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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis

@jamonm.bsky.social
2.6K followers 145 following 998 posts

American Soccer Analysis: Co-creator g+ GameFlows and the Where Goals Come From project. he/him Cien Goles game: ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com

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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
SickosFC @sickosfc.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
NWSL said:
Lord of the Rings Second Breakfast Meme

Merry asks "What about ACFC?" 

Aragon says you've already had it

Merry says we've had one, yes

Merry says "what about second ACFC?"

The first text of ACFC is in pink approximating the colors of Angel City FC. The second ACFC is in red-orange approximating the colors of the newly announced Atlanta City FC
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Did you know you can "win" the Wooden Spoon in Cien Goles? There are few different comments the game will make when it happens.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Cien Goles · NWSL · Hard · 3-4-3 ⚽ 21 goals scored 🥄 Wooden Spoon 📊 16th Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: -3% (Grade: F) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Added a fix and a couple of enhancements to Cien Goles today on the Bluesky / share functionality: 1. Enhancement: the league shows in the first line 2. Fix: NWSL Champions instead of MLS Cup Champions if the league is NWSL 🙃 3. Your individual awards are shown with the player who got them.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Cien Goles · NWSL · Easy · 3-4-3 ⭐⭐⭐ THE TRIPLE ⭐⭐⭐ ⚽ 106 goals scored 🏆 NWSL Champions 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 100% (Grade: A) 🏅 MVP: Wilson 🏅 Golden Boot: Wilson ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
wellMcGARNAGLE @wellmcgarnagle.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Cien Goles · Medium · 3-4-3 ⭐⭐⭐ THE TRIPLE ⭐⭐⭐ ⚽ 111 goals scored 🏆 MLS Cup Champions 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 100% (Grade: A) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF Sam Surridge absolutely dominated
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Friday Stat Dump will be coming out, but it will be on a different day over the next week. I have something I want to share, but it is not ready yet. Stay tuned.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Cien Goles · Hard · 4-3-3 ⚽ 84 goals scored 📊 2nd Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 82% (Grade: C) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Need a Triple on Hard mode!
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Matt Wilcox @fadedtoblack.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Closest one so far... Cien Goles · Hard · 4-3-3 ⚽ 71 goals scored 🏆 MLS Cup Champions 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 67% (Grade: D) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Recrudescence of the Kakistocrats @reddtrain.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The TD of this Cien Goles squad needs to be fired, but the coach should be in Europe based on this performance. cc: @jamonm.bsky.social
Cien Goles screenshot.

Won the conference and MLS Cup on hard with a +21 GD.Cien Goles screenshot:

...and a -6 xGD.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I really enjoyed getting to talk to Katherine Gier about the Cien Goles game, as well as how I got into soccer analytics, and the growth of analytics and challenges covering the women's game. Check it out if you want to hear more about our coverage of women's soccer at @americansocceranalysis.com.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Did you get 100 goals on easy and medium difficulties in Cien Goles? It's time to try hard difficulty! Here are a few tips to getting more goals (these work on easy and medium as well): 1) There is no overall rating, so look at the colored WGCF boxes. Higher numbers and darker boxes are better.
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Eliot McKinley @eliotmckinley.com · 21/09/2026
Five months later, Vancouver and SKC are in the running as the best and worst teams by xPoints since 2013. Nashville are likely going to win the Supporter's Shield like most teams over the last few years - by over-performing their underlying metrics. Montreal has had rotten luck.

Scatter plot of xPoints on x-axis and Points-xPoints on the y axis. Nashville is really lucky, Montreal really unlucky, and SKC and Vancouver are really bad and good.Faceted scatter plots of xPoints on x-axis and Points-xPoints of the y-axis. 2024 Miami is the luckiest, but Nashville this season isn't far behind
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Brian White just did what I think there should be more of in soccer: redirected a shot hockey-style. Sure that initial ball had an outside chance, but it made it such an “easy” finish because the keeper was on the post, following it.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Have you played Cien Goles today? We’re still looking for our first MLS and NWSL teams to score 100 goals or more in a season on Hard difficulty. Share your scores on Bluesky and tag me if you can get over 90!
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
118 might be our new high score. This is on "Easy". Can you beat it? If you do, share it! What is your best score on Medium or Hard difficulties?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
I believe this is the first shared instance of The Triple! What happens when you get a Triple? You have to play to find out. 😉
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Josh @joshonthesound.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
No cup but pretty good for my first try. 2019 Jordan Morris an assist demon! Cien Goles · Medium · 4-2-3-1 ⚽ 101 goals scored 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 100% (Grade: A) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Kathleen Gier @kgier.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
This game is so much fun! Drop your best score in the responses. ——— Cien Goles · Easy · 4-4-2 ⭐⭐⭐ THE TRIPLE ⭐⭐⭐ ⚽ 123 goals scored 🏆 MLS Cup Champions 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 94% (Grade: B) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
American Soccer Analysis @americansocceranalysis.com · 19/09/2026
Cien Goles · Easy · 4-4-2 ⚽ 95 goals scored 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 100% (Grade: A) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF Be better than me!
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Just checking in my data, and we have had no Cien Goles yet on Hard difficulty. In Hard difficulty, you lose seeing the overall rating, but you get to keep the all the WGCF category data (although pick from worse teams overall). Who can be the first? Be sure to share on Bluesky if you get it!
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
No Friday Stat Dump today as all my available energy went into putting out this game for all of you to enjoy. If you've missed this due to work or other reasons, jump in and have some fun! ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com Look for an FSD-type thread tomorrow or Sunday, though!
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
At the end of each season, you can share your accomplishments on Bluesky or a lesser social media platform. Get 100 goals? Win The Triple? Share it!
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Cien Goles · Medium · 4-3-3 ⚽ 98 goals scored 🏆 MLS Cup Champions 🛡️ Supporters' Shield 📊 1st Place 🎯 Draft efficiency: 94% (Grade: B) ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com #CienGoles #WGCF
ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com
Cien Goles
Cien Goles — Can you score 100 goals and win the league?
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Can you build an MLS or NWSL super team that can score 100 goals in a season? Announcing Cien Goles, a simulation game modeled with the Where Goals Come From framework! ciengoles.americansocceranalysis.com Best of all, it's free!
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Kieran is on a roll! This is something to check out and add to the previous research in the space. Also a very interesting find about MLS vs. NWSL in there.
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Arman Kafai @armankafai.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
This is something I just wanted to point out (and shoutout Daniel for clarification) but just because a deal is done doesn’t mean the team gets the money to be used as GAM instantly. They must actually receive the payment before it can be converted; you can’t have money that you don’t have yet
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Going to my first NWSL game this year today! (Reign vs. Bay FC was my one game last year, and I got to meet the great @arielledror.bsky.social at halftime 😁) I get asked about Where Goals Come From for women's ⚽ vs. men's, and my answer remains, "the game is the game -- all levels, all genders."
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
I missed the initial post, but caught this later. I really enjoyed Catalina's thoughts on the KU Leuven research paper on various types of Expected Possession Models, including ASA's own g+. dtai.cs.kuleuven.be/events/MLSA2...
dtai.cs.kuleuven.be
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
This should teach players to separate themselves from the pack. Eat or be eaten...
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
More jokes like this, please.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Friday Stat Dump: Goals + Assists (and xG + xA) Not every week has to feature some "fancy stat". 24 games into the MLS season is a great time to see which players are really standing out and helping their teams for the playoff stretch run. (hey, look, I don't need to number my skeet 🧵 anymore...)
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
American Soccer Analysis @americansocceranalysis.com · 11/09/2026
If you've been playing 75points.americansocceranalysis.com we just updated the 2026 projections with the last month of the seasons data. Here are the biggest movers (all goalies lol):
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
This is the Niko Tsakiris ball.
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Matthew Doyle @mattdoyle.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I can’t wait to see this kid with the full national team. Should happen this window.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I cannot believe that ball from Niko Tsakiris. What a game from him. If you don’t know what ball, you’ll see it later. Trust me.
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
cata @catabush.com · 08/09/2026
This summer, MLS teams spent a record-breaking amount of money on player transfers: $188 million. That's a 65% increase year-over-year and takes the yearly total to over $410 million, twice what it was in 2022. I dug into the data for @theguardian.com: www.theguardian.com/football/202...
theguardian.com
MLS’s transfer window and the spending line that keeps going up
Summer spending across the league’s 30 clubs has ballooned. Here are three takeaways from the league’s transfer window
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Friday Stat Dump: Attacking Third Possessions Last Friday we looked at Field Tilt % and related metrics home Penalty Box Entries and Atk 3rd Entries per Shot. Today, we'll look a more of these types of metrics, beginning with Atk 3rd Possession Starts. 1/
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Nothing makes me appreciate the variance in soccer outcomes more than building soccer simulations.
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
I lept out of my chair…
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Good to see another data site picking up on the xG Tiers concept we proposed back in 2021. It’s maybe the concept we wrote about in the Where Goals Come From series that has been utilized the most. www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2021/10...
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Kieran Doyle @kierdoyle.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Somebody should 200% be picking this guy up and seeing how real these insane numbers are.
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Friday Stat Dump: Field Tilt % Field Tilt % calculates the ratio of a team’s final-3rd passes or touches compared to their opponent's, supposedly telling us who controls the game in dangerous areas rather than just tracking "harmless possession". 1/
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Friday Stat Dump: Field Tilt % Field Tilt % calculates the ratio of a team’s final-3rd passes or touches compared to their opponent's, supposedly telling us who controls the game in dangerous areas rather than just tracking "harmless possession". 1/
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
cata @catabush.com · 26/08/2026
I'm really happy with how this one turned out. RAPM is really interesting and deserves more thought. Plus, plenty of news to catch up on.
post-match-report.leaflet.pub
August 26: RAPM
"plus minus" what about division and multiplication am i right
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Reposted by Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis
American Soccer Analysis @americansocceranalysis.com · 23/08/2026
Did you watch the Sounders last night and are wondering about all the Tacoma kids who played? Excited about Cavan Sullivan? Do we have the article for you. @kierdoyle.bsky.social tried to figure out how good MLSNP kids actually are. www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/8/...
americansocceranalysis.com
Replication Project-ish: Projecting MLS Performance based on MLS Next Pro Data — American Soccer Analysis
By Kieran Doyle In 2022, Daniel Dinsdale and Joe Gallagher of Stats Perform (the artist formerly known as Opta) released an arXiv of a paper titled “ Transfer Portal: Accurately Forecasting the...
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Will try to put out a Friday Stat Dump this weekend, but it’s last gasp summer vacation time, so we’ll see.
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John Muller @johnspacemuller.com · 20/08/2026
Minnesota fans: this is good news
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Jamon M - MLS and footy analysis @jamonm.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Does the team from the loser’s bracket have to win twice in the final like they did in my high school’s Christmas basketball tournament?
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