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James Fern

@jamesfern.bsky.social
1.1K followers 2.5K following 555 posts

Senior Lecturer; SFHEA; Academic GenAI lead; #Sport #Exercise #Science #rstats #openscience #bayes #MUFC

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by James Fern
Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 26/09/2026
Ah yes, the recurring UK government scheme to fight the fire of house prices by pouring copious amounts of gasoline on it. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Andy Burnham announces scheme to help first-time buyers
The prime minister says he wants people without support from the "bank of mum and dad" to receive help.
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Blaise Agüera y Arcas @blaiseaguera.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
This week marks one year since “What Is Intelligence?” was published.
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Dave Vetter @davidrvetter.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Happy Kicked In The Head By A Horse Day, to all who celebrate. It's the 7th anniversary of this absolute banger.
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Gwyllm Llwydd @gwyllm.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 23/09/2026
I prefer to believe that a topic has just come up which Rory and Ailbhe were discussing before the broadcast, and he is now daring her to repeat on camera what she said to him then.
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David Higgins @davidhiggins.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
It concerns me that the HE sector continues to over reward individual accolades such as grant getting (partly a matter of luck) and under reward vital things such as sustained collegiality and commitment to supporting students. It’s not healthy.
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Dan Quintana @dsquintana.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Did a double-take when I read this in my inbox, but it turns out the preview cut off the word “anxiety”
Screenshot of email: McGraw Hill
10:01
Let's get rid of research methods and stats...
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Charlotte Lydia Riley @lottelydia.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
thread on the wild discrepancy between 'education' coverage of Jason Arday and of James Orr -- grim, disappointing, but not surprising.
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Charlotte Lydia Riley @lottelydia.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
literally thousands of jobs in higher education were cut *last year alone* and there's been almost no media coverage and no government action
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Plashing Vole @plashingvole.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Teaching Writing for Children this afternoon, sadly without my sacked Creative Writing colleague who did all the good stuff. Appropriately given the apocalyptic mood round here another colleague is starting a module by showing Threads
static.klipy.com
Shocked Scared Woman
ALT: Shocked Scared Woman
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Reposted by James Fern
Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 19/09/2026
Even without descriptive statistics, you can see from Table 2 that this paper is a case of @ianhussey.mmmdata.io's maxim that "If researchers find Cohen’s d = 8, no they didn’t" (mmmdata.io/posts/2025/0...).
mmmdata.io
If researchers find Cohen's *d* = 8, no they didn't
I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about the plausibility of standardized effect sizes in the last year. From a trustworthiness assessment perspective, (standardized) effect sizes have a great combinat...
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Reposted by James Fern
Dan Quintana @dsquintana.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
New preprint! 🎉 I analysed 1660 papers from 4 psychology journals and found materials sharing went from 9% of papers in 2015 to 82% in 2025, and these materials *do* get downloaded — a median of 135 times each. BUT shared code is often hard to run. doi.org/10.31234/osf... Let's walk through it 🧵
Two-panel figure. Panel a is a flow diagram tracking 1,611 empirical psychology articles from publication year (545 in 2015, 552 in 2020, 514 in 2025) to repository-link type: 785 link an OSF project, 85 link another platform, and 741 link no repository. Of those with an OSF link, download counts were retrieved for 670 and not retrieved for 115. Panel b is a line chart of the share of empirical papers linking OSF across 2015, 2020 and 2025. The overall rate, shown as a dashed black line, rises from 9% to 57% to 82%. All four journals rise steeply and end close together: Psychological Science 92%, JESP 89%, JML 83%, Cognition 76%, with Psychological Science highest throughout.Three-panel figure. Panel a: ridgeline plot of downloads per file by material type on a log scale, with the percentage never downloaded labelled for each — archive 16% of 545 files, documents 20% of 2,970, code 12% of 3,471, other 17% of 1,646, data 21% of 10,051, media 35% of 2,120, images 35% of 4,102. Most files cluster between 1 and 10 downloads, with long right tails past 100. Panel b: ridgeline plot of downloads per paper by journal, log scale, with dashed median lines; Psychological Science is highest, then JESP, JML and Cognition. Panel c: stacked bars showing, for documents, data and code separately, the share of papers by download band (0, 1–10, 11–100, more than 100) in 2015, 2020 and 2025. The share exceeding 100 downloads falls sharply over time in all three types, from roughly two-thirds in 2015 to a quarter or less in 2025, as the 1–10 band grows.Four-panel figure. Panel a: statistical languages detected among 333 papers with retrievable code — R 88%, SPSS 12%, Stata 4%, SAS 1%. Panel b: code red flags among those 333 papers — 34% hard-code an absolute path, 40% reference a missing file — above documentation among 672 OSF-linked papers — 21% have a README, 30% are documented by README, description or wiki. Panel c: among 562 Elsevier papers with no repository link, 44% (245) host at least one journal supplementary file but only 14% (77) host data, code or an archive. Panel d: composition of those 448 hosted files — documents 52%, data 21%, media 9%, other 7%, archive 6%, code 3%, images 1%. The code panels are green, the journal-supplement panels blue.Coefficient plot (download predictors)

Dot-and-whisker plot of three standardised predictors of OSF download volume, each with a 95% confidence interval. Repository size (number of files) has the largest effect at about 0.76, citations about 0.38, and altmetric attention about 0.12. All three intervals sit entirely above zero, so each predicts more downloads, with repository size roughly twice the effect of citations and six times that of attention. X-axis: standardised effect, −0.2 to 1.0.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
"My department has also dispatched three of our finest schooners to explore the part of our maps that say 'here be dragons.' We vow to get to the bottom of this mystery."
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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 17/09/2026
Now published online at AMPPS: Our (me and Andrew Gelman) reply to the response by Aungle et al. to our comment on the Aungle & Langer article. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Relatedly, we really need a standard name for each stage of the comment–reply sequence!
journals.sagepub.com
This Is the Reason for External Replication: Response to Aungle et al. - Nicholas J. L. Brown, Andrew Gelman, 2026
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Colin @colin-fraser.net · 16/09/2026
I would agree that this Doctorow post not good. This paragraph in particular irks me. I think that a "database of earlier hacking challenges" implies plainly false things about what happened, like that the attack vector was not novel (a previously unknown-by-any-person vulnerability was exploited)
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Absolutely crazy to even consider a new contract for him, let alone 3 years. And a wage rise 🤯😂
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Chad Loder @chadloder.dev · 15/09/2026
When you want to boycott Ed Sheeran and Pink but you already don't listen to shitty music
Depressed kermit the frog costume guy sitting hunched over on a park bench
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
The best thing I’ve listend to by far about the hugging face attack. Clearly explained but in great detail and some great discussion about what this means for future ‘alignment’ efforts youtu.be/X50zezLFWWI?...
youtu.be
Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"
YouTube video by Dwarkesh Patel
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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 03/09/2026
Excellent. Even allowing for what I presume was some up-front notice that the Data Colada posts were coming, this retraction has happened between 10 and 100 times faster than the (ludicrous) current average. I hope this becomes the new normal, at SAGE and beyond.
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Plashing Vole @plashingvole.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Absolutely the situation here. The 3 out of 12 people who survive (we find out next week, probably) will be faced with teaching departing colleagues’ modules or finding and supporting underpaid hourly staff to do so in 3 weeks’ time. It can’t go well for anyone at all.
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John Bull @garius.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Back when i was editor of @lonrec.bsky.social the BBC asked me during an interview if i thought the Elizabeth line would be Sadiq Khan's big legacy for London. i said: "no. it's ULEZ expansion." they looked at me like i had three heads. Every year though there's more and more proof I was right.
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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 19/08/2026
The name of the day has a "y" in it, so we have a case of a "prestigious" journal publishing utter shite and refusing to do anything meaningful about it. See you tomorrow!
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Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
It really is amazing how researchers and journal editors will avoid showing even the most basic courtesy or gratitude to sleuths who point out errors in their work. I get that it's embarrassing, but guess what: that sleuth has read your work more closely than anyone else ever will! For free!
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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 09/08/2026
Can't help thinking that the Arday situation could have been avoided with a bit of the old "Nullius in Verba". You ran a million miles in a week? Cool, let's see the story in the media, whether you're from a minority we don't want to upset or the Eton-educated son of the head of the Civil Service. /
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Plashing Vole @plashingvole.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Delighted to hear today that the answer to ‘who will supervise PhDs whose supervisors are being sacked?’ is ‘hire hourly-paid supervisors who were sacked in the previous round of sackings’. This rather whiffs of fake redundancies.
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Good news, everyone! I have a short piece coming out in The Conversation on Monday that explains the main issues with this study. It's impossible for me to have the same media reach as the original press release. So I'd be extremely grateful if people could help me share it as widely as possible 🙏
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Causal inference theory and methods should be first introduced at secondary school, and the rest should be taught in all quantitative undergraduate courses. It is far too fundamental to leave to specialist masters and graduate degrees, learnt only by a small minority of quantitative scientists.
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Caroline Lucas @carolinelucas.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Beggars belief that Met Police is in talks with #Palantir about giving them access to highly sensitive data, when there’s already such concern over its links with ICE & Israeli military. Palantir already has UK contracts worth over £500m, incl. with NHS. We should be scrapping them not signing more
theguardian.com
Met police in talks to buy Palantir AI tech for use in criminal investigations
Exclusive: Internal concerns over allowing US firm linked to ICE and Israeli military to process highly sensitive data
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Nick Brown @steamtraen.eu · 04/04/2026
New blog post (it's been a while): Make Meta-Analysis Great Again. This is a serious proposal. Please amplify to whoever might be interested, especially if they have money. steamtraen.blogspot.com/2026/04/make...
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The Great Simplification @tgspodcast.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
In this episode, Nate speaks with primatologist and author @christinewebb.bsky.social about human exceptionalism – the deeply embedded belief that humans are separate from and superior to the rest of nature. www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/213-...
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 03/03/2026
Hannah Ritchie has built a fun little tool where you can compare energy usage of various products and activities. This is super helpful imho, because it's so hard to develop intuitions even just about the scales involved here. hannahritchie.substack.com/p/does-that-...
Screenshot of the "Does that use a lot of energy?" online app
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
This is basically my villain origin story. "How old are you?" (unique responses)
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Sarah Kendzior @sarahkendzior.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
On Trump, Epstein, and their social circle of pedophiles. From HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT, written in 2019, before Epstein was indicted. "The story of Jeffrey Epstein is one that will define our era..." us.macmillan.com/books/978125...
Kendzior HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT (2020) four pages of text on Trump, Epstein, Michael Cohen, death threats to rape victimsKendzior HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT (2020) four pages of text on Trump, Epstein, Michael Cohen, death threats to rape victimsKendzior HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT (2020) four pages of text on Trump, Epstein, Michael Cohen, death threats to rape victimsKendzior HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT (2020) four pages of text on Trump, Epstein, Michael Cohen, death threats to rape victims
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Dr Madeleine Pownall @maddipow.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
"Scientific literacy has long been a cornerstone of higher education but the open research movement has redefined what it means to be literate as a researcher" with @flavioazevedo.bsky.social & @drcpennington.bsky.social www.timeshighereducation.com/opinion/if-p...
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
“A striking feature of recent reporting is how much attention is given to preventing and detecting cheating with AI detectors, bans on AI use and invigilated exams, presented as the “only way” forward. Detection is not assurance, and it never was.” www.linkedin.com/pulse/real-c...
linkedin.com
The real crisis isn’t cheating. It’s mistaking marks for learning.
With Brian Stout In recent days, the Australian has painted a stark picture of higher education under siege: empty lecture theatres, students “outsourcing” degrees to generative AI, and universities c...
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Reposted by James Fern
conputer dipshit @davidcrespo.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
good article
hbr.org
AI Doesn’t Reduce Work—It Intensifies It
One of the promises of AI is that it can reduce workloads so employees can focus more on higher-value and more engaging tasks. But according to new research, AI tools don’t reduce work, they consisten...
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Working on a lecture, whilst being watched…
4 sparrows in a tree looking into a window
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Excellent piece on smart glasses and education - hard not to feel that the sector is far from ready in responding to the widespread adoption of such tech nationalcentreforai.jiscinvolve.org/wp/2026/01/2...
nationalcentreforai.jiscinvolve.org
Smart Glasses in Education - Artificial intelligence
Why look at smart glasses now? Smart glasses have been commercially available in some form for over a decade. More recently, they have returned to popular conversation, driven largely by Meta and its ...
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ET Heisenberg @utdheisenberg.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Love United Hate Glazer #GlazersOut 🟩🟨
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
2nd trip to OT for the nephews ❤️
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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
“Air pollution fell substantially as Paris restricted car traffic and made way for parks, people-streets and bike-lanes.” Better for the climate, better for health, better for livability and quality of life. Common sense. Such a no-brainer, it’s remarkable that more cities HAVEN’T done the same.
washingtonpost.com
Paris said au revoir to cars. Air pollution maps reveal a dramatic change.
Air pollution fell substantially as the city restricted car traffic and made way for parks and bike lanes.
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Am generally supportive of a ban (am not sure we need to 'wait for evidence', and a year seems arbitrary), but only if it comes with much stricter regulation for everyone, given its negative effects don't harm just children.
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Daniel Benneworth-Gray @danielgray.com · 19/01/2026
COW TOOLS COW TOOLS COW TOOLS
theguardian.com
Back-scratching bovine leads scientists to reassess intelligence of cows
Brown Swiss in Austria has been discovered using tools in multiple ways – something only ever seen in humans and chimpanzees
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Zoomer Antimillenarian @surcomplicated.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
I am actually very optimistic about the long-run outcome of genAI for the humanities but the reaction *from* humanities specialists is going to delay the benefits to their fields. It's really good when ppl suddenly have a bunch of tools they interact with via effective use of *natural language*.
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Bill @bill-of-lefts.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Even though I absolutely hate reading AI writing, I am getting negatively polarized by the stunning incuriosity of so much of the professoriate about the objectively strangest technology in the last hundred years
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Christo Silvia @christosilvia.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
One thing that is very interesting in the topic of writing in particular, is that even if you accept the premise that AI is an incredibly powerful and useful tool, the *way you communicate with that tool* is by writing. The technology of AI makes written communication skills more valuable, not less
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James Fern @jamesfern.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
This is a really great read. Are we now in a period of “reverse” reverse adaptation, as per Langdon Winner? At least as it pertains to LLMs and writing?
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Jess Miers 🦝 @jmiers230.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
YES! We shouldn't have norms for voices.
Slide titled “what people say are ‘AI-tells.’” The slide lists common phrases used to accuse writing of being AI-generated and explains their harms. Examples include “suspiciously perfect” and “too grammatical,” which are said to reinforce existing biases against writers from marginalized linguistic backgrounds, raising questions about who is expected to produce “perfect” writing. Another set—“overuse of generalizations,” “sounds overconfident,” and “repeats the prompt”—is identified as common traits of inexperienced student writers, citing Aull (2020). A third set—“sounds robotic,” “no voice,” and “lacks warmth”—is described as reinforcing biases against neurodivergent writers and certain genres such as technical writing, and as dehumanizing. The slide uses a colorful background with highlighted text and arrows linking claims to critiques.
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Mike Masnick @masnick.com · 18/01/2026
I do worry about the rush to claim certain things are definitely AI, which people think they can tell with certainty (they absolutely cannot) will lead to bad outcomes as well. A while back I wrote about the hoops my kid went through to try to avoid sounding like AI, which made the writing worse.
techdirt.com
AI Checkers Forcing Kids To Write Like A Robot To Avoid Being Called A Robot
Can the fear of students using generative AI and the rise of questionable AI “checker” tools create a culture devoid of creativity? It’s a topic that is curiously one worth delving into a bit more …
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Christophe 🔬 Leterrier @christlet.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
Tracking the details of an experiment in successively cited Methods sections
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