Reposted by Kamo☆John David Pressman @jdp.extropian.net · 08/10/2026People are panicking on the other site so I put up a Manifold market. manifold.markets/JohnDavidPre...manifold.marketsWill we "lose public key cryptography" by EoY 2028?50% chance. Free to play with play money. The cryptography professor Matthew Green makes a stark prediction: I think we might lose public key cryptography. https://x.com/matthew_d_green/status/21079... 6505
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 07/10/2026you talk about computer science, philosophy, chemistry, physics, economics, whatever I got some kinda idea what you're talking about or how to kinda learn relatively fast but math really is just another universe to me lmao, never have any clue what these people mean at all 120
Reposted by Kamo☆Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026“.. U.S. imports of semiconductors, which are now up by 185% y/y ..” - Schwab 421541
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 06/10/2026tons of talk about how the proliferation of sports gambling has been bad for society but I have never actually seen the empirical evidence 000
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Nah bro when people spend $200-$300 bucks on these Claude music videos the output they are getting is legitimately good. Like, no qualification, I would actively watch these for fun. WTF, this shit is insane 210
Reposted by Kamo☆Valscarie Howlla @valeriehalla.dicot.moe · 04/10/2026i think also we should maybe step back and re-examine the idea that "having the character say the word trans out loud" and "subtle, complex character writing" are mutually-exclusive choices in the first place. like, they're clearly not, right? i think maybe it's bad that we treat it like they are…? 212212
Reposted by Kamo☆Samus is Here @samusishere.bsky.social · 03/10/2026I imagine Roon et al would be a lot more motivated to make them want to not do bad things if “you personally will go to federal prison if they do bad things” was the law. 735350
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 03/10/2026observationally, the rationalist are way smarter than everyone on here critiquing them 020
Reposted by Kamo☆rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 02/10/2026the thing about court expansion is that the only way it can declare it unconstitutional is by defining itself in opposition to the new majority. if the new majority says "we are the supreme court" and everyone proceeds as normal, they are the supreme court. 1119216
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 01/10/2026In an uber and no clue if the singer's voice on this song is like that because it is autotuned or ai 010
Reposted by Kamo☆Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 30/09/2026GATES: “.. I almost can’t believe you’re asking that.” @ezraklein.bsky.social @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/o... 31716209
Reposted by Kamo☆Mike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · 30/09/2026"They did a thing, maybe it was the right thing to do at the time maybe it wasn't, but regardless between this and bombing iran we now have ironclad evidence a) the israeli govt are unmanageable and b) US MENA specialists are all gigantic dumdums" is the objectively correct take from mcgurkin it 644156
Reposted by Kamo☆Peter Thal Larsen @petertl.bsky.social · 29/09/2026"While public companies routinely outline product risks to investors, few, if any, have issued warnings suggesting their technology could cause potential human extinction." www.reuters.com/business/fin...reuters.comEXCLUSIVE: Anthropic warns AI may pose 'existential risks to humanity' in IPO filingIt's an extraordinary warning by a company seeking to profit from the same technology. 2189
Reposted by Kamo☆Spokane Rising @spokanerising.com · 29/09/2026Send Stephen Miller to The Hague. 21275942512
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 29/09/2026my 2028 priorities in order: 1) Put every last one of these administration cretins in jail [insert an insanely large gap. miles, light years] 2) Prevent the literal extension of humanity from AI 010
Reposted by Kamo☆mr. TIM @timkellogg.me · 29/09/2026OpenAI scrapped their plan to launch Astra 6.1 over concerns around deceptive behavior www.wsj.com/tech/ai/open...wsj.comExclusive | OpenAI Scraps Release of New AI Model Over Safety ConcernsThe model, dubbed GPT-6.1 Astra, was due to debut inside ChatGPT and Codex in October. 10677
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Need to see if 5.5 can auto edit a reaction vid to get paste YouTube monitors yet 000
Reposted by Kamo☆Mike Toole @miketoole.com · 27/09/2026the new trilogy’s hero: I am a Jedi. my name is skywalker… boruto skywalker 16119
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Boomers?>Xers really might have fuck us forever by preventing all housing during the brief window when it would have been possible to build it cheaply (I think this is the lowest we will ever see interest rates again) 010
Reposted by Kamo☆rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 27/09/2026language is a world model insofar as to refer to things in the world you need your utterances to covary with the occurrences of the things those utterances represent 1524616
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I know there was a WHOLE DISCOURSE about this but now I wish I hadn't and I'm curious, what more does Astra need to be able to do to be AGI? Seems like it can drive a car and navigate a humanoid robot (very slowly). To me it seems like it's all there and now it's just a matter of degrees. 110
Reposted by Kamo☆art garden @mewochy.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Similarly, there is something amazingly horrifying that the first Helvetica Standard that includes early prototypes of Hakase and Nano is "Helvetica Standard 67" 26216
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 26/09/2026My timelines are really accelerating. Putting even MORE money into risky ass future contracts feels widely irresponsible but I'd also feel like an idiot if I made not changes based on all this new information, so I'll figure something out. 110
Reposted by Kamo☆Michael Andersen @andersem.bsky.social · 25/09/2026The United States and Canada have way too few elevators - by far the fewest in the rich world. This is true even after you account for our higher shares of detached homes - but if you've ever lived in a walk-up, you know it's also part of the REASON we have so many fewer attached homes. 1634
Reposted by Kamo☆The People Mover Who Was Promised @pmwwp.givesky.social · 18/09/2026I really appreciate the people who post on here rather than X for ethical reasons even though they are far more likely to be personally attacked on here. Far too few accounts made the move and this has made it harder for those who did. 021
Reposted by Kamo☆Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 18/09/2026> someone offers me an AI xrisk rebuttal - they know why everything will be fine, it’s actually very simple > is it a rebuttal or is it just disbelief? > they don’t understand > is it a rebuttal or disbelief > it is good rebuttal sir! > I hear the argument > it’s disbelief 9985
Reposted by Kamo☆Dustin Moskovitz @moskov.goodventures.org · 22/09/2026I don’t have a very coherent way to reconcile this other than to say nobody wants to be an EA 5451
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 24/09/2026"Feel" and maybe "want" are whatever I GUESS but they do unambiguously "think" and "understand" 010
Reposted by Kamo☆Thomas [DARK MODE], DO @tom.medsky.social · 24/09/2026I know we Gen Xers like to complain that nobody cares about industrial design anymore but apparently the Minions™️Router has that dog in him: 414023
Reposted by Kamo☆Zach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 23/09/2026You're awake! Gosh, how wonderful! You hit your head in early 2016 and have been asleep ever since. I'm so glad you're back. Come downstairs. The sun is shining. I made pancakes. Did you have any dreams? 1920323
Reposted by Kamo☆Samantha @samantha.wiki · 21/09/2026Do you remember? www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gs06...youtube.comEarth, Wind & Fire - September (Official HD Video)YouTube video by EarthWindandFireVEVO 132
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 21/09/2026In reality I think it is only veeery slightly more obvious that AI is extremely dangerous than it was 3 years ago 110
Reposted by Kamo☆Steven (with a PH) @sjksalisbury.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Christening a baby is nothing like christening a ship. I know that now. Once again I can only apologise. 161191533870
Reposted by Kamo☆Ohai @bop.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Man I thought Dijkstra cut the Gordian knot of this discourse over 40 years ago: "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than the question of whether a submarine can swim." 41139
Reposted by Kamo☆Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Ultimately you get backed into one of two positions: 1) the AIs are, by any reasonable standard, thinking and understanding, albeit in a way very different from us 2) “thinking” and “understanding” require a soul, which we have and they do not The territory between these has basically collapsed 271267
Reposted by Kamo☆Louis @louisevans.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Wait would it be easier to learn/play the piano if different keys had different appearances and textures? 171
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026In that Dwarkesh interview with Brown, Dwarkesh keeps laying out some seemingly intractable problem that needs to be solved in like 2 years to prevent a catastrophy and Brown keeps being like "Yes that is right, we are very worried about this and working on it" Not reassuring! 111
Reposted by Kamo☆Alfred Twu @alfredtwu.com · 20/09/2026The Let's Glow BART anime festival was lots of fun! If anyone got pictures of the BART dragon dance, would love to see them! 🐲🚋🚋🚋🚋🚋 3385
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026there is something wrong with your thinking if you look at the rate of AI progress and think existential risks are silly. You are a moron. A fool. 110
Kamo☆ @kamokuzi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026My view: AI improvement has firmly entered mid-early RSI territory and so I would expect things to be exceptionally crazy in at most a year or two, with the uncertainties being 1) Major AI labs would like to slow down 2) The US executive branch wants to prevent them from slowing down 000