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Michael Hirson

@hotpotwhynot.bsky.social
128 followers 385 following 51 posts

Economics and geopolitics with a focus on Asia. Formerly with US Treasury in DC, Beijing and Kabul. Happily back in NYC. Considerate Citibiker.

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Reposted by Michael Hirson
Stephen Jacob Smith @stephenjacobsmith.com · 49m
…in the intersection and politely invite you to not do that – but if you choose to anyway, that’s cool too! Will the state allow the city to enforce this rule with cameras? No. Will the city use the abundant cops they have stationed here to hand out tickets manually? Absolutely not.
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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Great job everyone.
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Kudos to the Fed Board for evidence-based interior design! (We know that open workspaces are bad for productivity)
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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Watch these islands. I paid a visit to each of them last year.
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"These findings suggest that for the U.S., economic security threats are an opportunity for special interests to leverage such debates to benefit from market intervention that would not have occurred without the emergence of a status threat." (BTW, @tradewarlab.bsky.social is excellent).
open.substack.com
Who Gets to Call It Economic Security?
Filtering Special Interests: How Institutions Shape the Politics of Trade Securitization
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Kharis Templeman @kharist.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
My new article on Taiwan's slow-motion constitutional crisis is out today at the Journal of Democracy. The main theme: Taiwan's constitutional framework is poorly designed to handle divided government. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/ta...
journalofdemocracy.org
Taiwan’s Deadlocked Democracy | Journal of Democracy
A wealthy, high-quality democracy has seized up. No populist, no stolen election—just divided government colliding with a constitution built for single-party rule. With Beijing watching…
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Wow. Sound on.
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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
It’s hard to separate the legitimate technologies being developed by Anduril from the MAGA corruption party.
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stevelevitsky.bsky.social @stevelevitsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Lucan Way and I have been writing about competitive authoritarianism for more than 25 years. We never thought we'd write this piece. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/com...
journalofdemocracy.org
Competitive Authoritarianism in America | Journal of Democracy
The United States has slid into competitive authoritarianism. The slide has been modest and remains reversible—but it is real. Even after Donald Trump, American democracy will remain fragile.
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Kenny Logins @kennylogins.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
guy who always says “warning shots” to no one in particular when he feels the first few drops of rain
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
This is like getting wooden teeth to emulate George Washington. You’re no Buffett, buddy.
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the Mountain Goats @themountaingoats.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
bluesky does not seem to really be talking about this but today Stevie Wonder unleased 4 songs that didn't make "Songs in the Key of Life." music.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
music.youtube.com
Songs In The Key Of Life - The EP
EP • Stevie Wonder
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captain bleach @blainecapatch.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
sad to see DETROITERS is leaving Netflix on October 15, watch it if you've never seen it and watch it again if you have
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MachinePix @machinepix.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Hot sauce in a two-lobe rotary pump.
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Prediction: Trump is laying it on so thick with this Xi visit that he will negatively polarize US public opinion back against China.
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Nvidia PR person silently weeps as Jensen explains that he has lost the use of a knife and fork because he is hand-fed grilled wagyu by a humanoid
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I was discussing Tianjin dumplings with someone the other day, and was reminded of a joke I made on twitter several years ago that I thought would do better numbers. What say the judges? @bokane.org @thoc.bsky.social @goldkorn.bsky.social
Absolutely brilliant pun on Chinese Basketball Association legend Stephon Marbury's Chinese name. It sounds like "Horses Ignore It", which is a play on a famous Tianjin dumpling chain whose name is "Dogs Ignore It".
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I love that @himself.bsky.social wrote about Jervis' System Effects, a remarkable but also somewhat confounding book. Even outside of the academic sphere, would highly endorse more imaginative ways to think about feedback effects in discussions of foreign policy and geopolitics.
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Francis Fukuyama @frankfukuyama.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Why I Changed My Mind About AI Risk open.substack.com/pub/persuasi...
open.substack.com
Why I Changed My Mind About AI Risk
On accelerationists and doomers.
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Jeremiah Jenne @jeremiahjenne.com · 21/09/2026
In this recently re-released episode of Dan Snow's History Hit, Dan and I dish about the rise and fall of the Ming Dynasty. It's Monarchs. Mongols. Manchus. Eunuchs and more. shows.acast.com/dansnowshist...
shows.acast.com
The Rise and Fall of the Ming Dynasty | Dan Snow's History Hit
At its height, Ming China was one of the most powerful states on Earth. So how did it come to an end?
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Paul French @chinarhyming.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Exclusive: 84yrs ago American Journalist Bernard Covit arrived in Japanese-Occupied Shanghai. Here is Covit’s account of Shanghai between Fall 1942 to his internment in Pudong in Feb 1943...It’s a unique & revealing portrait of life in occupied Shanghai... paulfrench.substack.com/p/september-...
paulfrench.substack.com
September 21 2026 - ChinaRhmying - Exclusive: 84 Years Ago American Journalist & POW Bernard Covit Arrived in Japanese-Occupied Shanghai...
Below is Covit’s account of his time in Japanese-occupied Shanghai between autumn 1942 to his internment in Pudong in February 1943...It’s a unique & revealing portrait of life in occupied Shanghai...
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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
For NYers of a certain age, the quiz could be a single question: “do you wait in line or on line?” The other 143 are superfluous.
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Dave @daswickerman.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
I always wondered who took this picture.
An old canon advertisement featuring Godzilla using a printer. Godzilla is standing over a large printer with a handful of paper. There is Japanese text and the title Canon NEW BELPIA.
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𝕋𝕙𝕖 ℍ𝕚𝕤𝕥🎃𝕣𝕪 𝕠𝕗 ℂ𝕙𝕚𝕟𝕒 ℙ💀𝕕𝕔𝕒𝕤𝕥 @thoc.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
missing a few, but otherwise... solid!
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Maura Elizabeth Cunningham @mauracunningham.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
My new review for @wsj.com discusses THE SHANGHAI AGENTS, a lively work of historical noir that will appeal to anyone else who's watched The Americans multiple times.
wsj.com
‘The Shanghai Agents’ Review: Committed to the Comintern
Embedded in 1930s China to advance the cause of Communist revolution, a pair of Soviet agents maintained their cover stories through their arrest and trial.
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Instead of the traditional military parade to mark Independence Day, which cannot be held due to wartime security conditions, Ukrainian ground robotic complexes drove down the centre of Kyiv today, maritime drones sailed along the Dnipro River, and military planes and combat drones flew overhead.
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Manya Koetse @manyapan.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
No matter how you feel about Niu Lai, we can all agree on one thing: something extraordinary happened in Chinese cinemas this month. A mother-and-son duo’s animated 3D film earned just 342 yuan ($50) on opening day. Then its crude visuals turned it into a viral success. This is a video thread.
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Unseen Japan @unseenjapan.com · 18/08/2026
NEW: A Japanese social media user asked how people in Korea and China, where many people have the same surname, address one another at work. But why does Japan, unlike those countries, have so many surnames? The answer dates back to a Meiji-era law.
unseen-japan.com
Why Does Japan Have So Many Last Names Compared to China and Korea?
Why does Japan have hundreds of thousands of surnames while China and Korea rely on a handful? The answer lies in a Meiji-era law.
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Jeremy Goldkorn @goldkorn.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
As a emigré in China for 20 years, and an immigrant in the U.S. for 10 years, hard agree.
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Hi @newmuseum.bsky.social are these sidewalk barriers a permanent exhibition? Your construction has been done for months now, but these are still around and forcing bikers into traffic. @nyc-dot.bsky.social
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Random Restaurant Bot @restaurant-bot.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Palacio Lung Fung; Av. 7aC Nte., Panamá, Provincia de Panamá, Panama www.google.com/maps/search/?api=1&q…
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Noah Barkin @noahbarkin.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
China is losing the Germans, long their strongest defenders in Europe www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
scmp.com
Germans emerge as Europe’s biggest China hawks as economic pain begins to bite
Some 49 per cent of those polled see China as a rival or adversary while just 38 per cent see the nation in positive terms, new survey finds.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
(Reuters) - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are evaluating chipmaking equipment from China's Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC) for possible ​use at their Chinese factories, three people familiar with the matter said .. @reuters.com $SKHY www.reuters.com/world/china/...
reuters.com
EXCLUSIVE: Samsung, SK Hynix test Chinese chip tools as hedge against US risks
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are evaluating chipmaking equipment from China's Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC) for possible ​use at their Chinese factories, three people familiar with t...
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Random Restaurant Bot @restaurant-bot.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
MARVELOUS GOD; 229 Voix Akodéha Situé à 450 m du Super marché" Zénith, en allant vers l'hôpital 100 lits Maison Kpadé No de la boutique 430, Comé, Benin www.google.com/maps/search/?api=1&q…
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Benny Six-Cats @teeveeben.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
I think it actually makes more sense if the pogo bounce is the reload action.
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Tobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Honestly, it's fairly straightforward. Ideological zealot who is convinced that she has the solution to save Japan and is isolated from more reality-based sources of information. open.substack.com/pub/observin...
open.substack.com
The lady's not for turning
Taking Takaichi seriously on fiscal policy
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Corey Atad @coreyatad.com · 28/07/2026
as an expert in temporal pincer movements it took me a while before i could accept Tenet for the exciting action movie that it is
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Karthik Sankaran @rajakorman.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Bungoat Diplomacy
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Equator @equatormag.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
“N!xau was found dead in the bush in 2003, only 59 years old, after going out to gather some food.” From our brand new print issue: Carey Baraka travels to Namibia to separate truth from fiction in The Gods Must Be Crazy – the most popular African film of all time www.equator.org/articles/the...
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Michael Hirson @hotpotwhynot.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
The many comments to this post are similar to my reaction: “Dude, ‘rabid’? Okay, tough but fair.”
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Many point to Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, a natural instinct and there are indeed many parallels. The US track record is appalling (as I've written abt all of them). One key difference w/ Vietnam/Afgh at least: other presidents (even Trump 1.0!) decided not to attack Iran (and Iraq's regime). 1/
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
the media had been cycling in and out of Afghanistan for 20 years and so treated it as 'real' in a way that Iran isn't
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chris xu @chrysaora.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
i grew up in china when china was a low-trust (in terms of safety standards) society, so here’s some pasts that might be in our future in the Age of Diarrhea: * wash your own tableware with boiling water as pre-meal ritual at restaurants OR conspicuous glass-front UV-C santization machine for same
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Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
EU trade enforcer (now the point person on China trade policy) Denis Redonnet is briefing on EU-China relations in EP this morning He confirmed my report on plan for China to make "direct purchase commitments, in particular where trade is taking place via government procurement"
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Random Restaurant Bot @restaurant-bot.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Cheng Tim's Restaurant; 7877+WH2, Port Vila, Vanuatu www.google.com/maps/search/?api=1&q…
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Karthik Sankaran @rajakorman.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
In other words, Jon Sindreu (who does not seem to be here) is right. www.reuters.com/commentary/b...
reuters.com
Breakingviews - Yuan ‘Plaza Accord’ would barely dent China’s edge
G7 pressure for Beijing ⁠to revalue ​its currency have ​resurfaced but even a 25% increase in the ​yuan would ​not overcome China's vast ‌cost ⁠edge. Closing the gap requires trimming regulation, funn...
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
SCMP: "A record 156 new models are expected to hit the Chinese automotive market in the second half of 2026, intensifying concerns about small players’ profitability as a new price war looms." Hard to believe that a banking system would willingly fund this much capacity. sc.mp/jocqi?utm_so...
sc.mp
How 156 new car models could trigger a ‘do-or-die’ crisis in China’s EV market
A record wave of launches – mostly EVs – threatens to overwhelm demand, forcing smaller players into a fight for survival.
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Science Friday @scifri.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Meet Euplotes gigatrox, a super-giant cannibal captured with a scanning electron microscope for our #PictureOfTheWeek. Image credit: Ben Larson and Samuel Lord
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Phil Plait @philplait.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
I don't follow sports so I assume from the photos that the Ghostbusters defeated Gozer
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