iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF @slfdavos.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

❄️ A first: no snow at Weissfluhjoch For the first time in 90 years of measurements, there was no #snow cover between July and September 2026 at the #SLF research site (2,536 m). After a hot, dry summer and low-snow winter, glacier snow also disappeared up to around 3,500 m. 📹 Timelapse SLF

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

In the end, my parents are coming to visit next week so I'll just give them my ballot to mail domestically when they go back to the USA. But thanks for the info

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

It would be much easier though if Boulder County actually won the case. Normally I would be very pessimistic, but with Alito recusing himself and Roberts appearing neutral, maybe there is a chance? A non-verdict would also be very welcomed www.scotusblog.com/2026/10/cour...

scotusblog.com

Court sends mixed signals on whether it will allow state-tort suits seeking to hold energy companies liable for climate change to go forward

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I went to the my local post office here in France to send my mail-in ballot for the USA mid-term elections only to learn that all mail to the United States has been indefinitely suspended!!! Is this a way to disenfranchise the Democrat leaning international vote? What is going on?

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Definitely qualifies as a rather intense atmospheric river for West Antarctica. Gets up to an AR2 on the CW3E scale. Impressive how wide the moisture transport is across Amund/Bell sea.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

So anybody else noticing the medicane being spun up by the ICON? All runs the past 24 hours have indicated a medicane forming off the coast of Spain over the weekend. Any other models showing the same thing?

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Dr. Serge Zaka @sergezaka.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Une alerte météorologique "extrême", pour reprendre le terme du message FR-Alert reçu sur les téléphones pour toute la population, est en cours dans le Gard et l'Hérault. Les dernières prévisions sont terrifiantes entre 300 et 400mm de pluie en villes. La population est invitée à se confiner.

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Francois Jobard @francoisjobard.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Cette semaine on devrait toucher le fond niveau #sécheresse. Un tout début d'amélioration pluvieuse reste envisageable la semaine prochaine. Derrière cette "situation record" (Météo-France) : une mortalité des arbres sans exemple ! Dans le bois de Vincennes l'agonie des hêtres devient générale. 🥲

Évolution de l'indicateur national de sécheresse des sols en France. Graphe Meteo-France

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Melaine Le Roy @subfossilguy.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

🧊🔥 6 meters !🔥🧊 This is what the largest glacier in the Alps has lost at Konkordiaplatz at 2900 m asl during the insane 2026 summer ! 'No words' as @matthias-huss.bsky.social (pictured here) said! 😲😱 📷 A. Linsbauer

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Joackiie 🇬🇱 @joackiie.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Climatological summer 2026 (for accounting purposes, the period from 1 June to 31 August) was record-warm and dry across western and southern Europe — but NOT in northern and eastern Europe.

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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Was the tragedy in Nepal and Tibet due, in part, to climate change? My view is probably yes. The connection remains circumstantial and lacks a smoking gun, but the circumstances certainly make it seem likely. 17/

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Météo-France @meteofrance.com · 03/09/2026

📢 Eté 2026 : le plus chaud jamais enregistré en France et le deuxième le moins pluvieux avec une sécheresse des sols sans précédents. 🌐 Un été qui aurait été quasi impossible sans changement climatique mais qui reste rare dans le climat actuel Le bilan complet 👉 meteofrance.com/presse/bilan...

Evolution des températures en france depuis le 15 mai 2026 , des températures largement au dessus des normales

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Sébastien Brana @sebastienbrana.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Vidéo incroyable de la formation de la tornade de Pomas, et son arrivée sur la commune capturée par les caméras de surveillance de l'entreprise Robert : www.youtube.com/watch?v=EW7h...

youtube.com

Tornade Pomas 2026 D5 Stock Côté SUD

YouTube video by Sébastien ARTUSO

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Francois Jobard @francoisjobard.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Anomalie de géopotentiel à 500 hPa sur les 100 derniers jours sur un domaine Atlantique/Europe -> La France en rouge pour illustrer la récurrence des blocages chauds, c'est-à-dire l'acharnement caniculaire de cet été. (1/2) psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data...

anomalie de géopotentiel à 500 hPa sur la période 20 mai - 27 août 2026 : la France championne des anomalies anticycloniques

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Keraunos @keraunos.org · 28/08/2026

🌪️ #Tornade de Pomas dans l'Aude : l'analyse des dommages permet de conclure à une intensité EF3 (220-240 km/h). Distance parcourue : 6 km. Plus de détails dans le dossier complet à venir. 🙏🏻 D. Martens pour sa contribution à l'enquête de terrain.

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Martin Jucker @drjucker.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Some serious warm air being pushed onto Antarctica at the moment. viz from martinjucker.com, data from GFS. #weather #antarctica #sciviz

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

I feel like we've spent the summer being gaslighted by the weather forecast models, at least in the UK and France. I lost track of how often a one-week projection of a trough with cool air and rain ends up getting replaced with a ridge and a heatwave.

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Melaine Le Roy @subfossilguy.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Unprecedented... 70 days! France has just ended yesterday the longest series above the norm (1991-2020) ever measured! 🥵 Four heat waves—and another one before that, in May… That’s what our future will look like—only worse! 😱 📈 via Nicolas Berrod

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Bienvenue à Grenoble. Je suis content de voir que la température dans mon appartement continue de baisser

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Nahel Belgherze @wxnb.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

70 straight days with above-average temperatures in France. Let that sink in.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

6/ Using climate models and ice core records, they find events like this happen once every decade, at varying intensities. Unfortunately, that means the pause in ice loss is temporary and Antarctica will soon return to losing ice and pushing sea levels higher www.nature.com/articles/s41...

nature.com

Multiyear tropical warm pool warming drives slowdown in Antarctic mass loss - Nature

Recent Antarctic ice mass gain was linked to a recurrent atmospheric teleconnection, but this recurs about once per decade in observations and historical simulations so does not yet reflect a global-w...

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

5/ A new paper from Wang et al. published in @nature.com now has the answer. They identified a connection between warming in the tropical warm pool near Indonesia and an atmospheric circulation pattern that brings more moisture and storms to East Antarctica

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

4/ But the question remained why had these extreme snowfall events increased over the past few years. Is a warmer atmosphere now bringing more snowfall to Antarctica and preventing sea level rise for the foreseeable future?

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

3/ However, while climate extremes have been driving heatwaves, fires, and floods, since 2020, the mass loss in Antarctica mysteriously paused. Kolbe et al. 2026 found that an increase in atmospheric rivers put more snow in Antarctica, balancing out the ice discharge @marlenkolbe.bsky.social

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

2/ As you may know, the Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass for a while now from warmer ocean water melting the ice sheet from underneath and causing land ice to flow faster into the ocean

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

1/ In support of a recently published article in @nature.com on extreme weather in East Antarctica, I wrote a News and Views article summarizing how a recent pause in Antarctic mass loss was being driven by a temporary increase in sea surface temperatures in one region of the tropics. rdcu.be/fAQ8t

rdcu.be

The Antarctic ice sheet has gained mass — but probably not for long | Nature

Since 2020, snowfall has largely counterbalanced the melting of the Antarctic ice sheet. The atmospheric effect that causes this has been identified — and it’s temporary.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

And lastly a much needed series of rainfall events contributing real drought relief through the next couple weeks. Relief is just around the corner!

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

While still plenty of uncertainty amongst the ECMWF members about the magnitude of the cooling, there is a general consensus between many models about a pattern shift towards less ridging/blocking/heat domes. The point forecasts are for Grenoble.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

After the 5th heatwave in France, it looks like a real, genuine pattern change will arrive next week, finally breaking the cycle of record breaking, hellish heat, and then short lived periods of still above temperatures. Most importantly, an Atlantic flow will break much needed rain to France. 1/

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Francois Jobard @francoisjobard.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Les chances de pluie à moyenne échéance sur les modèles cet été 2026...

Tintin au pays de l'or noir. Planche 20. Dupond et Dupont en jeep rouge semblent apercevoir un lac quittent leur véhicule et leurs costumes pour sauter dans le plan d'eau qui n'existe pas en réalité.
https://www.tintin.com/fr/characters/dupond-et-dupont#

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Francois Jobard @francoisjobard.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

🌡Aujourd'hui est déjà le 16ème jour >= 35 °C de l'été 2026 à #Paris, un chiffre hallucinant et sans précédent. Pour mettre ce chiffre en perspective, 16 jours >= 35 °C, c'est plus que le cumul de TOUS LES ÉTÉS des années 1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, soit en 40 ans seulement 15 occurrences dont 2 en 1976

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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 25/07/2026

Admirable clarity @science.org

The Trump administration hates academic science funding, full stop. They hate where that money goes, and they hate who it goes to. They want to keep all that money for themselves, to hand out to favored cronies who can help them get elected and to steer yet more money and more power back into their hands.

That’s it. That’s the story

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

I hope this verifies but at this point I have trust issues. The 06z GFS was showing a similar worst case scenario cutoff low, but still plenty far away for having much confidence

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Denis Mongin @denismongin.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

The record breaking temperatures in France of this 2026 summer, compared to all daily temperatures since 1950 #Rstats #dataviz #climate A periodic yoyo breaking through the roof each time

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

I really want to understand how the atmosphere keeps favoring this setup. At this point, you can count on the worst-case scenario always verifying.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

But just as there seemed to be hope that by next Thursday the cutoff low would be picked up by a passing trough and replaced with an Atlantic flow regime, the ECMWF now has the cutoff low getting left behind and retrograding back to its favorite position. Thus continuing this hell in Western Europe

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

Being a meteorologist in France this summer has been a cruel joke. Staring at the forecast models, they always offer hope that the heatwave will end. But they always slide back to a cutoff low off the coast of Portugal leading to a "heat pump" like we are currently dealing with.

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Dakota Smith @weatherdak.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

The beautiful life cycle of a storm at sea.

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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

“.. Members of the group Patriot Front ride the metro on the 250th anniversary of U.S. independence in Washington, D.C.” @reuters.com

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 28/06/2026

France just went through the worst heatwave in its history. Preliminary 1,300 excess deaths across Europe and just general misery for over a week. Now it looks likely to repeat in one week. The climate is truly broken here.

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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 28/06/2026

Enjoy the coming relatively cool week in Western Europe while it lasts! Forecast for 8 July 🥵.

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Met4Cast @met4cast.net · 23/06/2026

France recorded a high of 44.6°C today. That’s so far beyond anything seen in the historical record, a 4.2 sigma deviation from the norm that it gives a return period of 87 thousand years. It’s really difficult to convey just how utterly extreme this is.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

Can confirm that in my office in Grenoble, my brain has officially melted.

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

7 all-time records (black) reached so far in #France upto 42C (108F) so far today!! Dozens of June records broken across #Europe #heatwave

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Martin Stendel @martinstendel.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Animated forecast from @ecmwf.int showing 500 hPa geopotential anomalies for the next 15 days. Very stable Ω blocking over central Europe with "cold feet" west and east of it. For large parts of Europe this means a strong heat wave over the next two weeks.

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Dr. Serge Zaka @sergezaka.bsky.social · 18/06/2026

[Thread] [1/7] Avec 40-43+°C sur plusieurs jours, nous ne sommes plus sur un simple évènement météorologique, mais un évènement qui aura des conséquences catastrophiques pour la vie animale et végétale. Je pèse mes mots : ce qu'il va se passer en France est sans précédent.

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Jonathan Wille @jonathanwille.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

Just more evidence that "warm" weather today means record breaking heatwave and "cool" weather means the temperatures are near average.

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Tobias Braun @scitobias.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

In our new highlighted paper in Earth System Dynamics, we map out the global atmospheric river network along with its main hubs, highways and basins! What emerges is a surprisingly structured system that we think could open up new perspectives on atmospheric connectivity💨🌧️ doi.org/10.5194/esd-...

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