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Jason Keiber

@jasonkeiber.bsky.social
170 followers 677 following 100 posts

Professor of International Relations Technology & Security Cleveland OH Baldwin Wallace University Ohio State alumnus

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Reposted by Jason Keiber
Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
“How can we afford that?” This is ~1/4 of four years of student loan debt relief under Joe Biden, while debt/GDP was falling, & we simply are not having the same sort of conversation now as we did then: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
p(doom) goes up when fox news SecDef pushes AI throughout the DoD. Apparently the U.S. almost interdicted a Chinese ship because of garbage AI inputs. "The bot fused together open-source intelligence with secret signals intelligence in government holdings" and was wrong. www.cnn.com/2026/09/18/p...
cnn.com
Exclusive: US military had close call after using AI for false intelligence report, sources say | CNN Politics
The episode shows the risks of using this new, relatively poorly understood technology in the middle of the Iran war
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Puff the Magic Hater @mskellymhayes.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Something has really bothered me about the Gloria Steinem discourse—something that's not really about Gloria Steinem. So, I wrote about it.
organizingmythoughts.org
Grief Is Not a Verdict: This Is Not Really an Essay About Gloria Steinem
We grieve the worlds we’ve known and what it felt like to live in them.
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Wajahat Ali @wajali.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Why is this allowed to be said in America without any accountability? Why are even Democrats so quiet about this?
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Ben Zipperer @benzipperer.org · 30/07/2026
New @epi.org data through 2026 Q1: workers are nearly twice as productive as they were in 1979, but their pay hasn't come close to keeping up. That divergence, redistributed to profits and executives, has cost a full-time median-wage worker over $23,000 a year
line graph titled "The gap between productivity and a typical worker’s compensation has increased dramatically since 1979; Productivity growth and hourly compensation growth, 1948–2026"
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Fluffy Cyborg, IInd of the name @avel.kairos-research.org · 26/07/2026
Would assume everyone knows it by now, but just in case "First the traitors, then the invaders" is an explicit reference to The Turner Diaries, where a white supremacist revolution overruns "The System" and kills all their enemy during the evocatively named "Day of the Rope".
en.wikipedia.org
The Turner Diaries - Wikipedia
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Another corrupt grift from Trump.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
"If you’re imagining a future where AI is actually owning and running companies and hiring and firing people, that’s already dystopian. It doesn’t matter if that AI is aligned or not." Lots of gems in this fantastic substack by @randomwalker.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/aisnakeo...
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Reposted by Jason Keiber
Don’t Go Jason Waterfalls @jtwashin.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
This is a Hegseth and Miller plan to get rid of Black men in the military
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
wow! Well done #Paraguay. What drama!
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Matthew Green @matthewdgreen.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
I wrote a new post about the privacy risks of on-phone agents like Apple’s new Siri, and how private inference isn’t any sort of silver bullet. blog.cryptographyengineering.com/2026/06/09/a...
blog.cryptographyengineering.com
The future of Siri, or: why private inference isn’t private enough
Yesterday Apple announced a big step towards deploying real AI in their Siri ecosystem. In most ways this is good and inevitable: Siri is one of the world’s most widely-used voice agents, and…
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Reposted by Jason Keiber
elizabethginexi.bsky.social @elizabethginexi.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
My summary of OMB's proposed Federal Financial Assistance rule was based on 22 years as an NIH Program Official and the damage I saw to science funding would be. I want to widen the lens now: scientists are not the only ones who should be alarmed. elizabethginexi.substack.com/p/this-new-o...
elizabethginexi.substack.com
This new OMB Rule Is Bigger Than Science. Much Bigger.
This image was generated by Google AI (Gemini)
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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 29/05/2026
This is so fucking disgusting.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
“Glum” is an understatement
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Proud of my doctor who has been volunteering for the Red Cross.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Watching the analysis on Fox News: Trump has “checkmated” and “out maneuvered” Iran. Trump is simply going to reroute traffic to the “Gulf of America”! The U.S. economy is going to take off like a rocket! Easy peasy!!!!
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Tonight we were treated to Trump’s leitmotif that the U.S. is bursting with economic success, which is belied by what Americans are experiencing. This speech is not going to help him.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Trump just announced that Iran has a “new, and more reasonable, regime” and then followed that up with a threat of war crimes. Everything is going great!
Image of a truth social post by Trump reads, in part, "The United States of America is in serious discussions with A NEW, AND MORE REASONABLE, REGIME to end our Military Operations in Iran. Great progress has been made but, if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately “Open for Business,” we will conclude our lovely “stay” in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!), which we have purposefully not yet “touched.”"
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
🔥"Capital creates a world of insanity beyond the insanity of accumulation."🔥 Damn, Jack, that's a sentence.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
A short write up on how to understand Trump's "flexible realism." Flexible like a wet noodle (and just as competent!), but what of Realism? And I offer a new maxim to replace the 2003 Pottery Barn Rule: You poop the bed, you clean it up! open.substack.com/pub/needinpu...
open.substack.com
Solipsistic Realism and Trump’s Poopy Bed
Move over "Pottery Barn" there is a new maxim in town.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Ouch. Can't wait to hear Trump torch this dude.
Trump's NCTC advisor resigns in protest over the Iran war.
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Reposted by Jason Keiber
Alt National Park Service @altnps.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Florida just handed Ron DeSantis a weapon to fire elected officials for supporting their own constituents.
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Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Karl Weick (organizational psychologist, foundational work on sensemaking) had a great refrain: “How can I know what I think until I see what I say?” I often think about this in relation to how AI can interfere w/ thinking by substituting its words for ours. This experimental study offers evidence.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Breaking News: Trump says Iran has tomahawk cruise missiles. 😳
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
A stupid war, and war is the easy part open.substack.com/pub/needinpu...
open.substack.com
...and remember, war is the easy part!
And a few musing on teaching international politics
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
So Rubio's just explained that the imminent threat of an Iranian attack is in the form of Iran's certain retaliation to an imminent Israeli attack. cool cool cool
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
I just had a premonition that Trump will use the SOTU to announce military strikes against Iran.
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Reposted by Jason Keiber
Bellingcat @bellingcat.com · 24/01/2026
A DHS statement claimed “an individual approached US Border Patrol officers” with “a handgun” in the Alex Pretti shooting incident. A Bellingcat analysis of the footage appears to show that a gun was taken away from where Pretti was situated by an agent just before the first shot was fired.
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Prem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
The Trump-Vance administration just used your taxes to pay for ICE agents to kill a 37-year-old nurse, who was only there because another ICE agent killed a 37-year-old mother of three, who was only there because ICE agents are kidnapping your neighbors
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Very cool piece by @jeremywallace.bsky.social highlights (a) the fast pace of solar power and (b) its non-obvious chaotic implications. It further highlights how Trump is positioning the U.S. to succeed in the early 20th century.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
This Davos speech is deeply embarrassing.
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
In Bovino's upside down world, there is no difference between an armed gang member preying on others in his community and a guy working 12 hours a day washing cars, flipping burgers, or installing sheetrock to feed his family — and he wants you to hate and fear both men equally.
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
🚨BIG changes happening -- ICE leadership is being purged tonight. The old guard, which prioritized targeted enforcement operations aimed at people with criminal records, is being replaced with Border Patrol and Gregory Bovino's "Midway Blitz" style. Think things are bad now? It'll get worse.
Bill Melugin
@BillMelugin_
BREAKING: Per four senior DHS & Trump admin sources, a mass removal of ICE leadership around the country is underway, with up to 12 ICE field office chiefs being removed & reassigned in an effort to increase deportation numbers. I'm told the move is spearheaded by Corey Lewandowski, and a handful of the ICE Chiefs will likely be replaced by Border Patrol & CBP officials, some of whom will be hand-picked by aggressive & controversial Border Patrol Commander Greg Bovino. I'm told some of the ICE leadership removed from their positions include the ICE Field Office Directors in:

- Los Angeles
- Phoenix
- Philadelphia
- Denver
- El Paso
- San Diego
- Seattle/Portland
- New Orleans

Border Patrol officials taking over ICE leadership positions would be extremely significant, as Border Patrol and ICE do different things, and I've done numerous ride-alongs/embeds with both.Generally speaking, ICE typically conducts very targeted operations, largely going after criminal illegal aliens or those with deportation orders, but almost always knowing who they are targeting for arrest, often conducting surveillance to learn their schedules before and waiting hours before arresting them if needed.

Border Patrol, under Trump 2.0, while sometimes doing their own targeted operations, has been extremely aggressive and has been at the forefront of some of the most controversial immigration enforcement operations we've seen so far, carrying out roving patrols in Los Angeles, Chicago, etc, often at Home Depot, car washes, flea markets etc, leading to a handful of federal judges around the country issuing injunctions against them. A majority of the viral videos you see online are Border Patrol agents, including the use of a Trojan horse style Penske moving truck at a Los Angeles Home Depot, an operation organized by Bovino. 

ICE often gets blamed for what Border Patrol does, as the media and activists often cannot tell the difference between federal agents, and everyone is called "ICE". I'm told there are growing concerns about the political and PR fallout associated with some of the roving patrols Border Patrol is conducting as lawsuits continue to stack up and mid-terms approach next year. I'm told there is significant friction within different wings of DHS and the administration, with Border Czar Tom Homan & ICE Director Todd Lyons preferring to prioritize targeting criminal aliens & the "worst of the worst" or those with deportation orders, while DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, Corey Lewandowski, and BP Commander Bovino prefer to use aggressive tactics to arrest anyone in the US illegally, including but not limited to criminals, to ramp up deportation numbers and achieve President Trump's promises of mass deportations. 

I am hearing from both sides of this friction.

One senior DHS official tells me:

"ICE started with the worst of the worst, knowing every target they are hitting, but since Border Patrol started in LA in June, we've (DHS) lost our focus, going too hard, too fast, with limited prioritization. It's getting numbers, but at what cost?".

Border Patrol agents I've talked to defend their tactics, with one telling me:

"What did everyone think mass deportations meant? Only the worst? Tom Homan has said it himself, anyone in the US illegally is on the table."It's quite a situation, as both sides of this are on the same team, with the same end goals, but different perspectives on how to get there. 

Another DHS official confirmed the personnel changes to me on deep background, adding that the moves are based on performance and doing what is needed to achieve the best results. 

Official statement to 
@FoxNews
 via 
@TriciaOhio
:

"While we have no personnel changes to announce at this time, the Trump Administration remains laser focused on delivering results and removing violent criminal illegal aliens from this country."
7:57 PM · Oct 27, 2025
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Reposted by Jason Keiber
Mark Zaid, Esq @markzaidesq.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
If you didn't realize this earlier, this latest action by the Administration amply demonstrates it does not have the back of federal workers. www.govexec.com/pay-benefits...
govexec.com
OMB deletes reference to law guaranteeing backpay to furloughed feds from shutdown guidance
An Office of Management and Budget FAQ document now states that only excepted employees forced to work without pay are guaranteed backpay at the conclusion of a lapse in appropriations.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
OpenAI's Sora 2 release gives us a glimpse of how AI video can exist as social media. It also becomes clear how advertising can be slotted in. #OpenAI
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Nothing shows respect for the military better than a sleepy speech rambling incoherently about paper stock and the "two N words" you can't say. A true blessing for the top brass.
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Kevin Reuning @reuning.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Im begging the NYT to spend time talking to people who actually teach and work at universities. Especially ones that don't have billion dollar endowments. My issues are AI use, crumbling infrastructure, vanishing staff, unfunded state mandates, a customer service model of education...
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
Trump’s profound ignorance and incomprehensible meandering speech never ceases to amaze me.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Watching Trump with Starmer and I am reminded of the President's work in settling the war between <checks notes> Aberbaijan and Albania.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
this is hilarious.
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
people pretend that debate signals and defends a commitment to high minded politics. what it elevates instead is performative dishonesty as a basic mode of politics www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Please, no more debates!
Debates elevate the worst aspects of our politics. Let’s try something else.
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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
This is a damning anecdote from Rep Jim McGovern. He tells me that during debate over Trump's big budget bill, House Rs privately admitted to him that it would screw over their own constituents, yet they had to vote for it anyway. Read all of it. He wrecks them: newrepublic.com/article/1999...
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Anjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
the two young women just waiting for their Ubers while this unfolds behind them really captures the complete ludicrousness of this situation
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Prem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Where are the big names that proclaim themselves as brave, bold, as telling things as they are? The network figureheads, the Washington mainstays? Israeli forces have killed some 245 journalists in the past 22 months. Journalists who were also people, just like anyone else, and who had to become bigger than life, in order to justify themselves to viewers thousands of miles away. People who had been forced every single day to report on the devastation of their own land, their own families. People who would cover an airstrike that killed their children and, by sheer necessity, continue to report on the next strike, in the pursuit of convincing the world to act, of the hope of tomorrow being different.

How many murdered Palestinian journalists will it take for the mainstream press’s cowardly fever to break?
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News Eye @newseye.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
This is amongst the most impactful two minutes of broadcasting I’ve ever seen. By Emma Murphy, International Editor, ITV News. #Gaza
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 31/07/2025
Palestinian children have been killed at a rate of more than one child per hour during Israel's war in Gaza. “A whole classroom of children killed every day for nearly two years,” UNICEF’s executive director said. Here are some of their stories: wapo.st/3UCiAjn
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
open.substack.com/pub/programm...
open.substack.com
The Political Economy of AI: A Syllabus
As I’ve noted occasionally before, one of the most potentially useful things that academics do is preparing syllabi, and hence organizing information about the world.
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Jason Keiber @jasonkeiber.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
The analysis of China’s energy moves is worth a read, but the idea that Trump is guided by thoughtful national security rationales to cling to fossil fuels is laughable. What about regulatory capture? Fossil fuel $$? Climate denialism? Ideologically driven sabotage of clean energy projects?
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