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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥

@jacobnyrup.bsky.social
2.9K followers 1.1K following 1.5K posts

I (try to) advance our knowledge on the politics of dictatorships, political elites, comparative politics, and 💵🏠 as Professor of Political Science at University of Oslo. I also collect loads of data on governments: whogov.net.

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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 5h
Haha, I wish that was the case. Maybe they also thought that Ellen-Edward is so far away in Australia that no one would actually know whether he changed name
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 9h
Noticed that I was cited in a new publication today... for a paper with @chknutsen.bsky.social we have never written. I start shuffling through the references, and it turns out that @edwardgoldring.bsky.social has changed name to Ellen! Friends, don't do this. People in your field will notice.
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Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
In other words, a 10 percent contraction in one of Britain’s most successful exports. If it were steel or fish or other infinitely less profitable sectors, people would be having a meltdown.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
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Anita Gohdes @argohdes.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
This image says more than a 1000 words. Abysmal to see countries bowing to US pressure to withdraw from sponsoring a conference on disinformation. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 08/10/2026
It’s really remarkable to me that 10 years into this people feel compelled to “clarify” Trump’s homicidal and often genocidal fantasies. It is deranged for the president to daydream about American cities in states he hates getting blown up. Full stop.
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Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
New WP with brilliant co-author @jacobnyrup.bsky.social! Which governments are most representative? We match the backgrounds of tens of thousands of cabinet ministers to population data in 136 countries (1991-2021) and measure the representation gap on gender, age, education, class and geography.
World map shading each country by the average gap between its cabinet and its population on gender, age, education, class and capital origin, 2001–2021. Gaps are smallest in Scandinavia, followed by North America, Australia, and much of Western Europe. They are largest in Asia and (much of) Africa.
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Kasper Junge Wester @veterandrusianer.dk · 06/10/2026
Der kan man bare se.
journalisten.dk
B.T.-journalister sender bekymringsbrev: Føler sig spændt for en politisk vogn
B.T.'s redaktionelle frihed og uafhængighed er blevet undermineret, journalister bliver pålagt at bruge ideologiske kilder og bliver indkaldt til det, der kun kan ses som sindelagssamtaler.Så alvorlig...
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
But I fear that Trump will be even more erratic and aggressive, when he faces more roadblocks and cannot govern as unhindered anymore, making him more dangerous. Anyway, these are just some thoughts. I'm by no means an expert on American politics, so would be curious if there is something I missed?
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
in funding bills. I guess there will also be a huge psychological effect, empowering Democrats and allowing Republicans to put greater distance between themselves and Trump. This will be important going into 2028 and the fight to preserve American democracy.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Thus, it seems to me the most important consequence would be that Democrats can block Trumps nominees to cabinet, supreme court, and so on, forcing him to compromise or leave positions open. Moreover, Congress can open investigations and perform oversight. Guess they also have more bargaining power
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
I am wondering what the most important consequences would be if the Democrats manage to take both the House and the Senate? Trump isn't really having a legislative agenda anyway, not much being passed, preferring to use executive orders. And he would be able to veto bills coming from congress.
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
As a reminder, Trump is already on National Park passes, and people have been told they will not be admitted if the image is vandalized. At some point, this is not so much branding government services as imposing the images of a personalist regime.
national park pass featuring trump
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Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
It's finally publication day for this decade-in-the-making book. @noamlupu.bsky.social and I explain why working-class jobs make up 70% of the average democracy's labor force, but only 2% of the average democracy's national lawmakers had working-class jobs when they got into politics.
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southpaw @nycsouthpaw.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
I despise seeing what’s really going on stuffed into a “but critics say” clause.
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Markus Kollberg @markuskollberg.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
🚨New Paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social! Julia Leschke and I ask: What works against populist rhetoric? We find: Advocating for pluralist ideals can mitigate the negative effects of populist rhetoric. link.springer.com/article/10.1... More details below ⏬
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
It is crazy. A Fujimori governs Peru, a Marcos governs the Philippines, and Brazil may soon be governed by a Bolsonaro.
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Marcel Dirsus @marceldirsus.com · 05/10/2026
"In total, this summer, 13m Ukrainian books have been destroyed by Russian missiles or drones – a third, estimates the government, of all books printed in Ukraine this year." www.theguardian.com/world/ng-int...
theguardian.com
Incinerated novels and destroyed warehouses: Russia’s war on Ukrainian books
A Ukrainian publishing boom sparked by the 2022 invasion is now under threat from the force and frequency of Russian attacks
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Liberal democracy can rightly be criticized for many things, but it has - without a doubt - created more prosperity, freedom, and happiness than any of its alternatives and giving up on it will have terrible consequences.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Hitler and Mussolini didn't make the trains run on time; they destroyed their countries and killed millions. And Putin is following in their footsteps. (Left-wing authoritarians are also terrible at governing, but they are, with a few exceptions, not being voted into office much these days ).
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
10 percentage points relative to a plausible non-populist counterfactual. Orban lost the election in April because he turned Hungary into one of the poorest and most corrupt countries in the EU. It is especially bad for those who actually become real dictators as I argue and show in my PhD.
ora.ox.ac.uk
The myth of the benevolent autocrat? Internal constraints, external constraints, and economic development in autocracies - ORA - Oxford University Research Archive
Why do some autocracies produce high economic development while others falter? Despite the large literature comparing democracies and autocracies we know little about differences amongst autocratic re...
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
An underappreciated fact about far-right populists is that they are terrible at governing, especially in the longer run. Trump is a case in point every single day, but systematic studies shows that this is the case more generally. As this study shows, after 15 years they lower GDP per capita with
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
It seems like every election these days pits a protofascist, utterly compromised, and corrupt candidate against a somewhat boring and uninspiring but decent and competent centrist. And then it is like fifty-fifty who wins, maybe with a small edge to the protofascist.
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Today, Brazilian voters head to the polls to elect a new president. A fitting occasion to remind us Europeans how concentrated presidentialism is in the Americas & to (re-)read Linz’s seminal “The Perils of Presidentialism.” (I created this map for my lecture, using Anckar/Fredriksson's cool data)
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Free weekend update is out. Russia has a strategy for this winter--massive war crimes to make Ukraine unlivable. We need to speak the truth on that. One reason they need to do this is that they are struggling in other parts of the war--see Vivaldi. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
Weekend Update #205: Russia’s Strategy In Two Words: “War Crimes”
Operation Vivaldi, Even More Robots; The Trump-Putin Quid Pro Quo
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
When foreign invaders occupy part of your country and turn your children, in their own schools, into soldiers trained to come back and kill the rest of you once they grow up, it’s… it’s just unspeakable evil. It is unfathomable tragedy for Ukraine.
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Matthew Gertz @mattgertz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
They're holding up a major escalation in Iran and a crackdown on abortion until after the midterms to limit political damage. To the extent that the last two years have been a right-wing smash-and-grab operation, the next two will be worse.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 01/10/2026
I recommend people read this to get a sense of the president's grave cognitive impairment. Trump is either unwilling or unable (or maybe both) to answer the questions he's actually asked, so he just rants and raves while the interviewers do their best to provide structure to his random brain firings
time.com
Read TIME’s ‘What Trump Has Built’ Interview Transcript
The U.S. President discussed the war in Iran, press freedom, AI, and more ahead of the midterm elections.
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David Szakonyi @szakonyi.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
One of Russia's best political experts - Alexander Kynev - has been arrested on preposterous charges of drug trafficking. Reports emerging that he may have been beaten and tortured after arrest. Independent expertise is treated as a crime in Putin's Russia
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Reminds me of something
m.youtube.com
Endless applause for Stalin ! Applaudissements sans fin pour Staline !
YouTube video by Titor991
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Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
✌️ Next week, this year's recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize will be announced in Oslo ✍️ Thanks to The Guardian for inviting me to share my thoughts on potential awardees and why I believe the more war there is, the more the Nobel Peace Prize matters www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
Forget the famous names. Here is who actually deserves this year’s Nobel peace prize | Haakon Gjerløw
The betting markets favour the US president and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. But the most vital work to secure peace is being done by those far from the spotlight, says Haakon Gjerløw, acting director of the ...
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 26/09/2026
Incredible: another Ukrainian famine is unfolding, this time in Russian-occupied Oleshky. The remaining inhabitants of what used to be a thriving small city, now down to about 6000 people, are blockaded by Russian forces and cut off from food and water. www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Oleshky: Eating garden weeds to survive in Russian-occupied city cut off from food and water
The BBC has spoken to residents in the Russian-occupied Ukrainian town of Oleshky who say they are being "constantly shelled".
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026
One tip to new PhDs. You probably are worried that an audience member will "catch" some fatal flaw in your research. You should be more worried that five minutes in everyone is answering emails on their laptop. If people are engaging (even critically), it is better than not paying attention.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Could be worse. Saparmurat Niyazov, the dictator of Turkmenistan, named the months after himself, his mother, and Turkmen national symbols.
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Edward Luce @edwardluce.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
"The term “lame duck” would be haunting any other president’s sleep. But the concept is alien to Trump. He spends more of his time telling people about his architectural plans than he devotes to Iran, AI or the economy. Insoluble problems hold no interest." My column. as.ft.com/r/928f5cb7-6...
as.ft.com
Trump is checking out of his presidency
With no way out of his war with Iran, he is increasingly obsessed with monuments to himself
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Noam Lupu @noamlupu.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
“Of the 919 candidates running as major-party nominees for the US House and Senate this November, only seven had a working-class job when they got into politics. That’s less than 1%, despite working-class jobs making up about half of the US labor force.” @carnes.bsky.social and I explain why.
bloomberg.com
Why Working-Class Candidates Are Almost Never on the Ballot
Less than 1% of major-party candidates competing for a seat in the US Congress have a background in manual trades or service industries.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Haha, ja, den kan gå begge veje den her. Jeg kommer i hvert fald til at sidde i spænding og vente på resultatet!
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
"Putin tager sejren i Rusland" Hvorfor dækker nogle danske medier det russiske valg som om, at der er en reel usikkerhed om "valgets" resultat? Rusland er et brutalt diktatur og Putin har diktereret resultatet. At dække det som et reelt valg er at gå Putins ærinde og give ham legitimitet.
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Gillian Brockell @gillianbrockell.com · 20/09/2026
The Third-Country Removal Tracker has been updated with last week's ICE flights to Costa Rica and Paraguay. Crossing fingers that, with the appeals court decision, this may be the last update for awhile. We'll see. gillianbrockell.com/tracking-all...
gillianbrockell.com
Tracking All of Trump’s Known Third-Country Removals
Trump's ICE has expelled an estimated 23,000 people to countries where they have no ties. Find out where they are going, what happens to them, and who profits.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
and Fishes of the Sea, and Conqueror of the British Empire in Africa in General and Uganda in Particular.
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Ja, han kommer helt sikker til at hive flere kaniner op ad hatten. Måske han går i Idi Amins fodspor og giver sig selv en ny titel? Idi Amin gav sig selv titlen: His Excellency President for Life, Field Marshal Al Hadji Doctor Idi Amin, VC, DSO, MC, CBE, Lord of all the Beasts of the Earth...
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Trump kan ikke få sit navn på Kennedy Centret. Så nu truer han med at rive det ned (hvilket er ulovligt, men det er bare en parentes i USA i 2026). Han er en gal tyran og historien viser, at det kun kommer til at blive mere skørt, så længe han fortsat er ved magten.
theguardian.com
Trump’s battle to rename the Kennedy Center has put its future at risk
The president has threatened to block renovations and suggested the landmark could be demolished after courts ruled against his bid to rename it
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Definitely way smarter than the US president
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Heh, it looks like they gave him the agreement he already had. Like wrapping an old toy and present it as a new gift to a toddler with amnesia
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David Szakonyi @szakonyi.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
We're hiring in Comparative Politics here at GWU! Come join our fantastic department, and plug your research directly into DC’s policy community Work on all regions and methodological approaches welcome I'm on the committee and happy to answer any questions www.gwu.jobs/postings/128...
gwu.jobs
Assistant Professor of Political Science
The Department of Political Science invites applications for a tenure-track position in Comparative Politics at the rank of Assistant Professor beginning as early as Fall 2027. This position is pendin...
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
📢 The Call for Papers for EPSS 2027 is open! After a fantastic first conference in Belfast, we’re heading to Copenhagen 🇩🇰, 24–26 June 2027. ⏰ Deadline: 13 Nov 2026 👉 Call for papers: epssnet.org/2027-copenha... 1/2
epssnet.org
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 14/09/2026
Trump's foreign policy is not isolationist. On the contrary, his ideologues want to build an international empire run by far-right political movements who serve American crypto, mineral and tech companies, many with links to the president. Read more here: www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202...
theatlantic.com
Empire of Grift
Far-right ideologues have transformed American foreign policy into a tool of private gain and antidemocratic reaction.
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Jesse Eisinger @jeisinger.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
“This should be unthinkable for the son of the president. End of story.” A Russian oligarch close to Putin bankrolled Don Jr.’s wedding. www.propublica.org/article/dona...
propublica.org
Donald Trump Jr.’s Wedding Bankrolled by Putin-Linked Russian Oligarch
The oligarch, Umar Kremlev, spent hundreds of thousands on expenses like renting out a private island. He appears to have met Trump Jr. only recently, but he attended the intimate wedding with a large...
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Trump familien er så vanvittigt korrupt. De skovler milliarder ind, men selvfølgelig skal Trump Jr’s bryllup betales af russerne. Hvis ikke det meste af familien rådner op i fængsel for korruption og landsforræderi, så har det amerikanske system spillet fallit.
propublica.org
Donald Trump Jr.’s Wedding Bankrolled by Putin-Linked Russian Oligarch
The oligarch, Umar Kremlev, spent hundreds of thousands on expenses like renting out a private island. He appears to have met Trump Jr. only recently, but he attended the intimate wedding with a large...
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 14/09/2026
Your regular reminder: If the Russians stop fighting, the war ends. If the Ukrainians stop fighting, their land will be occupied, their leaders will be killed, their history and language will be erased, their children will be kidnapped to serve Russia.
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