiparty presidential democracies? I tackle this question here in @EPSRjournal. (1/7)
Screenshot of the first page, containing the abstract and keywords, of a newly published paper on the transition from pre-election coalitions to governing coalitions in multiparty presidential democracies!
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Theres Matthieß @theresmatthiess.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
💫💫💫 Great News: We are over the moon that our paper "Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?" is now published in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🍾 🤗 👉🏻 doi.org/10.1017/S000... w/ Juha Ylisalo, Katrin Praprotnik & @laurenzennser.bsky.social 🧵1/5
doi.org
Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment? | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment? - Volume 55
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Jens Wäckerle @jwaeckerle.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner: Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries Harmonized roles/policy areas Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940 Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p ⬇️
doi.org
GESIS-Suche
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Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
Yesterday, I did my second DHL relay race with an amazing team: @henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @lindekilde.bsky.social, C. Green-Pedersen, & @lucascoutoz.bsky.social. I had the goal of running the 5k below 21 minutes & came in at 20:34, my new personal record. Now looking forward to the 2026 race! 😊
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
Today is my first teaching day of Fall 2025. I'm teaching a grad course on Qualitative Methods, for the first time in almost 10 years. As several people have asked me to post my syllabus, here it is. Note that it can be, and often is, changed a bit during the semester.
spia.uga.edu
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 05/08/2025
#OpenAccess from @govandopp.bsky.social - Crafting Policies Together: Citizen Preferences After Crisis - cup.org/4mm8b7m - @paduis.bsky.social, Jennifer Cyr, Julieta Suárez-Cao & Matías Bianchi #FirstView
Logo of "Government & Opposition" with an ampersand in red and the hashtag "OpenAccess" on a black background.
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Timea Balogh @tbalogh.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Does political sophistication moderate how citizens use information to infer left-right distances between parties?
Research identifies numerous factors associated with citizens’ perceptions of party ideologies, including the Left-Right orientations of parties’ election manifestos, governing coalition arrangemen...
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Reposted by Lucas Couto
Marc Debus @marcdebus.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
To be published this autumn 👇
Handbook on Coalition Politics
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Gerard McKeever @mckeever.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
Normalise writing a nice quick note to scholars literally every time you read and like their work. Our world is small and getting smaller. We need encouragement.
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Reposted by Lucas Couto
Edoardo Viganò @eavigano.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
🚨 We’ve released the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data and Assemblies (AIEEDA) 🗳️ 25 European democracies, 1919–1939: party positions, cabinet formation, elections (and subnational geo-coded data for 6 countries) 1/2 ⬇️
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Lucas Couto @lucascoutoz.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Now, it's been attributed to an issue and has got its page numbers 😀 doi.org/10.1017/lap....
doi.org
Government formation in presidentialism: Disentangling the combined effects of pre-electoral coalitions and legislative polarization | Latin American Politics and Society | Cambridge Core
Government formation in presidentialism: Disentangling the combined effects of pre-electoral coalitions and legislative polarization - Volume 67 Issue 1
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 10/02/2025
Hello dataviz and design people! We're looking for a freelancer to help us with data visualization and/or diagrams at Works in Progress. We cover topics like housing, technology, health, energy, and much more, and experience in these areas is a plus! If this is you, get in touch! (details below)
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Kuba Suder 🇵🇱🇺🇦 @mackuba.eu · 08/02/2025
☺️ dame.is/ratingalttext Please use alt text, folks!
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 21/10/2024
Thrilled to announce that my chapter, which helps students navigate and choose among different off-the-shelf data sets, is now published open access! Please check it out—I hope it’s helpful for many students and colleagues teaching comparative politics www.elgaronline.com/edcollchap-o... polisky
elgaronline.com
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Lucas Couto @lucascoutoz.bsky.social · 23/09/2024
🚨My first solo-authored paper is out 🥳: I find that the effect of pre-electoral coalitions on government formation processes in presidential democracies increases as legislative polarisation grows stronger. doi.org/10.1017/lap....
Part of the first page of my first solo-authored paper!
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Lucas Couto @lucascoutoz.bsky.social · 30/08/2024
Hello everyone! I'm proud to announce that I'll begin as a PhD Student at the Department of Political Science at Aarhus University next week! Very excited about this next chapter in my academic career 🙂 Thank you to all who have helped me get this far 😊
Picture of myself at the campus.Photo depicting one of the buildings at Aarhus University along with a sign.
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Reposted by Lucas Couto
West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 11/06/2024
🥳Online first: Regional coalition membership influences the perceived ideological positions of parties even on the national level. Evidence from Germany 2009-2021 by Ida B. Hjermitslev @svenjakrauss.bsky.social & @mariathurk.bsky.social tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #Polisky
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Grant McDermott @gmcd.bsky.social · 14/12/2023
Took a winding road to get there, but I'm pleased to say that `ggfixest` is up on CRAN. grantmcdermott.com/ggfixest/ As the 📦 name suggests, `ggfixest` provides dedicated `ggplot2` methods for `fixest` model objects. So you can make nice coefficient/interaction plots with minimal effort. #rstats
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Reposted by Lucas Couto
Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 01/12/2023
my kingdom for a native #rstats "not in" operator
library(dplyr)

# Correct but logically backwards
mtcars |>
  filter(!(drv %in% c("4", "r")))

`%notin%` <- Negate("%in%")

# Yay! If only it were native though :(
mtcars |>
  filter(drv %notin% c("4", "r"))
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