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Giorgio Cafiero

@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social
326 followers 46 following 27 posts

CEO of DC-based Gulf State Analytics • Adjunct Assistant Professor at Georgetown University • Adjunct Fellow at American Security Project • SME Gulf States • Public Trust Contractor

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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Whether this Kuwait framework remains a vehicle for institutional cooperation or evolves into something more consequential will depend largely on unpredictable developments in the region’s security architecture. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social buff.ly/TSzObhy
buff.ly
Kuwait’s Defense Diversification Through Pakistan - AGSI
The significance of Kuwait’s defense pact with Pakistan lies less in any immediate military transformation than in what it reveals about the evolving security landscape of the Gulf.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
World Politics Review @wpr.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Five years after the Taliban’s return to power, Central Asian states view engagement with Kabul as not only possible, but necessary, @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social writes for WPR.
wpr.pub
Central Asia Has Learned to Live With the Taliban
Five years after the Taliban’s return to power, Central Asian states view engagement with Kabul as not only possible, but necessary.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
I told @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social, who wrote this article for @thenewarab.bsky.social, that China seems to be following the advice attributed to Napoleon Bonaparte: "Never interrupt your enemy when he is in the process of destroying himself." www.newarab.com/analysis/wha...
newarab.com
What the US-China rivalry means for the Middle East
Analysis: As the US stumbles through another crisis in the Middle East, China is quietly expanding its influence across the region
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
As with the rest of the Gulf, the level of reputational damage to Oman’s image, perhaps more than actual infrastructure damage, hinges precisely on how long the conflict continues. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/ira...
agsi.org
Iran War Tests Oman’s Foreign Policy - AGSI
Iranian attacks on Omani ports and oil tankers are straining Oman’s long-standing “friend to all” regional foreign policy, but Muscat still has a part to play in achieving peace.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
I commented to @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social that notwithstanding Trump's description of the JCPOA as the ‘worst deal ever,’ it looks better and better every day because it succeeded in containing Iran’s nuclear program and subjected it to a rigorous inspection regime. www.newarab.com/analysis/no-...
newarab.com
No war, no peace: The dangerous US–Iran deadlock
Analysis: A fragile ceasefire has frozen the conflict without resolving it, leaving the US and Iran trapped in a dangerous limbo vulnerable to miscalculation
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Insightful analysis by two preeminent Gulf experts, @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social and @kristianulrichsen.bsky.social. www.theamericanconservative.com/qatars-calcu...
theamericanconservative.com
Qatar’s Calculus Amid the Iran War
Doha’s careful balancing act has been threatened by severe security and economic challenges.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social observes that "as much as the Gulf countries did not want this war, there is a growing sense among at least some of them that they are being forced into regarding the conflict as their own." www.stimson.org/2026/where-t...
stimson.org
Where the American-Israeli War on Iran Leaves the Gulf Arabs • Stimson Center
GCC states are moving toward a more confrontational posture with long-term negative ramifications for relations with Iran.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
I told @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social that Trump’s approach to Iran validates New York Yankees all-star Yogi Berra’s truism that "‘if you don't know where you are going, you'll end up someplace else." Trump is now trying to extinguish the fire he set. www.newarab.com/analysis/why...
newarab.com
Why diverging US-Israel goals complicate how the Iran war ends
While the US seeks to contain Iran and protect energy markets, Israel is pursuing a scorched-earth policy to collapse the regime, complicating how the war ends
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Omani officials see the attacks on their territory and neighboring states as the fallout of a dangerous and unnecessary war initiated by the United States and Israel. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/ira...
agsi.org
Iran War Tests Oman’s Foreign Policy - AGSI
Iranian attacks on Omani ports and oil tankers are straining Oman’s long-standing “friend to all” regional foreign policy, but Muscat still has a part to play in achieving peace.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Beyond the economic benefits of bilateral ties, relations with the UAE and other Middle Eastern countries have enabled the Vucic government to frame Belgrade’s ties with the Islamic world in markedly positive terms. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social
agsi.org
How the UAE Became Serbia’s Most Important Arab Partner - AGSI
Through its increasing ties with Serbia, the UAE has secured a lasting strategic foothold in the Western Balkans, and Serbia has gained an influential Arab partner that is likely to remain central to…
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social observes that "the proposed Board of Peace does not read as a credible mechanism for justice or reconciliation, but rather as a hollow spectacle." He quotes me, @sarahleah1.bsky.social, @maricalc.bsky.social, and Mouin Rabbani. www.newarab.com/analysis/gaz...
newarab.com
Gaza as a post-UN experiment: Inside Trump’s Board of Peace
The Board of Peace for Gaza signals a shift away from multilateral institutions to personalised, transactional diplomacy driven by private business interests
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
@charleshb@mastodon.sdf.org @charleshb.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
The Freedom Side LIVE w/ @raniaakhalek.bsky.social & Eugene Puryear "US Regime Change FAILS in Venezuela | ICE Killing in Minneapolis"@carlosron.bsky.social, Andreína Chávez Alava, Maureen Tkacik, @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social @btnewsroom.bsky.social #BreakThroughNews www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTYF...
youtube.com
LIVE: US Regime Change FAILS in Venezuela | ICE Killing in Minneapolis
YouTube video by BreakThrough News
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
I told @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social "the authors of the NSS may want to delay their victory lap until the end of the Trump administration. As Proverbs 16:18 warns, pride goeth before a fall." Read his latest article for @thenewarab.bsky.social. www.newarab.com/analysis/how...
newarab.com
How Trump’s National Security Strategy impacts the Middle East
Trump’s new National Security Strategy prioritises transactional geopolitics in the Middle East, emphasising Gulf ties while pivoting from Israel-first policies
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Dianne Woodward @diannewoodward.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
“When the US brands such actors ‘terrorists,’ it reinforces the longstanding narrative that Washington is hostile not just to Islam but also Muslim civil society & will side with any autocrat who promises ‘stability’ ..........,” writes @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social www.newarab.com/analysis/why...
newarab.com
Why is Trump cracking down on the Muslim Brotherhood?
Trump’s executive order is less about specific Muslim Brotherhood chapters and more about how foreign lobbying and culture wars shape US policy
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Sam Heller | سام هيلر @abujamajem.com · 26/11/2025
@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for @thenewarab.bsky.social: “Occupation and opportunity: Israel's strategy in post-Assad Syria” www.newarab.com/analysis/occ... Includes my thoughts:
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social's most recent article in @thenewarab.bsky.social about the Mohammed bin Salman's visit includes my comments. www.newarab.com/analysis/f-3...
newarab.com
F-35s, AI, and defence: MbS and the Saudi comeback in Washington
Trump’s lavish welcome for Mohammed bin Salman marked both his official rehabilitation and a sweeping strategic reset of US-Saudi ties
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Amid escalating tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan, GCC states have emerged as pragmatic and influential actors promoting de-escalation, stability, and dialogue. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social
agsi.org
Gulf Diplomacy Eases Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions - AGSI
Gulf Arab states are using their diplomatic, financial, and religious leverage to try and de-escalate rising Afghanistan-Pakistan tensions.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Dianne Woodward @diannewoodward.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Across the Arab world, Israel’s provocations are widely seen as a liability. For Gulf capitals and their allies, long-term stability and regional security outweigh any fleeting gestures or transactional promises from Tel Aviv. By @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social www.newarab.com/analysis/isr...
newarab.com
Israel and the Gulf: From potential partner to a growing threat
Gulf states are increasingly viewing Israel not as a potential partner, but as a growing threat to regional stability and security
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
It is well-worth reading this fresh analysis about the Southern Transitional Council by @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for @arabcenterdc.org.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Arab Center Washington DC @arabcenterdc.org · 14/11/2025
Giorgio Cafiero writes about the Southern Transitional Council’s willingness to normalize relations with #Israel if it establishes an independent state in southern #Yemen. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social arabcenterdc.org/resource/isr...
arabcenterdc.org
Israel, the UAE, and Yemen’s South: The Politics of Unlikely Alliances
Having emerged in 2017 from Yemen’s Southern Movement, the Southern Transitional Council (STC) is the preeminent political and military force in southern Yemen. Since its founding, Aidarous al-Zubaidi...
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Dianne Woodward @diannewoodward.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
A most useful piece by @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social explaining who's who among the armed factions in Gaza. www.stimson.org/2025/gazas-a...
stimson.org
Gaza’s Armed Fragmentation: Clans, Militias, and Rival Power Centers • Stimson Center
Many of the groups are supported by Israeli authorities who see Palestinian fragmentation as a way to both contain Hamas and to perpetuate Israel’s occupation.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Gulf Diplomacy Eases Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/gul...
agsi.org
Gulf Diplomacy Eases Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions - AGSI
Gulf Arab states are using their diplomatic, financial, and religious leverage to try and de-escalate rising Afghanistan-Pakistan tensions.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social analyzes Israel's political future in his latest piece for @thenewarab.bsky.social. Giorgio quotes me in his article, among others. www.newarab.com/analysis/net...
newarab.com
Netanyahu’s last war? The struggle for Israel’s political future
Whether Benjamin Netanyahu clings to power or is cast aside, his legacy is one of permanently shifting Israel’s political landscape to the far right
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
While Iran’s efforts to position itself as a credible alternative to Western security guarantees have met with little practical success, this narrative remains a central theme in its diplomatic outreach to neighboring Arab states. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social
agsi.org
Iran’s Messaging After Israel’s Qatar Strike - Arab Gulf States Institute
Iran has moved quickly to try to capitalize on cracks in U.S.-Gulf relations after Israel’s unprecedented attack on Hamas officials in Qatar.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Sam Heller | سام هيلر @abujamajem.com · 13/09/2025
@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for @theipaper.com on Tom Barrack's dumb south Lebanon economic zone idea: inews.co.uk/news/world/t... Includes my thoughts 👇🏻
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
AGSI @gulfstatesinst.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
The European trio operates in a sharply different environment shaped by East-West divisions, which helps explain the E3’s hardening stance toward Iran. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/geo...
agsi.org
Geopolitical Pressures Dismantled Europe’s Iran Engagement - Arab Gulf States Institute
With the E3 triggering the JCPOA’s snapback mechanism and aligning more closely with Washington’s hard-line stance, Europe’s role as an independent diplomatic actor in Tehran is effectively over.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
My latest @amwajmedia.bsky.social article is about #Russia's perspective on American-Iranian nuclear talks. This piece quotes Ghoncheh Tazmini, Mark Katz, and Samuel Ramani. amwaj.media/en/article/h...
amwaj.media
How does the Kremlin view Iran-US diplomacy?
The nuclear talks between Iran and the United States, which have taken place in Muscat and Rome under Omani auspices, are “reassuring” to Russia, which has high stakes in the outcome and seeks to cons...
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece is about #Trump's upcoming #Gulf visit. This article quotes @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, Dina Esfandiary, Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, Anna Jacobs, and Courtney Freer. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha... #SaudiArabia #Qatar #UAE
newarab.com
What to expect from Trump’s high-stakes Middle East visit
Analysis: Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE reflects their importance to US foreign policy as regional powerhouses with deep pockets.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Mira Al Hussein @miraalhussein.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
“Rather than signalling political endorsement/readiness to leverage influence in 🇺🇸 on Syria’s behalf, 🇦🇪’s engagement stems from more pragmatic concerns, i.e a desire to avoid being excluded in a rapidly evolving regional order shaped by the involvement of 🇹🇷 and 🇸🇦” I told @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social
responsiblestatecraft.org
UAE may need al-Sharaa as much as he needs it. Here's why.
New Syrian president got a warm welcome this week, as he holds out for sanctions relief. So what does Abu-Dhabi stand to gain?
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
"The UAE is being pragmatic about Syria’s new reality. Abu Dhabi assesses that by minimizing friction with Syria’s new government, it can steer Damascus away from conduct that could threaten Emirati interests." By @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social. responsiblestatecraft.org/al-sharaaa-u...
responsiblestatecraft.org
UAE may need al-Sharaa as much as he needs it. Here's why.
New Syrian president got a warm welcome this week, as he holds out for sanctions relief. So what does Abu-Dhabi stand to gain?
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
I spoke to @jongambrell.bsky.social about #Oman's role as a diplomatic bridge between #Washington and #Tehran. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...
washingtonpost.com
Mideast mediator Oman at the center of a key first Iran-US meeting over Tehran's nuclear program
Iran and the United States will meet in Oman for the first talks in President Donald Trump’s second term over Tehran’s rapidly advancing nuclear program
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
Read @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social's article about the increasing rate of citizenship revocation in Kuwait. He quotes me, @seanyom.bsky.social, Courtney Freer, and Michael Herb. amwaj.media/en/article/m...
amwaj.media
Mass citizenship stripping in Kuwait cements authoritarian turn, critics say
Amwaj.media offers news, opinion and analysis on Iran, Iraq and the Arabian Peninsula - coverage of the region, from the region.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
Here is my latest @wpr.bsky.social piece... #Turkey and #Russia Will Remain ‘Frenemies’ in #Syria www.worldpoliticsreview.com/syria-turkey...
worldpoliticsreview.com
Turkey and Russia Will Remain ‘Frenemies’ in Syria
After Assad’s fall, Turkey’s and Russia’s positions in Syria have flipped. Their coordination in the country is set to stay the same.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
My new @thenewarab.bsky.social piece analyzes how the situation in post-Assad Syria is fueling lots of tension between #Turkey and #Israel. This article quotes @ambgordongray.bsky.social, Matthew Bryza, Gokhan Ereli, Mustafa Caner, and Joshua Landis. www.newarab.com/analysis/isr...
newarab.com
Israel and Turkey: The showdown that could shape Syria s future
Analysis: Turkey and Israel are the two main players to fill power vacuums in post-Assad Syria, and friction between Ankara and Tel Aviv is intensifying.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
After returning from #Baghdad late last month, I produced this analysis for @arab-center-dc.bsky.social. arabcenterdc.org/resource/geo... #Iraq #DevelopmentRoad #Qatar #UAE #Turkey #Iran #China #Kuwait #Europe #SuezCanal #BeltandRoadInitiative
arabcenterdc.org
Geopolitical Dynamics Surrounding Iraq’s Ambitious Development Road Project
Leveraging its geography and resources to serve as an economic bridge between Asia and Europe is not a new concept for Iraq. In the 1980s, the country promoted the “Dry Canal” idea of offering a comme...
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
After returning from #Iraq and #Lebanon, where I gained some insight into some regional perspectives on post-Assad #Syria, I wrote this @newarab.com.web.brid.gy about the future of Lebanon-Syria relations. www.newarab.com/analysis/cou...
newarab.com
Could Lebanese-Syrian relations move past Assad, Hezbollah era?
Analysis: Amid regional turmoil from Israeli expansionism, will the new governments in Syria and Lebanon manage to overcome historic divisions and start fresh?
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece is about the future of #Syria-#Turkey relations. This piece quotes @aronlund.bsky.social, @carolinerose8.bsky.social, Qutaiba Idlbi, and Mustafa Caner. www.newarab.com/analysis/how...
newarab.com
How Turkey is poised to be a key player in Syria's next chapter
Analysis: From revamping the economy to political, military, and bureaucratic capacity building, Turkey will have a key influence in shaping the new Syria.
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Ryan Bohl @ryanbohl.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Quoted here by @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social alongside @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, Neil Quilliam, and Amb. Patrick Theros on the limits of the U.S.-Saudi 'bromance' -- like his first term, the two do not have the same strategic interests, especially on oil prices.
inews.co.uk
Oil dollars and weapons sales mean Trump needs Saudi Arabia more than ever
Inside Trump and Saudi Arabia's 'unashamedly transactional' relationship
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Reposted by Giorgio Cafiero
Gordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Writing for @thenewarab.bsky.social today, @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social analyzes Middle East policy in the second Trump administration. He quotes me, @thomasjuneau.bsky.social, @tparsi.bsky.social, @shadihamid.bsky.social, Neil Quilliam, and Ferial Saeed. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha...
newarab.com
What to expect from Trump 2.0's Middle East policy
Analysis: Trump's administration is divided between hawkish neocons and 'restrainers', but which group will have the most influence on US Middle East policy?
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social article is about Trump's desire to see #Israel and #SaudiArabia normalize. This piece quotes Aziz Alghashian, Nabeel Khoury, Annelle Sheline, Kenneth Katzman, and Charles Dunne. www.newarab.com/analysis/tru...
newarab.com
Trump wants an Israel-Saudi normalisation deal. Will he get one?
Analysis: Trump is eyeing the grand prize of Israel-Saudi normalisation, but after the Gaza war and shifting regional dynamics, the chances are remote.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
My latest @amwajmedia.bsky.social article analyzes the #UAE's cautious approach to post-Assad #Syria. Featuring quotes from Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, Courtney Freer, Neil Quilliam, and Hamdullah Baycar. amwaj.media/article/why-...
amwaj.media
Why the UAE approaches the new Syria with caution
The new Syrian administration’s Foreign Minister Asaad Al-Shaibani, Defense Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra, and intelligence chief Anas Khattab last week paid their first official visit to the United Arab ...
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
#China Will Approach Post-Assad #Syria With Caution Many thanks to @wpr.bsky.social for publishing my latest article. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/china-syria-...
worldpoliticsreview.com
China Will Approach Post-Assad Syria With Caution
China never intervened military in Syria, but it did support the Assad regime in other ways. After Assad’s fall, China faces a complicated dilemma.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
My latest analysis for the @arab-center-dc.bsky.social is about #Oman's perspective on post-Assad #Syria. arabcenterdc.org/resource/syr...
arabcenterdc.org
Syrian Regime Change: The View from Oman
The abrupt end of 61 years of Baathist rule in Syria on December 8 caught the Gulf states by surprise. Both governments and citizens of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members did not foresee the S...
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
My latest TRT World article is about #Ukraine's relationship with post-Assad #Syria. This piece quotes Ferial Saeed and Wolfgang Pusztai. www.trtworld.com/magazine/a-n...
trtworld.com
A new axis: Syria and Ukraine unite after Assad's fall
The two countries share a goal of weakening Russia, and considering a partnership that spans diplomacy, military, and trade.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
What role will #Gulf states play in post-Assad #Syria? Check out my latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece, featuring quotes from @ibish.bsky.social, @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, Anna Jacobs, and Qutaiba Idlbi. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha...
newarab.com
What role will Gulf states play in post-Assad Syria?
Analysis: The first three countries visited by Syria's new foreign minister were all GCC members, speaking to the Gulf's importance to Syria's future.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
Many thanks to Gulf International Forum for publishing my latest article, which analyzes #Russia's relationship with #Yemen's Houthi rebel movement. gulfif.org/russian-supp...
gulfif.org
Russian Support for Yemen’s Houthi Movement - Gulf International Forum
In light of the Syrian regime’s fall earlier this month and the weakening of Hezbollah at the hands of Israel’s military between September and November,...
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
The key trends set to shape the Middle East in 2025. Check out my latest @thenewarab.bsky.social article, featuring comments from @carolinerose8.bsky.social, Veena Ali-Khan, Ali Bakir, Erwin van Veen, Osama al-Sharif, and Francesco Salesio Schiavi. www.newarab.com/analysis/key...
newarab.com
The key trends set to shape the Middle East in 2025
Analysis: Post-Assad Syria, Iran-Israel hostilities, Palestine, and an unpredictable Trump administration will be key factors in reshaping the region in 2025.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
Why #Bahrain is considering future in #BRICS+ My latest @amwajmedia.bsky.social piece, featuring comments from @ryanbohl.bsky.social, Ali Bakir, Abdulla Aljunaid, and Narayanappa Janardhan. amwaj.media/article/cons...
amwaj.media
Why Bahrain is considering future in BRICS+
The foreign policy of Bahrain frequently follows in the footsteps of Abu Dhabi’s leadership. As the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has become the first Gulf Arab state to accede to the BRICS+ group of cou...
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
I was in #Qatar attending the #DohaForum when news broke about the #Assad government's fall. That was an interesting time to be in #Doha meeting with many Syrians. This piece I wrote for Peoples Dispatch analyzes Qatar's potential role in post-Assad #Syria. peoplesdispatch.org/2024/12/21/q...
peoplesdispatch.org
Qatar’s position in post-Assad Syria : Peoples Dispatch
How the Gulf country is maneuvering today has much to do with its desire to maintain its position as a middleman between the region and the West.
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Giorgio Cafiero @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
My latest TRT World article is about how the #Iran-#SaudiArabia detente fared in 2024 with a look at what is in store for this relationship next year. www.trtworld.com/magazine/ami...
trtworld.com
Amid regional setbacks, how Iran and Saudi Arabia kept the peace in 2024
Driven by self interest and external factors, the two nations maintained their detente this year - despite fluid situations in Gaza and Syria.
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